Wesleyan University THE RETURN OF UNIVERSAL HISTORY Author(s): DAVID CHRISTIAN Source: History and Theory, Vol. 49, No. 4, Theme Issue 49: History and Theory: The Next Fifty Years (December 2010), pp. 6-27 Published by: Wiley for Wesleyan University Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/41300047 Accessed: 10-01-2016 22:56 UTC REFERENCES Linked references are available on JSTOR for this article: http://www.jstor.org/stable/41300047?seq=1&cid=pdf-reference#references_tab_contents You may need to log in to JSTOR to access the linked references. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/ info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Wesleyan University and Wiley are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to History and Theory. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions andTheory, Theme Issue 49(December 6-27 History 2010), ©Wesleyan 2010 ISSN: 0018-2656 University THE RETURN OF UNIVERSAL HISTORY DAVID CHRISTIAN ABSTRACT Theprediction inthispaperis thatoverthenextfifty defended yearswewillseea return oftheancient tradition of"universal butthiswillbe a newform ofuniversal history"; thatis globalinitspractice andscientific initsspirit andmethods. Untiltheend history ofthenineteenth universal in ofsomekindseemstohavebeenpresent century, history mosthistoriographical traditions. Thenitvanished as historians becamedisillusioned with thesearch forgrand historical narratives andbegantofocusinstead thedetails ongetting document-based research. there aremanysignsofa return however, right through Today, touniversal Thishasbeenmadepossible, atleastinpart, history. bythedetailed empirical inthelastcentury inmany research undertaken different andalsobythecreation of fields, newmethods ofabsolute that do not on the of written documents. The dating rely presence lastpartofthepaperexplores someofthepossible forhistorical consequences scholarship ofa return form a closerintegratoa new,scientific ofuniversal Thesemayinclude history. tionofhistorical withthemorehistorically oriented ofthesciences, scholarship including and raises the the thatuniversal cosmology, geology, biology. Finally, paper possibility inhighschools, betaught where itwillprovide a powerful newway history mayeventually thehumanities ofintegrating from andthesciences. knowledge universal world creation Keywords: history, history, bighistory, historiography, myth The historian's businessis to knowthepast,notto knowthefuture, and in advance whenever historians claimto be able to determine thefuture ofitshappening, we mayknowwithcertainty thatsomething hasgonewrong withtheir fundamental of conceptionhistory. - R. G. Colling TheIdeaofHistory* wood,from I. INTRODUCTION ANDA PREDICTION How willhistorical andteachingevolveoverthenextfifty scholarship years?As I writethisI can hearthespecterof R. G. Collingwoodtut-tutting somewhere behindthewainscot.By thetimeI have finished thisessayI suspectotherswill all tut-tutting havejoinedhim(G. R. Elton,perhaps?orJean-Francois Lyotard?), in an frenzied I want thank chorus. to theeditorsofHistory and away increasingly 1.R.G.Collingwood, TheIdeaofHistory, rev.ed.,ed.JanVanderDussen andNew (Oxford 54.Collingwood that the York: Oxford historians whotry topredict Press, 1994), University argues future havefallen forthedeterministic sciences andhavelostsight ofhuman logicofthenatural agency. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 7 us to breakwiththisparticular convenTheoryforencouraging historiographical tion. betweena letterto Santaand a genuineattempt at My essayfallssomewhere is this: a in historical scholarprediction. My wish/prediction majordevelopment of whatwas once shipand teachingoverthenextfifty yearswill be thereturn called"universalhistory." Butthiswillbe a newformof universalhistory thatis in its and scientific in its and methods. global practice spirit ThePrediction:TheReturnofUniversalHistory I defineuniversalhistoryas the attempt to understand thepast at all possible andto do so in waysthatdo justicebothto the scales,up to thoseofcosmology, and specificity of thepast and also to thelargepatterns thathelp contingency makesenseofthedetails.2 I predictthatinfifty willunderstand thatitis possible years'time,all historians and fruitful to explorethepaston multiplescales, manyextendingfarbeyond Braudel'slongueduree, by reachingback to theoriginsof our species,theoriginsof theearth,and eventheoriginsof thecosmos.The newuniversalhistory willtranscend thepowerfulintellecboundaries, existingdisciplinary exploiting tual synergies availableto thosewillingto deploythemethodsand insightsof as one memberof a largefamily multipledisciplines.It willtreathumanhistory of historical and disciplinesthatincludesbiology,theearthsciences,astronomy, it will blur the borderline between and the natural so, cosmology. By doing history sciences(a borderline rediscovers an Collingwoodtookveryseriously)as history in deep,evenlaw-likepatterns interest ofchange.3 In thisexpandedform,history willhavea powerful impacton publicthinking aboutthepastbecause it will beginto play a role similarto thatof traditional creationstories:it will aspireto createa map of thepastas a whole.Thatmap will allow individualsand communities theworldto see themselves throughout as partoftheevolvingstoryofan entireuniverse, justas theyoncemappedthemselveson to thecosmologiesofdifferent fromthedreamtime religioustraditions, storiesofindigenous Australians to thePtolemaicmapsof medievalChristianity. The newuniversalhistory willcontaina clearvisionofhumanity as a whole,for withinitsuniversalmapsof thepastit willbe easy to see thatall humanbeings sharea common,andquitedistinctive, of thissharedhishistory. Understanding 2. MamieHughesfour definitions of"universal "a Warrington distinguishes possible history": andperhaps alsounified oftheknown world oruniverse; ... a history that comprehensive history illuminates orprinciples that arethought tobelong tothewhole ... a history truths, ideals, world; oftheworld unified ofa single and... a history oftheworld that haspassed mind; bytheworkings down anunbroken lineoftransmission." Berkshire ,ed.W. through Encyclopedia ofWorld History H. McNeill MA:Berkshire (Great 2005),V,2096.I usethephrase Barrington, Publishing Group, inthefirst ofthese four senses. primarily 3.Collingwood that dealt with anunpredictable world ofconscious actsrather than argued history events. Thehistorian's wasnottoseekgeneral butto"penetrate" laws, law-governed goal,therefore, thethoughts that motivated That waswhy historians seemed tooccupy a different pastactions. episteuniverse natural from scientists TheIdeaofHistory, this distincmological 214).Why (Collingwood, isnolonger tion tenable isdiscussed inDipesh "TheClimate ofHistory: Four elegantly Chakrabarty, Critical 35(Winter thanks toDr.KimYong-Woo ofEwha Theses," 201ff.; 2009),197-222, Inquiry Institute ofWorld andGlobal foralerting metothis article. University's History This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 8 DAVIDCHRISTIAN justas nationalist torywillhelpeducatorsgeneratea senseof globalcitizenship, nation-states. withindifferent oncecreateda senseofsolidarity historiography withsomeconfidence I makethesepredictions because,in variousguisesand undervariousnames,such scholarshipis alreadyemerging, thoughit remains Aftera centuryand historians. of professional marginalwithinthecommunity historicalfields,it is moreof detailedempiricalscholarshipin manydifferent accountsofthepastatverylargescaleswitha precision nowpossibletoconstruct It is also apparentthatthe in thelate nineteenth unattainable and rigor century. newuniversalhistory enoughto mayyieldresultsthatareexcitingandprofound ofthepast. transform ourunderstanding HISTORY OFUNIVERSAL II.A SHORTHISTORY TheAbsenceofUniversalHistoryToday : youmakeone so suddenly 'tkeepappearing andvanishing "I wishyouwouldn "All this time it vanished the and said Cat ,be; quiteslowly quitegiddy" right," remained some withthegrin withtheendofthetail, andending , which ginning therestofithadgone. timeafter 64 -Alice inWonderland ,chapter withinthehistory has aboutas muchvisibility profession Today,universal history Jean-Franas theCheshirecat'sgrin.In 1979,theFrenchpost-modernist theorist, has lostitscredibilfamouslyannouncedthat"thegrandnarrative goisLyotard, referred to"thevirtualabandonment As recently as 2005,BarbaraWeinstein ity."5 text ofAliceinWonderland: 4. From theGutenberg http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~rgs/aliceProject 1866. Tenniel's from areSirJohn table.html. 12,2010).Theillustrations (accessed July Geoff onKnowledge A Report ThePostmodern Condition: 5. Jean-Francis , transl. Lyotard, cited ofMinnesota Massumi andBrian xxiii, xxiv, Press, 1984), University (Minneapolis: Bennington andthePeople without "InSearch Postmodernism Kerwin LeeKlein, ofNarrative from Mastery: Dunstall for toAndrew andTheory 283;mythanks 34,no.4 (1995),275-298, History History," article. metothis alerting important This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 9 bent "6 ofthegrandnarrative tradition ofa strong theoretical amonghistorians seemsa naive,archaic,andoutdatedformof To mosthistorians, universalhistory historical as thedisciplineof abandoned, thought, alongwithchroniclewriting, matured a into branch of inthelateninemodern, history professional scholarship teenthcentury. Universalhistory makesoccasionalspookyappearances, perhaps in undergraduate courseson historiography, butitsoonvanishes,leavingbehind, likeripplesin theair,a fewderisiveremarksaboutthefailingsof a Toynbeeor a Spengler.HughTrevor-Roper whenhe recapturedtheseattitudes perfectly markedofToynbee'sStudyofHistory, that"as a dollarearner... itrankssecond onlyto whiskey."7 One signof thecompleteness withwhichuniversalhistory has vanishedfrom thepracticeof professional is theinterest historians shownin FernandBraudel's readlongueduree.I remember vividlythesenseofspaciousnessI feltwhenfirst his wonderful volumes on the Mediterranean. That Braudel is often taken so ing as a modelforhistorical at largescales is tellingbecause,measured scholarship Braudel's longueduree is not very againstthe timescales of humanhistory, in a humanhistory thatextendsback at least60,000 longue: justa fewcenturies and William McNeill's worldhistory, 200,000 years perhaps years.8 pioneering TheRise of theWest was so in , exciting partbecause itsscales wereeven more spaciousthanthoseofBraudel. Eventheboomingfieldofworldhistory focusesmainlyon themodernera,and fewworldhistorians are comfortable withtheidea thatworldhistorymighttry to embracethewholeof history.9 In a recentsurvey, PatrickManninginsiststhat "Worldhistory is farless thanthesumtotalofall history."10 1 suspectmostworld historians shareManning'scaution,preferring to defineworldhistoryin ways morecompatiblewiththemethodsof detailedarchivalresearchthatdominate modernhistorical scholarship. 6. Barbara without a Cause?Grand World andthe Weinstein, Narratives, "History History, Postcolonial International Review 50(2005), 71. Dilemma," ofSocialHistory 7. Cited from Gilbert "Toward World American Historians andtheComing Allardyce, History: oftheWorld Course" inTheNewWorld andNew ,ed.RossDunn(Boston [1990], History History York: Bedford/St. 30. Martin's, 2000), 8. Forarguments alternative datesfortheorigins ofourspecies the (andtherefore defending ofhuman seeRichard Kleinwith BlakeEdgar, TheDawnofHuman Culture beginnings history), John andSons,2002), andSallyMcBrearty andAlison "TheRevolution (NewYork: Brooks, Wiley ThatWasn't: A NewInterpretation oftheOrigin ofModern Human Journal Behavior," ofHuman Evolution 39(2000), there isa summary ofthis debate inPaulPettit, "TheRiseofModern 453-563; inTheHuman Past:World andtheDevelopment Societies Humans," ,ed.Chris Prehistory ofHuman Scarre Thames andHudson, 4. (London: 2005), chap. 9.Jerry theeditor oftheJournal that ofthe195 ,notes Bentley, ofWorld History onlyseventeen articles inthat between 1990and2006dealtwith before 1500.Bentley published journal periods addsthat this"isnotsurprising . . . sincemost historians work inthese erasforwhich professional abundant documentation andsource materials survive." Ata conference onworld relatively history research inNovember four ofthirty-six discussed 2006, organized byPatrick Manning only presenters research work onerasbefore 1500.SeeGlobal Practice inWorld Advances Worldwide ,ed. History: Patrick Markus 20and133-134. (Princeton: Wiener, 2008), Manning 10.Patrick World Historians Create a Global Past(NewYork and Manning, Navigating History: UK:Palgrave Macmillan, 2003),3. Basingstoke, This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 10 DAVIDCHRISTIAN WhytheAbsenceofUniversalHistoryis so Curious The executioner's was, thatyou couldn'tcut offa head unless argument therewas a bodyto cut it offfrom:thathe had neverhad to do such a thingbefore , and he wasn'tgoingto beginat his timeof life.The was, thatanything thathad a head couldbe beheaded , King'sargument 'ttotalknonsense. andthatyouweren -Alice inWonderland 8 ,chapter evennoticeits thatfewhistorians has vanishedso completely Universalhistory on largerscales,the absence.Yetifwe surveytheevolutionofhistorical thought curious.I saythisbecausebelooksdistinctly ofuniversalhistory disappearance universalhistory forethelatenineteenth (as I havedefinedit) pervaded century, in mosthumansocieties,and thereasonsforexpellingit were historical thought thanis oftenassumed. less compelling tooktheformof whatwe somewhat In non-literate societiesuniversalhistory touse thebestavailableknowledge call "creation myths"-attempts patronizingly Universalhistories to place societywithina large,oftencosmological,context.11 in withinall literatetraditions, werealso constructed usually tensionwithmore histories of focused groups,regions,oreras(a tensionWilliam particular sharply relithat hadalready 11.A century including primitive "belief-systems, argued ago,Durkheim a HisLifeandWork, EmileDurkheim: Steven betreated as cosmologies." should Lukes, gions, ina 449.Morerecently, Stanford Historical andCritical Press, 1985), (Stanford: Study University American suchas those oftheSouth claim that creation ofLyotard's Cashinahua, myths, critique theglobalized from that thisseems true as"little Kleininsists beregarded should stories," peronly areconcerned, 'TheHistory oftheCashinahua' world. "SofarastheCashinahua oftoday's spective between them. there is nodifference areinterchangeable and'TheHistory ofHumanity' phrases; on'rigid as 'local'orcentered ofsuchstories andLyotard's are'universal Both designation history,' that havebelieved intervention reflects a retrospective, ironic (theCashinahua they may designators' vaster isa much butwemoderns know alonewere Klein, better; human, category)." humanity truly 285. "InSearch ofNarrative Mastery," This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 11 McNeill findsin thecontrasting of Herodotusand Thucydides).12 perspectives Universalhistoriescan be foundin theMuslimworld(in theworkof Tabari, Rashidal-Din,and Ibn Khaldun),or in theencyclopedic tradition of Chineseofficialhistoriography, or inthechronicles ofMesoamerica.13 In theMuslimworld, dynastichistories customarily mergedintoa sacredversionof universalhistory. We can takeas a moreorless randomexamplea nineteenth-century ofthe history of the Firdaus or "Paradise of This Khiva, Qonghirat dynasty ul-Iqbal, Felicity."14 the and of the but it surveys military dynastic history Qonghirats, beginswiththe traditional Muslimaccountofthecreationoftheearthandthefirst Adam humans, andEve. It tracesthathistory the of Noah's and son, through lineage Japheth, his eldestson,Turk,through tothetimeofOghuzKhanwhosefirst wordwas "Allah" andwhorestored thetruefaithinCentralAsia. One ofOghuzKhan'sdescendants wouldbe Qonghirat, thefounder oftherulingdynasty ofKhivain thenineteenth another would be the of the century; progenitor lineageof GenghisKhan.The resultwas to map Khiva and CentralAsia in generalwithina worldthathad been returned to thetruepath alwaysbeen Muslim,butwhichhad periodically theheroicactivity ofgreatandpiousrulers.Morespecifically, through bytracing theQonghirats to a lineageseniorto thatof theChingissids,it legitimizedthe 1804 seizureofpowerin KhivabyEltiizerKhanfroma lineageclaimingChingissidantecedents.15 By linkingthepresentto thepastas a whole,suchhistories madesenseofthecontemporary worldat thetime. Raoul Mortleyhas tracedtheemergenceof a self-conscious tradition of universalhistory in theMediterranean world,soon aftertheconquestsofAlexander theGreat.16 Christian historical was organizedarounda paradigmatic unithought versalhistory constructed in thetimeofAugustine. This wouldframeEuropean historical untiltheEnlightenment, as itframesChristian fundamentalism thinking ofhistory as in principlethehistoday.As Collingwoodputsit:"The conception The symbolof thisuniversalism toryof theworld. . . becamea commonplace. is theadoptionof a singleuniversalchronological framework forall historical events.The singleuniversalchronology, invented byIsidoreofSevilleintheseventhcentury andpopularizedbytheVenerableBede in theeighth,datingevery12.William "TheChanging ofWorld andTheory, Theme Issue McNeill, Shape History," History Historians andTheir Critics 8-26. 34,World (May1995), 13.Marnie World inBerkshire HughesWarrington, "Writing History," Encyclopedia ofWorld McNeill MA:Berkshire ,ed.William (Great History 2004),V,2095Barrington, Publishing Group, 2103.Onthehistoriography ofbighistory, seeMarnie inSocial HughesWarrington, "BigHistory," Evolution andHistory Donald 7-21(alsoavailable in 4,no.1 (Spring 2005),ed.Graeme Snooks, "TheChanging [November, 2002],16-17, 20];seealsoMcNeill, Historically Speaking Shapeof World that thesacred orphilosophical histories ofall History," particularly pp.8-9fortheargument theworld's traditions allproduced accounts that canlegitimately bedescribed major historiographical as"world histories." 14.Described in"Islam inCentral Islamafter Communism Asia,"inAdeebKhalid, (Berkeley: ofCalifornia Press, 2009),19-20. University 15.Adeeb "Nation into TheOrigins ofNational inCentral Khalid, Asia," History: Historiography inDevout Societies vs.Impious States? Islamic inRussia, Central Asiaand Transmitting Learning theTwentieth A.Dudoignon KlausSchwarz China, , ed.Stephane through (Berlin: century Verlag, 2004),131. 16.RaoulMortley, TheIdeaofUniversal Hellenistic toEarly Christian History from Philosophy NY:Edwin Mellen (Lewiston, Press, 1996). Historiography This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 12 DAVIDCHRISTIAN and backwardfromthebirthof Christ,stillshowswheretheidea thingforward camefrom."17 BruceMazlisharguesthatBishopBossuet'sDiscourseon UniversalHistory , in the "last of this tradition.18 historiographical gasp" published 1681,represents wouldflourish foranothertwocenturies But secularformsof universalhistory andinthehandsofthegreatnineteenth-century system duringtheEnlightenment buildersfromHegel to Marxand Spencer.FredSpierhas notedthatAlexander of theuniverse."In "a cosmicalhistory vonHumboldtbegan,butdid notfinish, theintroduction to thefirstvolume,publishedin 1845,Humboldtsummarized nebuhisaims:"Beginningwiththedepthsof space andtheregionsof remotest which solar the zone to our we will descend lae, system through starry gradually circledby airand ocean,thereto direct spheroid, belongs,to ourown terrestrial and magnetictension,and to considerthe ourattention to itsform,temperature, initselfuponitssurfacebeneaththevivifying fullnessof organiclifeunfolding EvenLeopoldvonRanke,theiconicpioneerofarchive-based fluenceoflight."19 andattheend ofuniversalhistory, understood theimportance research, empirical Earlierin his career,he wrotethat sucha history. of his lifehe even attempted relanotinitsparticular thepastlifeofmankind, "Universalhistory comprehends The of universal butin itsfullnessandtotality. discipline tionsandtrends, history the whileinvestigating differs fromspecializedresearchin thatuniversalhistory, which it is the on never loses of whole, working."20 sight complete particular historians Then,towardtheendofthenineteenth expelled century, professional fromthediscipline.Since thenit has languishedin exile,deuniversalhistory suchas H. G. and practicedonlyby mavericks historians spisedbyprofessional Wellsor HendrikWillemvan Loon, whoseengagingwriting styleand financial was.21 their historical as how bad successwereoftentaken proofof scholarship was an important The expulsionofuniversalhistory partoftheprocessbywhich As GilbertAlcredentials. its"scientific" demonstrated thedisciplineof history in the and itself "The new defined writes: apprentices history against old, lardyce in suslearnedtoholdworldhistory thevocation,rearedon specializedresearch, In thesecond and metahistorical."22 outmoded, overblown, picionas something a similarfate,and suffered othermacro-narratives halfof thetwentieth century, 51. 17.Colling TheIdeaofHistory, wood, Histories inPalgrave Advances in World 18.BruceMazlish, , ed.Marnie "Terms," Hugheshistories ofthesev20-23. Onuniversal UK:Palgrave Macmillan, 2005), Warrington (Basingstoke, volution from Counter-Re seeTamara "Universal enteenth andeighteenth centuries, History Griggs, 219-247. Modern Intellectual toEnlightenment," 4,no.2 (2007), History MA:Wiley-Blackwell, andtheFuture 19.FredSpier, 2010), (Maiden, ofHumanity BigHistory 10. FromVoltaire tothePresent cited from TheVarieties 20.Leopold vonRanke, , ed. ofHistory: 61-62. andNewYork: World Fritz Stern 1956), (Cleveland Company, Publishing with facts. vulnerable tothecharge ofcarelessness 21.VanLoonwasparticularly 30.On inDunn, Toward World 22.Cited from ed.,TheNewWorld History, History, Allardyce, "scientific" and"literary" between andpolicing a clearborder ofestablishing thecomplex process Work Disease: Froude's inEngland, seeIanHesketh, tohistory Boundary "Diagnosing approaches 47 (October andTheory inLateofHistory Victorian andtheDiscipline Britain," 2008), History 373-395. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 13 "A chorusofcriticism evensciencecameundersuspicion.23 consignedthegrand or meta-narrative if nothistory. . . ; postmodto thedustbinof historiography, ernistsof variousstripesquestionedwhetherhistoricalnarratives could escape theteleologicaltendenciesof themasternarrative of theWestern/liberal tradia leadingpostcolonialtheorist has denouncedall historicism, tion;and recently as incurably Eurocentric."24 As R. I. Mooreputsit,"muchofthe broadlydefined, resistance to worldhistory historians has arisen. . . fromthe amongprofessional fearthattheattempt tograpplewithquestionstoolargetobe tackledbymeansof thecriticalappraisalde novoof therelevantprimary sources,. . . mightlead to a of the and sinister structures thattheyassociate resurgence grandiose speculative with the names of and pre-eminently Spengler Toynbee."25 Whydid UniversalHistoryDisappear? Seen in thisbroadhistoriographical of universalhiscontext,thedisappearance is curious and needs to be did it vanish? tory explained.Why I am no specialistin nineteenth-century so I offertheideasthat historiography, followtentatively. does notdependon theiracHowever,myoverallargument in theperfectstormthat curacy.My hunchis thatthemostpowerfulcurrents blewuniversalhistory were: a concern for"scientific" 1) growing away rigor,2) and3) therapidinstitutionalization of"Rankean"methodsofteachnationalism, ingandresearch.26 In theeighteenth and nineteenth thosewhoattempted universalhiscenturies, toriesdidso partlyinthehopeofturning itselfintoa scienceas powerful, history as scientific, andas law-governed as physicsorbiology.By theendofthecentury, mosthistorians however, beganto suspectthatthespeculativeandsubjectiveelementsin thesenarratives theirscientific outweighed rigor.As Popperwouldarevento refute. gue,theyweretoorubbery Theyfailedas science,andthisfailure reverberated theembryonic Historianslowered throughout disciplineof history. theirsights,insisting thatfactualrigormustprecedehightheory. At the1900 International of Henri "We wantnothing Congress Historians, Houssayethundered: moreto do withtheapproximations of hypotheses, uselesssystems, theoriesas brilliant as theyare deceptive,superfluous moralities. Facts,facts,facts- which theirlessonandtheirphilosophy. The truth, all thetruth, carrywithinthemselves became the dominant nothingbut thetruth."27 Houssaye's naive inductionism 23.Seethesurvey ofthis inJoyce transition andMargaret the Hunt, Jacob, Appleby, Lynn Telling Truth about W.W.Norton & Co.,1994). (NewYork: History 24.Weinstein, a Cause?, without inthelastsentence ofthispassage 71;thereference "History istoDipesh Postcolonial andHistorical Chakrabarty, Provincializing Europe: Thought Difference Princeton (Princeton: Press, 2000). University 25.R.I. Moore, "World inCompanion toHistoriography ,ed.Michael (London History," Bentley andNewYork: 942-943. Routledge, 1997), 26.Tamara that theculprit wasEurocentrism andthat theprocess inthe Griggs argues began "World as wefind ittoday isnolonger intheuniversal. anchored More eighteenth century: history ithaslostitscenter andthisdecentering wasdoneinresponse totheEuropean-progress recently, histories launched inthe1750s." "Universal from Counter-Revolution toEnlightenment," History 246-247. 27.CitedinPeter ThatNobleDream:The"Objectivity andtheAmerican Novick, Question" Historical UK:Cambridge 37-38. Press, Profession 1988), (Cambridge, University This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 14 DAVIDCHRISTIAN in theearlytwentieth To century. methodological sloganofhistorical scholarship wouldhavetonarrowtheir demonstrate theirscientific itseemed,historians rigor, to the Introduction fieldof visionand setmoremodestgoals. In theirinfluential "The historian written in and wrote: 1898,Langlois StudyofHistory, Seignobos workswithdocuments.Documentsare thetraceswhichhave been leftby the no history."28 times... No documents, and actionsof menof former thoughts This methodological asceticismruledout universalhistory for,as Langloisand thehistory ofimmenseperiodsin Seignobospointedout,"Forwantofdocuments unknown."29 is destinedto remainforever thepastofhumanity But the"empiricalturn"of thelatenineteenth It is easy to caricature century. seemedto have workedwell thatsimilarstrategies it is important to remember Yethe never in thenaturalsciences.Darwinwas a superbempiricalresearcher.30 he lostsightof theultimategoal of a unifying paradigm.In his autobiography, has beennearlyas greatas itcouldhavebeenin the did writethat"My industry andcollectionoffacts,"buthe also addedthat"Frommyearlyyouth observation I observed,that orexplainwhatever I havehadthestrongest desireto understand is,togroupall factsundersomegenerallaws.Thesecausescombinedhavegiven ofyearsoveranyunexplained orponderforanynumber methepatiencetoreflect Darwin's it In thelightof experience, was perhapsnotso naiveto problem."31 ofaccurateinformation mightproduceequally hopethatthepatientaccumulation in ideas history. paradigm powerful itsfocuswithout narrowed Butthat'snotwhathappened.Historicalscholarship newunifying ideas,andthedisciplinebrokeintomanyisolatedislands generating consensusaboutthefundamental of knowledge.Historianslost any remaining and themes of their discipline.In a recentreviewarticle, questions,problems, the result: likeotherfieldsin thesocialsciences "History, GeorgIggersdescribes is caughtin an ironcage of increasingprofessionalization and thehumanities, of withall thelimitstheyset on theimaginative and specialization exploration knowledge."32 a historical focus.Itoffered thenarrowing ofscholarly Nationalism encouraged to thatsetclear,manageable,evenalluringboundaries object- thenation-statebecause of amounts of attracted historical research, funding government significant theattention ofa widereadership inpubliceducation, andattracted itsimportance also offered Nationalism inthehistory ofitsownimaginedcommunity. interested an artificial senseofwholeness. thedisciplineofhistory The shifttowardsmall-scaleempiricalresearchwas rapidlyinstitutionalized. notas peopleof broadlearning. "Historianswerenow trainedas professionals, 110,no. Review American Historical inDaniel "IntheGrip ofSacred 28.Cited Smail, History," 5 (December 2005),1350-1351. 29.Ibid. Jonathan s superb Darwin Browne Charles 30.SeeJanet , 2 vols.(London: Cape, biography, 2002). andR.B. Freeman, 29vols.(NewYork: Darwin 31.TheWorks , ed.PaulH.Barrett ofCharles NewYork XXIX,159. Press, 1986-1989), University review intheTwentieth 32.Georg essayofLutzRaphael, Century," "Historiography Iggers, von1900biszur imZeiltalter derExtreme: Tendenzen Methoden; Theorien; Geschichtswissenschaft 471. andTheory C. H.Beck, 44,no.3 (2005), 2003), (Munich: History Gegenwart This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 15 Careerpatterns wereestablished. Scholarlyjournalswerefoundedwhich,unlike those of the eighteenth addresseda professionalreadership."33 The century, appearanceof specialistjournals,theriteof passageof thedoctoraldissertation based on archivalsources,theincreasing respectforprecisionoverrelevancethesetraditions leftno roomforthegrandnarratives of universalhistory. In an introduction to Historyand Theory's1995 "stock-take" on the stateof world revolutionsqueezed history, PhilipPomperdescribeshow thismethodological out universalhistory. "The taskof grandsynthesisrequireshedgehogs,Isaiah Berlin'sgreatsystem-builders or holists,whereasthehistory attracts profession whorelishdetailandparticularity."34 foxes,Berlin'sthinkers III.THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY [S]henoticeda curiousappearancein theair: it puzzledher verymuch atfirst ita minute or two, shemadeitoutto be a grin , but,afterwatching , and she said to herself"It'stheCheshire Cat: nowI shallhavesomebody to talkto." "How are you getting on?" said theCat, as soon as there was mouthenoughfor it to speak with.Alice waitedtill the eyes "till to it,"she thought, , and thennodded."It'sno use speaking appeared itsears havecome,or at leastone of them."In another minute thewhole head appeared,and thenAlice put downherflamingo, and began an account tolisten toher. ofthegame, feeling very gladshehadsomeone -Alice inWonderland 8 ,chapter In an interview withVed Mehtain theearly1960s,ArnoldToynbeeinsistedthat thedisappearance ofuniversalhistory was a temporary aberration: he comforted himself withthethought thatthedaysofthemicroscope historians were numbered. itornot,hadsacrificed all generalizaprobably They,whether theyadmitted tionsforpatchwork, relative andtheythought ofhuman as incomknowledge, experience chaos.Butintheperspective ofhistoriography, were in the and prehensible they minority, in company withSt. Augustinehe feltmostakinto him-Polybius, Toynbee, Roger wasinthemajority.35 Bacon,andIbnKhaldun, Toynbeewas right.Like theCheshireCat, universalhistoryis reappearing, withtheeasybits.In recentyearstherehas beena resurgence oflargebeginning scale narratives in worldhistory, trans-national macroglobal history, history, or whatever we choose to call it. In 1995,PhilipPomperdescribedworld history, "36In 2009, as "a livelyandcreative, butstillsmallsubdiscipline ofhistory history fourteen is flourishing, andnotjustin theUSA.37 yearslater,worldhistory 33.Ibid., 470. 34.Philip "World andItsCritics," introduction toHistory andTheory Pomper, , Theme History Issue34,World Historians andTheir Critics (May1995),1-2. 35.VedMehta, Encounters with British Intellectuals FlyandtheFly-Bottle: Little, (Boston: Brown andCo,1962), 143. 36.Pomper, "World andItsCritics," 1.Inthesameyear, Michael andCharles History Geyer wrote: "It[world isstill a hesitant andfledgling which remains mired Bright history] historiography, intheold,unsure ofitsscholarly andwith a tendency toserve rather than status, existing knowledge create newknowledge. Buta start hasbeenmade..." in"World ina Global American History Age," Historical Review 100,no.4 (October 1995),1038. 37.Fortworecent that showthat isreviving inmany oftheworld, surveys macro-history parts This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 16 DAVIDCHRISTIAN remainsoutof Universalhistory, themostambitiousof theselargenarratives, we arebeginning to see theoutlinesof a modern,scientific focus.Nevertheless, Therearenowseveralcoursesin whatis often reincarnation ofuniversalhistory. and Russia.38 in theU.S., Australia,theNetherlands, describedas "big history," themes across is that And a smallliterature on big history emerging explores tobiologytogeology oriented historically disciplinesfromhistory manydifferent andcosmology.39 Whyis UniversalHistoryMakinga Comeback? In a senseuniversalhistory, liketheCheshireCat,neverreallydisappearedanyIn It was a remarkable article,publishedin Historyand Theoryin way. lurking. seemed moresecurelyentombedthanever,Kerwhen universal 1995, history win Lee Klein arguedthatthecoffinhad alwaysleaked.40"FromLevi-Strauss we remainhauntedbyhistory, fromClifford to Fukuyama, to Lyotard, returning ourcleanbreakwith everandagainto thebig storyevenas we anxiouslyaffirm Even whenit seemsmostabsent,universalhistheevilsof narrative mastery."41 toryhas oftensurvivedas theshadowof all thosepastswe tryto exclude.And, itmaybe thatwhatwe exclude- whatwe liketheshadowinJungian psychology, as as powerfully defineas the"other"inhistorical thinking-definesourthinking it have is torecoveritswholenessas a discipline, may whatwe include.Ifhistory it has overlookedor repressed, to look once againat themanyshadowhistories themany"others"ofuniversalhistory. of is thata century A secondreasonforthere-emergence of universalhistory thedataandneighboring detailedresearchinhistory disciplineshas transformed can draw.In thelatenineteenth base on whichhistorians century, Europeanworld to gensuchas Marxsimplydid nothaveenoughreliableinformation historians limited informaWith the Asia or Africa. aboutthehistory of eralizeconvincingly it seemedobviousthatthe"East" of tionavailablewithinWesternscholarship, was a realmof stasis.Today,itis apparent Marx's"AsiaticMode ofProduction" issueofOsterreichische seethespecial 20,no.2,on"Global Zeitschrift furGeschichtswissenschaften inWorld Practice andManning, edited ed.,Global (2009), History. History," byPeerVries 2009:AnIntroduction, "ABigHistory andDanielStasko, 38.SeeBarry Directory, Rodrique in World Connected 6, no.9 (October 2009):http://worldhistoryconnected.press.illinois. History 12,2010). (accessed July edu/6.3/rodrigue.html inanarticle thelabel, I coined theterm I havereservations about 39.Though pub"bighistory" "TheCasefor4BigHistory,'" Journal in1991(DavidChristian, lished 2,no.2 ofWorld History From theBig seeFredSpier, TheStructure Onbighistory, 223-238). [Fall1991], ofBigHistory: Amsterdam Press, 1996);DavidChristian, of (Amsterdam: "Maps Today University Banguntil " ofCalifornia to"BigHistory Time": AnIntroduction Press, 2004);Cynthia University (Berkeley: TheNew From theBigBangtothePresent Stokes Brown, (NewYorkandLondon: BigHistory: Columbia Seven (NewYork: Press, 2007);andEricChaisson, AgesoftheCosmos EpicofEvolution: The a conference onbighistory, from collection ofessays Press, 2006);andseea recent University Brian andHumanity's Genet, Swimme, , ed.Cheryl Story Response Evolutionary Epic:Science's CA:Collins Foundation andLindaPalmer Russell Press, 2009).Fora Genet, (SantaMargarita, seeFred andsome ofitscentral recent oftheriseofbighistory Spier, "BigHistory: concepts, survey Reviews Science TheEmergence ofa Novel 33,no.2 Interdisciplinary Interdisciplinary Approach," ofbig a powerful theorization offers andtheFuture (2008),1-12;Spier's ofHumanity BigHistory andenergy flows. thenotions ofincreasing around complexity history "InSearch ofNarrative 40.Klein, Mastery." 41.Ibid., 276-277. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 17 thatnineteenth-century was projecting ontoa nearlyemptyhistohistoriography canvasa sortof shadowidentity ofEurope.Asia seemedtheshadow riographical ofeverything historians theworldhave EuropeanorWestern. Today, throughout better accesstotraditional traditions and can drawon a regionalhistoriographical vastamountofmodernscholarship, andthismakesiteasiertodetectandcounter suchcrude,culture-bound of Indeed,one ofthegreatachievements projections.42 modernworldhistoricalscholarship has been therefutation of Eurocentric imandprehistory have agesofa staticEast.43 Analogouschangeswithinarchaeology transformed our understanding of the 100,000-200,000yearsof humanhistory beforetheappearanceofthefirst written documents.44 Similarchangeshave also occurredin themorehistoricalof thenaturalsciences.Particularly has beenthedevelopment ofnewdatingtechniques important Revolution."45 duringwhatI havedescribedelsewhereas the"Chronometric By I mean the which we absolute dates to "chronometry" techniquesby assign past events.Chronometry is fundamental to historical As M. I. Finleyput scholarship. it:"Dates and a coherent as exactmeadatingschemeare as essentialto history surement is to physics."46 is chronometry thathistorians Indeed,so fundamental all toooftentakeitforgranted. Yetin thelasthalfcentury (and largelyunnoticed a profound chronometric revolution has transformed historians) by professional orienteddisciplines.It is easy to forgetthatbeforethemiddle manyhistorically ofthetwentieth written recordsprovidedalmosttheonlyreliablewayof century absolute dates to events. As ColinRenfrewwrites:"BeforeWorld assigning past WarII formuchof archaeologyvirtually theonlyreliableabsolutedateswere historicalones- Tutankhamun reignedin the 14thcenturyBC, Caesar invaded Britainin55 BC."47H. G. Wellsconfessedin a chronological appendixtotheuniversalhistory he attempted inAnOutlineofHistorythat"Chronology onlybegins 42.Vinay Laihaswritten a forceful oftheEurocentrism ofmuch recent in critique scholarship world in"Much Adoabout TheNewMalaise ofWorld history (including myownwork) Something: Radical Review butLai'sownarticle, , no.91 (Winter History," 2005),124-130, History together with therapid ofworld historical outside oftheEnglish-speaking raises world, growth scholarship thehopethat ina more international suchprojections willbeexposed andcorscholarly community rected more than inMarx's time. Fora discussion ofsimilar ofworld see easily critiques history, Dominic "World asEcumenical Journal Sachsenmaier, 18,no. History History?," ofWorld History 4 (2007), 465-489. 43.Scholars suchas KenPomeranz, BinWong, Andre Gunder andJack Goldstone have Frank, demonstrated that aslateas 1800theChinese wasasdynamic, andtechnologicommercial, economy creative asthose ofwestern Thechanges that theremarkable of"the cally Europe. helpexplain power West" inthenineteenth andtwentieth centuries andrather late. Twofine of emerged suddenly surveys thishistoriographical revolution areRobert TheOrigins World: AGlobal and Marks, oftheModern Narrative theFifteenth totheTwenty-first ed.(Lanham, MD:Rowman ,2nd Ecological from Century andLittlefield, TheRiseoftheWest inWorld Goldstone, 2007),andJack Why Europe? History, 1500-1850 McGraw-Hill, (NewYork: 2008). 44.Fora fine overview ofrecent onhuman seeScarre, ed.,TheHuman scholarship prehistory, Past. 45.SeeDavid cronometrica" Christian, "Historia, complejidad yrevolution ["History, Complexity andtheChronometric Revista deOccidente and"The Revolution"], , no.323(April 2008),27-57, inGenet etal.,eds.,TheEvolutionary Revolution," Evolutionary EpicandtheChronometric Epic, 43-50. 46.Cited from inHughesHistories Mazlish, "Terms," ed.,World , 19. Warrington, 47.ColinRenfrew andPaulBahn, Methods andPractice Thames and (London: Archaeology: 101. Hudson, 1991), This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 18 DAVIDCHRISTIAN tobe preciseenoughto specifytheexactyearofanyeventaftertheestablishment of theerasof theFirstOlympiad[776] and thebuildingof Rome [753]."48This fundamental chronometric barrierconfinedempiricalhistoricalscholarship to a scale of severalthousandyearsand in practiceto thestudyof literatesocieties relative and theirelites.Thoughnineteenth-century geologistshad determined Thisis whythe datesformanygeologicaleras,absolutedateswereunattainable. in the was so of radiometric 1950s revolutionary. datingtechniques emergence in thefirstdecade The basic principleof radiometric datingwas understood of thetwentieth century. Thoughthedecayof an individualradioactiveatomis with therateof decayof largenumbers of atomscan be predicted unpredictable, measurable a Each has a radioactive half-life, precisely greataccuracy. isotope will for which half of its atoms have decayed.Carbon-14, example, periodduring has a half-life of 5,730years,whereasuranium-238 decaysto an isotopeof lead of about4.5 billionyears.This meansthatit is possibleto deterwitha half-life radioactivematerialwas formed, minewhena lumpof materialcontaining by into therelativeproportions of theoriginalmaterialand thematerials measuring which areconsiderable, whichithaddecayed.The practicaldifficulties however, beforethe 1950s,whenWilis whysuchmethodscould notbe used routinely reliablemethodsforusingthedecayof carbon-14to date lardLibbyestablished In 1953,ClairePatersonusedthemuchlongerhalf-life materials. archaeological timetheage oftheearthat about4.56 billion ofuranium todetermine forthefirst years. therevolutionary ofthese one ofthefirst todemonstrate Renfrew, implications writes: forEuropeanprehistory, techniques inthenature sawmajorchanges ofprehistory. Thesecondhalfofthetwentieth century allowedthe ... thedevelopment ofradiometric methods, radiocarbon, including dating ineverypartoftheworld.Itwas,moreover, construction ofa chronology forprehistory andit orrelationships, freeofanyassumptions aboutcultural a chronology developments records. Tobepreas tothosewithwritten couldbeapplied as welltononliterate societies a ina chronological sense.Asa direct meant historic nolonger tobeahistoric consequence, becamepossible. Itwasfeasible todate,quiteindependently newkindofworld prehistory atlastto alltheancient civilizations oftheworld.. . . [I]tbecamepossible ofoneanother, and their human the various of datethefossils evolution, accompanydocumenting stages ingartifacts.49 revolution The implications of thechronometric go farbeyondarchaeology. Sincethe1950s,ithas beenpossibleto createa timelinethatis basedon reliable absolutedatesand extendsbeyondtheappearanceof writing, beyondeven the appearanceofourspecies,to theoriginsoftheearthandtheuniverse.Suddenly, we cando prehistory, paleontology, geology,andevencosmologywiththesortof to thestudyofhumancivilizations. confined chronometric precisionpreviously 1102. 3rd ed.[1920] 48.H.G.Wells, Outline Macmillan,1921), (London: ofHistory, and Weidenfeld Mind(London: TheMaking 49. ColinRenfrew, oftheHuman Prehistory: Revolution TheRadiocarbon Civilisation: Nicolson, 2007),41;in1973Renfrew Before published andPrehistoric Jonathan (London: Europe Cape,1973). This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 19 The chronometric revolution was one elementin another important change,the historicization of thenaturalsciences.Paleontologists, geologists,and cosmolowerein thetricky businessofcongistsbeganto realizethatthey,likehistorians, a and often the few cluesithapstructingvanished, highlycontingent, pastusing was merely penedto have leftto thepresentday.50Suddenly,it seemed,history one of a wholefamilyof scholarlydisciplinesthatstudiedthepastwithchronoitwas notitsconcernwithchangeintime,norits logicalrigor.Whatdistinguished concernforchronological butmerelythefactthat,alongwitharchaeolprecision, itfocusedon thehistory ofa singlespecies,ourown. ogyandprehistory, IV.THEIMPACT OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY ONHISTORICAL SCHOLARSHIP TheCatonlygrinned whenitsawAlice.It lookedgood-natured , shethought: stillithadvery claws anda greatmany teeth tobe , so shefeltthatitought long treated with respect. -Alice inWonderland, 6 chapter If we do see a return to universalhistoryin a new,scientific, guise,how will it affect historical scholarship? SeeingtheLargePatterns A revivalof universalhistorywill affectthe contextof historicalscholarship muchmorethanitspractice.Afterall,rigorousempiricalresearchis themeatand drinkof scholarship in all fieldsincludingthenaturalsciences.So I suspectthat formosthistorians "normalhistory" will carryon regardless. But thecontextof historical researchwillbe transformed. human as partof a much Seeing history will affecthow historians thinkaboutresearch,thequestionsthey largerstory and thewaytheyjudge thesignificance of scholask,thewaystheycollaborate, This is because a of that sees itself as of arship. discipline history part a larger, universal will ofa Kuhnian interdisciplinary history surelyacquiresomefeatures Therewillsurelyemergea loose consensusabouttheverylargepatparadigm.51 ternsapparentin history, and thiswill changehow we thinkabouttheproblems we studyat moreconventional scales. The first reasonforsayingthisis thatuniversalhistory willencouragecollaborationbetweenhistorians andscientists. Moreandmore,historians willfindthemselvesworking withhistorically mindedscholarsin thenaturalscienceswhotake itforgranted thatgoodempiricalresearchis alwayslinkedin somewayto large, ideas.Collaboration willbe particularly attheborderbeparadigm-like important tweenhumanhistory andbiology.Whatmakeshumanhistory different fromthe 50.W.H.McNeill, andtheScientific andTheory Worldview," "History 37,no.1(1998), History 1-13. 51.Thomas S. Kuhn, TheStructure 2nded.(Chicago: of Revolutions, ofScientific University that modern science ischaracterized Press, 1970).Kuhn Chicago famously argued bytheexistence ofparadigms, fundamental models ofhowthings work andhowthey should bestudied. Heargued that a paradigm a mapwhose details areelucidated scientific research. Andsince "provides bymature nature istoocomplex andvaried tobeexplored atrandom, that asobservation and mapisasessential toscience's experiment (109). continuing development" This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 20 DAVIDCHRISTIAN of,say,ourbiologicalcousins,thegreatapes?Afterall,as individuals history they arejustaboutas cleveras we. Whydo we havea richhistory oflong-term change whenthey,apparently, don't?To tacklesuchquestionsseriously, will historians haveto negotiate thetricky bordertheysharewithsciencessuchas biologythat areorganizedaroundKuhnianparadigms. will encouragehistorians to start Second,thesheerscale of universalhistory once for in I human looking again large,paradigm-like patterns history. would liketo discussthispointin moredetail. The narrowfocusof modernhistorical hidesthelargepatterns. At scholarship thescaleofa fewyearsordecades,orevena fewcenturies, thecontingent aspects ofhumanhistory standout,as do theunpredictable consequencesofhumanagenor economichistory, loom cy.Even at thescales of demographic contingencies one-childpolicy,forexample.The birth large:thinkoftheChinesegovernment's ofGenghisKhanwas a contingent eventthatreverberated Eurasiafor throughout centuries.52 So and dominate historical even many contingency agency thought at thescales of theBraudelianlongueduree.This,I think,is why,in Toynbee's "sacrificed all generalizations forpatchwork, relative words,so manyhistorians and . . . of human as chaos."53 knowledge, thought experience incomprehensible similaralso happenedin archaeology. Renfrewwritesthatformany Something "The world... is constructed individualactionsby indiarchaeologists through vidualpeople.It is a richpalimpsest, human andperhaps to testifying creativity, littlemoreis to be expectedthanthecollectionand collationof regionalnarratives."54 and archaeologists, Renfrewfindsthe Yet,likemanyotherhistorians idea thatthereis no deeppattern to humanhistory After profoundly unsatisfying. thepassage I havejust cited,he adds: "To those,however,who see scienceas thesearchforpattern andforexplanation, thisramifying richnessof complexity leavessomething to be desired.. . . Arethereno simplifying which, perspectives whilenotdenyingindividualagencyand creativity, willrevealsomeunderlying order?"55 A return will showthatthereare indeed"simplifying to universalhistory perinhumanhistory. orderliness However,thelarge spectives"thatreveala profound can be seenclearlyonlyat scalesofmanymillennia, orattheevenlarger patterns in scalesofhumanhistory as a whole.The shift perspective as onemovestolarger scalesis similartotheshiftphysicists experienceas theymovefromthequantum to the level,whereprocessessuchas radioactivebreakdownare unpredictable, scaleofeveryday law-likepatterns life,wherethesameprocessesyieldpowerful, suchas thosethatmakeradiometric datingfeasible.Two centuries ago,Kanthad thatin history, as in thesciences,contingent alreadyunderstood processescould "whatseemscomplexand chaoticin the single give rise to law-likepatterns: individualmaybe seenfromthestandpoint ofthehumanraceas a wholeto be a 52.Fora fine recent seeMichal Khan OneWorld discussion, Biran, Publishers, (Oxford: Chinggis 2007). 53.Mehta, , 143. FlyandtheFly-Bottle 54.Renfrew, Prehistory ,74-75. 55.Ibid. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 21 Kant steadyandprogressive thoughslowevolutionofitsoriginalendowment."56 illustrated his argument choicesof millions by notinghowthefreedemographic of familiesresultedin highlypredictable At largescales, demographic patterns. thepixelsof humanactiongenerateclearpatterns, and awarenessof thesepatternswillinevitably at smallerscales.Though changehowwe thinkabouthistory can loomlargeevenat verylargescales(thinkoftheasteroidimpact contingency thatdrovethedinosaursto extinction and openeda pathto ourown evolution), was half the was essenCollingwood missing storywhenhe insistedthathistory tiallyaboutthefreeactionsofindividualactors.57 Atthescaleofhumanhistory as a whole,threelarge,interrelated stand patterns out. The firstis increasing(and eventuallyaccelerating)controlof biospheric resourcesbyhumanity as a whole.The resultsarepalpabletoday,in an era some to describeas the"Anthropocene."58 But thetrendwas geologistsare beginning in the Paleolithic era as our ancestors learned how toexploitmany alreadypresent different from toarctictundra, untileventually environments, tropicalforests they hadcolonizedall oftheearth'scontinents. In thealmostfour-billion-year history of lifeon earth,no othersinglespecieshas shownsuch sustainedadaptability. The secondpattern, madepossiblebythefirst, is a slowandaccelerating increase in thetotalnumberofhumanbeings.The third, tiedto thefirst two,is intimately an eventualincreasein thecomplexity, and interrelatedness of human diversity, societiesonce populationgrowthceased to taketheformof migrations, and beto It was theappearanceof gan,instead, generatelargeranddensercommunities. from10,000yearsago, thatallowedthisfundamental agriculture, change.None oftheselargetrendswereapparent tothosewholivedthrough them,norcan they be seen at thescales of conventional historical research.At smallscales it is the fluctuations thatstandout.The longtrendscan be seen onlyat largescales and in retrospect. "The owl of Minervatakesitsflight onlywhentheshadesof night aregathering."59 Thatthesetrendsare linkedin somewayswiththeverynatureof ourspecies is apparent fromthefactthattheycan be seeninthehistories ofcommunities that had no contactwithone another.60 The bestexampleof thesestrangeparallels is perhapstheevolutionof agrariansocieties.In mostagrarianregions(Papua New Guinea,withrootcropsthatdiscouraged prolongedstorage,is an interesting led quiteindependently to theemergence of exception),thespreadofagriculture thelargecommunities oftendescribedas agrariancivilizations.61 In all of them 56.Immanuel "Ideafora Universal from a Cosmopolitan Point ofView," inKant Kant, History onHistory Beck(NewYork: ,ed.LewisWhite Macmillan, 1963),11-12. 57.Thatstory is toldsuperbly inWalter T. RexandtheCrater Alvarez, ofDoom(London: 1998). Vintage, 58.SeeWillSteffen, PaulJ.Crutzen, andJohn R.McNeill, "TheAnthropocene: AreHumans Now theGreat Forces ofNature?," Ambio 614-621 . 36,no.8 (December Overwhelming 2007), 59.Hegel, Preface tothePhilosophy cited from transl. S. W. ofRight, Hegel, Philosophy ofRight, ON:Batoche Books, 2001),20. Dyde(Kitchener, 60.Doestheideaofa "species" commit onetoa form ofessentialism? Notnecessarily, as history outin"TheClimate ofHistory," 214-215. Dipesh Chakrabarty points 61.Why thestorage ofsurpluses isdiscussed inJ.R.McNeill and tropical gardening discourages William H.McNeill, TheHuman ABird's Web: andLondon: (NewYork EyeView ofWorld History W.W.Norton & Co.,2003), 34-35. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 22 DAVIDCHRISTIAN we findcities,states,armies,networks of exchangeand tribute-taking, literacy, and . . . pyramids. Itmaywellbe thattheparticular astronomy, designofthepyravariedin different "cultures" midsor thecitiesor theastronomical observatories as theresultofcontingent decisionstakenwithineachregionat or"civilizations" times.Thesefeatures jargon,"pathmayhavebeen,in theeconomists' particular builtpyramids, Butthefactthatall agrariancivilizations cities,and dependent." Robert who exwas not.Thatreflects observatories Adams, something deeper. in The in a classic Evolution this of Urban studypublished 1966, plored problem : EarlyMesopotamiaand PrehispanicMexico, concludedthat"boththe Society societiesin questioncan usefullybe regardedas variantsof a singleprocessual pattern."62 it seemsthatthetrendsapparentin humanhistory maybe intiRemarkably, EricChaisson,whohas taughta formofunimatelyrelatedtoevenlargertrends. versalhistory forwellovertwenty years,hasarguedthatoneofthecentralthemes We can thinkof complexthings is thatof increasing of big history complexity.63 as entitiescomposedofdiverseelementsassembledaccordingto a specificplan. so is humansociety. Starsare complex,so are planets,so are livingorganisms, entities also qualitiesthatareextremely display"emergent properties," Complex theircomponent difficult to (and perhapsimpossible) predictby studying parts, butfromtheprecisewaythosecombecausetheyarisenotfromthecomponents The qualitiesofwater,forexample,arenotobviouslyimponentsarearranged.64 in the of andoxygenatoms.Arrangethoseatomsin difqualities hydrogen plicit seem ferent Emergent properties emergent properties. waysandyougetdifferent thatmakeup magicalbecauseit is impossibleto detectthemin thecomponents once thosecominstead seem to out of nothing they appear anycomplexentity; Buddhist in There is a famous are a sutra,known ponents arranged specificway. in Englishas the"Questionsof Milinda,"thatcapturestheidea of emergence well.WhentheGreco-Bactrian ruler,Milinda(Menander)askstheBuddhistsage the Buddhist doctrine of non-self, about Nagasenaasks how Milinda Nagasena cameto theirmeeting.In a chariot.Nagasenathenasks whata chariotis. If you tookits wheelsaway wouldit stillbe a chariot?If you tookaway thedriver's itspartsrandomly wouldit stillbe a chariot?Like a star,a seat?If youarranged arearranged chariotis nota chariot(or a selfa self)unlessitsmanycomponents or "self' or "star" in specificways.Onlythendoes thequalityof "chariotness" or even"humanity" appearsto haveitsown appear.Each typeofcomplexentity distinctive emergent properties. of thatin the13.7-billion-year Therearepowerful reasonsforthinking history uniThe haveslowlyincreased. early theupperlevelsofcomplexity ouruniverse, andheliumatomsthrough versewas simple.Itcontained hugecloudsofhydrogen even ofenergy. whichflowedvariousforms (I ignoredarkenergyanddarkmatter, inRenfrew, 62.ThisisRenfrew's ,71. Prehistory paraphrase 63.Chaisson, EpicofEvolution. nature ofconsciousness, theemergent tounderstand 64.InTheAstonishing ,anattempt Hypothesis atleastinprinciple, never ruleoutthepossibility insists that wemust Francis Crick that, emergent itsparts "thenature andbehavior canbeunderstood from ofanobject plustheknowledge properties TheScientific Search interact." TheAstonishing ofhowallthese fortheSoul(New Hypothesis: parts andSchuster, York: Simon 1994). This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 23 bethoughtheymakeup perhapsninety-five percentofthemassoftheuniverse, causeneither seemstohavehadthesamepropensity as atomicmatter forforming complexentities.)Over time,fromtheseelementsmorecomplexentitieshave emerged,includingstars,new chemicalelements(formedin thedeath-agonies oflargestars),planets,andlivingorganisms suchas ourselves.Each revealsnew thatprovidetheresearchagendasof thesciencesthatstudy emergent properties to earthsciencesto biologyto humanhistory. As Chaisthem,fromastronomy son has pointedout,all complexentitiesdependon energyflows.Thisraisesthe thatwe mightbe able to estimatedegreesof complexity withsome possibility the"density" oftheenergyflowsthrough different comobjectivity bycalculating entities.65 Chaisson's calculations that entities are much plex rough suggest living morecomplexthandead things(a cockroachis vastlymorecomplexthana star); andtoday'sglobalhumansocietyappearsto be one of themostcomplexentities we areawareof.That,surely, is a conclusionto makeeventhemostempirically mindedofhistorians situp andlisten! Awarenessof largepatterns suchas theones I have describedwill affectthe researchbyraisingnewquestionsand settingnewresearch practiceof historical inthelightofthese agendas.How canI makesenseoftheprocessesI am studying Are of these Do theyrepresent largepatterns? theypart patterns? counter-patterns?Do theyhaveno bearingat all on thelargepatterns? ExplainingtheLargePatternsofHumanHistory Thentherearedeeperquestionsaboutthenatureofthepatterns themselves. How can we explainthem?How,forexample,can thehistory of a speciesas quirky, as ourownyieldthepowerful trendswe see willful,andunpredictable long-term in humanhistory? And how does humanhistoryfitintoan even largerstoryof increasing complexity? We alreadyhave some interesting candidateanswersto thesequestions.The trendswe have seen show a speciesthatkeeps adaptingin new ways so as to increaseitscontrolof biosphericresources.Of course,all species"adapt."They evolve in waysthatensurethatmostindividualscan extractenoughresources fromtheirenvironment to surviveand reproduce.Darwin'sgreatachievement was to explainhowspeciesdo thisthrough themechanism of naturalselection. Butthepatterns we see in humanhistory aredifferent. Humansdo notjustadapt, theykeepadapting,and at a pace thatcannotbe explainedby naturalselection alone.Continuous adaptation providesthespeciesas a wholewithmoreresources thanareneededsimplytomaintain a demographic unususteadystate.Something al is goingon. Andthereis alreadyemerging a consensusabouthow we should describethisdifference, whichdistinguishes thehistory ofhumanbeingsfromthe histories ofall otherspeciesonearth.In a recentlectureadvocating an "evolutionof Eric Hobsbawm it like this: aryhistory humanity," puts Thechangesin humanlife,collective andindividual, in thecourseof thepast10,000 let alone in the 10 are too years, past generations, greatto be explained bya wholly Darwinian mechanism ofevolution via genes.Theyamount to theaccelerating inheri65.SeeEricChaisson, Cosmic Evolution: TheRiseofComplexity inNature MA: (Cambridge, Harvard onp. 139. Press, 2001), University particularly chap.3 andthetable This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 24 DAVIDCHRISTIAN tanceofacquired characteristics I supposeitis andnotgenetic mechanisms. bycultural Lamarck's onDarwinviahuman revenge history.66 In fact,evenHobsbawm'sscales are too small;thehistory of Paleolithicmigrationsshowsthatthesamemechanisms havefunctioned eversincetheappearance ofourspecies,some 100,000yearsago. How can we explainthisremarkable capacityforsustainedand accelerating thatseemsto be a newemergent of ourspeciesand thepriadaptation property driver in human I of have mary change history? arguedelsewherethatthekey is theremarkable of humanlanguage,whichallowedhuprecisionand fluency mansalone to sharelearnedknowledgeso preciselyand in suchvolumethatit could accumulatewithminimaldegradation withinthememorybanksof entire communities.67 Humanlanguagelinkedhumansintohighlyefficient information networks whichthelearning ofeachindividual couldbe shared,addedto, through andpassedon to future The slow mechanism of geneticinheritance generations. was overlaidbythemuchfaster mechanism ofknowledgetransfer. Thelong-term trendsthatmakehumanhistory so different aredriven,in otherwords,bya new andmorerapidadaptivemechanism thatwe can call "collectivelearning."68 As a we cannot new it. That exspecies helpaccumulating knowledgebyexchanging our remarkable the of behaviors that we find plains plasticity, astonishing variety inindividuals andindifferent humansocieties,andtheextreme we have difficulty in trying to pindownanysingle"humannature."Yetbehindthisvarietythereis one constant: ourpropensity forsharingtheinsightsof each individual, thereby a It is thispropensity that generatingcollectivecapacityforsustainedadaptation. seemstohavedrivenhumansocietieswithradicallydifferent cultures andinvery different environments towardgreater alongbroadlysimilarpaths,andultimately controlofresources, and social largerpopulations, greater complexity. Is it too optimistic to supposethatideas like thesemaycontainin embryoa Kuhnianparadigmforhumanhistory? If so, thenone consequenceof a return to universalhistorywill be thefinalcollapseof thebarriers thathave dividedthe humanities fromthenaturalsciencesforso long.If Chaisson'sideas aboutthe 66.EricHobsbawm, theBigWhy ANewAgeofReason," LeMonde Questions: "Asking History, to 14,2010);thanks (December 2004)http://mondediplo.com/2004/12/ (accessed diplomatique July Dr.KimYong-Woo Institute andGlobal foralerting meto ofEwhaUniversity's ofWorld History this article. 67.Daniel Dennett hasargued that theremarkable ofverbal communication arises from stability thedigital nature ofwords, thefact evenwhen ormisspelled ormisunderstood, that, mispronounced canoften their whole. "Words haveonefeature that hasa keyroleinthe they preserve meaning Thatis,norms accumulation ofhuman culture: fortheir permit Theyaredigitized. pronunciation in automaticindeed transmission errors from involuntaryproofreading, preventing accumulating much thewaythemolecular machines that do.""TheCultural Evolution accomplish genereplication andOther ofWords Harbor on Quantitative Tools,"ColdSpring , Symposia Biology Thinking online from 17,2009athttp://ase.tufts.edu/cogstud/papers/coldspring.pdf, published August p. 4 12,2010). (accessed July inChristian, Theideaofcollective 68.1haveexplored these arguments MapsofTime. learning McNeill writes: togeneralize ideascentral tothework ofWilliam McNeill. Ina 1995essay, attempts "itseemed I began TheRiseoftheWest historical obvious tomein1954when towrite ,that change waslargely with toborrow followed (orsometimes provoked byencounters strangers, byefforts toreject orholdatbay)especially attractive novelties." "TheChanging McNeill, ShapeofWorld 15. History," This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions HISTORY THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL 25 we mayalso be of modernhumansocietyare correct, extraordinary complexity has provedso able to explainwhygenerating paradigmideas forhumanhistory muchgreaterthanthosedehistorians deal withlevels of complexity difficult: scribedin,say,physics. Whatwill be theinstitutional of thecollapse of thisparticular implications "BerlinWall"?Will we see theemergenceof new "Facultiesof HistoricalSciWillthe ences,"withhistorians sharingofficesand seminarswithcosmologists? as fundamental to be tackled nature historical a of question very changeemerge acrossmultipledisciplines?None of thisis clear.Whatis clearis thatthereturn as well as intellectual consewillhaveprofound institutional ofuniversalhistory which current will the on because it break down scholarly fragmentation quences structures arefounded. institutional INGENERAL HISTORY ONEDUCATION V.THEIMPACT OFUNIVERSAL The returnof universalhistorywill have a significant impacton educationin general,inthreemainways. schoolcuras I havedescribeditbeginsto penetrate First,ifuniversalhistory it will students the of modern ricula, unity knowledge.Tohelp grasp underlying theintellectual northeinstitutional resources day,moderneducationhas neither themanyformsof knowledgethatare taughtin schoolsand neededto integrate we needto Ratherthanprovidingstudentswithmoreinformation, universities. in the internet. the available books and on helpthemnavigatethrough information We needto helpthemsee thecoherenceof modernknowledge.I have foundin fora less fragyearning amongstudents myownteachingthatthereis a profound mentedvisionof reality. can helpovercome Coursesin universal("big") history thevastocean of modthissenseof fragmentation by providingmapsthrough ernknowledge.Suchcoursesarealreadybeingtaughtin universities, andI hope onlinecurricula thatcan be overthenextfewyearsto collaboratein constructing to sucha proposalare bothinstitutional and taughtin highschools.The barriers If theycan be surmounted, it shouldbe possibleto teachaboutthe intellectual. in that understand thathistory and literature andbiology students past ways help a and cosmologyare notseparateintellectual but of islands, parts single,global, andinterdisciplinary to explainourworld. attempt Second,thecoherentvisionof thepast describedin thispapershouldhelp walksof lifeto understand betterthecomplexrelationpeoplein manydifferent willbe inbetween and the Such our own species biosphere. understanding ship as we learnmoreaboutsomeofthedangerousconsequences creasingly important of our astonishing as a species.Underecologicaland technologicalcreativity and all are andaccumulate how human communities driven to store standing why should us be more we use this about how choosy creativity. knowledge help Finally,onlyat thescales of universalhistorywill it be possibleto graspthe as a whole.We haveseenthattheoveralltrajectory underlying unityofhumanity of humanhistory cannotbe seen withintheconstricted timescales of Rankean the revival of universal historywill allow historians scholarship. Consequently, take to atthebeginning of up a challengethatsomehistorians alreadyunderstood This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 26 DAVIDCHRISTIAN thetwentieth thatofconstructing histories of humanity as powerful and century: as thegreatnationalhistories ofthenineteenth andtwentieth centuries. inspiring In theaftermath ofWorldWarI, manyarguedthathistorical teachingorganized aroundtheidea of thenation-state couldonlyguarantee moreandevenbloodier warsinthefuture. As JohnToshwrites:"TheLeagueofNationscampaigned vigof warand nationalism in thehistory curriculum in orouslyforthedownplaying schools.The historian EileenPowerbelievedthatworldcitizenship wouldcome nearerifhistory anddemonstrated teachingenlargedthesenseofgroupsolidarity that'everyoneis a memberof twocountries, his own and theworld."'69 H. G. Wellswrotehis OutlineofHistoryin a similarspirit.Peace, he argued,required thecreationof "commonhistoricalideas. Withoutsuchideas to hold themtowithnothing butnarrow, andconflictselfish, getherinharmonious co-operation, races and peoplesare boundto drifttowardsconflict traditions, ing nationalist and destruction. This truth, whichwas apparentto thatgreatphilosopher Kanta or more ... is now to the man in the street."70 century ago plain Morerecently, thegreatAmericanworldhistorian WilliamMcNeillhas written: entire whichhistorians Humanity possessa commonality mayhopetounderstand justas as theycancomprehend whatunites ofenhancing confirmly anylessergroup.Instead as parochial worldhistory be flicts, does,an intelligible historiography inevitably might todiminish thelethality ofgroup encounters a senseofindividual expected bycultivating identification withthetriumphs andtribulations as a whole.This,indeed, ofhumanity strikes meas themoraldutyofthehistorical inourtime.We needtodevelop profession anecumenical withplenty inall itscomplexity.71 ofroomforhuman history, diversity theprospectofa return touniversal Amongmanyotherreasonsforwelcoming is the that it the framework within whichwe then, history, possibility mayprovide cancreatehistories thatcangenerate a senseofhumansolidarity orglobalcitizenas thegreatnationalhistoriesonce createdmultiplenational shipas powerfully solidarities. As Jerry Bentleyhas argued, worldhistory takeon a moreexplicit dimension [an]ecumenical might ideological by withmovements toadvance thecausesofglobalcitizenship, allying seeking cosmopolitan cross-cultural andrelated In recent sciendemocracy, dialogue, projects. years, political andothers moralphilosophers, havedevoted considerable tothearticulation tists, energy anddevelopment oftheseideals.72 By takingon thisimportant challenge,historicalscholarshipand historical be able to a vital rolein helpingto tackletheglobalproblems teachingmay play we facetoday,andin avoidingsomeofthedangersinseparable fromnationalism in a worldequippedwithnuclearweapons. 69.John Matters UK: PalgraveMacmillan, Tosh,Why 2008),125;he History (Basingstoke, citesMaxine A Woman inHistory: Eileen 1889-1940 UK:Cambridge Power, Berg, (Cambridge, 223. Press, 1996), University 70.Wells, Outline vi. ofHistory, 71."Mythistory, orTruth, andHistorians,," American Historical Review 91,no. Myth, History, 7. 1986), (February 72.Jerry andSomeMoral ofWorld Journal Bentley, "Myths, Wagers of Implications History," World 78.Thesame a short ontheideaofglobal 16,no.1(2005), History pageincludes bibliography citizenship. This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THERETURN OFUNIVERSAL HISTORY 27 "Cheshire Puss," she began, rathertimidly , as she did notat all know whether it wouldlike thename:however ; it onlygrinneda littlewider. " "Come,it'spleasedso far,"thought Alice,and she wenton. Wouldyou " tellme,please,whichwayI oughttogofromhere?" Thatdependsa good deal on whereyou wantto get to," said the Cat. "I don'tmuchcare where-" said Alice. "Thenit doesn'tmatterwhichwayyou go," said theCat. "-so longas I getsomewhere," Aliceaddedas an explanation. saidtheCat,"ifyouonlywalklongenough." "Oh,you'resuretodo that," [AliceinWonderland, 6] chapter and WCU (WorldClass University MacquarieUniversity ) Fellowofthe Institute Global and World at , Seoul of History Ewha WomansUniversity This content downloaded from 147.174.1.96 on Sun, 10 Jan 2016 22:56:09 UTC All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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