Bayer Crop Protection With Innovation and Investment into the Future Crop Protection Crop Protection World Market in 2000: Recovery Herbicides: ì Insecticides: ì Fungicides: è 35 Europe/Intern.: ì 30 NAFTA: è 25 Asia/Pacific: ì 20 Latin America: ì bn Currency 2000 1985 1988 1991 1994 Euro (€) 1997 US$ Source: Bayer Crop Protection Estimates Crop Protection 2000 15 Market growth: + 13% in € ( + 0.8% in US$ ) Market Performance - Key Factors in 2000 • • • • • Continued low commodity prices and depressed farm incomes • • Economic improvement in Latin America and East Asia Decreasing market in the EU Ongoing decline of Japanese rice area Continuing consolidation process (Industry and Trade) Euro value decline against strong US Dollar Very modest rise in green biotech crop plantings Market increase of 13% in € (0.8% in US$) for Agrochemicals Crop Protection Bayer: Key Factors for Growth in 2000 New Launches Ÿ Calypso® next generation chloronicotinyl insecticide with a new Ÿ Everest® Ÿ Melody® spectrum of activity widens portfolio ensuring long term leadership in this segment new grass herbicide with excellent performance incl. resistant wild oats poised to achieve significant market share in North American wheat market speciality oomycete fungicide already shows outstanding potential in the biggest fungicide segment New Products Ÿ Win® innovative rice fungicide achieves sales of over 50 mio € in the third year with further potential Ÿ Axiom® Ÿ Teldor® Ÿ Impulse® Crop Protection high performance graminicide in corn with strong market acceptance in the US incl. perfect fit in herbicide tolerant crops new class botrytis fungicide doubling sales in the second year to over 20 mio € speciality fungicide against mildew in cereals and grapes with further 20% sales increase Bayer: Key Factors for Growth in 2000 Outperformers Ÿ Confidor® / Gaucho® Ÿ Folicur® / Raxil® Ÿ Seed Treatments increased sales again by over 15% to a record high of over 560 mio € consolidated sales at 250 mio € against fierce competition sales increase to 285 mio €, achieving a market share of 35 % business unit grew again by 30 % to over 260 mio € Ÿ Garden / Prof. Care Strategic Acquisitions Ÿ Misung Ltd. successful integration in Korea doubled Bayer market share Ÿ Bayer-Pursell Ÿ PBI Home & Garden Ÿ Flint® Ÿ Mikado® Crop Protection established as key player in the US Home & Garden market, now 100% owned by Bayer strengthening the European Home & Garden business highly profitable second generation strobilurin fungicide the leading corn herbicide in Europe Crop Protection Breakdown by Business Units 2000 (E) Bayer World Market 2.46 bn € / MS 8.1 % 30.3 bn € 11% 8% 26% 18% 42% 46% 20% Insecticides Crop Protection 29% Fungicides Herbicides GPC Crop Protection Regional Breakdown 2000 (E) World Market Bayer 30.3 bn € / + 13% 2.46 bn € / + 13% 12% 14% (9%) 24% 14% 15% 36% (14%) (41%) 13% 16% (14%) 31% 25% (22%) Europe NAFTA International Latin America North East Asia (1999 figures in brackets) Crop Protection Bayer´s Operating Margin is Consistently Ahead of the Industry Average (excl. special items) Operating Margin (%) Bayer profit 2000 expected to be in the same range as 1999 1998 1999 2000E Bayer Crop Protection Ø Top Six Crop Protection Companies* *Calculations based on Reports of - JP Morgan, Lehman Brothers, Credit Suisse First Boston, Dresdner Kleinwort Benson Crop Protection Bayer`s Strength in Insecticides & Fungicides Secures High Profitability Insecticides Fungicides 250 250 193 200 150 100 50 Index 262 156 100 250 140 141 2000 2005 50 Index 144 2000 2005 100 1995 Market Development Bayer Sales 143 100 Crop Protection 100 142 188 150 50 Index 100 Herbicides 200 100 158 150 100 1995 200 145 100 109 1995 2000 2005 (Bayer Estimates based on €) Bayer`s Strength: Growth by Capturing Opportunities 3500 Crop Protection Sales in mio € 3250 3000 350 Product Acquisitions 400 New Business and Product Opportunities 2500 2000 1500 1000 2046 2178 1998 1999 2455 2500 2500 2000 E 2003 Plan 2000 2003 Plan 2001 500 0 Crop Protection Imidacloprid No.1 Insecticide - Innovative Chemistry and New Applications Boost Sales to Over 560 mio € Seed treatment Soil treatment Leaf treatment Stem treatment dressing, pelleting granules, tablets, liquid applications sprays brush applications, “painting”, injection - sugar beet - cereals - corn - sunflower - cotton - rice - vegetables - potatoes - lawns - ornamental plants - tobacco - pome and stone fruits - cotton - grapes Crop Protection - citrus fruits - hops - pome fruits - ornamental trees The Glassy-Winged Sharpshooter - Evolution Creates New Markets Glassy-Winged Sharpshooter migrates from Citrus to Grapes Uncontrollable bacterial Pierces Disease transmitted by GWSS in Grapes Serious Crop Damage traditionally controlled by Chain Saw Innovate and effective Chemical Control with Imidacloprid Crop Protection FLINT® - the New Blockbuster Product Line ® Trifloxystrobin (TFX) 1. FLINT® product line targeted to reach 300 mio € annual sales by 2004, with initial sales in 2001 of 130 - 150 mio € 2. FLINT® growth supported by growing demand for high performance strobilurin based products 3. Strobilurin fungicide sales expected to achieve 1 bn € in 2000 and increase further to 1.25 bn € in 2005 ® TFX + Propiconazole ® TFX TFX + Cyproconazole TFX + Cyproconazole ® TFX + Cymoxanil ® TFX ® TFX Crop Protection ® Bayer Regains Technology Leadership in Fungicides 2000 Main Brands 2005 Main Brands Broad Spectrum (Azole type) High Performance Specialties Basics Crop Protection Flint® / Stratego® Folicur® / Raxil® Baycor® / Sibutrol® Bayfidan ® / Baytan ® Bayleton ® Melody ® Teldor ® Win® Impulse ® Monceren® Antracol® Euparen M® Others > 150 > 150 > 300 Folicur® / Raxil® Baycor® / Sibutrol® Bayfidan ® / Baytan ® Bayleton ® Cyproconazole ® (EU) Melody ® Teldor ® Win® Impulse ® Monceren® Antracol® Euparen® Others > 250 < 150 >350 New Compounds Broad Spectrum (Strobilurin type) New Compounds Fungicide Business Segment > 400 Bayer Joins Top League in the European Corn Herbicide Market Acquisition of Sulcotrione (Mikado®) and in-licensing of Metosulam (Tacco ®) Grasses Grasses and and some some broad-leaf Broad-leaf weeds weeds Axiom Axiom®® Broad-leaf Broad-leaf weeds weeds Tacco Tacco ®® Mikado Mikado ®® Broad-leaf Broad-leaf weeds weeds and and some some grasses grasses Market share (index) 100 100 50 10 Novartis Zeneca (Source: Agroaccess 1999) Crop Protection BASF Aventis Bayer Syngenta Bayer BASF Aventis (Pro forma based on 1999) Bayer`s Garden Professional Care Business (GPC) Marketing of Products for Non-Agricultural Markets to Consumers (Home & Garden) and Professional Users (Turf, Termites) Home & Garden Termites Crop Protection Turf Bayer`s Rapid Expansion in GPC Continues 3000 20 2700 15 mio € 2000 2000 1000 10 120 260 440 0 5 1997 World market GPC Crop Protection % market share 2450 2000E Bayer sales GPC 2005 Market share Bayer GPC Seed Treatment : Win Win Situation for Farmers and Bayer Corn: Seed Treatment Pest: Corn Rootworm Launch: 2001 (USA) Traditional Furrow Treatments New Gaucho®/Poncho® Seed Treatment Active Ingredient / Acre* 100 25 Efficacy* 100 120 Total Costs / Acre* 100 ≥100 ≥ 100 ⇒ product cost ⇒ farmer convenience No of Products Market Size** Bayer Market Share *Based on Indices **Total est. Market Size (USA farmer level, mio US$) Crop Protection 100 100 150 5 1 250 12 % 250 40 % Leading Production Know-how at Bayer Dormagen Site Multi-Purpose-Production – Investment 110 mio € • State-of-the-art facility MPTankstorage MP Production • Designed to handle wide range of actives • Development of high active substances reduces capacity requirements • Streamlined innovative process-development activities NewPowerstation MP Services Logistics OperationsCentre/ Laboratories and Offices Crop Protection • Cost effective concentration of smallscale production and pilot plant facilities Pressure on Crop Protection Markets has Led to Consolidation Prices down stagnating markets generics One Strategic Alternative: Crop Protection Industry Consolidation regulatory environment Cost up Crop Protection Consolidation in Crop Protection has Halved the Number of Companies ISK, Merck, Maag, Stauffer, Sandoz, Ciba Geigy, Zeneca / ICI, Novartis Syngenta Union Carbide, Schering, Hoechst, RhonePoulenc Aventis Celamerck, Shell, Cyanamid BASF Monsanto Bayer Shell USA DuPont Elanco Dow Driving Factors for M&A Makhteshim Sumitomo Synergies FMC - product portfolio - bundling - market penetration Rohm & Haas Ishihara Kumiai Critical mass Cost savings -R&D - operations - head count Uniroyal 0 Crop Protection 2 4 1999 Agrochem Turnover in bn € 6 Accelerated Innovation in Crop Protection will Secure Growth Prices down stagnating markets generics Crop Protection Industry regulatory environment Cost up Crop Protection The Way Forward: Innovation ... in Chemistry ... and Biotechnology Milestones from Bayer’s Agrochemical Research < 2005 4 Herbicides < 2005 3 Fungicides 2002 XXX (Envidor ®) ® 2001 Fentrazamid (Lecspro ) < 2005 3 Insecticides ® 2001 Propoxycarbazone (Attribute ) 2000 Iprovalicarb (Melody®) 2000 Thiacloprid (Calypso®) 2000 Flucarbazone (Everest®) 1999 Fenhexamid (Teldor ®) 1998 Carpropamid (Win®) 1998 Flufenacet (Axiom®) 1997 Spiroxamine (Impulse®) 1995 Tebupirimfos (Aztec®) 1991 Imidacloprid (Confidor® ) Crop Protection 2-3 New Compounds per year Bayer`s Innovative Technology Platform Advanced Seed Treatments Termite Control Genomics Research Gel-Formulations Crop Protection Seedling Box Applications Injector & Paint Applications O-DAT Treatments Aggressive R & D Budget in Comparison to TOP 10 AgChem Companies Secures Future Growth 300 9,6 11,9 12,4 10,0 12,5 12,6 9,9 mio € 200 11,4 100 10,5 0 1996 1997 ∅ Top Ten as % of sales Source: Wood MacKenzie Crop Protection 1998 Bayer as % of sales 1999 2000E Bayer R&D Spending Shift of Development Spending will Double Innovative Research Investments 20 0 200 100 50 12 5 Index 150 12,7 12,4 12,6 11,9 12,5 11,4 9,3 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 R-Spending 1999 2000E D-Spending 2004 R&D-Investment as % of Sales Crop Protection Intelligent Research Brings Bayer Into a Leading Position Goals Milestones Innovative AgChem Products With New Modes Of Action Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Ÿ Crop Protection High Efficacy Targeted Resistance Management Lower Dosage per Acre Higher Crop Quality Environmental Improvements Consumer and Applicator Safety Change of Paradigm in Bayer’s Research Strategy Innovation through... CompoundLibraries Test Systems ...New TechnologyPlatform Conventional Research Identification and Optimization (U) HTS Action Targets (Mode of Action) Crop Protection New Trade Products 2-3 p.a. Chemistry Hits Goal Fungi Plants Insects Bayer Genomics: Broad Biotechnology Platform Covers All 3 Indications Blueprint of life Genome Cooperation Organism (3 Indications) Plan for building blocks Gene Paradigm (Herbicides) l Arabidopsis Inhibitor Instructions Lion / Prof. Kahmann, TU Munich (Fungicides) l Ustilago m-RNA Inhibitor Building block Protein Genoptera (Insecticides) Essential Function Crop Protection l Drosophila l Caenorhabditis l Heliothis Investment: > 25 mio € / year Worldwide Access to Chemical Libraries Conventional Chemistry internal, external Status 1999 250,000 Cooperation 225,000 Combinatorial Chemistry internal 100,000 external (Oxford Asymmetry, ArQule, ComGenex, Specs) 525,000 Natural Products Total Crop Protection Compounds 15,000 Target 2001 865,000 Oxford l 200,000 ArQule l 250,000 ComGenex l 50,000 Specs l 25,000 Investment: > 50 mio € New Test Compounds Multiplied Leading Cutting Edge Research Technology Quantum Leap UHTS: 2001 HTS: 1999 l l l l 10,000 - 30,000 Compounds/day < 500,000 Compounds/library 96/384-well test plates Cost/Compound: 0.1 - 0.5 € Crop Protection l l l l 100,000 - 200,000 Compounds/day >> 500,000 Compounds/library 384/1536-well test plates Cost/Compound: < 0.1 € Scientific Computation: Intelligent Data Evaluation Bioinformatics Cheminformatics Library design Fungus Plant Insect ? Chemical Diversity Lead Structure Identification/ Optimization Analysis of HTS Data Design of Lead Structures in Proteins Co-operation Project with Lion/Tripos: > 25 Mio € Crop Protection New High Tech Logistics as Support Tool l Bottle store (> 2 Mio spaces) l Test plate store (> 100,000 test plates) l Test plate replicator l Compound bottling Store Robot Crop Protection Compound bottling Test plate grab arm Test plate replicator Investment: > 20 mio € The New Route from Idea to Commercial Product Development decision Lab Field Registration application Development Stage Chemistry Chemical libraries Test systems Biological Activity Compound evaluation for (U) HTS Fungus Plant Insect Targets £ biological £ toxicological Profile £ ecological £ Production costs £ Market potential 0 Years Crop Protection 1 2 3 Product development 4 5 6 7 8 Crop Protection Research Success Rates Increase Hit Rate New Launches/Year 1:11,000 2.5 >2 1:20,000 1.4 1:38,000 1:46,000 0.5 ? 19601969 Crop Protection 19701979 19801989 19901999 20002009 19651974 19751984 19851994 19952004 Intelligent Research Multiplies Chances for New Compounds Milestones Goals Innovative AgChem Products With New Modes Of Action Deadline Goal End 1999 start routine operations HTS with 12 runs JV Genoptera integration start routine operations UHTS with 1 run Delivery of > 25 assays logistic centre in operation ≥ 10 lead structures Q 1 2000 End 2000 End 2000 Q 2 2001 End 2001 Crop Protection Status 14 runs successful 6 runs > 30 in time Crop Protection: New Targets and New Markets Fungicides € l total no of targets known Targets Herbicides € 17 Targets Insecticides € 41 Targets 25 l whole market 6 bn 13 15 bn 18 9 bn 15 l 75 % of whole market 4 bn 6 11 bn 6 6 bn 2 Due to resistance and environmental concerns new active ingredients with novel mode of action are necessary Crop Protection Europe: Nearly 700 AI´s Have to be Re-registered Until 2004 CALL FOR NOTIFICATION Crop Protection TOTAL CALLS EXP. INCLUSION IN ANNEX I (ECPA ESTIMATE) FIRST LIST 90 75 SECOND LIST 148 50 T HIRD LIST 448 100 IN TOTAL 678 225 Bayer Portfolio Europe: Streamlining and Rejuvenation Sales and No. of Bayer Active Ingredients in Europe Total Sales: 1250 mio € Total Sales: 890 mio € 59 AI´s 21 AI´s Defense No. AI´s No. AI´s 12 8 4 > 50 mio 10 - 50 mio 6 AI´s Crop Protection 18 < 10 mio € New Launches > 50 mio 10 - 50 mio 16 AI´s 2005 2000 49 11 < 10 mio € Bayer Crop Protection is Well Positioned for the Future • Good performance in 2000 • Industry leader in profitability • Future growth well above industry average • Technology leader in Insecticides, Fungicides, Seed Treatments and GPC • Young product portfolio • 2-3 new products per year from innovative research pipeline • Cutting edge genomics research platform • Well positioned for future options incl. acquisitions in Crop Protection and Biotechnology Crop Protection
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