Introduction to the Practice of Statistics Fifth Edition Moore, McCabe Section 2.1 Homework Answers 2.21 Coffee is a leading export from several developing countries. When coffee prices are high, farmers often clear forest to plant more coffee trees. Here are data on prices paid to coffee growers in Indonesia and the rate of deforestation in a national, park that lies in a coffee-producing region for five years. Price (cents Deforestation per pound) (percent) 29 0.49 40 1.59 54 1.69 55 1.82 72 3.1 The explanatory variable should be the price of the coffee, and the variable of interest is the percent of deforested land. The relationship seems to be positive. As the price of coffee goes up the percent of deforestation increases. Deforestation (percent) (a) Make a scatterplot. Which is the explanatory variable? What kind of pattern does your plot show? 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 20 40 60 Price (cents per lb) (b) Find the correlation r step-by-step. That is, find the mean and standard deviation of the two variables. Then find the five standardized values for each variable and use the formula for r. Explain how your value for r matches your graph in (a). Price (cents Deforestation per pound) (percent) Zx Zy (Zx)(Zy) 29 0.49 -1.28638 -1.34507 1.73028 40 1.59 -0.61256 -0.15951 0.097711 54 1.69 0.245026 -0.05173 -0.01268 55 1.82 0.306282 0.088378 0.027069 72 3.1 1.34764 1.46794 1.978255 3.820639 50 1.738 mean 0.95516 16.3248277 0.927830804 s SUM r I automated all the calculations by using the copy feature of Excel. 80 (c) Now enter these data into your calculator or software and use the correlation function to find r. Check that you get the same result as in (b). On Excel I used the command “=correl(enter explanatory data, enter response data), and I got the same answers as in b. 2.22 Figure 2.4 (page 109) displays the positive association between number of prey (perch) present in an area and the proportion eaten by predators (bass). (a) Do you think the correlation between these variables is closest to r = 0.1, r = 0.6, or r = 0.9-? Explain the reason for your guess. (b) Calculate the correlation. Was your guess correct? 2.23 Figure 2.6 (page 113) displays the positive association between the IQ scores of fifthgrade students and their reading scores. Do you think the correlation between these variables is closest to r = 0.1, r = 0.6, or r == 0.9? Explain the reason for your guess. I would guess that the value is r = 0.6, since the association is pronounced but not overtly strong. The value r = 0.9 suggests a very strong relationship which does not seem to be the case here. While r = 0.1 suggest a very weak association, which is not the case here also. 2.25 Coffee is currently priced in dollars. If it were priced in euros, and the dollar prices in Exercise 2.21 were translated into the equivalent prices in euros, would the correlation between coffee price and percent deforestation change? Explain your answer. No, the measurement r is a unit less value. When we calculate r we are using standardized scores so the units are “cancelled”. Thus, it would not make any difference if we changed to euros since the transformation used to exchange money is a linear one.
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