Biological Journal ofthe Linnean Society (1994),51: 433-446. With 5 figures Selection by wild birds on artificial dimorphic prey on varied backgrounds J. M. COOPER* AND J. A. ALLEN Department of Biology, University of Southampton, Southampton SO16 7PX Received 7 December 1992, accepiedfor publication I8 M y 1993 Our aim was to test the effects of prey frequency and background composition on selection by free-ranging birds. We did three series of experiments with populations of grey and orange pastry prey scattered among coloured stones that made the prey either conspicuous or inconspicuous. Series 1 tested whether the predicted equilibrium frequency of the two prey types was influenced by the frequency of matching grey and orange stones. Birds at a single site were given a random sequence of combinations of prey frequency and stone frequency. Selection was dependent on background and the effect of prey frequency also varied with background. In series 2, we explored the frequencyindependent effect of background: birds at five sites were given equal numbers of the two prey in three frequencies of matching stones and two of non-matching. There was a higher risk of predation for prey that matched rarer stones. In series 3 we attempted to measure, at a single site, the actual equilibrium prey frequencies in three different backgrounds: two extreme stone frequencies and one intermediate. Each experiment started with a population of equal numbers of grey and orange prey. After half the prey had been eaten we calculated the frequencies of the survivors and presented a new population of the original size but with the new prey frequencies; each experiment ran for 25 such ‘generations’. The results suggested that at equilibrium the commoner ‘morph’ was the one that resembled the commoner colour of stone. Overall, our findings support the idea that visual selection can result in morph frequencies becoming related to the proportions of their matching background components and that this equilibrium will ‘track’ temporal or spatial changes in the background. ADDITIONAL KEY WORDS:-Frequency-dependent predation - apostatic selection anti-apostatic selection - visual selection - crypsis - background tracking - pastry prey - colour polymorphism. C0NTENTS Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . General methods . . . . . . . . . . . Series 1: five prey frequencies, eight stone frequencies . . Method . . . . . . . . . . . . Results . . . . . . . . . . . . Series 2: equal prey frequency, five stone frequencies . . Method . . . . . . . . . . . . Results . . . . . . . . . . . . Series 3: ‘evolving’ prey frequencies in three stone frequencies Method . . . . . . . . . . . . Results . . . . . . . . . . . . Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 434 435 435 436 436 . . 440 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 440 440 441 441 441 444 445 445 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . *Present address: Department of Biology, Winchester College, Winchester SO23 9NA. 0024-4066/94/040433+ 14 $08.00/0 433 0 1994 The Linnean Society of London 434 J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN INTRODUCTION Some of the best known examples of natural selection occur when predators choose conspicuous varieties of palatable prey in preference to inconspicuous ones. Logically, we expect such directional selection to lead to a decrease in the relative abundance of the conspicuous varieties (reviews: Edmunds, 1974; Endler, 1986a). There is also evidence that predators often prefer varieties of prey that are common and overlook varieties that are rare. Such ‘apostatic selection’ may be responsible for the maintenance of colour polymorphisms within prey species (Clarke, 1962; Greenwood, 1985; Allen, 1988a). In complex backgrounds composed of innumerable patches varying in colour, size, shape and other visual properties, selection against conspicuous morphs may interact with apostatic selection. The possible forms of this interaction have been discussed by Clarke ( 1962), Endler ( 1978, 1984, 198613, 1988), Greenwood (1984) and Cook (1986). In particular, Endler (1978), has suggested that the different colour morphs in a population may represent different ways of matching the heterogeneity of background coloration. Endler (1978) pointed out that a morph will be conspicuous when it is abundant relative to the background patch (or combination of patches) that it resembles; when this happens the morph will not be perceived as resembling a ‘random sample of the background’ and will have a disproportionately higher risk of predation than when it is rare. Selective predation against conspicuous morphs should therefore lead to a neutral equilibrium at a point related to the relative abundance of the matching components in the background. Apostatic selection is one of several mechanisms capable of stabilizing the equilibrium (Endler, 1978, 1984, 198613, 1988; Cook, 1986), particularly when matching patches are rare. If the relative frequencies of the different background patches change, whether in space or time, then the equilibrium morph frequencies should ‘track’ these changes (Endler, 1978). Most tests of apostatic selection have used prey that are conspicuous (review: Allen, 1988a). Results from birds (Bond, 1983; Cooper, 1984; Reid & Shettleworth, 1992) and humans (Tucker & Allen, 1988, 1993) searching for artificial ‘prey’ suggest that apostatic selection also occurs when prey match the background. Similar results have been recorded for marine predators, probably fish, feeding on artificial populations of two morphs of the snail Littorariajlosa on mangrove trees (Reid, 1987). In fact, the data from experiments in which prey were presented on several backgrounds suggest that apostatic selection on a given set of prey types is stronger when they are inconspicuous rather than conspicuous (Bond, 1983; Cooper, 1984; Reid, 1987; Tucker & Allen, 1988). Predators presumably attend more strongly to common forms of inconspicuous prey because they have more opportunity to learn to distinguish them from the background. Cooper ( 1984) used free-ranging wild birds foraging on ‘populations’ of artificial dimorphic prey dispersed among backgrounds of stones. His design was closer to the system modelled by Cook (1986), in which morphs are assumed to match single colour patches in the background rather than the more complex combinations of patches proposed by Endler (1978, 1984, 1986b, 1988). Cooper (1984) found that selection was strongly apostatic when the prey matched the colours of the stones and less so when they did not. Here we describe three series SELECTION ON VARIED BACKGROUNDS 435 of experiments which explore further the effects of selective predation by birds on the frequencies of artificial morphs in matching and non-matching backgrounds. GENERAL METHODS We used the hessian, stones and pastry prey of Cooper (1984). ‘Populations’ of 50 or 100 grey and orange pastry ‘prey’ (cylindrical ‘baits’, 7 mm long x 6.5 mm diameter) were presented among 600 or 1200 matching grey and orange stones scattered over sheets of hessian sackcloth. Densities were approximately 107 m-‘ for the stones and 9 m-* for the prey. The grey stones were basalt and the orange stones flint (size range of both types: 5-35 mm). Background colour composition was altered by varying the proportions of the two colours of stone. T o our eyes, the two prey types were a poor match to their corresponding stones in factors such as size, shape and texture, but in colour the match was good. As a control, we also measured selection on the prey when they were on backgrounds that made them conspicuous: either green stones or mixtures of equal numbers of lilac and yellow. Munsell colour estimates for the two types of prey and the five types of stone are given by Cooper (1984). At the start of each set of experiments the appropriate numbers of stones were mixed together in a bucket and then strewn haphazardly over the hessian. Trials were started by scattering 50 or 100 prey (depending on the area of hessian) in the appropriate proportions among the stones. We tried to record predation after approximately half the prey had been eaten (thus defining the end of a trial) because this minimizes the problems of bias in the estimation of selection coefficients (see below) at extreme prey frequencies (Manly, 1974; Greenwood & Elton, 1979). We were careful to search the backgrounds systematically for uneaten baits because it was essential to ensure that we were not responsible for any apparent selection. The spatial distributions of the stones and prey were changed at the end of every trial. The predators were common species of British garden birds. Those seen were: blackbirds ( Turdus merula L.), songthrushes ( T. philomelos Brehm.), starlings (Sturnus vulgaris L . ) , blue tits (Parus caeruleus L.), house sparrows (Passer domesticus (L.)) and robins (Erithacus rubecula Hart.). We used the selection coefficient /3 (Manly, 1973, 1974) to measure selection against grey prey in each trial. After arcsine transformation /3 ranges from 0 to 90, with a value of 45 indicating no selection, a value above 45 selection against grey, and a value below 45 selection against orange. Thus when selection is regressed on prey frequency, a positive slope crossing the ‘no selection line’ indicates apostatic selection and, when the slope is positive but does not cross the ‘no selection line’, ‘potentially’ apostatic selection (Greenwood, 1985). A negative slope indicates ‘anti-apostatic selection’ (Greenwood, 1985) which, in real populations, should lead to monomorphism. SERIES 1: FIVE PREY FREQUENCIES, EIGHT STONE FREQUENCIES Cooper (1984) demonstrated apostatic selection when a range of prey frequencies was presented on backgrounds with equal numbers of matching stones. In this new series of experiments we varied stone frequency as well as prey frequency. Our aim was to test the prediction that the estimated equilibrium 436 J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN frequencies of the ‘morphs’ should be related to the relative abundance of their respective matching elements in the background (Endler, 1978; Cook, 1986). Method We did the experiments between June 4 and December 5, 1980, in a garden at Compton, near Winchester, Hampshire. The hessian sheet was 1.4 m x 4 m and bore a population of 50 prey among 600 stones. During the first four weeks we familiarized the local birds by feeding them twice daily on 25 grey and 25 orange baits scattered among 600 green stones on the hessian. The main predators were blackbirds (four individuals) and starlings (at least four); robins, blue tits and songthrushes also visited occasionally. We ran a random order of 45 experiments (combinations of background and prey frequency). In 35 of them, five frequencies of grey prey (0.1, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9) were each presented in seven frequencies of grey stones (0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9). The remaining ten experiments consisted of two replicates of each of the five prey frequencies presented in a background of non-matching green stones. Each of the 45 experiments consisted of a succession of five identical trials run consecutively during a single day. These experimental days were sporadic throughout the summer, autumn and winter of 1980. If selection in a given background is apostatic, the expected equilibrium frequency can be estimated from the regression of selection on prey frequency (or more strictly, frequency on selection) as the frequency for which the value of selection is 45. From the ideas of Endler (1978) and the results of Cooper (1984), we predicted that selection on the matching backgrounds would be more strongly apostatic than on the non-matching green background, and that the equilibrium frequency of grey prey would be highest in the 0.9 grey background and progressively lower in the 0.8, 0.7, 0.5, 0.3, 0.2 and 0.1 backgrounds. Figure 1 provides further explanation. Note that the five trials a t each combination of background and prey frequency cannot be considered as independent trials, since they were done in succession at the same site. We therefore used the mean results of the five trials in the regression analyses. Results I n Fig. 2 we have regressed selection (arcsine transformation of fl) on the frequency of grey prey in the seven matching backgrounds and one nonmatching (green) background. The slopes of the regression lines for the results from the matching backgrounds are significantly heterogeneous (F6,2,= 3.04, P < 0.05). Four are positive and three are negative, although the departure from a gradient of zero is statistically significant for the 0.3 grey background alone (Table 1). Thus, in contrast to Cooper (1984), we failed to obtain consistent evidence for apostatic selection in the matching backgrounds, although it may be indicative that positive (though non-significant) slopes were obtained for both extremes of matching stone frequency (0.1 and 0.9). We tested for frequency independence by estimating the expected selection at a prey frequency of 0.5. In practice, we transformed the prey frequencies before SELECTION ON VARIED BACKGROUNDS 437 10 - carrying out regression by subtracting 0.5 from each of them. The frequency of 0.5 then becomes zero on the transformed scale, so that the value of a obtained in the analysis is the value of selection predicted by the regression for this equal prey frequency. T h e values for the seven matching backgrounds were significantly different from one another (F6,27= 5.834, P < 0.001) and we therefore tested the deviation of each one from a ‘no selection’ expectation of 45 (Table 1). Selection was above 45 for all three backgrounds composed mainly of TABLE I . Series 1: regression statistics and significance tests (single mean value ofselection for each value of prey frequency). Regression equations are in the form Y = a + bX; first t is for deviation of the slope b from zero (matching backgrounds, d.f. = 3; pooled data for green background, d.f. = 8). Selectioq,, is the estimated selection at prey frequency of 0.5; second t is for deviation from 45 (matching backgrounds, d.f. = 3; green background, d.f. = 8). ns, non significant Background Regression equation + 0.1 grey 0.2 grey 0.3 grey 0.5 grey 0.7 grey 0.8 grey 0.9 grey 34.73 38.41X 64.89- 19.64X 61.72- 11.35X 35.88+ 10.31X 46.36- 14.30X 35.27+0.54X 23.33+ 18.82X Green 41.77+9.46X t 2.95 - 1.53 - 22.46 1.89 -0.94 0.04 1.26 1.83 P Selection,,5 t P ns ns < 0.001 ns ns ns ns 53.94 55.07 56.04 46.19 39.2 1 35.54 32.74 0.66 2.77 77.26 0.77 - 1.34 -2.58 -2.90 ns ns < 0.001 ns ns ns ns ns 46.50 1.02 ns J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN 438 90 1 80 0.2 grey stones l o : I 0 0 0 lot = 90 - I 1 0.3 grey stones I 0.5 grey stones i 80 t t 10 90 E 60- * 30 a a I 0.7 grey stones 0.8 grey stones t 80 c a 1 2ol 70 a t 0 m 0 8 . 0 0 0 - 8 LA-1--- - - - -3-- - - ; a 9 20 - : 8 I t 90 t 0.9 grey stones 80 70t Green stones 10 0 0.3 0.5 0.7 Grey prey frequency 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 Grey prey frequency 0.9 SELECTION ON VARIED BACKGROUNDS 90 , 439 1 2ol 10 O 1 04 I I I I ! I I ; I 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 ~ Grey stone frequency Figure 3. Series 1: selection against grey prey relative to frequency of grey stones in the seven 0.9 matching backgrounds. 0 0. I grey prey, A 0.3 grey prey, x 0.5 grey prey, A 0.7 grey prey, grey prey. Solid line is the pooled regression Y = 60.8-30.52X; broken line is relationship expected in absence of selection. orange stones (0.1, 0.2 and 0.3 grey) and below 45 for all three ‘grey’ backgrounds (0.7, 0.8 and 0.9 grey). Overall, this tendency for the birds to remove conspicuous prey was statistically significant (method of combining probabilities, Sokal & Rohlf (1981): ‘orange’ backgrounds, - 2 1 In P = 25.00, P < 0.001; ‘grey’ backgrounds, -2c In P = 13.14, P < 0.05). Selection was closest to random in the 0.5 grey and the green backgrounds, suggesting that the two prey types were equally conspicuous when on these two backgrounds. The results from the 0.1 and 0.9 backgrounds are in the directions predicted from Endler’s hypothesis of background tracking: from the intersections of the regression lines with the ‘no selection’ lines, the predicted equilibrium frequency is lower for the 0.1 grey background than for the 0.9 grey background. To test further for background tracking, we regressed selection on the frequency of stones within each of the five prey frequencies (Fig. 3). The five slopes do not differ significantly from one another (F4,25= 1.231) and neither do the values of = 0.14). We have therefore fitted a pooled selection at stone frequency 0.5 (F4,29 regression (Y = 60.8 - 30.25X)’ the slope of which is highly significantly different from zero (t33= -6.06, P < 0.001, implying that selection depends on stone frequency in a regular way. From the pooled regression line, selection at a frequency of 0.5 grey stones is estimated as 45.53, which is not significantly different from 45 (t33 = 0.37). This confirms the earlier analysis that predation appeared to be random when the two colours were presented on equal numbers of matching stones. Figure 2. Series I: selection against grey prey (p, arcsine-transformed) relative to frequency of grey prey in seven matching backgrounds and one green background (solid points, first green replicate; open points, second replicate). Solid lines are regression lines and broken lines indicate relationship expected in absence of selection. 440 J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN SERIES 2: EQUAL PREY FREQUENCY, FIVE STONE FREQUENCIES This set of experiments (12 November to 19 December 1981) was designed to test whether the frequency-independent effect of stone frequency observed in series 1 was repeatable with birds a t new sites. Method We again used backgrounds of 1.4 m x 4 m hessian sheets each holding 600 stones. T h e prey were presented at equal frequency (25 grey and 25 orange prey). Stone frequency was varied in five different backgrounds (three grey and orange stone frequencies: 0.1, 0.5, 0.9; one lilac and yellow, 0.5; one all green). The experiments were run concurrently at five sites in Southampton (minimum distance between any two: 550 m). At all sites the five backgrounds were presented three times and each trial lasted several hours per day. T h e fifteen trials were done in a different random order at each site. T o ensure that the birds learned to associate the backgrounds with food, we fed them on white (undyed) pastry baits daily for three weeks and on 25 grey and 25 orange prey on each of the two days immediately before the experiments. It was impractical to monitor closely five simultaneous experiments, and exploitation varied from the normal 50% target. Predators observed were blackbirds (all five sites), songthrushes (two sites), starlings (two sites), blue tits (two sites), house sparrows (two sites) and robins (all sites). Results Selection was affected by background composition (F4,50= 53.08, P < 0.05) and was in the direction predicted from the hypothesis that prey which match their background are more protected. Selection against grey prey was thus greatest in the 0.1 grey background, least in the 0.9 grey background and close to random (45) in the 0.5 grey background and the two controls (Table 2). There was no effect of site on selection (F4,50 = 2.24, ns) and no significant interaction between the effects of site and background (F,,,,, = 1.15, ns). The selection observed in this series did not differ significantly from selection on the equivalent 0.5 grey prey populations presented in series 1 (Table 2). TABLE2. Series 1 and series 2: mean values of selection (j& standard errors, arcsine-transformed) against grey prey in 0.5 grey prey populations on five different sorts of background. t-tests (dX = 18) compare the data from the two series, (ns, not significant) Background 0.1 grey 0.5 grey 0.9 grey Green Lilac/yellow Selection5 s.e. Series 1 Series 2 61.01k3.33 48.23k2.07 29.91 f1.08 45.00k2.92 43.84f2.15 - 59.27f2.10 44.07f1.05 29.42f 1.51 44.01 f 1.67 44.01 f 1.67 44.95f 1.36 t P 0.55 1.91 0.18 0.30 0.05 ns ns ns ns ns - SELECTION O N VARIED BACKGROUNDS 44I SERIES 3: ‘EVOLVING’ PREY FREQUENCIES IN T H R E E STONE FREQUENCIES This series (5 May to 19 July 1982) tested whether selection by birds can actively drive morph frequencies towards equilibria that are related to the frequencies of matching stones. We therefore used populations of prey in which the morph frequencies were allowed to ‘evolve’ in response to visual selection (method of Allen, 1972, see also Clarke, 1979 and Allen et a/., 1993). Method We used a lawn outside the Biology Department of the University of Southampton, where the birds had experienced pastry and stones twelve months earlier in the experiments described by Cooper (1984).The prey density (9 m-*) was the same as in the previous two series but the background was twice as large and the prey twice as numerous (hessian: 1.4 m x 8 m, number of stones: 1200, prey population: 100). We trained the birds to visit by feeding them undyed pastry baits on bare hessian for two weeks immediately before the start. In each experiment we simulated 25 successive ‘generations’, starting from a population of 100 prey with a frequency of 0.5 grey (generation 0). We recorded the number of surviving prey when about half had been eaten and then cleared the background of uneaten baits and redistributed the stones. We then presented a new generation of 100 prey in the same frequencies as had survived predation. We used three backgrounds with different frequencies of grey stones and did the experiments in the (random) order: 0.9, 0.1, 0.5. The experiments were run on 71 consecutive days; the 0.9 grey stone experiment lasted 20 days, the 0.1 grey 25 days a.nd the 0.5 grey 26 days. Thus each generation was exposed to predation for about one day. Predators were blackbirds (two pairs), blue tits (probably four) and robins (one pair). Results Prey frequency (Fig. 4) was clearly influenced by the composition of the background (independence of the three proportions in the final generations: G = 69.10, d.f. = 2, P < 0.001). The frequency of grey prey decreased when the background was mainly orange (0.1 grey) and increased when the background was mainly grey (0.9). The rise in the frequency of orange in the 0.1 grey background was not significantly different from the rise in the frequency of grey in the 0.9 grey background (T = 60.5, n = 21, P > 0.05, Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-ranks test), suggesting that there was little difference in the strength of selection against the two colours. This is supported by the data from the background with equal numbers of grey and orange stones; the prey frequencies stay close to the starting value of 0.5 (departure from 0.5 not significant: T = 114.6, n = 21, Wilcoxon test). Using the values for the last 13 generations in each experiment (Fig. 4), we find that the equilibrium grey prey frequencies (mean fstandard error) are: 0.1 grey stones, 0.2 1 f 1.08; 0.5 grey stones, 0.53f 1.53; 0.9 grey stones, 0.77f 1.94. Figure 5 shows the changes in selection with generation number. At first, selection was consistently against grey prey in the 0.1 grey background (the first nine points all represent selection against grey; P < 0.02, binomial test) and J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN 442 4 o.9 0.1 grey stones I 0.8 1 .o 0.5 grey stones 0.9 0.8-. h 2 0.7-. >r 4 ," 0.3 CJ 10.9grey stones I 0.9 q,, i , , , ; , , , i , , , ; . , , i 0.0 0 4 8 12 16 20 , , ,I 24 Generation number Figure 4. Series 3: frequencies of grey prey over 24 generations of selection by wild birds feeding on populations on backgrounds of 0.1, 0.5 and 0.9 grey stones. Broken lines indicate initial prey frequencies. Note that the experiments ran in the order 0.9, 0.1, 0.5. SELECTION O N VARIED BACKGROUNDS 70 60 i I 10.5arev " . stones 8o 70 443 i i I 0.9 grey stones 60 50 40 2oi 30 10 04"'; 0 " 4 . i " 0 ' i " 12 ' i " ' i 16 Generation number Figure 5. Series 3: selection against grey prey (p, arcsine-transformed) 20 ' " 1 24 in generations 0-24. Broken lines (selection = 45) are relationships expected in absence of selection. 444 J. M. COOPER AND J. A. ALLEN against orange in the 0.9 grey background (in the first 16 generations there is only one case of selection against grey; P < 0.002, binomial test). For the second half of the generations in these two backgrounds, selection fluctuated around the null value of 45. Selection in the 0.5 background was close to 45, which is to be expected if the starting frequency of 0.5 grey prey represents the equilibrium value. Visual inspection of Fig. 5 suggests that selection might have been more variable in the second half of each experiment than in the first half. T o test this, we fitted a three-point running mean and then calculated the absolute values of the departures of each generation from the appropriate value of the running mean. Variability, so defined, was indeed significantly greater in the second halves of the experiments in the 0.1 and 0.5 grey backgrounds (0.1 grey: mean variability+ standard error in first half 1.53 f 0.47, in second half 4.2 1 0.80, t = -2.90, d.f. = 22, P < 0.01; 0.5 grey: mean variability in first half 0.88f0.22, in second half 2.65f0.58, t = -2.85, d.f. = 22, P < 0.01). For the 0.9 grey background, variability was in fact greater in the first half of the experiment but the difference was statistically non-significant (mean variability in first half 2.99f0.52, in second half 2.23f0.27, t = 1.30, d.f. = 22, P > 0.05). DISCUSSION In summary, all three series of experiments demonstrated that selection on the grey and orange prey was affected by the frequencies of matching background stones, and in series 3 this selection appeared to have a direct effect on equilibrium frequencies. There is some consistency in the strength of frequencyindependent selection, not only among the different sites in series 2 but also between the equivalent 0.5 grey prey populations presented in series 1 and 2. There was no evidence for frequency-independent selection when the two prey types were equally conspicuous. With regard to frequency-dependent selection, the data from series 1 were inconsistent. Selection may have been apostatic in the two extreme matching backgrounds of 0.1 and 0.9 grey stones and the predicted equilibrium frequencies in these two backgrounds were in the same direction as observed later in series 3. For the intermediate frequencies, however, no clear picture emerges (apart from the frequency-independent influence of background composition). One explanation could be that selection at a given combination of prey and stone frequency was affected by the experiences of the birds in previous, often very different combinations. This sort of interaction between trials has been shown to occur in experiments with conspicuous prey (Allen, 1976; Horsley et al., 1979), but it was impractical to use separate sites for each combination of stone and prey frequency, ideal though this might have been (Greenwood, 1985). By contrast, the results from series 3 were more consistent with the hypothesis of background tracking and it is perhaps no coincidence that the birds were exposed to smaller temporal fluctuations in prey frequency. I n the two extreme backgrounds the birds at first appeared to select in a frequency-independent manner against prey that resembled the least common background colour component. The direction of selection then appeared to fluctuate around an equilibrium. One interpretation of this result is that frequency-independent SELECTION ON VARIED BACKGROUNDS 445 selection against the more conspicuous morph gave rise to a neutral equilibrium which was then stabilized by apostatic selection (Endler, 1978; Cook, 1986). Since the three experiments in series 3 were run consecutively at a single site, the same group of birds were sufficiently labile in their behaviour to generate different equilibrium frequencies in response to changes in background composition. A longer experiment with more generations would of course be needed to measure the degree of stability of the equilibria and to see whether they converge more closely on the proportions of stones in the backgrounds. More replicates are also needed. If the constancy of selection on inconspicuous morphs proves to be a general result, and if naturally occurring polymorphic prey usually match the background (Endler, 1978, though see Clarke, 1962), then apostatic selection could be a less variable (and consequently a more predictable) force for maintaining polymorphism than some theoretical models have suggested (Cook, 1965; Jarvinen, 1976). Our work gives no direct clues about the behavioural mechanisms underlying the observed selection. We saw nothing to suggest that the birds learned to avoid the stones through negative reinforcement, and so an explanation based on conventional Batesian mimicry seems unlikely. Selection could have resulted from development of search images for common cryptic prey (Guilford & Dawkins, 1987; Tucker & Allen, 1993) or could reflect a behavioural trade-off between the probability of detecting prey versus non-prey (Staddon & Gendron, 1983; Greenwood, 1986; Getty, 1987). Whatever the explanation, the results imply that colour was an important cue in detection even though the prey differed markedly from the stones in, for example, size and shape. Note that we have been careful to avoid the use of the term ‘crypsis’. This is because we are unsure whether the birds overlooked the prey because their outlines were less obvious against the backdrop of matching stones (‘crypsis’), or because they were actually seen but perceived as stones (‘masquerade’) (Endler, 1981). Finally, we wonder whether apostatic selection can protect polymorphism when one of the background patches is very rare or even absent (Endler, 1978). An experiment to test this could throw light on how apparently conspicuous morphs of prey species such as landsnails of the genus Cepaea Held. can survive in places where selection against conspicuous forms might be expected to promote monomorphism (Cain & Sheppard, 1954). 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