Global Population

3/2/2015
Global Population
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2
010‐09‐21/u‐s‐loses‐no‐1‐to‐brazil‐
china‐india‐market‐in‐global‐poll‐on‐
investing.html
Global Population
•
•
•
•
Currently estimated to be 6,870,100,000
The highest growth rate observed was during the 1950s, 60s and 70s, peaking in 1963 at 2.2%
US Census Bureau Projections show a steady decline in population growth rate
UN projections show a rise in growth rate
US Census Bureau Total Global Population
United Nations Developing vs. Developed
http://gecon.yale.edu/
http://gecon.yale.edu/large-pixeled-contour-globe
1
3/2/2015
The World’s most Populated City Regions
Rank
Metropolitan area Country
Population 1
Tokyo Japan 32,450,000
2
Seoul South Korea 20,550,000
3
Mexico City
Mexico 20,450,000
4
New York City
United States 19,750,000
5
Mumbai India 19,200,000
6
Jakarta Indonesia 18,900,000
7
São Paulo Brazil 18,850,000
8
Delhi India 18,600,000
9
Osaka‐Kobe‐Kyoto Japan 17,375,000
10
Shanghai People's Republic of China 16,650,000
Trends in population growth in Developing World
• The world’s human population has increased nearly fourfold in the past 100 years
• Each day 200,000 more people are added to the world food demand
• It is projected to increase from 6.7 billion (2006) to 9.2 billion by 2050
– It took only 12 years for the last billion to be added, a net increase of nearly 230,000 new people each day, who will need housing, food and other natural resources
•
The largest population increase is projected to occur in Asia, particularly in China, India and Southeast Asia, accounting for about 60% and more of the world’s population by 2050
• The rate of population growth, however, is still relatively high in Central America, and highest in Central and part of Western Africa. – In relative numbers, Africa will experience the most rapid growth, over 70% faster than in Asia
– In sub‐Saharan Africa, the population is projected to increase from about 770 million to nearly 1.7 billion by 2050
UN population Division, 2007
2
3/2/2015
What is the cause of such population growth in Developing World?
• Intensified globalization
– Resulting in rapid urban‐industrial capitalism
– Clustering of producers and consumers results in urban agglomeration economies
– This process leads to greater productivity and technological innovation
– Thus, resulting in a snowball effect that stimulates urban industrial expansion
– While there are many positives, the negatives spill over creating societal challenges and environmental consequences
Population Pyramids
• A population pyramid is a graphical illustration that shows the distribution of various age groups in a population – also called age‐sex pyramid Males
• It typically represents a country or region of the world, and normally forms the shape of a pyramid
Females
Three general kinds
of Population Pyramids
1. Stationary
2. Expansive
3. Constrictive
3
3/2/2015
4
3/2/2015
Expansive Pyramid
• A steady upwards narrowing shows that more people die at each higher age band
• This type of pyramid indicates a population in which there is a:
– high birth rate
– high death rate
– short life expectancy • This is the pattern of a economically developing country
Stationary Pyramid
• A population pyramid showing an unchanging pattern of fertility and mortality
5
3/2/2015
Constrictive Pyramid
• A population pyramid showing lower numbers or percentages of younger people
• The country will have a graying population which means that people are generally older
Changes in Population ‐ Japan
6
3/2/2015
“Normal” US City – Marion Co. IL
http://www.tripplannermag.com
College Town – Gainsville, FL
http://www.tripplannermag.com
7
3/2/2015
Aging City – Sarasota, FL
http://www.tripplannermag.com
Population Pyramid – USA (2000)
8
3/2/2015
Population Pyramid – USA (2012)
9