Health Policy and Planning, 31, 2016, 390–403 doi: 10.1093/heapol/czv062 Advance Access Publication Date: 16 July 2015 Review Review Understanding congestion in China’s medical market: an incentive structure perspective Zesheng Sun1,2, Shuhong Wang3,* and Stephen R Barnes4 1 School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, No. 318, Liuhe Road, Xihu District, Hangzhou 310023, China, 2Center for Energy Studies, Louisiana State University, Energy, Coast and Environment Building, Nicholson Drive Extension, Baton Rouge 70803, United States, 3Department of Stomatology, Hangzhou First People’s Hospital, No. 261, Huansha Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou 310006, China and 4Department of Economics, Louisiana State University, E J Ourso College of Business, Nicholson Drive Extension, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, United States *Corresponding author. Department of Stomatology, Hangzhou First People’s Hospital, No. 261, Huansha Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou 310006, China. E-mail: [email protected] Accepted on 16 June 2015 Abstract Congestion has become one of the most important factors leading to patient dissatisfaction and doctor-patient conflicts in the medical market of China. In this study, we explore the causes and effects of structural congestion in the Chinese medical market from an incentive structure perspective. Our analysis reveals that prior medical system reforms with price regulation in China have induced hospitals to establish incentives for capital-intensive investments, while ignoring human capital, and have driven medical staff and patients to higher-level hospitals, reinforcing an incentive structure in which congestion in higher-level hospitals and idle resources in lower-level hospitals coexist. The existing incentive structure has led to cost increases and degradation of human capital and specific factor effects. Recent reforms to reduce congestion in the Chinese medical market were not effective. Most of them had no impact on and did not involve the existing distorted incentive structure. Future reforms should consider rebalancing expectations for medical quality, free flow of human capital and price regulation reforms to rebuild a new incentive structure. Key words: Structural congestion, Chinese medical market, incentive structure, price regulation, reform Key Messages • An incentive structure perspective determining medical resource allocation is used to study congestion in the Chinese market by the lens of economic theory. • Structural congestion is primarily caused by the distorted incentive structure imposed by the recent medical care reforms. • It is needed for China to rebalance patients’ expectations and choices across hospitals of different levels with a new incentive structure to combat structural congestion. Introduction Over the past 10 years, China has experienced a substantial increase in public medical expenditures, increasing from 9.34% of total government expenditures in 2001 to over 14% in 2012 (Figure 1). However, the rapid growth of expenditures has been accompanied by congestion in the medical market that has been represented by long wait times, and the higher level hospitals are, the longer wait time their patients have to face (Zheng and Ji 2009; Liang and Bao C The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: [email protected] V 390 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 391 Figure 1. Public medical expenditure as a proportion of Chinese government expenditures (%). Source: Economy Prediction System Database Company 2012). Patients facing long wait times can be thought of as paying a ‘time price’1 (Gravelle et al. 2002). This ‘time price’ pushes the total cost of services higher than the pecuniary price at congested hospitals to bring supply into balance with demand in an environment of persistent, or structural, congestion. In China, congestion has become the second most important factor (second only to high medical costs) leading to patient dissatisfaction in China (MOH of China 2010a) and results in more negative sentiments among patients (Zhang et al. 2010). One potential explanation for congestion in health care is poor management, which can mean hospitals are not operated efficiently and patients must wait for care despite sufficient resource availability. In this case, increased utilization of online or telephone-based scheduling technology can reduce wait times to a certain extent (Yang et al. 2015). But surveys have shown that these innovations largely have the effect of shifting congestion to the Internet or telephone point of access (Duan et al. 2013; Sun et al. 2013). While improvements to hospital management might offer a partial solution, we show that the problem of congestion is far more widespread than would be expected if congestion were limited to hospital-specific management practices. A survey conducted by the Ministry of Health (MOH of China 2010a) showed that congestion not only has led to a significantly shorter consultation time per patient and decreased the patient-perceived consultation and treatment quality but also caused a large number of medical disputes and serious incidents of violence. According to statistical data from the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China, there were about 70 000 medical conflicts and more than 10 000 violent attacks resulting in injuries to medical staff in China in 2013 (Ning et al. 2014). The 2010 MOH survey showed that more than 25% of medical personnel experienced abusive language or violence and that more than 50% of medical staff in provincial and municipal hospitals felt that the work environment was poor. The survey showed that these negative responses were highly correlated with congestion and medical conflicts. This type of congestion is ultimately the result of an imbalance between demand and supply. In most countries, it is common practice to deal with short-term imbalances between supply and demand in the medical market with wait time management (Morton and Bevan 2008). Holdsworth et al. (1993) also report the presence of crowded outpatient departments in city hospitals of developing countries like Lesotho. In terms of management science, because the supply capacity of the medical market is fixed in the short term while demand fluctuates, waiting can be used for dynamic demand buffering or smoothing (Jackson et al. 1964; Bagust et al. 1999; Gallivan et al. 2002); the clinical need for emergency treatment can be identified by wait time prioritization (Marioti et al. 2014). However, understanding the causes of persistent congestion that does not ameliorate with time requires a different explanation. Potentially, aggregate demand is outpacing aggregate supply for health care and resources should be reallocated to increase the provision of health care. This article compares aggregate trends in health care spending in China to other nations to show that the aggregate level of health care spending does not appear to be the primary cause of congestion. Alternatively, services may be allocated inefficiently within the sector creating localized shortages and surpluses. An economic perspective on the incentive structure determining the allocation of supply and demand across the health care sector provides a useful lens through which to study congestion in the Chinese market. This perspective emphasizes that improper incentive for participants in the market cause insufficient supply of or excessive demand for services within specific segments of the market (Frankel 1989; Iverson 1993). As we show in this article, a review of the incentive structures surrounding hospital and consumer decisions supports the conclusion that congestion in the Chinese hospital system can be attributed to health care regulation and recent policy reforms. Background Hospital system reforms China’s modern hospital system originated from the separation of departments among industrial sectors and decentralization between the central and local governments from the period of the planned economy. Prior to the 1980s, different government departments and their affiliated large-scale industry sectors, as well as all provinces and major cities each ran their own hospitals and fully covered the costs of providing medical care. Although there were no rules on 392 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 China and MOH issued the ‘Report on Related Policy Issues of Health Reform’, encouraging hospitals to invest by utilizing market mechanisms such as obtaining a loan from a bank and allowed 15% drugplus pricing to offset the decrease of public financial subsidy. Still, in 1989s ‘Rule’, the level of medical service price was changed with the government setting prices to create a positive correlation with the levels of hospital. Also in subsequent practice, medical service price in third-level hospitals has usually been set about 30% above that of second-level hospitals. In addition, the advantage of higher-level hospitals was gradually extended to include priority investments in infrastructure, R&D funding, even higher administrative level and management authority. These advantages were reinforced by the ability of higher-level hospitals to repay loans and retain workers. As a result, China’s market-oriented medical reform shifted hospitals from medical service providers heavily reliant on financial subsidies to profit chasers (Wang 2005). From the mid-1980s, income from medical services and drug sales made up 80–90% of total hospital income. Meanwhile, regulation that held medical service prices below costs were mostly maintained after China’s medical reform of 1980s. The change was that hospitals were encouraged to grow revenues by extending their business to services utilizing unregulated technologies and instruments, and to produce or trade medical supplies.2 This created a strong incentive and opportunity to raise revenues through capital investments. hospital classification, hospitals could be separated into different levels according to their financing source and administrative level from national level to township level. The hospital classification system was founded in 1989. On 29 November 1989, the Ministry of Health (MOH) of China issued the ‘Notice on Implementing Hospital Classification Management’ and ‘Rule on Hospital Classification Management’, which began the formal assignment of quality levels to hospitals. According to the ‘Rule’, hospitals are separated into three different types from first level to third level, where every level includes three grades: A, B and C (with A indicating the highest expected quality). One exception is for third-level hospitals, which include an additional higher grade, AA, but only a few national-level hospitals have been approved to be Third AA grade. Table 1 reports the basic conditions, coverage and function of different level hospitals. From 1989 to 1998, all hospitals run by MOH and other departments of the Central Government and nearly all hospitals run by provinces and major cities were approved to be of third level; community and township hospitals were identified as first level; while district- or county-level hospitals were generally approved to be second level. According to the MOH’s ‘rule’, third-level hospitals are designed to provide specialist medical services, treat critical or incurable diseases and undertake higher education and research activities; second-level hospitals functions as comprehensive medical service providers and first-level hospitals provide primary medical services. Since the Chinese government began to decrease financial subsidies to the hospital system (Figure 2), hospitals were required to balance their operating expenses and investment expenditures with income from medical services and drug sales. In 1985, the State Council of Congestion in China’s hospital system The term structural congestion is often used in the context of transportation when existing infrastructure is regularly overloaded with Table 1. Hospital classification system of China Levels Bed number (n) Coverage Function First level 20 n < 100 Community/township level Second level 100 n < 500 Multi-community/county level Third level 500 n Multi-district/municipal/provincial/ national level Provide prevention, treatment, rehabilitation and other primary medical services Provide comprehensive medical service and bear certain teaching and research task Provide specialist medical services, solve critical/incurable diseases and bear higher education and research task Sources: MOH and the authors. 100 80 % 60 40 20 Personal Firm Government Figure 2. Percentage change of medical expenditure among government, firm and personal source in China. Source: MOH. 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 0 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 excess traffic. When applied to health care, this concept represents an imbalance between supply and demand for certain services such that excess demand accumulates resulting in prolonged wait times for care. In China, structural congestion is manifested in higher-level hospitals rather than in the entire market. Higher-level hospitals are severely congested, while lower-level hospitals have idle resources and very few patients. The higher the hospital level is, the more severe the congestion, and the more dissatisfied patients are with the wait time (Figure 3).Therefore, congestion in China’s medical market is an unusual case. Most studies on congestion in China’s medical market focus on insufficient government investment in the public medical and social security systems (e.g. Guan et al. 2006; Dai 2010; Zhang 2011). However, these studies cannot explain why congestion has become more serious with the significant growth of public medical expenditures over the past decade. In addition, it has been demonstrated that public medical expenditures are not significantly low in China considering its overall level of development (Gong 2006). Dai (2010) attributed congestion to differences in medical resource allocation among different regions in China, along with an insufficient supply of doctors because of the coexistence of marketized financing and price regulation in China’s medical system reform since the 1990s (Chen et al. 2008). Researchers using family survey data have found that congestion in higher-level hospitals and idle resources in lower-level hospitals coexist extensively even in the same regions in China (Yu et al. 2006; Chen et al. 2007; Wang et al. 2008). However, these studies only identified a limited number of factors, such as family income, age and educational background, that are correlated with the choices of medical treatment and the causes of congestion have not yet been explored. Methods This review of the Chinese market for hospital care uses the lens of economic theory to provide insights into the causes and consequences of congestion with a special focus on incentive structures. Congestion arises when demand outpaces supply and is not uncommon in the health care setting. However, the degree and persistence of congestion in the Chinese market for hospital care indicate structural problems in the mechanisms that should be able to align supply with demand in the long run without relying on wait times to allocate resources. 393 One hypothesis is simply that aggregate supply is held below aggregate demand. Especially in settings where government expenditures are a significant determinant of supply, it may be the case that the economy-wide allocation of resources is not dedicating enough resources to meet consumer demand. This can arise if the aggregate price level of hospital services is not allowed to adjust sufficiently relative to goods in other sectors of the economy. To study whether there is an aggregate undersupply of hospital services, we compare a series of health care metrics between China, a group of comparison countries and world averages. Another possibility is that the aggregate level of investment is appropriate but that structural problems within the market for hospital services are causing misalignment of supply and demand across establishments or locations. We investigate the Chinese market for hospital care by reviewing the incentives of consumers as well as hospitals to see what role they might play in congestion. Because of efforts to reform the system over time, data illustrating how key measures changed over time are used to identify the most likely causes of China’s structural congestion. We also investigate the extent to which this congestion is self-reinforcing through a review of unintended consequences of recent reforms. Results In this section, we explore the causes of the distorted incentive structure based on an investigation of China’s medical system reform. With price regulation, prior Chinese medical system reforms have induced hospitals to establish incentives for capital-intensive investments, while ignoring human capital, and market failures have driven medical staff and patients to higher-level hospitals. Under the existing incentive structure, an increase in public expenditures and capacity expansion for higher-level hospitals will further strengthen the drive of capital investment and hinder medical human capital formation and spillover, which would not help to solve the structural congestion. On the contrary, because of resource idleness in lower-level hospitals, increasing public expenditures for all medical institutions could only further increase the resource idleness rate of lower-level hospitals. Figure 3. Degree of dissatisfaction with the wait time in hospitals of different levels in China. Source: MOH of China (2010a). 394 Level of medical resource allocation in China Congestion arises from an imbalance between medical market supply and demand. Thus, a central question is whether this imbalance is caused by a relative shortage of supply because of a low level of medical resource allocation across the economy? If so, the congestion could be treated as a problem secondary to medical resource allocation. In this section, we discuss whether the allocation of medical resources is too low in China from an international comparative perspective. The analyzed data were collected by the Economy Prediction System Database Company from the World Bank, along with official statistics of each country from 1990 to 2012. Considering that China has been an upper-middle-income country since 2011 and was a lower-middle-income country before 2011, 20 representative high-income and middle-income (including upper-middle-income and lower-middle-income) countries were selected for comparison. The data include countries from different income groups and average world levels to overcome a possible bias caused by annual data changes and institutional differences among different countries. Two indicators were used for international comparisons: total medical expenditure as a proportion of GDP and public medical expenditures as a proportion of government expenditures. As shown in Figure 4, total medical expenditure as a proportion of GDP in China slowly increased from 3.54% in 1995 to 5.16% in 2011, with a significant decrease from 2003 to 2008. It was similar to the average of the lower-middle-income countries before 2008 and was close to the average of the middle-income countries since 2009. However, an even more noteworthy indicator is public medical expenditure. Public medical expenditure as a proportion of government expenditures demonstrated a V-shaped pattern from 1995 to 2011, decreasing from 15.22% in 1995 to its lowest level in 2001 and then increasing slowly to over 14% in 2012 (Figure 1). As shown in Figure 5, public medical expenditures accounted for an average of 16.97% of government expenditures in high-income countries in 2011, 7.67% in lower-middle-income countries and 10% or less in upper-middle-income and middle-income countries. Apparently, the level of public medical expenditure was far higher in China than in lower-middle-income countries and higher than in Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 upper-middle-income countries. As compared with middle-income countries with a similar level of development, the public medical expenditure in China cannot be deemed low. Per capita allocation of medical resources Another way of comparing the overall level of spending on medical resources uses per capita figures. Three indicators are introduced here: the number of hospital beds per 1000 people, the number of physicians per 1000 people and the number of nurses and midwives per 1000 people. The first figures analyzed are the number of hospital beds per 1000 people in high-income countries, upper-middleincome countries and China from 1990 to 2011. As shown in Figure 6, the number of hospital beds per 1000 people in China was close to the average number of hospital beds per 1000 people in uppermiddle-income countries and has even exceeded this average since 2009. China was significantly above middle-income and lower-middle-income countries using this indicator and has narrowed its gap with high-income countries. A second useful metric of medical resource allocation is the number of physicians per 1000 people. As shown in Figure 7, the number of physicians per 1000 people in China (1.46) was between the average of middle-income countries and the average of upper-middle-income countries and was exactly half the average of high-income countries. China had a lower number of physicians per 1000 people than that of Brazil (1.76), Mexico (1.96), South Korea (2.02) and most other selected sample countries, and levels of developed countries were generally much higher than that of China. In China, this indicator increased to 1.58 in 2012, but China still fell below the international level, if considering the differences in price levels and purchasing power between China and high-income countries. Finally, the number of nurses and midwives per 1000 people is analyzed. This indicator shows the biggest difference in resource allocation between China and the international level. As shown in Figure 8, the level in China was higher than that of India but lower than that of most sample countries; it was significantly lower than the average of the middle-income countries (1.84) and upper-middle-income countries (2.2) yet much lower than the world average (2.86) and average of high-income countries (7.34). The number of Figure 4. Medical expenditure as a proportion of GDP in China and different income group countries. Source: World Bank and Economy Prediction System. Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 395 Figure 5. Public medical expenditures as a proportion of government expenditures in selected countries. Source: the MOH of China and Economy Prediction System. Note: The data are of 2011 with the exception of the average and Canada being from 2004 and 2010, respectively. Figure 6. Number of hospital beds per 1000 people. Source: the MOH of China and Economy Prediction System. nurses per 1000 people increased to 1.85 in 2012, but a large gap still existed. In summary, the aggregate amount of spending on medical care does not appear to be significantly low relative to that of middle-income countries. However, the comparison results for the three indicators measuring the per capita allocation of medical resources are not as clear. The number of hospital beds per 1000 people is related to medical infrastructure and capital accumulation, and the level in China has been higher than the average of upper-middle-income countries. However, the two indicators describing human capital, i.e. the number of physicians per 1000 people and the number of nurses and midwives per 1000 people, were low.3 Additional evidence is showed in Table 2, where it can be found that increase in the number of doctors lags far behind the increase of hospital beds from 2005 to 2012. The number of beds increased by 147.47%, 89.52% and 160.83% for third-, second- and first-level hospitals, while the number of doctors only increased by 39.82%. This suggests that investments in medical resources in China are focused on infrastructure, equipment and other capital accumulation, while human capital investments have been relatively ignored. This unbalanced allocation of resources is a starting point for understanding the structural congestion in China’s medical market. Incentive structure for congestion in China’s hospital market To introduce the incentive structure of the hospital market, we review several key institutional arrangements arising from the changes in China’s medical system over the last several decades. Medical system reform in China can be divided into four stages since 1978 396 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 4 3 2 1 Thailand India Lower-middle-income Middle-income Malaysia World China Upper-middle-income Brazil Mexico Korea Canada Japan United States United Kindom Egypt High-income Argenna France 0 Figure 7. Number of physicians per 1000 people. Source: the MOH of China and Economy Prediction System. Note: The data are from 2010, except the average data for different income groups and the world average, both of which are from 2009. Figure 8. Number of nurses and midwives per 1000 people. Source: the MOH of China and Economy Prediction System. Note: The data for China are from 2011; the data for different income groups are from 2009 and the rest of the data are from 2010. Table 2. Medical resources of different levels in China: 2005–2012 Year 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Beds (thousands) Doctors (thousands) Third Second First Total Third Second First Total 594 857 946 1065 1224 1470 964 1425 1508 1601 1710 1827 120 233 243 257 277 313 2445 2883 3121 3387 3705 4161 NA NA NA 406.7 453.7 529.7 NA NA NA 609.0 604.9 613.1 NA NA NA 92.9 95.3 102.0 1004.0 1131.0 1198.5 1260.9 1307.0 1403.8 Sources: Digest of Health Statistics of China, different years. (Wen 2007; Wang 2009). The first stage was from 1978 to 1984. The policy allowed individual doctors to enter the medical market and proposed managing medical services with economic management tools. The second stage was from 1985 to 2000. This stage was characterized by expansion of hospital autonomy, and this policy encouraged hospitals to support medical services with tertiary industry and new unregulated business (State Council of China 1992), while direct government investment and medical insurance coverage were gradually reduced. The third stage was from 2000 to 2005 and is characterized by policies that encouraged cooperation. These policies led to the emergence of various medical institutions to build medical groups and relaxed control over medical service prices for profit-making medical institutions (State Council of China 2000). The tendency of public hospital ownership reform began to appear during this stage. The fourth stage of reform began in 2005 and is Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 ongoing. During this stage, medical expenditures as a proportion of government expenditures and public medical insurance coverage have increased significantly. Lower-level hospitals are encouraged to implement the complete separation of income and expenditure management,4 i.e. to forward all of their income to local governments and have all of their expenditures borne by the governments through public fiscal budgets. Several institutional arrangements are particularly important during China’s medical system reform. First, the emphasis on public hospital autonomy with insufficient government investment means forcing hospitals to seek a balance between their income and expenditures and profit growth (Li et al. 2012). Second, encouraging hospitals to become profitable by extending their business into the tertiary industry and new high-value intensive procedures that do not have price controls. With strict regulation of drug and treatment prices, this has a dominant effect on redirecting medical resource allocation. Third, there are incentives to focus public medical resources on higher-level hospitals because of their public ownership.5 Finally, as for lower-level hospitals, the separation of income and expenditure management has severely decreased their willingness to supply quality care and increased their resource idleness, thus further encouraging demand to shift from lower-level hospitals to higher-level hospitals. Because of the absence of an effective referral system, patients are free to choose different levels of hospitals in China. The core factor motivating patients’ choice of hospital is their cost-benefit analysis across these options. Table 3 presents some regulated medical fees in major cities in China, which cover the most populated and economically important areas.6 It can be seen that the registration or diagnosis fee is very similar across different level hospitals for all of the cities. Aside from the remaining reported regulated items in Table 3, prices for other procedures, treatment and medicine are regulated to be almost the same in one city across hospital levels. So, the key factor determining patients’ choice of hospital is the expected medical quality provided by different levels of hospitals while monetary price is of little importance. Patients will have a greater willingness to go to higher-level hospitals to seek a higher expected medical quality. Considering the capacity constraint in higher-level hospitals, longer waiting time, or time price, must function to generate a new equilibrium. Thus, congestion arises in higher-level hospitals. The analysis to this point is static and patient based. We now introduce the choices of hospitals and medical staff to consider how the incentive structures may impact behaviours over time. During China’s medical reform in the 1990s, hospitals of different levels were forced to seek a balance between income and expenditures, as well as profit growth from the extension of their business to new, unregulated items and services (Kuang et al. 2009). To make profit from economies of scale of new technologies and medical devices, an initial high-patient quantity is needed to share the fixed costs. Starting with China’s health system reform of the 1990s, public hospitals have a strong incentive for capital-intensive investment. But, only higher-level hospitals have a first-mover advantage to do that successfully since their initial patient quantity is large. On the contrary, lower-level hospitals that cannot attract enough patients would not cover the fixed cost and find these sorts of investments to be unprofitable. This lack of profitability inhibits the lower-level hospital’s ability to pay workers, and their human capital is drawn to higher-level hospitals.7 This becomes a reinforcing mechanism and the gap in expected medical quality among different levels of hospitals has been rapidly expanding. That is higher-level hospitals keep improving from more advanced medical facilities and influx 397 of human capital, while lower-level hospitals continue to regress. In turn, the reform of the 1990s strengthened expectations about the difference in medical quality at different levels of hospitals and has further ignited patients’ willingness to choose higher-level hospitals. Since 2000, higher-level hospitals still have the same motivation for capital-intensive investment and capability to maintain profitability. Although diagnosis fees were regulated and kept low, Table 3 shows that the price range of sickroom beds is relatively wide. In Shanghai, the authority lets hospitals of second level or third level to independently set bed fees for one-bed or two-bed sickrooms; in other cities, the authorities also adjust bed fees and prices for new medical devices more often upon the request of hospitals and update of facilities. However, a new story emerged after 2003. The severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in China has led to a new focus on and increased public investment in public medical infrastructure at lower-level hospitals. Further, the increased public investment was mainly achieved through a financing mechanism characterized by the separate management of income and expenditures.8 According to a 2010 MOH survey, the separation of income and expenditures was implemented in more than 50% of community hospitals in 2008. In 2013, the Chinese government continued to emphasize the implementation of separate income and expenditure management in areas with suitable conditions, including grassrootslevel medical institutions. These institutions forward all of their income to the local governments, while all recurrent expenditures required for basic health care and public medical services are fully paid by the local governments that are within approved budgets (State Council of China 2013). Therefore, in the absence of patient visits and higher-level human capital, these investments have turned into fixed asset investments including buildings and equipment and maintained the survival of lower-level hospitals. Table 2 shows the most rapid growth in sickroom beds of first-level hospitals during 2005–12. However, this has seriously weakened the incentive for lower-level hospitals to provide medical services, motivating them to reduce services and drive patients to higher-level hospitals (MOH of China 2010b). The combination of the above two circumstances leads to the allocation of medical resources to physical capital rather than to human capital, as well as an incentive structure characterized by the coexistence of congestion in higher-level hospitals and idle resources in lower-level hospitals. One might expect higher-level hospitals to simply expand to address this excess demand. However, these hospitals are tightly regulated and cannot expand or open additional locations without government approval. The intention of the tiered system is to provide care in proportion to need with more widespread availability of basic services and only a relatively small number of high-level hospitals providing the most costly services to those requiring more intensive treatments. So, the government is reluctant to simply expand the number of high-level hospitals to enable them to provide more basic care. Effects of congestion on China’s medical market Lowering utilization efficiency of human capital According to human capital theory, human capital is mainly reflected in the person’s knowledge, ability and health and should be allocated to cover the investment cost. Within the medical industry, the allocation of doctors across different levels hospitals is driven by their different levels of knowledge and ability related to medical 398 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 Table 3. Some regulated medical fees in major cities of China Cities Beijing Shanghaib Tianjin Chongqing Guangzhou Hangzhouc Ningbod Qingdaoe Harbin Changchunf Shenyang Xi’an Dalian Chengdu Wuhan Nanjingg Jinan Xiamen Shenzhen Hospital levels Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Third Second First Outpatienta (Yuan/visit) Inpatient (Yuan/bed day) Registration Diagnosis Emergency registration Emergency diagnosis Bed Diagnosis Nursing 0.5–1.0 0.5–1.0 0.5–1.0 / / / 1.0 0.8 0.6 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 / / / 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 14 10 7.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 3.0 2.3 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 5.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 / / / 3.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 / / / 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.6 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.6 1.0 / / / 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 14 10 / 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 6.2 6.2 3 1.5 1.0 0.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 5.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.5 10.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 20–26 18–24 16–22 40 32 22 14–16 11–13 8–10 12.0 11.0 9.0 17.6–108 17.6–108 17.6–108 12–60 12–60 12–60 NA NA NA 13–40 13–40 13–40 10–12 7–9 4–6 15–25 15–25 15–25 13.0 10.0 7.0 15–60 10–40 6–30 13.0 10.0 7.0 8–50 8–50 8–50 12–42 10–32 7–17 10–48 10–48 10–48 30 20–30 12–20 32–60 32–60 32–60 17.6–108 17.6–108 17.6–108 7.0 6.0 5.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 13/20 13/20 13/20 3.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 5–9 4–8 3–7 10–14 10–14 10–14 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–12 2–12 2–12 3–5 3–5 3–5 5–8 5–8 5–8 8 7 5 3–35 3–35 3–35 1–5 1–5 1–5 2–8 2–8 2–8 2–6 2–6 2–6 3–10 2–8 1–6 2–6 2–6 2–6 1–5 1–5 1–5 3–8 3–7 1–5 11–33 11–33 11–33 3–9 3–9 3–9 6–18 6–18 6–18 2.4–12 2.4–12 2.4–12 Sources: The authors. a Registration fees or diagnosis fees for associate professors and professors are often higher than the standard fee reported in this table. b In Shanghai, hospitals of second level or third level can price bed fee for one-bed or two-bed sickroom themselves. c On 27 March 2014, the authority of Hangzhou launched its registration and diagnosis fee reform, where registration fee was merged into diagnosis fee and the latter was raised to 10 Yuan/visit. d In 2013, Ningbo merged registration fee into diagnosis fee for its third-level hospitals, and the new diagnosis fee is 15 Yuan/visit. e Some treatment costs are included in the diagnosis and nursing fee. f In 2011, the registration fee was merged into diagnosis fee and was raised to 10 Yuan/visit for first-level hospitals of Changchun. g New diagnosis and bed fees were introduced in 2014, where diagnosis fee was raised to 10 Yuan/visit, and bed fee is between 30 and 120 Yuan/day. Effect of specific factors In the market for factors of production, the reallocation of specific factors is difficult in the short term and its price cannot adjust adequately to reflect the inter-market rate of return difference. Medical staff is just such a factor and its outflow from the medical market is clearly restricted in the short term. Figure 9 illustrated the medical staff flows under the existing incentive structure of China. It can be seen that factor inflow to the medical market includes the choices of high school students’ enrolment into a medical university or college, medical university or college graduates’ choice to enter the hospital market, as well as decisions throughout the career to develop a more specialized skill set within the hospital sector. r-ho s pita l Fl ow First-level ctio idir e Third -level nal Inte Second-level Un Medical University/college Students services so as to reflect the scarcity of these skills and the related investment cost. Structural congestion in China causes higher-level hospitals to undertake functions that can be performed by lower-level hospitals. Thus patients in need of more specialized medical services have much longer wait times, and doctors in higher-level hospitals must deal with illness that could be covered by lower-level hospitals. At the same time, lower-level hospitals lack of patients and resources are underutilized. The result is that human capital in higher-level and lower-level hospitals all cannot exercise their function at an efficient level. One survey completed in Shenzhen city (Chen et al. 2007) found that, at least 70% of patients in higher-level hospitals should have chosen lower-level hospitals. Because of lower utilization efficiency of human capital, bed occupancy rate in third-level hospitals has reached 104.5% in 2012, while first-level hospitals have a rate of only 60.4% in the same year. A 2010 MOH survey demonstrated that doctors in China’s lower-level hospitals have incentives to drive their patients to higher-level hospitals by claiming the need for advanced medical facilities or other excuses about medical quality. A dynamic negative impact on medical human capital can also be induced from structural congestion. That is doctors’ ability at each level will degrade with the imbalanced and mismatched utilization. When facing a rising number of mismatched patients and decreasing consultation time per patient, doctors do not have enough time to communicate with patients, diagnose and provide therapeutic regimens so as to maintain their ability. To keep up with high demand, doctors in higher-level hospitals have to establish standardized procedures by conducting more medical checks or prescribing drugs more intensively, which can lead to degradation of medical services in the long term. Human capital degradation at higher-level hospitals is accompanied by higher patient dissatisfaction and higher medical costs that have resulted in more medical conflicts and even violent incidents (MOH of China 2010a). The 2010 MOH survey also revealed that, 62.6% of medical staff in third-level hospitals reported burnout using Maslach Burnout Inventory. Moreover, the higher level the hospital is, the higher the burnout ratio is. For lower-level hospitals, the lowering of patient quantity and willingness to provide services creates fewer opportunities for staff to exercise their ability. Lower-level hospitals choose only to fulfil public medical responsibilities specified by the local government but not respond to residents’ medical demand, thus depreciating human capital rapidly. According to a 2010 MOH survey, only 62.7% medical staff in lower-level hospitals can pass (score 60 from 100) a basic medical and health knowledge and skill test. The pass rate for a prenatal check and hypertension management test is only 21.8% and 48.5%, respectively. This suggests that human capital in lowerlevel hospitals is also degraded even with the heavy investment from Chinese government since 2003. 399 High School Students Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 Non-medical Profession/Labor Market Figure 9. Medical staff flows under the existing incentive structure of China. For factor specificity, incumbent medical staff usually flow inmarket but do not flow out of market in the short term. So, under the existing incentive structure, a unidirectional inter-hospital flow is evidenced, from township/community level to county/district level and then to municipal level (Yuan 2012; Zheng 2013). Only a small number with the highest levels of human capital could be qualified to practice independently with approval of government and other regulation (Zhou 2013). However, the bigger effect is the long-term outflow of medical staff under the incentive structure. Because of the aforementioned degradation of medical human capital, distortion of the incentive structure with drug and treatment price regulation and risk associated with more doctor-patient conflicts, changes in the cost-benefit pattern for pursuing a medical career have significantly affected the quantity and quality of those planning to enter the medical market. These influences have negative effects on human capital formation within the market, as well as on human capital inflow, in the long term. One model developed by Chen et al. (2008) also demonstrated the negative effects of medical costs (mainly from medical infrastructure and equipment) on human capital inflows under the existing incentive structure. To avoid becoming overly specialized, excellent high school students have a decreased willingness to enrol into medical university or college (Wang 2013). As evidence of this, some medical universities have been reported failing to recruit enough students (Liu et al. 2010). Even the most famous medical universities of China have experienced the falling of admission scores and quality among applicants (Tang 2011). One survey sponsored by the Medical Profession Journal (Hu 2014) collected 1447 questionnaires and found 94.61% respondents do not want their children to pursue a career in medicine. A similar result is reported in a survey by the Chinese Doctor’s Association (CDA 2011) where 78% of doctors did not want their children to pursue a career in medicine.9 As for medical university and college graduates, estimates show that 50–80% of medical students did not ultimately pursue a career in medicine (e.g. Hou et al. 2013; Pang and Li 2013). The reasons include the focus on capital-intensive investments in higher-level hospitals as well as risks associated with doctor-patient conflicts. These decisions have restrained employment in higher-level hospitals.10 At the same time, stronger expectations of degrading human capital make it unattractive to work in lower-level hospitals. Wang et al. (2011) surveyed Beijing’s medical graduates and found that, no more than 20% are willing to apply for a job in a lower-level 400 hospital. Even for those students targeting a specific area, 35.25% of them will choose to break the contract when graduating (Wang et al. 2014). Prior to 2003, medical graduates generally had a low willingness to work in lower-level hospitals when the lack of interest in lowerlevel hospitals was tied to the lack of financing ability of such hospitals. But after 2003, salaries were fully covered thanks to an increase in government spending on lower-level hospitals. For example, at the township-level, hospital income from the government budget grew from 34.9% of their total salary expenditure to 112% of total salary (Yuan 2012). So the incentive structure causing structural congestion contributes to the weak willingness to apply for job in lower-level hospitals. Effect on increasing costs There is a long history of drug and treatment price-regulation policies in China. During the reform of the 1980–90s, purchase price plus (no more than) 15% pricing was introduced by the authority to compensate for the decrease of government medical expenditure. This policy created a positive relationship between drug usage and profitability of hospitals, thereby sending a strong signal to encourage increased prescription of high-price drugs and resulting in increasing medical costs. In an attempt to reduce medical costs, (partial) separate management of income and expenditures was introduced in 2000, where drug income of hospitals at the county and beyond levels must be forwarded to the government and the latter returns a certain fraction of income to the hospital judging by a series of indicators (one of the most important is medical cost/visit). The remaining fraction was used by the government to compensate for losses of other hospitals. Even so, the positive relationship between drug income and profitability was maintained. However, structural congestion could exert a marginal cost-increasing effect. For higher-level hospitals, as discussed in Lowering utilization efficiency of human capital section, congestion shortens consultation time available for visits and negatively affects the quality of diagnosis. To compensate for limited time, doctors may order unnecessary medical examinations or rely more heavily on higher value drugs when developing a therapeutic regimen. In addition, reduced quality can generate higher utilization of medical facilities and readmissions. These factors can all tend to increase medical costs. Further, even if the government tightens regulation on medical cost per visit, doctors could choose to split prescriptions or services to bypass the regulation (Xu 2011). As the result, medical cost per visit could be stable while total medical expenditures continue to increase effectively nullifying that attempted reform with no ultimate cost savings (Chen et al. 2010). For lower-level hospitals, incentive inducing structural congestion at higher-level hospitals generates the same cost-increasing result. With the implementation of (complete) separate management of income and expenditures, financing sources of lower-level hospitals have evolved from being dependent on drug and service income to instead depend on the government budget. Agreements between local governments and lower-level hospitals to address public health needs will be accompanied by increases in budgeted expenditures. At the same time, the separation of expense management from income management reduces the need of these hospitals to respond to local medical needs (MOH of China 2010b; Yuan 2012). Thus, the expenditure means another increasing cost. Recent reforms and discussion During the past 30 years, China witnessed a series of major health and medical system reforms, with its public medical expenditures Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 and insurance coverage exhibiting a U-shaped pattern. Because of the lack of an integrated reform roadmap and a focus on responding to short-term goals during the 1980s and 1990s, these reforms have accumulated undesirable systematic problems that deviate widely from the design of each reform. Structural congestion is one of the most important accumulated results. Besides China, other countries also face persistent problems with congestion such as Britain and Canada. The common thread is a system of regulation that does not provide the right incentives on either the demand or supply side to solve this problem. Although a number of features of the market contribute to this problem, the central limiting factor is price rigidity that prevents hospitals with excess demand from raising prices or hospitals with excess supply from being able to reduce prices to reduce congestion. Although wellintentioned reforms may address perceived public health or access problems, this analysis highlights the unintended consequences that can arise if those reforms do not maintain sufficient flexibility in the market. This article argues that the structural congestion rooted from the prior medical system reform of China, which cannot be solved by pure increase in public medical expenditures. The key point to understand it lies in the existing regulated pricing system, as well as the incentive structure for patients and hospitals of different levels. These incentives contribute to a consolidated and self-reinforcing system that produces structural congestion. It is difficult for China to combat this structural congestion without a new incentive structure that rebalance patients’ expectations and choices across hospitals of different levels. This would include a comprehensive review of price regulation, increase to factor mobilization and market entry and financing mechanism reform in China’s medical market. In recent years, besides continuing to expand the government’s medical budget, China is also trying to intervene directly to reduce structural congestion in the medical market. But it is regretful to say that, not all of the reforms are in the right direction or functioning well. These reforms are discussed below. The first important step is price regulation reform. The State Council of China (2009) announced its reform intention to cancel the drug plus pricing policy and increase diagnosis and treatment prices. In 2012, this reform was again emphasized (State Council of China 2012). Since then, some provinces have tried to implement these reforms, with the main emphasis on drug price and registration and diagnosis fee reform and subsidies to increase treatment costs with public medical expenditures. But there is still little service fee difference among different levels hospitals (see Table 3 for registration/diagnosis fee). Besides, some provinces have designed a (weak) decreasing payment ratio of public medical insurance for diagnosis fees or inpatient fees from lower-level to higher-level hospitals (e.g. in Beijing and Guangzhou). The most recent advance is to fully deregulate all medical prices for non-public hospitals in 2014 (National Development and Reform Commission of China 2014). The second step is encouraging market competition and entry or exit of firms. The State Council of China (2009) also mandated that doctors should be allowed to practice in multiple sites. Starting in 2010, a pilot reform program was commenced to allow doctors to practice at multiple sites in Guangdong Province and Kunming city and was expanded to the whole country in 2011. However, because of fierce opposition from higher-level hospitals, combined with a strong dependence of doctors on higher-level hospitals in terms of benefits, titles, etc., few doctors have chosen to work at multiple sites (Liu and Feng 2014). In fact, most doctors selecting to practice at multiple sites are doctors approaching retirement age (Wang 2014). Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 The third step to reduce congestion is to encourage human capital inflows into the medical market with fiscal subsidies. In 2011, the MOH of China increased per capita funding for medical students to 27 000 Yuan per student per year, which was more than three times higher than the funding level in 2008 (7100 Yuan per student per year). Within the current incentive structure, it is still difficult for medical graduates to obtain a job at higher-level hospitals because of their capital-intensive investment incentive and unfavourable working environment. Meanwhile, the risk of human capital degradation in lower-level hospitals also hinders human capital inflow. Therefore, there is little evidence that this policy would be helpful to increase human capital supply. Moreover, the Chinese government introduced a policy in 2010 to provide free targetedarea medical student training for lower-level hospitals and rural students (National Development and Reform Commission of China 2010). Although there are still no graduates until 2015, one survey of Chongqing has predicted an unsatisfactory future of the effect of this policy (Wang et al. 2014). The fourth way to reduce congestion relates to ownership reform, such as merging lower-level hospitals with higher-level ones. The ideal result for such a reform is to promote technology spillovers from higher-level hospitals to lower-level hospitals and encourage greater utilization of lower-level hospitals. In reality, as most Chinese hospitals are government owned, the original intention of this reform was to drive hospitals with higher profitability, which is usually of higher level, to merge or manage those with weak profitability so as to ease the pressure on government subsidies. This is a politically easy but economically risky reform.11 Evidence on the effect of public hospital integration is still rare and mixed. Liu et al. (2009) found no evidence on cost saving from it, while Pan (2010) reported increases of lower-level hospital’s medical cost after being merged in a case study of Shanghai. However, some other studies (Zhao 2008; Liu 2009; Ren et al. 2012) gave positive evidence that hospitals being merged (in their study, refer to secondlevel hospitals) gain more visits in Shanghai and Liaoning Province’s case, while congestion in higher-level hospitals continued. When extended to first-level hospitals, there is little success being reported. Only one report showed that first-level hospitals have faced increasing referral rate after being integrated with certain higher-level hospital (Guan and Liu 2014). But other concerns emerged that such integration could result in diseconomies of scale (Liu 2004), monopoly (Zhao 2008) and an incentive to siphon human capital from lower-level hospitals to higher-level hospitals (Pu et al. 2014). What should be done to reduce structural congestion in China? China’s structural congestion is a story of market development under distorted incentives that originated from government control accompanied by a series of reforms to respond to short term goals. The Chinese government has announced its strategy to combat structural congestion using price regulation and market entry reforms (Central Committee of the CPC 2013). Starting with drug price and diagnosis fee, reforms move the system in the right direction, but the ongoing price adjustment remains insufficient to reflect the degree of scarcity of services at higher level hospitals and reshape patients’ expectations and choices. Higher and more differentiated registration and diagnosis fees are needed to promote the realization of a hierarchical treatment and referral system among different levels of hospitals. Relative to the current system, allowing higher prices and allowing prices to vary across hospitals may increase social inequality and 401 restrict the ability of lower income individuals to afford treatment at high-level hospitals. However, it is true that access is already limited at these hospitals for all individuals due to structural congestion. Because of this, other public policies that directly address income inequality and equity such as income or cost sharing subsidies for low-income households will be more effective at reducing social inequality without generating the widespread congestion of the current system. This is also consistent with the stated goal of Chinese government to provide efficient primary medical service and ensure its availability and affordability of medical resources. Another policy to reduce congestion is the reform of (complete) separate management of income and expenditures. Currently, hospitals are given sufficient resources to cover their expenditures regardless of the number of patients served. Therefore, lower level hospitals with excess capacity are able to cover expenses and have no incentive to attract additional patients. By requiring hospitals to generate income to cover their expenditure, lower level hospitals will have a strong incentive to attract additional patients and better utilize excess capacity. At the same time, more actions are needed to incentivize human capital inflow and accumulation in lower-level hospitals. One necessary step here is expanding practice autonomy (including multi-site practicing). In 2013, cities like Beijing have allowed eligible doctors employed at high-level hospitals to also practice in community hospitals. Since March of 2015, all doctors of Zhejiang Province have been permitted to practice at another site within the same region at least 1 day per week without any requirement to be approved. Although it is unclear what barriers remain to expand this policy more widely, this regulation reform is on the way. There exist a large percentage of medical graduates not pursuing a career in medicine, and public subsidies for them are much higher than for other majors. We suggest that the Chinese government offer subsidies to encourage medical colleges and universities and higher-level hospitals to provide regular, effective skill training and internships to doctors at low-level hospitals, new graduates or medically trained individuals not working in the field. This will encourage greater human capital formation, technology spillover and downward transmission throughout the hospital system. Moreover, new public medical funding should be partially used to provide subsidies for multisite practice and for the transfer to full-time practice in lower-level hospitals to drive higher-level human capital to lower-level hospitals in many legitimate ways with an incentive. An important consideration in the context of encouraging the use of lower level hospitals is quality of care. Current regulations regarding the provision of care are the same across hospital levels with the only formal difference being the ability of higher-level hospitals to treat more complex cases. However, if increasingly differentiated prices are to be successful in reducing congestion, residents must be confident that care of sufficient quality is available at lower level hospitals. We recommend that the government strengthen quality regulations for services offered at lower level hospitals to reassure residents that they will receive high quality care at lower level hospitals and help lower level hospitals regain consumers’ trust. In particular, regulations related to human capital including minimum training and experience requirements for staff at different levels would increase perceptions of quality but also aide in the addressing the human capital deficit currently found at many lower level hospitals. Last but not the least, some caution should be held on the ongoing hospital vertical integration under governmental intervention and the emergence of much larger hospitals. This reform can in the short term reduce financial subsidization by local government and 402 Health Policy and Planning, 2016, Vol. 31, No. 3 also seems to be helpful in improving resource utilization of lower-level hospitals (mainly of second level). This has been met with a warm welcome from local governments but generates other potential and unpredictable risks to market competition and bargaining power among local government, patients and hospitals. Although the Chinese government has realized this point in its official document and asked public hospitals not to expand their scale (State Council of China 2014), it is unclear how far this reform will go on. Acknowledgements The authors thank for the constructive suggestions from anonymous referees. Funding 8 9 10 11 According to State Council of China (2010), the main purpose to implement separate management of income and expenditures in lower-level hospitals is to prevent doctors’ making profit from excessive prescribing and medical treatment, as well as new debt from investment. In China, family’s attitude is confirmed as one of the most important influential factor on professional choice by 67.46% of 47 170 freshmen from a survey (Fan 2009). Another barrier is Bianzhi. For the sake of budget control, the authority is usually reluctant to release Bianzhi to hospitals, no matter how profitable a hospital is. According to Cao’s (2014) estimation, amount of hospital with beds more than 800 have reached to 727, and there are more than 10 hospitals with beds more than 4000 until 2011. Also, the number of giant hospitals is rapidly increasing with the implementation of integration. This work was supported by China Scholarship Council from 2014-2015 to Z.S. Conflict of interest statement. None declared. Notes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Time price means that, if medical prices cannot adjust to reflect the scarcity of resources in high demand, patients have to wait longer, which creates an additional cost that must be paid by the consumer. Even some medical staff of lower-level hospitals were encouraged to supplement wages by pursuing secondary work with other hospital departments or running their own clinics while keeping their Bianzhi in lower-level hospitals. Bianzhi is a kind of staffing quota with a certain number of positions funded by the government. In China, all public hospitals are viewed as public institutions and there exists a two-tier employment system: one is of Bianzhi, where doctors usually enjoy more stable job and higher salary; the other is fully marketization and not as stable as employment within Bianzhi. Considering the methodological difficulties, caution should be exercised when using this international comparison. Although only data of 2005–12 are available, Table 2 gives some supports for the above international comparison result. This arrangement originated from MOH of China (2000), and it is firstly against hospital of county- and beyond level, where all the drug income must be forwarded to the authority and regain money upon a sophisticated model. The key is that, those hospitals with the highest profitability can gain certain ratio money they earned with the left being allocated to those with poor profitability. This can be called partial separation of income and expenditure management, because hospitals still could have more money if they earn more but cannot have all the money. This arrangement is said to reduce medical cost. In some provinces, many lower-level hospitals were restructured to non-public hospitals with limited government share or fully private hospitals. 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