HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL
MEMO RELEASE 2/10/2017 (UPDATE)
ELEMENTS
Population represented
Sample size
Mode of data collection
DETAILS
Adults in North Carolina
405 Adults in North Carolina
Telephone (landline and cellular telephones). Interviews
conducted in English.
Type of sample (probability/non- Probability, using RDD samples of landline and cellular
probability)
telephones generated by Survey Sampling International.
Landline respondents were randomly selected within
household by asking to speak with the person age 18 or
older who has had the most recent birthday.
Start and end dates of data
January 28 – February 3, 2017
collection
Margin of sampling error for total Approximately 4.9 percentage points for the all adult sample.
sample
Approximately 5.1 percentage points for the registered voter
sample. The margin of error is not adjusted for sample
weights.
Are the data weighted?
Yes, relative to U.S. Census (2014 American Community
Survey and Population Estimates Program) estimates for
age, race and gender; CDC estimates for phone usage (cell
only, landline only, or both); and North Carolina State Board
of Elections party registration statistics.
Survey sponsor and funded by
High Point University Survey Research Center, High Point, NC
Survey/Data collection supplier
Contact for more information
High Point University Survey Research Center. The Center is
located on the High Point University campus. Student
interviewers staff the 42 stations equipped with WinCati
computer assisted telephone interviewing systems.
Martin Kifer
Director, High Point University Survey Research Center
336-841-9333
[email protected]
Brian McDonald
Associate Director
336-841-9651
[email protected]
Attached is the full text of survey questions our interviewers asked. Interested parties can
access results from the survey at http://www.highpoint.edu/src and should contact the
Director of the Survey Research Center for additional information.
1
Survey questions: Below are questions the Survey Research Center fielded for this
study. They represent the text as read by the interviewers, plus options that
appeared to interviewers but were not offered to respondents (in parentheses).
Percentages may not add to 100 because of rounding. Percentages less than one
percent are denoted with a *
Registered Voter Screening
These days, many people are so busy they can’t find time to register to vote, or
move around so often they don’t get a chance to re-register. Are you NOW
registered to vote in your precinct or election district or haven’t you been able to
register so far?
Yes
No
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
92
8
*
n= 405
Registered Voters
100
0
n=373
Are you absolutely certain that you are registered to vote or is there a chance that
your registration has lapsed because you moved or some other reason?
Yes, absolutely certain
Chance registration has
lapsed
All Adults
92
0
n=373
Registered Voters
100
0
n=373
On November 8th, 2016, North Carolina held its general election for President, U.S.
Senate, U.S. House of Representatives and other offices. Did you vote or were you
unable to vote for some reason?
Yes
No
All Adults
91
9
n=373
2
Registered Voters
91
9
n=373
Direction of Country and Approval of Public Officials
Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do
you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?
Right direction
Wrong track
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
27
61
12
n= 405
Registered Voters
28
60
12
n=373
Would you say that the country is better off or worse off than it was eight years
ago?
Better off
Worse off
(About the same)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
36
49
6
10
n= 405
Registered Voters
36
48
6
10
n=373
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as
president?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
36
52
13
n= 405
Registered Voters
36
51
13
n=373
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Roy Cooper is handling his job as
Governor?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
46
21
33
n= 405
Registered Voters
47
22
31
n=373
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that the U.S. Congress is handling its job?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
23
60
18
n= 405
3
Registered Voters
23
61
16
n=373
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that the North Carolina General Assembly
is handling its job?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
27
41
32
n= 405
Registered Voters
28
43
29
n=373
Finances
We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would
you say that you and your family living there are better off or worse off financially
than you were a year ago?
Better Off
Worse Off
(Neither better nor
worse)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
43
21
34
2
n= 405
Registered Voters
44
20
34
2
n=373
Now looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you and your family living
there will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?
Better off
Worse off
Just about the same as
now
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
42
15
37
6
n= 405
Registered Voters
42
15
37
6
n=373
Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole, do you think that
during the next twelve months we’ll have good times financially, or bad times, or
what?
Good times
Bad times
Neither good nor bad,
both good and bad
(Good times with
qualifications)
(Bad times with
qualifications)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
41
32
9
Registered Voters
42
31
9
6
7
3
3
9
n=405
8
n=373
4
Donald Trump as President
Who do you want to see take the lead role in setting policy for the country -President Trump, Republicans in Congress, or Democrats in Congress?
President Trump
Republicans in Congress
Democrats in Congress
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
23
21
40
16
n=405
Registered Voters
23
22
40
16
n=373
As best you can tell, do you approve or disapprove of DONALD TRUMP's policies and
plans for the future?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
40
52
8
n=405
Registered Voters
41
52
7
n=373
Generally, do you think DONALD TRUMP will be successful or unsuccessful in getting
his programs passed into law?
Successful
Unsuccessful
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
67
23
9
n=405
Registered Voters
67
25
8
n=373
How concerned are you that Donald Trump’s relationships with organizations,
businesses or foreign governments conflict with his ability to serve the country’s
best interests? Are you …
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
45
14
16
23
1
n=405
5
Registered Voters
46
12
16
24
1
n=373
Roy Cooper as Governor
Who do you want to see take the lead role in setting policy for the state of North
Carolina -- Governor Cooper, Republicans in the General Assembly, or Democrats in
the General Assembly?
Governor Cooper
Republicans in the
General Assembly
Democrats in the General
Assembly
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
35
31
Registered Voters
34
33
24
24
10
n=405
9
n=373
As best you can tell, do you approve or disapprove of Roy Cooper's policies and
plans for the future?
Approve
Disapprove
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
46
19
35
n=405
Registered Voters
48
20
32
n=373
Generally, do you think Royal Cooper will be successful or unsuccessful in getting
his programs passed into law?
Successful
Unsuccessful
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
42
33
24
n=404
Registered Voters
42
35
23
n=372
Relations between Democrats and Republicans
Do you think relations between Republicans and Democrats in Washington will get
better this year, get worse, or stay the same as they are now?
Get better
Get worse
Stay about the same
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
21
53
24
2
N=405
6
Registered Voters
21
52
25
2
n=373
Do you think relations between Republicans and Democrats in Raleigh will get
better this year, get worse, or stay the same as they are now?
Get better
Get worse
Stay about the same
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
21
37
37
5
n=405
Registered Voters
21
38
36
5
n=373
Now, thinking about the American people as a whole after the 2016 elections, do
you think that people in the U.S. are more united, more divided, or not much
different than usual.
More united
More divided
Not much different than
usual
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
8
75
16
1
n=405
Registered Voters
7
75
17
1
n=373
Now, thinking about the people of North Carolina as a whole after the 2016
elections, do you think that people in North Carolina are more united, more divided,
or not much different than usual.
More united
More divided
Not much different than
usual
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
10
44
45
1
n=404
Registered Voters
10
44
45
1
n=372
Foreign Affairs
Now we would like to ask you some questions about foreign affairs issues. Do you
think it will be best for the future of the country if we take an active part in world
affairs, or if we stay out of world affairs?
Active part
Stay out
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
64
29
7
n=403
7
Registered Voters
65
29
7
n=371
Thinking about current U.S. relations with the rest of the world, would you say that
the world is becoming safer or more dangerous for the U.S. and the American
people?
Safer
More dangerous
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
10
85
5
n=403
Registered Voters
11
84
5
n=371
Now, I’d like your opinion about some possible international concerns for the U.S.
For each one please let me know if you think that it is a major threat, a minor
threat or not a threat to the well being of the United States....
All Adults (n=402)
Major
threat
Minor
threat
Not a
threat
(Don’t
know/
Refuse)
North Korea’s nuclear program
72
20
4
4
Russia’s power and influence
61
28
8
4
Jobs based in the U.S. moving overseas
60
26
10
4
Global climate change
55
23
19
3
China’s emergence as a world power
50
32
15
3
A large number of refugees leaving countries
like Iraq and Syria
44
33
19
4
The conflict between Israelis and Palestinians
39
40
15
6
8
Now, I’d like your opinion about some possible international concerns for the U.S.
For each one please let me know if you think that it is a major threat, a minor
threat or not a threat to the well being of the United States....
Registered Voters (n=373)
Major
threat
Minor
threat
Not a
threat
(Don’t
know/
Refuse)
North Korea’s nuclear program
73
19
4
4
Russia’s power and influence
61
28
8
4
Jobs based in the U.S. moving overseas
61
25
11
3
Global climate change
54
24
20
3
China’s emergence as a world power
51
31
15
3
A large number of refugees leaving countries
like Iraq and Syria
44
33
20
4
The conflict between Israelis and Palestinians
40
39
15
6
Demographics
Do you consider yourself to be of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin?
Yes
No
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
4
95
1
n=402
Registered Voters
3
96
1
n=370
What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
African-American or
Black
White or Caucasian
Native American
Asian
(Multiple or Other)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
21
70
2
1
2
3
N=405
Registered Voters
21
71
2
*
2
3
n=373
9
What is the last year of schooling you have completed?
(1-11 grade)
(High school graduate)
(Some college)
(College graduate)
(Graduate school)
(Don’t know/ Refused)
th
All Adults
4
17
21
36
21
*
n=402
Registered Voters
3
16
22
37
22
1
n=370
Are you, or is any member of your household, a member of the armed forces or a
veteran?
Yes
No
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
30
69
*
n=402
Registered Voters
31
68
*
n=370
Would you please stop me when I read the correct category for your total
household income?
All Adults
11
15
20
18
12
6
2
16
n=402
25 thousand dollars or less
25 to 50 thousand dollars
50 to 75 thousand dollars
75 to 100 thousand dollars
100 to 150 thousand dollars
150 to 250 thousand dollars
More than 250 thousand dollars
(Don’t know/Refuse)
Registered Voters
11
15
19
18
13
5
3
15
n=370
Do you have a gun in your home?
Yes
No
(Don’t know)
All Adults
47
48
5
n=402
10
Registered Voters
49
46
5
n=370
How often do you attend worship services? Would you say never, a few times a
year, a few times a month, almost every week, every week, or more than once a
week.
Never
A few times a year
A few times a month
Almost every week
Every week
More than once a week
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
19
25
17
11
17
8
3
n=405
Registered Voters
18
27
15
12
18
8
3
n=373
Would you describe yourself as a “born again” or evangelical Christian, or not?
Yes
No
(Don’t know)
All Adults
45
51
4
n=405
Registered Voters
46
50
4
n=373
In politics today, do you generally consider yourself as a Republican, a Democrat,
or what?
Democrat
Republican
(Independent/unaffiliated)
(Other)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
36
31
30
1
3
n=405
Registered Voters
35
32
30
1
3
n=370
Thinking about politics today, do you generally consider yourself to be very
conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, or very liberal?
Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate
Somewhat liberal
Very liberal
(Other)
(Don’t know/Refuse)
All Adults
10
26
32
16
12
*
3
n=402
11
Registered Voters
11
27
32
15
12
0
3
n=370
How would you best describe your current relationship status?
Single
All Adults
32
Engaged
Living with significant
other
Married
Widowed
(Don’t know/Refuse)
Registered Voters
31
3
5
4
5
53
5
1
n=402
54
5
1
n=370
Gender
Male
Female
All Adults
48
52
n=405
Registered Voters
49
51
n=373
Age (Calculated using birth year)
In what year were you born?
18
25
35
45
55
65
- 24
- 34
- 44
- 54
- 64
and older
All Adults
13
18
20
19
15
16
n=405
12
Registered Voters
12
17
20
20
16
17
n=373