E c o n o m i c W e l l - B e i n g S t r a t e g y F O R PA L M E R S T O N N O R T H JUNE 2010 2 This document was adopted by the Palmerston North City Council in June 2010. Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Introduction A strong, diverse and sustainable city economy is fundamental to Palmerston North’s future. In partnership with a strong social infrastructure and sound environmental management, the economy is central to creating a sustainable city. There is no single definition for what is meant by economic development but there is a strong consensus that the primary goal of economic development is improving community well-being. This is achieved mainly through increased employment and wealth, and improving the quality of life for residents. The importance of the economy is recognised by the Palmerston North City Council through the goals identified within the Long Term Council Community Plan (LTCCP). However, while the City Council is responsible for much of the infrastructure necessary for businesses to function, there are key roles for business itself, Horizons Regional Council and central government to ensure the economy thrives. Economic well-being is essential for the health, wealth and vitality of a city. To achieve it a number of different agencies - businesses, support agencies, national government and local government - all need to prioritise and focus their energies. This strategy is a tool that pulls together these different priorities while making best use of the talents and resources in the City, allowing 3 Palmerston North to fulfil its potential. Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Context Relationship to Sustainable City Strategy This strategy attempts to draw together the different economic drivers for the City, identifying which ones are the most important and creating clarity for all the impacting agencies. It is also clear that many of the economic drivers are regional, national or international and our influence will only be felt if we work collaboratively with partners to achieve common objectives. At this stage the strategy is concerned with the priorities and actions that need to be in place to maintain the City’s strong position. The issue of who is responsible for the actions will be resolved once the priorities are agreed. All of the Council’s strategies and plans developed under the LTCCP have an influence on the long term growth in employment and wealth in the City. Planning, community support, democracy and customer services, investments, leisure, regulatory, roading and parking, and water and waste all contribute to the success of local business. In addition, economic leadership and strategy development is a primary function of the Council, so it is appropriate that the elected Council for the City agree a longterm strategy to ensure the economic well-being of the City. Palmerston North is recognised as a vibrant, caring, creative and sustainable city. City Goals: Organisational Goals: • Palmerston North is a city where people want to live because of its easy lifestyle and its many social, economic and leisure opportunities. • Palmerston North City Council is financially responsible and residents are satisfied that they get value for money from their rates. • Palmerston North is a leading city in the quest to become environmentally sustainable. • • Palmerston North is a city which attracts, fosters and retains businesses because of the creativity and innovation of its education, research and knowledge base. Palmerston North City Council understands the many views of the City’s people and those people understand what the Council is doing and why. 2007 Economic Development Strategy The 2007 City Economic Development Strategy identified the need to better understand the local economy and significant work has been done, which informs this strategy. In particular a series of sector profiles provide a better understanding of the different components of the Palmerston North economy and the contribution each sector makes to the demographic and economic growth of the region. Sector profiles already completed include defence, the not-for-profit sector and the research, science and technology sector (available at www.pncc.govt.nz, enter ‘sector profiles’ into search.) 4 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 The completion of these profiles and the ‘Longterm Projections for Palmerston North’ report has already proved valuable for analysing, reviewing and developing an enhanced understanding of opportunities for improving economic outcomes in Palmerston North. Relationship to the Regional Economic Development Strategy Work on preparing the new strategy has identified strong growth in the economic linkages between the City and the surrounding local authorities over the last decade, with an increased share of the City’s workforce now coming from outside the City. The City is recognised as a significant driver of economic growth in the region, however, there is recognition that the region’s rural economy is an important contributor to growth of incomes in the City. This interdependence will be recognised in the review of the Regional Economic Development Strategy. This City strategy is the first step in defining the City’s contribution to the region’s future economic prosperity. The regional strategy will identify, define and further cement the economic linkages between the City and the region. Current Situation Palmerston North has experienced strong economic growth since 2000 while changes in social indicators for the City, such as recorded crime, health outcomes, registered beneficiaries and social deprivation, have also been positive. Longer-term population growth in the City has been weaker than the average for New Zealand but employment growth and growth in earnings by employees have matched national growth levels. Longer-term projections of future population growth suggest Palmerston North is likely to grow more strongly than similar sized cities. The ‘Long-term Projections for Palmerston North’ report contains the detailed analysis that produced this information, but in summary we know that: In 2007 the GDP of the City was estimated to be $3.3 billion. In February 2010 there were 46,660 people in employment. The biggest employment sectors are; • health care and social assistance, The Statistics New Zealand projections for demographic change from 2006 to 2031 suggest significant change is ahead for the City, including: • The current population of 80,000 is expected to grow to 94,000 by 2031. • Our population is aging but not as quickly as other parts of New Zealand. • Proportionately there will be significant increases in the Maori, Pacific Island and Asian populations living in the City. • The average household size is set to decline from 2.6 to 2.3 people. • One-person households will account for 31% of households in 2031 compared with 24% currently. • There are expected to be 9,300 additional households in the City by 2031. • Employment is projected to rise by 19,900 (43% increase). • Key growth sectors over the next 25 years are likely to be; • health care and social assistance, • retail trade, • logistics - wholesale trade, transport, postage and warehousing, • professional, scientific and technical services, and • education and training, • retail trade, • public administration defence), Latest figures have unemployment levels at 8.1% (Manawatu-Whanganui region, December 2009 quarter), with a high concentration of 15 to 24 year olds out of the job market. There were 1,121 people on unemployment benefits in Palmerston North in December 2009, with 39% of these in the 18 to 24 age group. The City has a significant number of people with a disability. In December 2009 1,944 people in the City were receiving the invalids benefit, 2.3% of national invalid benefits, while its share of the national population is 1.9%. and safety (includes • logistics, and, • construction. In the year ended June 2009 total earnings by employees in Palmerston North were $1.9 billion. • public administration and safety The education, research and defence sectors are not likely to grow as fast as these key growth sectors but they will still remain key sectors for the City economy. The projected employment growth is 4,400 higher than population growth over the same time period. This will require a further increase in labour force participation rates from within the City and an increase in the number of people commuting to work from outside the City. 5 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Economic Drivers The UK based Improvement and Development Agency has identified six key drivers that contribute to improvements in economic prosperity. Each of these drivers has been broken down into a number of subheadings, offering a comprehensive approach to driving increased economic prosperity. The drivers are: Driver One Enhancing quality of life Driver Two Maximising connectivity Driver Three Raising skills and increasing participation in work Driver Four Stimulating investment Driver Five Supporting priority sectors Driver Six Improving business performance These drivers are the responsibility of local, regional and central government, their agencies and businesses themselves. The model is being used to help focus thinking and actions on what is most important for the Palmerston North economy. The model allows for national and regional economic issues to be considered within the context of a local economy. The drivers have been reordered from the original list, based on feedback from Councillors on the priorities for action. Vision Manawatu and Destination Manawatu have been the primary organisations tasked with the implementation of actions developed under previous City economic development strategies. A concurrent review of Vision Manawatu and Destination Manawatu is also based on a wider scope for economic development than previous economic development strategies and is likely to result in changes in the roles of both organisations. 6 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Drivers Driver One: Enhancing Quality of Life Sub-drivers • Strengthening the community • Improving the quality and supply of housing • Enhancing the quality of the City environment and green space • Strengthening the competitiveness of the City Centre Current Situation Research shows that quality of life is an important factor in the decisions people make about where they will work so can be important in attracting and retaining skilled people in the City. The 2009 City Images survey suggests there is a growing difference between resident’s perceptions of the City and the perceptions of people who have not visited the City within the past five years. Increased ratings compared with the previous survey in 2005 were recorded by residents for “being a city with good, interesting jobs”, “being a progressive go-ahead, vibrant city” and “being a likeable, friendly city”. Palmerston North is a major shopping hub for the southern North Island and is capturing an increasing share of national retail turnover and retail employment. Its closest competitors are Paraparaumu, Hastings and Porirua. It is ranked 10th most visited place in the country. District Plan Change 43 and the Urban Design strategy will help to ensure the City continues to have a vibrant and attractive central business district. The City has 179 citywide and local reserves and sports fields. The total area is 642 ha or about 8 hectares per 1,000 people. The City’s cultural facilities include Te Manawa (City Museum, Art Gallery and Science Centre), Regent on Broadway, Globe Theatre, Creative Sounds, Square Edge, the Library, the Square and the New Zealand Rugby Museum. The City Square has won urban design honours in the 2009 Western Architecture Awards. Te Manawa is set for a significant refurbishment, along with the Globe Theatre. A partnership of agencies is bidding to bring a national cycling velodrome to the City. The City hosts a number of top level sports teams including the Turbos, the Jets, Young Heart Manawatu and teams with a wider regional coverage such as the Central Districts / Central Stags cricket team and Central Pulse netball team. Plans are in place for a new reserve as the City grows and funding is provided in the LTCCP for improved indoor sports facilities. The City has a mixed quality of housing stock with 26,723 houses, at an average sales value of $285,000 (QV, December 2009), well below the national average of $404,671. Housing affordability is better than in most regions but since 2003 house prices in the City have increased faster than national house prices. The private rental sector has been described as robust, whilst Housing New Zealand, with over 1,200 properties, is by far the largest provider of social housing in the City. 7 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Household projections prepared by Statistics New Zealand suggest that half of the projected City household growth between 2006 and 2031 will be single person households. However, the average floor area for residential building consents has increased from 142m2 in the year ended June 1991 to 220m2 in the year ended June 2009, an increase of 78m2 (49% increase) even though the average number of occupants per household is reducing. Consents for just 200 apartments were approved between 1991 and 2009, mostly in retirement villages in the City. A housing needs assessment is taking place to understand future housing demand better. The Not-for-Profit Sector Profile for Palmerston North identified that the community sector was a significant contributor to GDP and employment in the City. There are an estimated 1,758 not-for-profit organisations in the City, with total employees of 3,083 and an estimated direct contribution to GDP of $105 million (Council estimates). Ascribing an economic value to the voluntary labour contributed to not-for-profit institutions adds a further $95 million to estimated economic activity in the City (based on an estimated 7.8 million volunteer hours in the City). The City Council is in the process of developing Community House, affording the opportunity for voluntary and community organisations to share accommodation, thus reducing their overheads and increasing their joined-up work. In September 2009 21.5% of Palmerston North children aged under 15 years were dependant on recipients of an MSD benefit. Support services for migrants assist the families and particularly spouses of employed migrants to find meaningful work in the City and to feel accepted in the community. Analysis Skills shortages in the City and the difficulties some business have had with attracting new staff to the region identified the importance of quality of life factors in assisting in the growth of the City. The City Images survey has also identified a widening difference between the image of the City by residents and its image among visitors and people who have not visited the City within the past five years. The City appears to have a strong and vibrant voluntary and community sector, but further work needs to be done to identify its strengths and weaknesses. There is no obvious picture of the level of corporate social responsibility undertaken by the private sector. The Sustainable City Strategy will identify the most effective way forward for the community sector. 8 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 There is adequate private and rented housing in the City at the moment and there are a range of social housing providers. The City Council’s Residential Review will create housing zones that will identify an additional 175 ha of land to create up to 1,800 new homes. A housing needs assessment is underway that will identify how we can ensure the City has the right size and type of housing for its future generations. The District Plan and Urban Design reviews offer the City Council the opportunity to consider changes which can encourage increased housing density while enhancing the quality of housing. The City has excellent parks and reserves, with immediate local access to open space in the mountains. Work needs to continue to ensure a wider biodiversity within the City and its environs in the future. This is being addressed by the Sustainable City Strategy. Similarly, for a regional city, Palmerston North has excellent cultural and leisure facilities. Further new facilities, improvements and upgrades are identified in the outdoor recreation strategy, arts strategy and indoor recreation strategy. The City’s retail sector has recovered quickly from the recession. District Plan Change 43 is intended to consolidate the City centre as the prime focus for retail activity. Support for the retail sector is identified in the Supporting Priority Sectors driver. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like Palmerston North’s neighbourhoods and communities are stronger and more resilient Development of a social strategy as part of the Sustainable City Strategy Reductions in social deprivation indicators Department of Internal Affairs, Ministry of Social Development, other social agencies and nongovernment organisation programmes Increased participation in community activities Affordable, healthy housing is available for all District Plan review Housing affordability improves relative to national indicators Urban Design Strategy Median rents increase more slowly than national indicators The quality of rental accommodation improves Urban population density has increased The City provides a high quality environment and green space Outdoor Recreation Strategy Indoor Recreation Strategy Urban Design Strategy The City has a vibrant and attractive central business district and suburban shopping centres Plan Change 43 amendments to the District Plan Parking strategy Promotion of the cultural precinct concept through the District Plan Urban Design Strategy The City supports access to cultural institutions and visitor attractions Arts Strategy Visitors strategy Active recreation increases for City residents Surveys of ratepayers show a high level of satisfaction with recreation facilities, parks and reserves Surveys of ratepayers show a high level of satisfaction with services and safety in public spaces Increased development and promotion of visitor and cultural attractions to residents, workers and visitors Increased number of arts and cultural activities in the City Urban Design Strategy 9 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Driver Two: Maximising Connectivity Sub-drivers • Improving transport and accessibility • Improving local, regional and international connectivity • Improving communications infrastructure Current Situation Good communications infrastructure is critical for any city. Not only do people expect to get around quickly and easily, but advances in technology mean that modern cities of the future will have ultrafast broadband connections to allow greater workplace flexibility and speedier transfer of business information. Residents will expect to live in cities where they can access Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) based communications, digital TV and instant internet access. The City Council manages 472 kms of roads, 505 km of footpaths and 65 bridges as well as the associated street lighting and car parks. The current value of these assets is $372 million. Council investment of $173 million is planned over the next 20 years, based on a projected average annual population growth of 0.7%. Palmerston North is less than two hours drive from Wellington, two hours from the Hawkes Bay, and two and a half hours from New Plymouth. Hence transport and warehousing is one of the faster growing sectors in the City, with significant businesses in product warehousing and distribution, road freight, rail and air services. The National Land Transport Programme 2009-2012 for the Manawatu-Whanganui region notes that as the largest centre in the region, Palmerston North remains a key focus of planning for growth. The New Zealand Transport Agency is committed to supporting industrial and commercial development around Palmerston North with a roading network that serves these developments. Work is also planned to explore the future need for a rural ring road around the City. 10 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Increasing energy costs and the inevitability of demand for oil exceeding supply means urgency needs to be given to actions which will reduce the region’s dependence on fossil fuels to ensure the security of future economic development. Numerous reports have attempted to predict future oil demand, with a range of different scenarios suggested. The Ministry for Economic Development suggest that retail petrol and diesel costs will increase by anywhere between 2% and 18% between now and 2015, whilst other suggestions are of a much greater increase in prices. Currently a low proportion of road user funds collected from road user charges and petrol taxes in the region are reallocated to roading and public transport projects in the region. The National Land Transport Programme (NLTP) will allocate an estimated $7.3 billion for roading infrastructure and transport initiatives between 2009 and 2012, of which $282 million is allocated to the Manawatu-Whanganui region, 3.9% of total funding (the region has a 5.3% population share). The region ranks 13th (out of 14 regions) for per capita roading infrastructure and transport initiatives expenditure, 10th for expenditure as a share of regional GDP, 14th for expenditure as a share of travel km, 10th for expenditure as a share of State highway length and 8th for expenditure as a share of local road length. However, the City will benefit from the upgrade to SH1 from Wellington through to Levin, reducing the driving times from Wellington. An effective public transport system is fundamental to any city and Palmerston North is no exception. The local bus service operates on a ‘spoke and hub’ model. The frequency of bus services during peak times has been increased from once every 35 minutes to once every 20 minutes. Approximately 85% of the City’s urban population has a bus stop within 400 metres, (5 minutes walking distance) of their house. Bus usage data shows passenger growth of 10% over the last two years (to December 2009) years for City services, aided by Massey University and UCOL support for free travel for students and increased urban bus use. However, waiting times are still longer than is desirable for an effective public transport service and the service to the industrial zones is poor. Implementation of plans for a new bus terminal will enhance bus usage, although external funding has still to be secured. Although the City is a regional hub for bus services across the country the commuter bus connections to the adjacent commuter zones of Feilding, Bulls, Otaki, Shannon, and Woodville are limited to 10 services per day to Feilding, one service a day to Marton and one service to Levin. The City has the potential to be the cycling capital of New Zealand. Its flat geography, wide roads and compact structure make cycling a real option for many residents. The health benefits of cycling are well recognised. The Wellington commuter rail service from Palmerston North, which crosses from one regional council area into another, does not currently receive any passenger subsidies. The service only provides one service per day and there is currently some uncertainty over its future. The airport is recognised by Horizons’ Regional Transport Policy Statement as a ‘physical resource of regional and national importance’. It has 10 flights daily to Auckland and a comprehensive range of flights to other regional centres. International flights connected the City directly to Australia until March 2008 and there is a concerted effort to restore such a service. The airport has a catchment of 288,000 people within a 60 to 70 minute drive* and there are compelling arguments that there remains a strong business case for trans-Tasman services. The provision of an international link to Australia from Rotorua demonstrates that regional cites can provide international services. The intended improvements to Paraparaumu Airport will reduce customer demand in Palmerston North on some regional flights. There are numerous different providers of broadband in the City, but only a few pockets of the City have access to ultra-fast broadband (100Mb/sec). The Council is keen to keep cabling underground. The government are currently reviewing the best way to invest $1.5 billion in ultrafast broadband across the country. Analysis The City has an excellent central location, with connectivity a key factor in the City’s prosperity. The anticipated rises in fuel prices will create opportunities and challenges for the City’s economy. Sustained high prices for petrol and diesel are likely to motivate gradual but sustained shifts in travel and land use patterns, characterised by an increase in alternative transport modes and denser land use patterns. Completion of the rural ring road will reduce city centre congestion, allowing a more pedestrian friendly city to be created. Improving the current public transport set-up is a high priority for the City. An enhanced bus service would build on the strengths of the existing road network, providing a flexible framework that would meet economic, environmental and social needs. Proposals to develop an eco-friendly public transport system are contained in the Sustainable City Strategy. An enhanced bus terminal will add value to the City’s future public transport infrastructure Improving strategic roading networks within the region and improved rail freight services are also very important to ensure Palmerston North maintains its position as a major regional city in New Zealand. The City receives less than a proportional share of NLTP funding. This is limiting potential improvements to public transport frequency and resulting in delays in improvements in the strategic roading network in the City and region. The City needs a strategic analysis of the potential for the railway line, rail station and associated goods yard as a key facility for the City and sub-region. The airport offers significant potential for economic growth by increasing the number of visitors to the City and encouraging businesses to relocate to the City. In addition, the reintroduction of international flights will reduce the costs of overseas holidays for local residents and offer improved international connections for new migrants. However, any expansion of the airport needs to take into account RMA restrictions on noise impacts for residents. 11 * Whanganui, Rangitikei, Manawatu, Tararua, Horowhenua, Kapiti Coast and Masterton Districts and Palmerston North City Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Accessing ultra-fast broadband will improve business efficiency and enable more home-based working. A modern city that attracts new people, particularly new migrants, will need ultra-fast broadband. VoIP is an example of a new technology using broadband that allows for the routing of phone calls over existing data networks to avoid the need for separate voice and data networks. Improved broadband speed will enhance quality of life by increasing access to digital TV and internet based services for households and faster data transfer for businesses. This is particularly important for the enhancement of a knowledge based economy and sectors such as research and development. Improving broadband speed is an element in attracting international migrants and students to the City and attracting staff in areas where skills shortages are still being experienced. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like Transport flows around the City more efficiently Outer ring road is completed Businesses reduce costs. More businesses are attracted to the City because of transport links and infrastructure The proportion of local road user funding spent in the region increases from 60% to 80% Strategic roading network plan Strategic roading network improvements in the region are progressed more quickly A sustainably powered public transport service operates in the City Case accepted by central government to reallocate funding Sustainable City strategy identifies public transport plan Public transport systems are better funded Annual bus passenger trips increase to more than one million by 2012 Local bus service frequency increases to 15 minutes The maximum walking distance for all urban residents to bus stops is 400 metres Reduction in greenhouse gas emissions for public transport services More people walk and cycle to get around the City Regional bus services are improved for commuters, shoppers and people accessing health, education and other services in the City Sustainable City Strategy will identify the need for the active transport strategy to be reviewed in 2012 The proportion of people cycling or walking to work increases Urban Design Strategy City greenhouse gas emissions decrease Parking strategy Land use is improved in the City New bus terminal is completed by 2012/13 Improved connection between domestic and regional services Bus services align with working hours for regular and shift workers Annual bus passenger trips increase Improved frequency of inter-regional bus services More people use rail services to get to and from the City Full cost benefit study is made to examine options Passenger rail trips increase Maintain the frequency of domestic flights to Auckland and Christchurch Airport attracts and retains suitable domestic air services Current frequency is maintained or increased International flights recommence to and from Palmerston North Airport attracts suitable international air services Regular international flights to and from the City Broadband infrastructure completed across the City Full use of government broadband funding All businesses, institutions and households have access to broadband at 100 Mbps 12 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Driver Three: Raising Skills and Increasing Participation in Work Sub-drivers • Addressing barriers to work • Improving basic skills and employability • Encouraging local recruitment development opportunities and • Raising educational attainment and higher skills levels • Supporting workforce development, including the volunteer sector Current Situation Employment in the City has increased by 8,600 jobs in the last nine years (23% increase) while the City population has increased by 5,200 people. Employee earnings in the City increased by 70% between 2000 and 2008, matching national growth of 72% over the same period. The number of people registered for the unemployment benefit has varied from 439 people in December 2007 to 1,121 in December 2009. The total number of people receiving any type of benefit has increased by 1,284 (24%) over this time (the beneficiary data does not include recipients of New Zealand Superannuation). Young people have been particularly affected by the recent recession with currently 371 young people (18 to 24 age group) in the City registered unemployed. This compares to the 115 people in this age group two years ago. While school leaver numbers declined between 2008 and 2009, in response to the economic recession, school leaver qualifications data suggest there was little change in the number of school leavers without any qualification, increasing their proportion of total school leavers in the City. The Ministry of Social Development (MSD) skills shortages survey was discontinued in 2008 and has only recently been replaced by a new series with data from September 2009. It will be at least a year before useful trend information is available from the new series. However, some businesses still continue to report difficulties attracting skilled staff despite the significant increase in unemployment over the last 18 months. The earlier skills shortages survey showed significant difficulty in filling vacancies, even in relatively low skilled positions such as care assistants and retail positions. School leaver attainment statistics for 2007 and 2008 show the City lags slightly behind national attainment levels. Maori attainment levels in the City are better than the national averages for Maori but the results for European/Pākehā in the City are lower than the national average. Improving attainment levels is a key national goal and requires high levels of coordination between schools and support agencies in the City. The Vision Manawatu business retention and expansion survey of Manawatu businesses in 2008 identified that only 30% of businesses had conducted a formal training needs analysis for their organisation where they have assessed the future training needs for each position. However high levels of training opportunities were offered to their employees. Level of training available for each employee On-the job training 96% of businesses External courses 70% Workshops/seminars/conferences 58% In-house courses 46% Apprenticeships 33% Polytechnic courses 27% University courses 15% Online courses or e-learning 13% Only 2% of employers did not offer any training in the last year while 37% offered 20 or more hours of training each year. Annual hours of training for each employee 0 hours 2% 1 to 10 hours 28% 11 to 20 hours 33% 21 to 30 hours 15% 31 hours and over 22% 13 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Analysis MSD funding has been provided for three years for the development of a Manawatu Region Labour Market Strategy through Vision Manawatu. A facilitator has been employed to develop an effective labour market network consisting of community representatives, businesses, training providers, education institutions and government agencies within the Manawatu. MSD is the key agency which works with beneficiaries, assisting them to become ready for employment. Youth Transition Services, which is funded by MSD, is an example of one of the agencies which work with young people needing training and employment support. The Youth Taskforce is currently coordinating efforts to increase employment of young people. The Trades Connections programme, which is currently delivered through Vision Manawatu, assists with encouraging students to consider technology and trades career paths and links businesses with apprentices and young people interested in careers in the trades. Palmerston North is well placed with a wide range of tertiary providers located in the City (20 registered tertiary providers and a number of significant Industry Training Organisations (ITOs)). Recent changes in central government funding policies are creating some uncertainty over future growth in student numbers, with the cap on funding limiting the ability of tertiary institutions to respond to higher enrolments as a result of the 2009 recession. There were just over 10,000 full-time equivalent tertiary students in the City in 2008. The Integrated Education Guardian Group is funded by Council and offers opportunities for joint marketing by schools and tertiary education providers to international students and improved linkages between schools and post-school education and training providers. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like Barriers to work are effectively addressed Improved data on benefit take up and employment growth in the City Unemployment benefit levels are lower than the national average Migrants are assisted to access childcare, language training and employment placement services High workforce participating levels among recent migrants Basic skills and employability are improving Adult education providers offer basic skills and employability training Average wage rates for City residents are improving compared with national wage rates Young people move readily from school to work and training Local employers are effectively linked with secondary schools Skills shortages in the City are reduced Youth Taskforce delivers on aspirations Youth unemployment decreases Improved linkages between schools and postschool education and training providers Educational attainment is increased Maori educational attainment is addressed through the Maori Economic Development Strategy Manawatu Labour Market Strategy NCEA achievement levels are increased Maori NCEA achievement levels increase faster than for the general population The proportion of people with postschool qualifications increases The proportion of Maori with postschool qualifications increases Workforce development is encouraged Training programmes encourage businesses to focus on skills development and training The proportion of people with postschool qualifications increases More international students are attracted to the City Promotional activities to international students and visitors are undertaken International student numbers increase from 1,200 FTE Tertiary education businesses in the Manawatu are enhanced 14 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Driver Four: Stimulating Investment Sub-drivers • Develop and promote sites and premises • Develop trade and promote access to markets • Manage public assets to support economic growth • Coordinate social infrastructure investment • Undertaking branding and marketing Current Situation The District Plan identified that in 2006, 6% of the City was zoned for commercial and industrial activity. Faster than expected uptake of industrial land use has resulted in a review of the land currently available in the North-Eastern Industrial Zone. The need for a further 105 ha to be added to the existing zone (45 hectares within the Palmerston North city boundary and 60 ha in Manawatu district) is subject to a joint study by Palmerston North City Council and Manawatu District Council. As at December 2008 73 ha of the 95 ha existing North-Eastern Industrial Zone was vacant. The fringe business zone provides sufficient capacity for large format retailing for the foreseeable future. The research and innovation hub around the Massey campus, including the recent food hub is an excellent example of how clustering activities can bring shared benefits. New Zealand Trade and Enterprise is the primary funder of programmes to assist the development of competitive export businesses in the City and provides information on potential markets. Some of these programmes are delivered through Vision Manawatu and others directly through the Palmerston North office of New Zealand Trade and Enterprise (NZTE). NZTE currently spends over $2 million a year in the City and wider region supporting business development and exporting. Vision Manawatu has been successful in bringing significant Foundation of Research, Science and Technology (FoRST) grant funding to businesses in the region. In addition to the roading infrastructure identified earlier the City has significant investment in water supply systems and waste treatment facilities. The Council annual budget for new capital investment and asset renewals is $38 million. The Council has Asset Management Plans in place for all its facilities and infrastructure to ensure there is effective maintenance, repair and replacement of all physical infrastructure. Plans are in place to develop a rural ring road to enhance the City’s transport infrastructure. The Bio Commerce Centre established the Manawatu Investment Group in 2007 to be active in seed-stage investment in the Manawatu region. The Manawatu Investment Group considers investment propositions where there is potential for a relationship beyond the capital investment (an active investment), proof of technical feasibility and product development is advanced and there is a clear market opportunity. The Council has identified further investment in its leisure and cultural facilities as well as the City’s social infrastructure with the plans to develop the Community House. The establishment of a Social Well Being Forum in 2007 identified key issues for the City as safety, transport, youth, housing and support for service providers. Palmerston North has achieved strong economic growth since 2000 but there still appears to be limited awareness by businesses, central government and local residents of the strength of growth of the local economy or the size of the economic base of the City. A Council City Marketing Strategy was approved in October 2007 but implementation of the strategy has been limited due to the withdrawal of funding in the 2009/19 LTCCP. The 2009 City Images survey suggests the perception of Palmerston North by City residents has improved but there has not been any improvement in how the City is perceived by people who have not visited the City recently. 15 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Analysis Resolution of the boundary constraint with Manawatu District Council in the North East Industrial Zone will release significant areas for new commercial and industrial investment. Vision Manawatu was the pioneer of the Smart Business Acceleration course, which started in 2003 and is funded by New Zealand Trade and Enterprise (NZTE). An evaluation of the course established that it had been valuable in supporting stronger growth in the 70 businesses which have been through the course locally. The City Council has identified its infrastructure needs for the next 20 years based on 0.7% average annual population growth. Further work will need to be done in the 2012 – 2022 LTCCP to take account of increases in vehicle fuel prices, reduced second-hand vehicle imports, an increase in public transport usage and reduction in parking availability. Improved marketing of the City is still required to attract new businesses to the City and increased migration of people to the City to meet skill shortages. Across New Zealand councils have not been perceived as business friendly, with the Business New Zealand – KPMG Compliance Cost Survey consistently rating local authorities among the least helpful government organisations. The survey is too small to provide adequate data to allow for a comparison of Palmerston North with other Councils. The Council Business Friendly Plan aims to increase the understanding of Council staff of the needs of businesses and the opportunity for the Council to facilitate high quality development in the City. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like Sufficient land is available to meet industrial and commercial demands over the next 50 years Discussions on North East Industrial Zone are completed An increase in the number of businesses and employment City businesses expand into new markets regionally, nationally and internationally Training, information and support is available for businesses seeking to expand into new markets Plan Change 43 to the District Plan is implemented (inner and outer business zones) An increase in the number of businesses and employment in export oriented sectors Businesses are able to access central government business training and research and development funding, business networks and trade collaboration Roading, water and sewerage, electricity and telecommunications infrastructure is responsive to increased demand and sustainability issues Asset management plans reflect long-term growth projections for the City Development contributions are reviewed every three years to ensure contribution levels remain appropriate Electricity and telecommunications lines companies are well informed on growth rates and growth projections for the City Infrastructure is responsive to population and economic growth in the City The social, cultural and recreational infrastructure meets local needs Social strategy, outdoor recreation strategy, indoor recreation strategy, arts strategy are implemented Residents believe that there are places to go and things to do Effective communication with local businesses and employers and potential investors Improvements in the level of Council contact with the business sector through business friendly forums and other forums and regular contact with individual businesses An increase in the proportion of businesses which consider the Council is business friendly Regular communication of data on economic trends in the City 16 An increase in the proportion of developers who consider the Council is business friendly The potential economic development contribution of Council initiatives is identified in Council strategy documents Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Vulnerable people are supported An increase in the number of businesses receiving the Manawatu Monthly Economic Update and Manawatu Economic Outlook reports Driver Five: Supporting Priority Sectors Sub-drivers • Developing growth sectors and established clusters of firms • Promoting not-for-profit enterprises • Developing networks, inter-firm trading and supply chains • Promoting procurement opportunities Current Situation The development of sector profiles by the City Council has helped increase understanding of the local economy and the sectors which will contribute more to economic growth in the future. Major employment sectors (by industrial classification) in the City are: Major sector Employee count (Feb 2009) Employee earnings (year to June 2008) $ million Education and Training 5,900 275 Health Care and Social Assistance 7,030 245 Public Administration and Safety (including defence) 4,850 223 Retail Trade (including accommodation and food services) 7,930 202 Logistics (wholesale trade, transport, postal and warehousing) 4,520 183 Construction 3,490 162 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 2,690 132 Manufacturing 2,980 129 Administrative and Support Services 2,160 59 Other Sectors 5,003 178 Total 46,553 1,788 Employment in health care and social assistance increased by 38% between 2000 and 2009, contributing nearly one quarter of the employment growth in the City. Strong growth is expected in the sector due to ongoing growth in spending on health services, some consolidation of specialist services from neighbouring district health boards and increased aging of the population. It is not expected that there will be significant increases in employment in the education or defence sectors, although their contribution to the City will still be vital, particularly through the migration of young people to the City. The research and development sector has been identified as a significant part of the City’s economy, with an estimated 2360 full-time equivalent (fte) jobs and 5.9% of total salaries paid in the City in 2008. The sector cuts across the industrial sector classification, with significant numbers of employees in the education and the professional, scientific and technical services sectors. It is anticipated that the research and development sector will grow, with increased collaboration between research institutes, growth in the Massey University post-graduate programme and continuing growth in business R&D investment. 17 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 The Bio Commerce Centre and Vision Manawatu play key roles in ensuring more of the new technology developed in Palmerston North is commercialised locally, creating employment opportunities in sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing and information and communications technology. The development of “green technology” is a real possibility as the City seeks to develop itself and its image as a sustainable City. Other important growth sectors for the City include: Logistics - the freight and distribution sector has been an important contributor to employment growth in the City, and has been expanding significantly faster than national growth rates in the sector. Visitors - the City was ranked as the 10th most visited centre in the country and has experienced strong growth in the number of overnight visitor nights. Retailing and Business and Professional services - the City has a 2.6% share of national retail sales and has experienced an increase in this share in recent years. The Sustainable City Strategy will identify the need for the City to have robust not-for-profit enterprises (which also covers a range of activities across the industrial classification), including providers of social services and community-based environmental activities. Networks for the defence, education, tourism and retail sectors are already established. The physical clustering of a number of the Crown research institutes, joint venture research institutes and commercial research centres around Massey University has contributed to the creation of the food science hub in the City. These networks assist with the sharing of knowledge and the development of contacts in key markets. Formation of clusters assists the provision of specialised support for the businesses participating in the cluster. Informal clusters also exist for other sectors such as the call centres based in Palmerston North. Encouraging use of local products and services helps keep money in the Manawatu and has been promoted proactively by the Manawatu Chamber of Commerce member discounts scheme and the development of a discount scheme for defence personnel. 18 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Analysis With a major regional public hospital, two private hospitals and strong ancillary health services the City is well placed to develop its health sector provision. The education and defence sectors are not expected to grow as strongly as other sectors but play an important role in bringing people to Palmerston North and will continue to be significant contributors to the City economy for the foreseeable future. They are however subject to change of government policy and the City needs to keep a watchful eye on how government changes can impact on the City. The City’s central location suggests that the transport and warehousing sectors will continue to grow strongly as the merits of distribution of products from Palmerston North are increasingly recognised. Other sectors are likely to also experience growth in employment but this growth will mostly be in response to increased population and employment in the City. This means that the priority sectors will be health and social care (such as retirement villages), education, defence, logistics (warehousing and transport), research, and retailing and business services. There is room for improved networking and skill sharing within these priority sectors and opportunities for additional clusters to support growth in the priority sectors. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like Priority sectors are developed and enhanced Business utilises specialised business support and information Growth in health, logistics (warehousing and transport), research and development, retail and business services, education and defence and their associated industries Support networks of businesses in priority sectors Links between research institutions and priority sectors City actively recruits new business in priority sectors New businesses are relocating to the City The District Plan and transport strategies support the growth and retention of key industries Not-for-profit enterprises are a key part of the City Social strategy Growth in not-for-profit enterprises in the City Improved networking , skill-sharing and inter-firm trading Expansion of the use of the Chamber of Commerce member discount scheme model The number of businesses participating in networking and sharing opportunities increases Events and programmes to market and promote local supply chain takes place Links between business and higher education institutions support technology transfer, exploitation of research and graduate skills Increased inter-company trading Trade Fairs and information sharing networks take place More companies utilise Manawatu companies in their supply chain 19 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Driver Six: Improving Business Performance Sub-drivers • Increasing business formation and survival • Encouraging productivity innovation and improving • Increasing environmental sustainability • Developing new markets • Supporting and retaining key firms Current Situation In February 2009 there were 7,316 active enterprises in the City. Employment in Palmerston North is more strongly concentrated in large institutions, with 42% of the City’s workforce employed in institutions with 100 staff or more compared with 30% nationally. Conversely, only 55% of Palmerston North businesses do not employ staff compared with the national proportion of 65%. There has also been a slower increase in the number of these small businesses than nationally (18% increase between 2000 and 2009 in Palmerston North and 30% increase nationally). In the last eight years the City has seen 7,362 new enterprise “births”, and 6,105 enterprises “deaths”. Most enterprise “deaths” involve few employees, with 6,102 jobs lost between 2001 and 2009 as a result of the 6,105 enterprise “deaths”. The City has a robust research and development sector and funding is provided by Council to assist the Bio Commerce Centre to encourage innovation. The Centre raises money and injects cash into local technology businesses, provides support and business mentoring to start-up and early-stage companies and solves industry problems by transferring new technologies from the lab to the marketplace. Information is not available on the environmental sustainability of City firms. Toyota is an international leader in developing and using green technology in its processes while the Herb Farm won the national ‘Small & Medium Business Trailblazer’ Award at the NZI Sustainable Business Awards. Massey University aspires to establish a School of Environmental Sustainability. The volume of City recycling has increased and petrol sales volumes have changed little over the last 12 years, despite strong growth in employment and moderate population growth over that period. 20 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 New Zealand Trade and Enterprise is the primary funder of support that encourages companies to work collectively to identify new markets and also funds business training programmes. Lean manufacturing initiatives involve minimising input costs such as raw materials, energy and labour and minimising waste and inefficient processes and systems. This leads to reduction in direct costs (including raw materials and stock), rework and reduced warranty claims and leads to improved worker output and satisfaction. The Council provides financial support for International Education Manawatu and Destination Manawatu, which coordinates tourism marketing for its members. The City has a formal Sister-City relationship with Missoula, Montana in the USA and a Friendship-City relationship with Guiyang, the capital of Guizhou Province in the People’s Republic of China. The City Council supports sports and cultural events in recognition that these activities bring visitors to the City, and so supports the retail, commercial accommodation and entertainment sectors. Recently, the Council has responded to government consultations on the tertiary education and defence sectors to ensure the government understands the critical importance of these sectors. The development of sector profiles has helped highlight the significance of different employment sectors to the City, allowing agencies to build economic and social arguments to keep services in the City. Analysis Palmerston North is a city of large companies and public institutions but there are still remarkable examples of entrepreneurial success in the City. The high level of government employment has given the City an increased level of stability during economic cycles but it also means the City could be damaged by a small number of key firms closing, or being negatively affected. The City is still dependant on the education sector but its share of the city economy is declining due to above average employment growth rates in other sectors. With a vibrant R&D sector, the City is placed to encourage innovation and improve productivity, particularly within the agriculture, food processing and machinery sectors. However, greater focus needs to be made on moving research into commercial opportunities locally. There is significant potential for Palmerston North to be identified as a ‘Sustainable City’, with a resultant in-migration of workers seeking a more sustainable lifestyle (environmentally and financially) and the possibility of developing green technology and green networking hubs. Identifying and supporting key firms will have significant benefits for the City. The development of sector profiles that articulate the social and economic benefits of particular sectors allow an overview that identifies common issues which are limiting economic growth in the City and specific actions which the Council can take to support growth in individual sectors. Summary of Actions Change being sought Actions What success will look like More businesses which employ staff are created Coordinated provision of information and support for small businesses and not-for-profit organisations Business “births” are higher in number than business “deaths” Businesses work in partnership with schools and tertiary providers to encourage young entrepreneurs Businesses are more innovative, with enhanced productivity Employment increases Active links between research institutions and local business Increased commercialisation of research locally High levels of workforce development Percentage of workforce with no qualifications reduces More businesses introduce lean manufacturing / productivity improvements in their business Initiatives to promote business and productivity improvement will be encouraged / supported Increased number of businesses will implement productivity improvement activity Businesses are environmentally sustainable Business advice on reducing pollution, energy consumption and waste Increased energy efficiency by local businesses Local businesses understand and identify market opportunities to exploit advances in environmental technologies New markets are developed Links to international markets are enhanced Provision of market research and specialist expertise for clusters of exporters and international education providers Increased number of manufacturers involved in exporting Existing businesses and entrepreneurs can find advice and support when thinking about entering new markets Support and retention of key firms The top 100 firms / institutions are identified that are vital to the local economy Collaborative culture between businesses and Council Regular meetings are held for senior business leaders hosted by the CEOs of Vision Manawatu, Destination Manawatu and the Council 21 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Economic Well-Being Monitoring The City Council already produces quarterly economic reports on behalf of Vision Manawatu and Destination Manawatu. The information collected in these reports will continue to be circulated to key agencies within the City. The reports will be available for sector clusters to focus their efforts on building on the strengths of the local economy. This information, along with Vision Manawatu business surveys will be used to inform the Council’s priority actions as it develops its Long Term Council Community Plan. It is anticipated that the development of a new regional economic development strategy will afford the opportunity to check the aspirations of the City strategy are on-track. The City Council will undertake a formal review of the City economic well-being strategy two years after the strategy is approved. The focus of this review will be to: • report on progress on implementation of the strategy, and • to assess whether any changes are required to better align the strategy with the new regional economic strategy. The major three-yearly State of the City report by Council will be produced around October of each election year (local body elections) and will offer a comprehensive overview of economic, social, cultural and environmental trends in the City. Annual updates to the State of the City report will focus mostly on exceptions to the trends identified in the 3-yearly report so will provide a regular monitoring report on the City. The Long-term Projections for Palmerston North report provides a more detailed overview of employment trends in the City and will also be updated annually using annual updates to Statistics New Zealand employee count and employee earnings data for the City. 22 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Palmerston North Economic Well-Being Strategy 2010 Palmerston North City Council W pncc.govt.nz | E [email protected] | P 356 8199 | Private Bag 11034, The Square, Palmerston North, 4442
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