New Concession Agreement and Business Plan 2013-2016 Investor Presentation Audio Conference Fiumicino, February 6th 2013 Agenda OPENING (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) 1. 2012 HIGHLIGHTS (ADR Chief Executive Officer, Lorenzo Lo Presti) 2. NEW CONCESSION AGREEMENT (Gemina Chief Executive Officer, Carlo Bertazzo) 3. DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK AND BUSINESS PLAN 2013-2016 HIGHLIGHTS (ADR Chief Executive Officer, Lorenzo Lo Presti) 4. RATIONALE OF THE POTENTIAL INTEGRATION WITH ATLANTIA (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) 5. CLOSING REMARKS (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) Q&A SESSION 1 OPENING (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) 2 1. 2012 HIGHLIGHTS (ADR Chief Executive Officer, Lorenzo Lo Presti) 3 Traffic down in 2012 on weak domestic segment but positive signs from long haul traffic 2012 passenger traffic (-2,2%) was impacted by a strong decrease in domestic segment throughout 2012 (-7,9%), only partially offset by resilient international traffic (+1,2%) with Extra-UE traffic rising 3,1% driven by fast growing markets Passenger traffic: 2012 vs. 2011 (Mln/pax) Monthly traffic change in 2012 (YoY %) -2,2% 42,5 -1,1 -0,1 0,3 41,6 % ch. Q1 12 -1,4% Q2 12 -0,9% Q3 12 -0,3% Q4 12 -6,7% Dom Extra-UE UE Jan ‘12 Apr ‘12 Jul ‘12 Oct ‘12 Dec ‘12 UE TOTAL Extra-EU Domestic Δ 2012/2011 -7,9% -0,7% +3,1% 4 Alitalia and other domestic carriers had a negative year… • • 2012 weak Italian GDP (-2,3%) affected performance of domestic traffic (33% of total traffic) and in particular Fiumicino's hub-carrier that boasts a 55% share of total Italian traffic Domestic traffic was also hit by the consequences of Wind Jet's bankruptcy in August 2012 and Blue Panorama's procedure for composition with creditors Monthly traffic change in 2012 at Fiumicino (YoY %) Traffic performance of Alitalia and other carriers Pax 2012 (mln) Other carriers Pax: 20,3 Mln Mkt share: 54,9% Pax: 16,7 Mln Mkt share: 45,8% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total Mkt share (%) Δ Δ 2012/2011 2012/2011 (%) (000/pax) 16,7 45,8 -4,6 -808 - Domestic - UE - Extra-UE 9,3 3,6 3,8 55,6 21,6 22,8 -6,4 -6,5 +2,1 -663 -254 +79 Other carriers Total 20,3 54,9 +0,9 +177 - Domestic - UE - Extra-UE 2,6 11,4 6,3 12,8 56,2 31,0 -16,0 +3,6 +4,6 -500 +397 +280 Blue Panorama Meridiana easyJet Wind Jet Total: -138.000 pax -56.700 pax -15.900 pax -276.000 pax -486.600 pax 5 … while long haul segment continued to grow • • 2012 international segment rose 1,2% pushed by traffic on long haul routes (+3,1%), in line with last 10-year trend (CAGR 2002/2012 +6,4%). International destinations to fast-growing markets attracting high-spending passengers registered two-digit growth; North American market decrease by 5,4% due to traffic leakages Rome airport system traffic trend (Mln/pax) CAGR 2002/2012 2.359 +4,7% 38,3 35,1 30,7 26,3 Fiumicino international destinations (000/pax) 40,0 42,5 41,6 40,9 38,6 CAGR 2002/2012 2.231 +6,4% 32,9 28,1 +8,0% +0,5% Δ 2012 vs. +20,4% 2011(%) Average Spend/pax * (€) 44 +32,6% +17,7% 52 - +18,5% - +34,2% - +19,6% 17 -5,4% 9 * Duty Free, Core Categories and Specialty 6 2012 provided evidence of Fiumicino’s untapped long haul market potential • • The leisure market (60,9% of 2012 total traffic) is growing thanks to the attractiveness of Rome that is one of 5 most sought-after tourist destinations worldwide Fiumicino registered an increase in transfer passengers, but still suffers from major traffic leakage effects with 3,3 million passengers reaching their destinations through other hubs. The total potential passengers' market will be addressed with the new planned infrastructures Business pax vs. Leisure pax Different kind of leakages Other airport in the Catchment Area FCO European Hub Airport Destination Airport 5,0 Million Pax O&D long haul traffic The long haul market potential (2012 data) Transfer pax vs. O&D pax + 3,3 Million Pax leaking traffic 3,2 2,1 1,2 Leakages % 41% 51% 23% 1,0 0,8 58% 12% 8,3 Million Total market potential 7 ADR’s major achievements in 2012: new Concession Agreement , changes in business organization, successfully disposal of direct retail and refinancing • The new Concession Agreement signed in October 2012 is expected to come into force by the first half of 2013 • ADR business organization was rationalized through spin-offs and disposals to (i) refocus on core activities, (ii) improve financial flexibility and (iii) improve efficiency and quality of services • Large part of ADR's debt maturing within 12 months was successfully refinanced 2012 major achievements New regulatory framework and launch of a 12 billion Euro infrastructure expansion and action plans to improve quality service with adequate return on shareholders' capital New New Concession Concession Agreement Agreement Approval Duty Duty Free Free Core Core Categories Categories Spin-off "ADR Retail" and sale to Aelia - Improvement of services in line with international best practice - Sale price of 229,4 million Euro equal to 15x 2013E Ebitda, to be achieved in consideration of the development plan, allowing ADR's debt reduction Parking Parking Spin-off "ADR Mobility" - Improvement of services in line with international best practice - Disposal not executed due to bids not in line with full value potential Security Security Spin-off "ADR Security" - Improvement of service level in line with international best practice - Furthering of cost efficiency practices Vehicle Vehicle maintenance maintenance to to third third parties parties Sale of activity - Exit from a non core/non profitable business activity in line with best practice - Partnership with a specialized operator Debt Debt refinancing refinancing New loan facility - Early refinancing of 500 million Euro ahead of the new concession agreement in a challenging financial market - Underwritten by a pool of 8 banks (6 international and 2 Italian) with a new maturity date set on February 2015 8 2. NEW CONCESSION AGREEMENT (Gemina Chief Executive Officer, Carlo Bertazzo) 9 An innovative long-term Concession Agreement with transparent and stable rules The new market standard Concession Agreement defines a comprehensive set of transparent and stable rules valid until 2044 that will enable to capture expected traffic growth and to finance ADR’s investment plan under a financial markets' common framework Main fundamentals of the new Concession Agreement 11 Central role of the investment plan for a total consideration of 12 billion Euro expanding capacity to over 100 million passengers 22 Regulated revenues correlated to allowable costs that guarantee an adequate return of shareholders' capital 33 New tariff predicated on pure "dual till" system with mechanisms to reward efficiency and quality achievements 44 Simplification of the tariffs through service bundling 55 Stability and predictability of cash flows that will improve capital markets' attractiveness 66 Clarity of rights and obligations of Concessionaire and Grantor under all circumstances including conflict issues potentially leading to contract termination 10 The new Concession Agreement's main terms and conditions * (1/2) Dual-till Dual-till price price cap cap Tariff Tariff reviews reviews 2012 2012 RAB RAB (Regulated (Regulated Asset Asset Base) Base) New tariffs agreement based on (i) a “price cap” method (“RAB-based), (ii) bonuses/penalties linked to quality and environmental indicators and (iii) a pure “Dual Till” with income from non-aviation activity entirely with the airport operator - Regulatory period of 10 years, divided into 5-year tariff periods - Annual updates on progresses of capex plan with ENAC and users Initial RAB of 1,8 billion Euro (of which 1,5 billion Euro depreciated to concession end and the remainder with average useful life of 14 years) Allowed Allowed return return Real pre-tax WACC 2013-16 at 11,9% (equal to a nominal post-tax estimated return of 8,6%) Incremental Incremental returns returns on strategic capex on strategic capex Real pre-tax WACC is estimated to increase from 2017 by 1% – 2,5% p.a. on allowances of incremental returns for strategic capex worth 5,4 billion Euro Operating Operating costs costs and and their their inclusion inclusion in in tariffs tariffs Traffic Traffic risks risks - Allowed into new tariffs at 2011 values - Based on (i) planned inflation net of efficiency and (ii) cost elasticity to traffic - Profit sharing mechanisms at the end of each 5-year regulatory period on extra efficiency - Traffic variations included in the +/- 5% range will not impact tariffs (cum. traffic in a 5-yr period) - Traffic variations higher than +/- 5% will trigger application of “cap” rules at the end of a 5-year period * For additional information please refer to "ADR's New Concession Agreement, ERA to Come into Effect and 2012 Traffic Performance" available on Gemina website 11 The new Concession Agreement's main terms and conditions (2/2) Material Material Adverse Adverse Changes Changes Comprehensive review of business plan for material changes due to risks outside of the control of the Concessionaire Penalties Penalties Penalties with a ceiling set at 3% of regulated revenues per year in case of breach of obligations (e.g. delays in project deliveries) Indemnity Indemnity Recognition of an indemnity for the value of regulated and non-regulated assets in all cases of early termination and at natural expiry of the concession Revocation Revocation and and cancellation cancellation Withdrawal Withdrawal Quality Quality and and environment environment - ENAC may revocate the concession exclusively in case of "reasons of public interest” - ENAC may propose to the relevant Ministries the cancellation in case of serious and reiterated delay and breach of obligations and loss of financial health requirements ADR may withdraw from the concession under specific circumstances (including failure to complete the investments' approval process or lack of agreement with ENAC in reviewing capex plan and new tariffs) Set revised at the end of each 5-year tariff period with premia and penalties up to +/- 1% of regulated revenues 12 New Concession Agreement means new and higher tariffs, but still below European average The new Concession Agreement will allow a rise in average tariff (FCO+CIA) by 47,7% but this will not bridge the gap with European average entirely. The new tariffs will support management strategy to spur long haul routes traffic Change in tariffs under new Concession Agreement System tariffs (€) before/after ERA Benchmarking European average tariffs *(€) New tariffs FCO and CIA (€) New FCO breakdown (€) ~27,3 ~25,1 -18,6% 32% of total traffic +47,7% ~25,1 ~17,3 40% of total traffic ~34,3 28% of total traffic * 2012 pre-closing average regulated revenues per paying pax * AMS, ATH, CDG, CPH, DUB, FRA, LHR,LIS, MAD,MUC, VIE ** Application of new tariff regime is expected to come into force on March 9th, 2013 13 3. DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK AND BUSINESS PLAN 2013-2016 HIGHLIGHTS (ADR Chief Executive Officer, Lorenzo Lo Presti) 14 Update of the Business Plan 2013-2044 of the new Concession Agreement The Business Plan 2013-2044 attached to the new Concession Agreement has been updated to take into account (i) provisions included in the Decree of Italy’s Prime Minister (“DPCM”) that sealed the Concession Agreement on December 21 2012, (ii) new traffic dynamics registered after October 2011 (date of last forecasts) and (iii) actual 2012 performance Main updates of the Business Plan 2013-2044 11 Higher amount of capex in 2013-2016 period for an amount of 325 million Euro according to DPCM December 21 2012 22 Viterbo low cost airport no longer in the Concession Agreement with relevant capex substituted with new investments for capacity increase at FCO 33 New traffic projections elaborated in the wake of recent domestic traffic performance (after October 2011) 44 New timetable for investments taking into consideration the coming into force of the Concession Agreement by the first half of 2013 15 Rome's potential on traffic growth lies in expanding long haul routes • • Global airport traffic is expected to grow both in the mid-term and in the long-term. In terms of revenues per kilometers the traffic will grow on average 4,7% p.a. in the next 20 years mainly due to long haul traffic from emerging markets The growth of long haul traffic to/from emerging markets is linked to the increasing wealth of the middle class that looks at Rome (one of the 5 most sought-after tourist destination worldwide) as one of the most attractive destinations. Fiumicino ranks third in Europe, after London and Paris, on international arrivals Growth trend 2011-2031 by geographical area International arrivals in Italy from long haul routes (Mln/pax) CAGR RPK* growth, 2011 - 2031 +1,2% Total pax Total pax 2010 * 2020 * North America 6,2 Mln Europe +4,2% 3.8% 4.8% Central America 4.5% South America * Revenue passenger kilometers 8,6 Mln Northeast 3.5% Asia 6.4% China 5.1% 7.4% 5.0% Southeast 4.8% Asia South Middle Asia East +6,0% +5,0% +3,4% +12,5% +2,0% Africa * Arrivals from Europe are not included Source: Airbus , Boeing, Condè Nast Readers' Travel Awards 2010 and 2011, Euromonitor International, World Tourism Organization 16 Rome airport system traffic is expected to grow in the long term driven by solid global trends • • • On the ground of solid global trends passenger traffic is expected to reach around 100 million passengers by 2044 (CAGR +2,7%) Passenger traffic is estimated to grow by 2016 at an average annual rate of +0,7 % with domestic traffic expected to remain subdued and international traffic constrained by capacity limits The projections on traffic growth assume the presence of a hub-carrier. In 2012 Alitalia still held 45,8% share of FCO passenger traffic, but its strategy still remains unclear Rome airport system passenger traffic trend (Mln/pax) CAGR % +2,7% +1,6% +4,7% +3,3% +0,7% 41,6 CAGR 2012/2016 42,7 Dom: -2,4% UE: +0,3% Extra-EU: +3,1% 17 The growing passenger traffic will require an efficient development of a longterm infrastructure plan • • The growing passenger traffic forecasts will require a timely and efficient development of a long-term infrastructure plan that has been outlined with the technical expertise of Changi (the Singapore airport's management company) Well conceived staged approach to capacity expansion to meet growth and traffic demand Growth passenger traffic and capacity at Fiumicino Traffic Pier E, F, T3 Pier A, T4 /Pier J T1 Extension FCO North 1- phase 1 FCO North 1- phase 2 2044 2043 2042 2041 2040 2039 2038 2037 2036 2035 2034 2033 2032 2031 2030 2029 2028 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Mln pax / year Capacity FCO North 2 18 ADR's long-term infrastructure plan will be developed under favorable market conditions European airport's capacity and unmet demand Largest airport capacity expansion in Europe (Mln/pax) Total Capacity – European airports Airport Passengers – European airports Capacity Increase Rome-FCO 65 Athens International 35 Frankfurt 32 London-Heatrow 25 Birmingham 23 Manchester 22 Munter/Osnabruck 20 London-Stansted 18 Amsterdam-Schipol 15 Barcelona 15 Passengers non accommodated 600 500 2,600 400 2.200 300 200 1.800 100 2029 2027 2023 2021 2019 2017 2015 0 2013 1.400 Pax non accommodated (million) 3.000 2011 • The long term infrastructure plan will be developed under favorable market conditions. The largest airports in Europe will be completely saturated by 2018 whilst the demand will grow with an average annual rate of 3,5% vs. 2,5% of the supply. On current European airports plans (including ADR) the infrastructure are insufficient to met expected traffic growth in the next coming years Fiumicino has presented the largest long-term airport capacity expansion plan in Europe Pax & Capacity (million) • Source: ACI, Morgan Stanley Research; ADR 19 At the onset of the 12 billion Euro infrastructure development plan capex will step up vs. historical level • • • ADR has projected a long-term infrastructure development plan for a total consideration of 12 billion Euro, of which (i) 4,4 billion Euro Fiumicino South, (ii) 7,2 billion Euro new Fiumicino North, (iii) 0,2 billion Euro to convert Ciampino into a city airport and (iv) and 0,2 billion Euro of remaining investment The long-term infrastructure development plan will trigger total job growth of 230.000, of which around 30.000 in the first ten years Until 2016 capex is estimated to grow at an average annual amount more than 6x 2012 figure Mid-term investment plan (Mln/€) Cumulative capex 2012-2016: ~ 1.260 Main capex - Renovation of land side terminal and facilities, e.g. area international arrivals and toilettes (by 2013) - New pavement in front of the airport (by 2013) - Construction of new Pier C and expansion of Terminal 3 (within the next 4 years) - New baggage sorting system (by 2015) - Extension of parking areas for aircraft (by 2016) - Renovation of runways and "people mover" to efficiently connect airport facilities (within the next 4 years) 20 Investments and management actions will improve service quality and environmental protection • • The long-term infrastructure development plan and management actions will target also substantial improvements in service quality FCO quality performance is today below Europe's and world's standards and ADR management has already launched a series of projects aimed at improving quality and environmental performance targets (including waiting time at baggage delivery, waiting time at security check, noise control, waste management and energy efficiency). FCO quality vs. other airports* * Data provided by Airport Council International on a panel of about 180 world airports (Q4 -2012) 21 Commercial activities are core to improve profitability (1/2) • • • The commercial activities will continue to be a strategic priority for the airport development and profitability enhancement Thorough the life of the new concession commercial revenues will account for around ¼ of total revenues ADR has defined a Retail Strategic Plan based on the analysis of (i) traffic flows, (ii) space allocation by category/ brand and (iii) design of retail offer layouyt/footprint and is implementing several business initiatives with the objective of improving services and quality and maximizing profitability in line with international best practice Core Categories, Special Retail, F&B business initiatives Royalties 2012 vs. 2011 (000/€) 86 Comm. services Core Core Categories Categories Special Special Retail Retail - Enlargement of commercial offer in terms of sqm (e.g. construction of the new Pier C with about 11.500 sqm dedicated to commercial activities and opening of the first "commercial plaza" in Fiumicino Airport) - Allocation of spaces by category in line with international best practice F&B Special retail Core Categories +9,3% +30,4% +6,2% +10,1% +3,2% Revenues per departing pax at FCO* (€/pax) 6,5 €/pax - Better link between commercial offer and highspending passengers' traffic flows CAGR 2011/2016 +9,3% Food Food & & Beverage Beverage 94 - Revenues per departing pax on Core Categories* (3,6 €/pax) well below European benchmark (6,5 Euro €/pax) gives rooms for improvement European Benchmark 2011 (Frankfurt, Manchester , Madrid, Amsterdam and Copenhagen) * Liquor & Tobacco; Perfume & Cosmetics 22 Commercial activities are core to improve profitability (2/2) • • ADR has defined a Mobility Strategic Plan based on infrastructural development to more than double parking space in the next 10 years and on management actions under implementation to improve quality of services and revenues ADR Real Estate strategic guidelines foresee the development of an “Airport City” through the aggregation around the airport of service facilities Mobility and Real Estate business initiatives Mobility Mobility Real Real Estate Estate - Increase safety perception, cleaning and maintenance to improve quality perception and to strength ADR premium position (9.100 parking spaces for passengers) vs. competitors (6.400 parking spaces) - Improvement of parking business revenues through segmentation of basic products’ offer and value added services - Sell parking tickets and value-added services (valet car and executive parking) through airline network and on-line - Conversion of free parking areas to paying stalls - Increase communication of ADR mobility, quality and convenience - Revenues from mobility are expected to grow in line with traffic growth slightly increasing the actual revenues per passenger - Evaluate and plan Real Estate infrastructural projects to increase supply in the service sector (offices, fueling stations, hotels, logistic warehouses and others) closing a significant gap respect European airports (2 million sqm of FCO vs. 4,5 million sqm of Amsterdam and 4,2 million of sqm of Frankfurt) - Some Real Estate projects are planned in the next 3 years relevant to fueling stations (12.000 sqm), rent a car dedicated areas (12.000 sqm), logistic warehouses (130.000 sqm) and a hotel (250 rooms, 15.000 sqm) 23 ADR's consolidated financials seen on the rise Rises in tariff and traffic in the wake of additional capacity offering are expected to result into a growth of revenues and expected Ebitda margin (from 52% in 2012 Pro-Forma post sale of Duty Free Core Categories to 61% in 2016); net debt is expected to rise to 2016 on implementation of capex plan, that is expected to be 2/3 financed by cash flow from operations ADR Group revenues* (Mln/€) ADR Group Ebitda* (Mln/€) ADR Group net debt* (Mln/€) ~300 CAGR 2012/2016 CAGR 2012/2016 +15% +18,6% Ebitda margin ** 49,5% 52,9% 61,0% ** * All data refers to ADR Consolidated figures, Italian GAAP ** 2012 pro-forma considers full year effect for the Direct Retail and Vehicle Maintenance disposals as they were occurred on January 1st 2012 24 Gemina-ADR's promising future with some challenges in the near term Main challenges Main opportunities Biggest Biggest development development project project in in Europe Europe Capex Capex To execute timely and efficiently an highly concentrated investment plan and in an amount significantly higher than historical levels, with an "investment machine" almost stuck for the last 10 years Unique Unique long-term long-term traffic traffic potential potential Service Service quality quality improvement improvement Result-oriented management culture to be strengthen. The overall support of Gemina's shareholder Changi will be crucial to achieve highest quality standards Value-oriented Value-oriented longlongterm term concession concession agreement agreement Financial Financial resources resources To secure long-term funding to a significant investment plan at competitive terms and conditions Growing Growing commercial commercial business business Traffic Traffic development development While Gemina-ADR is confident on the capabilities to attract new airlines, the presence of a Hub-carrier remains a crucial element for the full development of the business plan 25 4. RATIONALE OF THE POTENTIAL INTEGRATION WITH ATLANTIA (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) 26 Rationale of the potential integration with Atlantia Gemina-ADR Gemina-ADR will will develop develop the the biggest biggest airport airport project project in in Europe Europe allowing allowing to to meet meet the the growing growing demand of global traffic, supported by a long-term regulatory framework demand of global traffic, supported by a long-term regulatory framework Looking Looking ahead, ahead, aware aware of of our our strengths strengths and and responsibilities, responsibilities, Gemina Gemina started started an an analysis analysis of of industrial, industrial, operating operating and and financial financial merits merits of of aa potential potential integration integration with with Atlantia, Atlantia, aimed aimed at at creating creating value value for for all all stakeholders stakeholders In In this this context, context, Gemina Gemina is is evaluating evaluating Atlantia’s Atlantia’s strengths strengths in in terms terms of of (i) (i) management management skills skills in in executing executing large large investment investment programs programs on on critical critical infrastructures, infrastructures, also also considering considering the the capabilities capabilities of of the the group's group's engineering engineering and and construction construction companies companies and and (ii) (ii) experience experience in in securing securing funding funding at at competitive competitive costs costs in in the the international international capital capital markets markets Relevant Relevant analyses analyses are are expected expected to to be be completed completed by by mid mid March March 2013 2013 27 5. CLOSING REMARKS (Gemina Chairman, Fabrizio Palenzona) 28 Q&A SESSION 29 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of GEMINA S.p.A. (the “Company”) for the sole purpose described herein. In no case may it or any other statement (oral or otherwise) made at any time in connection herewith be interpreted as an offer or invitation to sell or purchase any security issued by the Company or its subsidiaries, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation thereto. This presentation is not for distribution in, nor does it constitute an offer of securities for sale in Canada, Australia, Japan or in any jurisdiction where such distribution or offer is unlawful. 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