ESTIMATING INCOME ELASTICITIES OF LEISURE ACTIVITIES USING CROSS-SECTIONAL CATEGORIZED DATA Jorge González Chapela* Centro Universitario de la Defensa de Zaragoza Address: Academia General Militar, Ctra. de Huesca s/n, 50090 Zaragoza, Spain Email: [email protected] – Tel: +34 976739834 Abstract The empirical classification of daily activities as luxuries, necessities, or inferior activities is useful for predicting the impact of economic development, the life cycle, or social mobility on the organization of people’s time. This paper conducts an empirical examination of three broad leisure categories plus their main subcategories using a cross-section of time-use observations for the United States. Estimation takes account of the form of the data in which the income variable was recorded. Comparison of income elasticities with those reported by previous studies is also made. Keywords: Engel aggregation; Empirical time-demand function; Time-use income elasticity; American Time Use Survey. * I am grateful to Dan Hamermesh, Robert Hill, Nancy Mathiowetz, and Frank Stafford for helpful comments. Financial support from research project CREVALOR, funded by the Diputación General de Aragón and the European Social Fund, is gratefully acknowledged. 1 1. INTRODUCTION Ever since the seminal works of Mincer (1963) and Becker (1965), the notion that the consumption of market goods calls for the consumer’s time has spread among economists to reach, nowadays, the status of a common research tool. Coinciding with the diffusion of that idea, leisure per adult in the United States increased dramatically (Aguiar and Hurst 2007),1 and demand analysis, which was fundamentally concerned with the demand for market goods, has become increasingly interested in the demand for leisure (see for example Owen 1971, Gronau 1976, Wales and Woodland 1977, Juster and Stafford 1985, Kooreman and Kapteyn 1987, Solberg and Wong 1992, Robinson and Godbey 1997, Hamermesh 2002, Kimmel and Connelly 2007, Datta Gupta and Stratton 2010, Mullahy and Robert 2010, and Sevilla et al. 2012). Still, certain aspects of the demand for leisure are not well understood. Americans, for example, have preferences about the way their leisure time is spent, preferring as a rule talking with friends to watching television (Juster 1985c) and socializing after work to using the computer at home (Kahneman et al. 2004). Hence, one would expect that, ceteris paribus, the demand for different leisure activities reacted differently to improvements in the standard of living, moving as a whole towards a more enjoyable composition of total leisure. Nevertheless, the empirical verification of this conjecture has proved elusive. Stafford and Duncan (1985) developed estimates of income effects on time use to different activities for 208 working males included in Juster et al.’s (1978) 1975-76 Time Use Study (TUS). Their standard errors appeared generally large relative to the coefficients except for meals out, whose estimated elasticity at the mean was .20. Also using the TUS, Kooreman and Kapteyn (1987) found negligible income responses in the demand for seven types of non-market activities by 242 couples, and Biddle and Hamermesh (1990) obtained no evidence of income 1 The increase over the whole 20th century was smaller (Ramey and Francis 2009). 2 effects in the demand for non-market time by 706 individuals. For non-disaggregated leisure, but also considering cross-sectional household data, Kimmel and Connelly (2007) estimated a positive effect of husband’s earnings on his wife’s leisure in a large sample of 4,552 mothers drawn from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS). While husband’s earnings played the role of nonlabor income from the wife’s point of view, it could be also capturing a cross-price substitution effect whereby the true income effect would be larger if husband’s and wife’s leisure were complements (as found in Connelly and Kimmel 2009).2 In any case, if the quantity of leisure increases with the standard of living, how can the demand for many specific leisure activities appear generally as unaffected? Additional research on the demand for disaggregated leisure was conducted by Juster (1985a), Robinson and Godbey (1997), and Dardis et al. (1994). Juster (1985a) analyzed the amount of investment time (i.e., time whose satisfaction derives from the activity’s end product and not from the process of carrying it out) present in active, passive, and social entertainment, concluding that investment time increased with household income. Table 17 of Robinson and Godbey (1997) arrayed major background variables related to the allocation of time. Household income appeared as a significant predictor of free time activities, but as the authors recognized its predictive power could be the result of composition effects. Dardis et al. (1994) considered a related issue. Using 1988-89 Consumer Expenditure Survey data on active, passive, and social entertainment, they estimated expenditure elasticities in the range of .40 to .72, indicating that goods consumed in the course of those activities (hereafter, 2 Solberg and Wong (1992) found that the husband’s and the wife’s leisure were negatively related to commuting times. Although in the time allocation model of Gronau (1977) increases in commuting time cause negative income effects, the critical predictions of Gronau’s model were contradicted by Solberg and Wong (1992). 3 recreation goods) were necessities.3 But unless goods and time are consumed in fixed proportion, the analysis of consumer expenditure is of limited utility for assessing the variation of activity times. Thus, for example, there is evidence that expenditure on recreation goods increases, but time allocated to leisure production decreases, with the consumer’s education (Gronau and Hamermesh 2006). This study is aimed at estimating income elasticities of demand for several leisure activities in the United States. The knowledge of income elasticities is useful for predicting which leisure activities will grow or decline on average as the economy develops, over an individual’s life cycle, or across a nation’s income strata. This study departs from previous disaggregated leisure analyses in two respects. First, the data source is the ATUS, which allows a much larger sample than the 1975-76 TUS. Second, the form of our income measure plus its treatment in estimation avoids some problems of parameter estimation. The income variable used in Kooreman and Kapteyn (1987) was constructed by adding up the amounts given to questions about the size of several nonlabor income sources. As the authors recognized, the resulting measure could contain substantial measurement error. Stafford and Duncan (1985) and Biddle and Hamermesh (1990) computed midpoints of income intervals (as I also did in a previous version of this paper),4 but estimators computed from midpoints are biased (e.g., see Haitovsky 1973), and Beaumont’s (2005) corrections are not workable when intervals are of uneven width. Instead, the approach used here is that of Hsiao and Mountain (1985a) in their study of the income elasticity of demand for electricity: To approximate the distribution of categorized income by a continuous probability function, 3 Pawlowski and Breuer (2012) estimated expenditure elasticities of demand for leisure services in Germany. 4 I thank Dan Hamermesh and Frank Stafford for clarification on the form of their income measure. 4 using it to evaluate the conditional mean or compute the covariance between income and other explanatory variables. In this way, the resulting regression output is known to be consistent. The rest of the paper is organized in four sections. Section 2 briefly discusses two theoretical underpinnings to this investigation: A straightforward implication for the allocation of time of the linear time-budget constraint that is analogous to the Engel aggregation condition for commodity demand functions, and some issues involved in the specification and estimation of a time-demand regression function. Section 3 describes the data and the estimation method. Estimation in particular will be conducted assuming that all consumers faced the same recreation goods prices, but, as in Mincer (1963), it will hold constant consumers’ opportunity cost of time to avoid misinterpreting the estimated income effects. Results are presented in Section 4. The final section summarizes the main conclusions. 2. PRELIMINARIES 2.1 An Engel aggregation condition for the allocation of time Suppose a consumer purchases goods and combine them with time to maximize satisfaction. The allocation of time on a given day must obey the constraint J 1 t j 0 j t J 1, 440 , (1) where t j is minutes spent on activity j and t J working time. Assume that demand functions exist: t j t j p, q, x , j 0,, J 1 , (2) J 1 t J 1, 440 t j p, q, x t J p, q, x , j 0 5 (3) where (3) is the derived labor supply function. In these expressions, p represents a vector with the unit prices of the goods consumed, q a vector with other relevant characteristics, and x the log of full household income. For simplicity, the same determinants are assumed to appear in each activity (which will hold in our empirical application). Since (2) and (3) must satisfy (1), changes in x will cause rearrangements in the consumer’s activities such that J 1 j 0 t j p, q, x x t J p, q, x 0. x (4) Defining e jx t j p, q, x 1 , x tj (5) eJx t J p, q, x 1 , x tJ (6) bj as the share of full household income spent indirectly (i.e. through the foregoing of money income) on activity j , and bJ as the share of labor earnings, (4) leads to the following elasticity formula: J 1 b e j 0 j jx bJ eJx 0 . (7) This restriction expresses that the weighted sum of income elasticities is zero, whereby either all elasticities are zero or there must be at least one positive and one negative elasticity. Estimates of eJx tend to be negative (e.g., see Juster and Stafford 1991, Blundell and MaCurdy 1999, Klevmarken 2004, and Kimmel and Connolly 2007), whereby we would expect at least one e jx to be positive. By analogy with the analysis of expenditure patterns (e.g., see Deaton and Muellbauer 1980), if e jx 1 activity j would be a luxury. Since bj will increase with income if and only if e jx 1 , a luxury is therefore an activity that takes up a 6 larger share of full household income as this increases. When an activity takes up a lower share of full household income as this increases it is a necessity. In other words, a necessity is an activity for which 0 e jx 1 . Inferior activities are those which take up a lower quantity of time as income increases. In that case, e jx 0 . This study focuses on estimating income elasticities of demand for leisure or free-time activities. As argued by Robinson and Godbey (1997), these are activities that allow maximum opportunities for choice, pleasure, and personal expression, and facilitate recovery from work-related effort. 2.2 Specification and estimation of a time-demand regression function The e jx 's cannot be derived from time-use observations in share form when the share’s denominator does also react to changes in the explanatory variables. If, for example, total non-market time were in the share’s denominator, the share elasticity would be given by e jx minus the elasticity of total non-market time, so that e jx could not be identified without knowing the latter. Hence, I shall work with observations in level form. Choosing a specification and estimation method for E t j p, q, x is complicated by the presence of diaries with zeros. Presumably, zeros pertain to two kinds of individuals: those who never do j (non-doers), and doers who, on the observation day, spent no time on j (called reference-period-mismatch zeros by Stewart 2013). As shown by Stapleton and Young (1984), the latter type introduces measurement error in t j , which renders the Tobit estimator inconsistent. Stapleton and Young’s (1984) alternative estimators relied on the possibility of separating doers from non-doers, which is not feasible in this study. Two-part and exponential Type II Tobit models (e.g., see Wooldridge 2010) were also discarded because those models’ first-stage regression represents whether j was done on the observation day, which is quite different from whether j is done or not. 7 While the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is inconsistent in the Tobit context, Stoker (1986) found that with normally distributed regressors OLS consistently estimates Tobit’s marginal effects. The same conclusion was reached by Greene (1981), whose Monte Carlo study further suggested that that result is robust in the presence of uniformly distributed and binary regressors, but is distorted by the presence of skewed regressors.5 The reason behind the apparent robustness of OLS is that the presence of (random) measurement error in t j is inconsequential when the estimating model is linear. The combination of a linear specification for E t j p, q, x with an OLS estimator is therefore a reasonable choice when the regressors adopt the format recommended by Greene (1981) and Stoker (1986). 3. DATA AND METHODS 3.1 Data selection and construction of key measures The data for this study come from the ATUS. The ATUS is drawn from a subset of households that have completed their participation in the Current Population Survey (CPS). In each selected household, an individual aged 15 or older is interviewed over the phone, who is asked to report on her activities over the previous 24 hours, beginning at 4 am. The ATUS also asks for basic labor market information (including labor force status, earnings, and hours of work), but an important range of socio-demographic measures (such as household income) are carried over from the final CPS interview, which takes place two to four months before the ATUS interview. Hamermesh et al. (2005) offer a more complete description of the ATUS. 5 Stewart (2013) has simulated the behavior of the OLS estimator with time-diary data and produced results consistent with Greene’s (1981). The regressors in Stewart’s data-generating process were a dummy and two uniformly distributed variables. 8 The ATUS data selected for this study were collected evenly during 2011. Particular of that year in the United States was that the price of recreation goods remained virtually constant. I assume that this fact plus the inclusion of within-year and spatial controls allows us to treat the relationship between income and leisure in isolation from p . The final size of the 2011 ATUS was 12,479 individuals. In any study of the allocation of time, a crucial control is the opportunity cost of time. Since this is generally approximated by the hourly wage rate in the case of workers, only wage-earners aged 23-64 were included in the analyses (the 2011 ATUS did not ask for earnings of the self-employed). I also removed individuals whose household income was imputed or whose earnings were updated in the ATUS interview. (Since household income was imputed primarily from longitudinal assignments, it may be so far apart that might have changed; also, household income may become mismeasured when earnings were updated.) After discarding cases with other missing or inconsistent data, the usable sample comprised 3,239 persons. Of these, 1,907 did not live with a spouse/partner or lived with a spouse/partner who was not working (for brevity, “single earners”), and 1,332 lived with a spouse/partner who was also working (“dual earners”). I focus on three broad leisure aggregates: active leisure, passive leisure, and social entertainment, plus their main component activities. These three aggregates were identified as major types of leisure by Hill (1985) and Juster (1985b), and were also studied by Kooreman and Kapteyn (1987) and Dardis et al. (1994). The following definitions are taken from Hill (1985) (the specific activities involved are listed in Appendix A). Active leisure includes a wide assortment of recreational activities requiring active physical or mental exertion, plus some domestic crafts. Passive leisure comprises television viewing plus a variety of activities including relaxing, exposure to other media, and communication with others. Social entertainment is composed of spectator and participation-oriented activities, the latter 9 including meals out. All uses of time include the associated travel and are measured in minutes. Table 1 presents descriptive statistics on the dependent and the explanatory variables.6 The controls included in q are: The respondent’s sex, age, educational attainment, race/ethnicity, disability status, and w , the log of the ratio of usual weekly earnings to usual hours of work;7 indicators for the presence of a spouse/partner in the household, of children 6 All income measures are recorded before payments. 7 The wage rate was assumed to be exogenous in Solberg and Wong (1992), but was treated as endogenous in other time-use studies. I tested for the endogeneity of w using two different sets of instrumental variables. The first set was taken from Biddle and Hamermesh (1990) and included dummy variables for union membership and for one-digit occupation and industry. The second set was taken from Kimmel and Connelly (2007) and Connelly and Kimmel (2009), and included age squared, education squared, age times education, and the statemonth unemployment rate. Both sets of instruments appeared to be weakly related to w (particularly the second set), though their validity was hardly questioned by Hansen’s (1982) J test of overidentification restrictions. The endogeneity of w was tested using Hayashi’s (2000, p. 220) C statistic and having dummy variables for the observed income categories in place of the unobserved x . Overall, instrumenting received little empirical support. As to the first set of instruments, and with a 95% of confidence, w was endogenous only in the regression for spectator activities among single earners and in the regression for activities requiring mental exertion among dual earners. In both cases, its estimated coefficient was positive (ranging from 14 to 17 minutes, S.E. around 6.5). Considering the second set, w was endogenous only in the regressions for passive leisure and TV viewing among dual earners. In both cases, the estimated wage effect was huge (around -300) but measured imprecisely (S.E. around 160). 10 aged 0-5 and 6-12, and of other adults beyond the spouse/partner; and indicators for region of residence, metropolitan status, day of the week, work day, and season of the year. Pursuant to Greene (1981) and Stoker (1986), the average hourly wage is included in log form and the remaining controls as (sets of) binary variables. When the respondent lived with an employed spouse/partner, q also includes the (log of the) spouse’s average hourly wage so as to control for possible cross-substitution and power effects within the couple (e.g., see Solberg and Wong 1992, Kimmel and Connelly 2007, and Datta Gupta and Stratton 2010). Region, season, and metropolitan status are intended to control for possible differences in the price of recreation goods. As in Datta Gupta and Stratton (2010), a work day is a day on which the respondent spent more than 2 hours working. The ATUS does not ask for the amount of nonlabor income, which complicates the construction of a measure of full household income. Hence, x will be measured as the log of annual household income. Annual income differs from full income in the inclusion of the number of actual hours worked, instead of the maximum possible hours of work. But because of the short period of time analyzed for each individual, there is little reason to believe that the number of hours worked in the year is related to t j , especially after controlling for the work/non-work character of the observation day. The income level of each household was recorded in one of 16 intervals of uneven width. Figure 1 shows that its distribution in the sample is skewed to the right. 3.2 Estimation method Estimation of E t j q, x is conducted using the conditional mean (CM) and pseudo- instrumental variable (PIV) methods developed by Hsiao and Mountain (1985a). Let E t j q, x be specified in error form as t j j γ j q j x u j , 11 (8) where j , γ j , j are unknown parameters and u j is iid with mean zero and variance u2j . x falls in one of 16 mutually exclusive intervals, indicated by the dummy variables z h , h 1,,16 . To facilitate the interpretation of the income response, Hsiao and Mountain decided against replacing x in (8) with these dummies. Instead, they approximated the marginal distribution of household income by a lognormal distribution (as suggested for example by Aitchison and Brown 1957), using it to evaluate the mean of x in each interval or to compute the covariance between x and q . In this way, income has a format recommended by Stoker (1986). Additionally, with the inclusion of income and the wage rate in log form, the estimating equation adopts the semi-log specification of Kooreman and Kapteyn (1987) and Biddle and Hamermesh (1990),8 which facilitates the comparison with previous studies.9 Let θ denote the mean and variance x2 that characterize the marginal distribution of x , and let θ̂ be its interval regression estimator. Then, mˆ h E x zh 1, θˆ is a consistent estimate for mh E x zh 1 . The CM method replaces x in (8) with mˆ h , and then regresses t j on a constant, q , and mˆ h . Unless x mˆ h and q are correlated, the resulting CM estimates of j , γ j , j are consistent and have as asymptotic variance matrix the expression given in (2.6) of Hsiao and Mountain (1985a). When x mˆ h and q are correlated, mˆ h is 8 Stafford and Duncan (1985) used a log-linear model because their time-use data presented almost no zeros: The TUS obtained four time diaries at three-month intervals from each respondent, which were then combined into “synthetic weeks”. 9 Nevertheless, the shape of activity Engel curves could vary, for example, by activity or with the amount of leisure available, as the variety of expenditure Engel curves suggests (see Lewbel 2008). 12 not substituted for x in (8), but q, mˆ h are used as instruments for q, x . Although the ˆ ˆ sample covariance estimates Σ qx and mx cannot be directly computed because x is unobserved, they can be approximated by observed quantities, yielding γˆ PIV j PIV ˆ j ˆ Σ qq ˆ Σ mq ˆ ˆ Σ qm ˆ m2 1 ˆ Σ qt j ˆ mt j ˆ PIV t j γˆ jPIV q ˆ jPIV x , j , (9) (10) where ˆ ˆ x2 ˆ m2 and t j , q , and x are sample means. The PIV estimator is consistent and has asymptotic variance matrix given by expression (2.13) of Hsiao and Mountain (1985a).10 The interval regression estimates of and x2 were 10.9564 and .6203. I tested the appropriateness of the lognormal assumption using a chi-squared goodness-of-fit test. The test statistic was 243.53. The critical value at 10% significance level with 13 df is 19.81. Clearly, the null hypothesis that the distribution of household income in our sample is lognormal cannot be accepted. The largest contributor to the criterion was the lowest income class (see Table 2, which was constructed analogously to Table 1 of Hsiao and Mountain 1985a). Following Hsiao and Mountain, I proceeded by removing observations in that class and approximating the remaining observations’ income distribution by a lognormal curve. After adjusting a truncated interval regression and redoing the test, the result was still a strong rejection of the null, which stemmed again primarily from the lowest surviving income class. I repeated the process eliminating each time the lowest/highest surviving income class that contributed the most to the criterion. I stopped when the 5 lowest and the highest original 10 An element of that matrix was corrected in Hsiao and Mountain (1985b). The asymptotic variance of ˆ PIV j is calculated as 2 uj γˆ PIV j N q, x var PIV ˆ j 13 q, x , N being the sample size. income classes had been removed. Then, the truncated interval regression estimates for and x2 were 11.0706 and .5526. The predicted number of households in each income category is given in Table 2 under the heading of Model 2. The chi-squared statistic was 9.87. Since the critical value at 10% significance level with 7 df is 12.02, the lognormal assumption cannot be rejected. Estimations, therefore, will ignore cases with household income below $15,000 or above $150,000.11 The surviving sample comprised 2,781 persons, of whom 1,127 lived with a spouse/partner who was also working. 4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS This section presents the estimated income elasticities at the means of the data ˆ j t j for active leisure, passive leisure, social entertainment, and their main component activities. The complete set of time-demand regression estimates is given in Appendix B. The income elasticities are shown in Table 3 separately for single and dual earners, as well as for the PIV and CM estimation methods. Since the covariance of q, x was similar to that of q, mˆ h , differences between the PIV and CM estimates were very small.12 For comparison purposes, Table 3 also presents elasticities obtained using midpoints of income intervals as a proxy for x. The estimated income elasticities for the three leisure aggregates ranged from -.09 to .45. For their main component activities, they ranged from -.20 to .61. The highest elasticity values were obtained for social entertainment: .30 and .45 for single and dual earners, respectively. These estimates attained statistical significance at or around 5%. For single 11 Aitchison and Brown (1957, p. 116) discuss the systematic discrepancy from lognormality at the ends of the income scale. 12 Expression (2.10) of Hsiao and Mountain (1985a) shows that Σ qx can be approximated as ˆ ˆ . In this study, ˆ 1.0188 . Σ qm 14 earners, the main contributor to the reaction of social entertainment was the set of spectator activities (.61). For dual earners, however, the main contributor was the category of participation-oriented activities (.51). The magnitude of the income elasticity for active leisure was similar for single (.20) and dual earners (.17). However, for the former group the main contributor to the response was the set of activities requiring physical exertion (.47), whereas for the latter it was domestic crafts (.45). Passive leisure was slightly inferior for single (-.09) and dual earners (-.04). For single earners this response attained statistical significance at 10%, and TV viewing (-.11) was the main contributor to the reduction. The estimated elasticities yielded by the midpoint technique were, as a rule, substantially smaller, and some of them were of incorrect sign. Our estimated income elasticities for passive leisure and social entertainment agree with the claim that Americans prefer talking with friends or socializing after work to watching TV or using the computer at home. The elasticity for participation-oriented activities among single earners (.19) is remarkably similar to that obtained by Stafford and Duncan (1985) for meals out among working males (.20). However, the presence in the household of an employed spouse/partner increased that elasticity to .51. The expenditure elasticities for nonsalary income observed by Dardis et al. (1994) in a sample of households where two thirds had income from salary from the household head, were higher and ranged from .40 for active leisure to .59 for passive leisure and .72 for social entertainment. In combination with ours, their results suggest that recreation goods and leisure time are not consumed in fixed proportion, but that, holding other factors fixed, consumers endowed with more income increase the quality (i.e., the goods intensity) of the leisure activities consumed. The coefficient associated to w is representing both a substitution and a traditional income effect, the latter created by variation in the consumer’s real full income when w changes. The estimated effect of w was generally small and insignificant, with the exception 15 of the demand for passive leisure among single earners, which shrank 16 minutes per week when the wage rate increased by 10%. As in Connelly and Kimmel (2009), the results showed little effect of the spouse/partner’s wage on the individual’s leisure demands. The estimated effect of education on the demand for leisure was also insignificant, which suggests that the positive association between education and physical activity among working-age individuals found by Mullahy and Robert (2010) stemmed from a positive income effect. 5. CONCLUSION A straightforward implication of the linear time-budget constraint is that the weighted sum of income elasticities of demand for the set of daily activities has to be zero, whereby either all the elasticities are equal to zero or at least some of them is positive and other is negative. This paper focused on estimating income elasticities of demand for leisure activities. The results of fitting a linear model with a categorized income variable to a sample of workers taken from the 2011 ATUS suggest that social entertainment increases moderately with income (the elasticity ranged from .30 to .45). The effect however is larger for spectator activities among single earners (.61) and for participation-oriented activities among individuals living in dualearner couples (.51). Active leisure is slightly normal (.17 to .20), although the effect is larger for activities requiring physical exertion among single earners (.47) and for domestic crafts among dual earners (.45). Passive leisure is slightly inferior (-.04 to -.09), including TV viewing among single earners (-.11). These estimates are larger than those of previous studies in which a measure of income obtained either by adding up several nonlabor income sources or by computing midpoints of income intervals was utilized. They are, however, smaller than the corresponding leisure expenditure elasticities, and suggest that consumers endowed with more income consume leisure activities of higher quality. 16 A COMPONENTS OF ACTIVITIES WITH ATUS ACTIVITY CODES Active Leisure (ACT) Requiring physical exertion (PHY) Sports and exercise as part of job Participating in sports, exercise, or recreation Travel related Requiring mental exertion (MEN) Taking class for personal interest Playing games Hobbies Writing for personal interest Travel related Domestic crafts (DOM) Sewing, repairing, and maintaining textiles Lawn, garden, houseplants, animals, and pets Travel related Passive Leisure (PAS) Television viewing (TV) Other passive leisure (COM) Conversations with family/friends/neighbors/acquaint. Relaxing, thinking Tobacco and drug use Listening to/playing music Computer use for leisure (exc. games) Reading for personal interest Phone calls to/from family/friends/neighbors/acquaint. Travel related Social Entertainment (SOC) Spectator activities (SPE) Arts and entertainment (other than sports) Attending sporting/recreational events Travel related Participation-oriented activities (PAR) Attending social events with coworkers/bosses/clients Eating/drinking at others’ home, bar, or restaurant* Attending or hosting social events Travel related 1st-tier 2nd-tier 3rd-tier 05 13 18 02 01 13 03 01 06 12 12 12 18 01 03 03 03 06 (12) 02 07 09,10,11 13 01 (03) 02 02 18 01 05,06 02 03 05,06 12 03 03,04 12 12 12 12 12 12 16 18 01 03 03 03 03 03 01 12 01 02 05,06 08 12 01,02 01,03 12 13 18 04 02 12 (13) 04 (02) 05 11 12 18 02 01 02 11 (12) 01 (02) *: Time spent eating/drinking at a bar/restaurant is included whenever the respondent was not alone. 17 B COMPLETE ESTIMATION OUTPUT TABLE B1.a—TIME USE (MINUTES). PSEUDO-INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATES. SINGLE EARNERS (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Independent variables ACT S.E. PHY S.E. MEN S.E. DOM S.E. PAS S.E. TV S.E. COM S.E. SOC S.E. SPE S.E. PAR S.E. Constant -21 57 -44 39 -15 31 38 32 572 106 388 97 184 77 -46 57 -40 36 -6 45 ln wage 3 6 -3 4 2 3 4 4 -23 12 -17 11 -6 9 -2 6 -3 4 1 5 Male 17 5 7 3 4 2 6 3 33 8 37 8 -4 6 -4 5 -2 3 -3 4 Age 31-40 -7 7 -6 5 -2 4 1 4 34 13 11 12 24 9 -15 7 1 4 -16 5 Age 41-50 -12 7 -14 5 -3 4 4 4 39 13 26 12 13 10 -19 7 3 4 -22 6 Age 51-64 -3 7 -10 5 -5 4 12 4 54 13 33 12 21 9 -22 7 -3 4 -19 5 Exactly high school 0 10 0 7 1 6 -2 6 -7 19 -3 18 -4 14 2 10 3 7 -1 8 Some college 4 11 0 7 0 6 4 6 -18 20 -21 18 3 14 -1 11 2 7 -3 8 College graduate 5 11 2 8 0 6 3 6 -33 20 -39 19 6 15 7 11 4 7 3 9 Pres. of spouse/partner 3 6 1 4 -3 3 5 3 3 11 6 10 -3 8 -9 6 -5 4 -4 5 Pres. of children 0-5 -16 7 -5 5 -3 4 -9 4 -28 13 -12 12 -17 10 -8 7 -3 5 -5 6 Pres. of children 6-12 -12 6 -3 4 -4 3 -5 3 -44 11 -32 10 -12 8 8 6 1 4 6 5 Pres. of other adults -6 6 0 4 0 3 -5 3 -5 10 1 10 -6 8 -4 6 -3 4 -1 4 Black -18 6 -10 4 -2 3 -6 4 28 12 30 11 -1 8 -12 6 -4 4 -8 5 Hispanic -9 7 -1 5 -5 4 -4 4 -22 13 5 12 -26 9 -11 7 -7 4 -4 5 Disabled 0 11 -3 8 8 6 -5 6 22 21 14 19 8 15 -8 11 3 7 -11 9 Work day -34 6 -16 4 -9 3 -9 3 -149 10 -91 9 -58 7 -32 6 -10 3 -22 4 Sunday -6 6 -10 4 -2 3 6 4 17 12 16 11 0 9 5 6 -4 4 9 5 Friday 0 8 -2 5 0 4 1 4 15 14 0 13 15 10 25 8 5 5 20 6 Saturday 9 6 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 12 -9 11 13 9 34 7 10 4 24 5 Winter -28 6 -14 4 -2 3 -11 3 29 11 43 10 -13 8 -15 6 -8 4 -7 5 Spring -15 6 -10 4 -1 3 -4 3 29 11 19 10 10 8 -11 6 -3 4 -8 5 Autumn -18 6 -11 4 -2 3 -6 3 26 11 35 10 -9 8 -11 6 -7 4 -4 5 Midwest 9 7 3 5 8 4 -2 4 -5 13 -5 12 0 9 1 7 2 4 -1 5 South 17 6 9 4 4 4 4 4 -3 12 -5 11 2 9 -1 6 2 4 -3 5 West 19 7 10 5 5 4 3 4 -17 13 -19 12 2 9 -5 7 0 4 -6 5 Metropolitan area -14 6 -6 4 -1 3 -7 4 15 12 12 11 2 9 7 6 3 4 4 5 ln household income 9 6 9 4 2 3 -3 4 -22 12 -17 11 -5 9 11 6 6 4 5 5 Notes: The number of observations is 1,654 in all columns. Unreported age: 23-30. Activity abbreviations are defined in Appendix A. 18 TABLE B1.b—TIME USE (MINUTES). CONDITIONAL MEAN ESTIMATES. SINGLE EARNERS (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Independent variables ACT S.E. PHY S.E. MEN S.E. DOM S.E. PAS S.E. TV S.E. COM S.E. SOC S.E. Constant -20 58 -43 41 -14 33 37 28 568 103 385 89 183 79 -44 59 ln wage 3 7 -3 5 2 3 4 2 -24 11 -18 9 -6 9 -2 6 Male 17 5 7 3 4 3 6 2 32 9 37 8 -4 6 -4 4 Age 31-40 -7 6 -6 5 -2 3 1 3 34 12 11 11 24 9 -15 7 Age 41-50 -12 6 -14 5 -3 4 4 3 39 13 26 12 13 9 -19 8 Age 51-64 -3 7 -10 5 -5 4 12 3 54 13 33 12 21 9 -22 7 Exactly high school 0 10 0 8 1 4 -2 4 -7 20 -3 19 -4 14 2 8 Some college 4 11 0 8 0 4 4 5 -18 20 -21 18 3 15 -1 9 College graduate 5 11 2 7 0 5 3 5 -33 20 -39 18 6 15 7 10 Pres. of spouse/partner 3 6 1 5 -3 2 5 4 3 10 6 9 -3 8 -9 5 Pres. of children 0-5 -16 7 -5 5 -3 3 -9 3 -28 13 -11 11 -17 9 -8 6 Pres. of children 6-12 -12 6 -3 4 -4 3 -5 3 -44 11 -32 9 -12 8 8 6 Pres. of other adults -5 5 0 5 0 2 -5 2 -5 10 1 9 -6 8 -4 5 Black -18 5 -10 3 -2 3 -6 3 29 13 30 13 -1 10 -13 6 Hispanic -9 6 -1 5 -5 3 -4 3 -21 12 5 11 -26 9 -11 6 Disabled 0 13 -3 6 8 12 -5 4 22 23 14 24 8 17 -8 10 Work day -34 5 -16 4 -9 2 -9 3 -149 11 -91 10 -58 8 -32 5 Sunday -6 6 -10 4 -2 3 6 4 17 12 16 11 0 9 5 6 Friday 0 6 -2 5 0 3 1 3 15 13 0 11 15 10 25 7 Saturday 9 7 1 5 4 3 4 3 4 13 -9 11 13 10 34 7 Winter -28 6 -14 5 -2 3 -11 3 29 11 43 10 -13 8 -15 6 Spring -15 7 -10 4 -1 4 -4 3 29 11 19 10 10 9 -11 6 Autumn -18 6 -11 5 -2 3 -6 3 26 11 35 10 -9 8 -11 6 Midwest 9 6 3 4 8 3 -2 3 -5 13 -5 12 0 9 1 7 South 17 6 9 4 4 2 4 3 -3 12 -5 11 2 8 -1 7 West 19 6 10 4 5 3 3 3 -17 12 -19 11 2 9 -5 7 Metropolitan area -14 7 -6 5 -1 3 -7 4 15 12 12 11 2 9 7 5 ln household income 8 7 9 5 2 4 -3 3 -21 11 -16 10 -5 9 11 7 R-squared .26 Notes: See notes to Table B1.a. .14 .06 .15 .72 19 .55 .42 .23 (9) SPE -39 -3 -2 1 3 -3 3 2 4 -5 -3 1 -3 -4 -7 3 -10 -4 5 10 -8 -3 -7 2 2 0 3 6 (10) S.E. PAR S.E. 33 -5 47 3 1 5 3 -3 4 4 -16 6 5 -22 6 3 -19 6 3 -1 8 4 -3 8 5 3 8 3 -4 4 4 -5 5 4 6 5 3 -1 4 4 -8 5 3 -4 5 8 -11 5 3 -22 4 4 9 5 4 20 6 5 24 5 4 -7 5 4 -8 5 4 -4 5 4 -1 6 4 -3 5 4 -6 6 3 4 4 4 5 5 .06 .21 TABLE B2.a—TIME USE (MINUTES). PSEUDO-INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATES. DUAL EARNERS (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Independent variables ACT S.E. PHY S.E. MEN S.E. DOM S.E. PAS S.E. TV S.E. COM S.E. SOC S.E. SPE S.E. PAR S.E. Constant -27 83 17 56 23 39 -67 54 385 130 272 113 113 92 -203 80 -34 45 -169 67 ln wage 5 7 6 5 -2 3 0 5 -9 11 -6 9 -2 8 11 7 2 4 8 6 Partner’s ln wage 2 7 4 5 2 3 -4 5 -12 12 -15 10 3 8 7 7 2 4 5 6 Male 21 6 12 4 5 3 3 4 30 9 31 8 -1 7 -11 6 -7 3 -4 5 Age 31-40 -17 9 -12 6 -10 4 5 6 32 14 20 12 12 10 13 9 1 5 12 7 Age 41-50 -15 10 -14 7 -10 5 10 7 23 16 21 14 2 11 -23 10 -9 6 -14 8 Age 51-64 -4 11 -10 7 -9 5 15 7 42 17 35 15 7 12 -10 11 -7 6 -2 9 Exactly high school 20 16 1 10 9 7 10 10 32 24 19 21 13 17 1 15 6 8 -5 13 Some college 18 16 1 11 7 7 11 10 -14 25 -28 22 14 18 13 15 8 9 5 13 College graduate 8 17 -1 11 7 8 3 11 -6 26 -32 22 26 18 9 16 12 9 -2 13 Married -8 11 -3 7 -1 5 -4 7 -5 16 -6 14 1 12 -9 10 4 6 -13 8 Pres. of children 0-5 -13 7 -4 5 -2 3 -8 5 -46 11 -28 10 -18 8 -12 7 -11 4 -2 6 Pres. of children 6-12 6 6 2 4 2 3 2 4 -24 10 -17 9 -7 7 2 6 0 3 3 5 Pres. of other adults -9 8 -8 6 2 4 -3 5 2 13 -2 11 4 9 5 8 4 4 1 7 Black -31 12 -11 8 -6 5 -14 7 33 18 14 16 19 13 1 11 -4 6 4 9 Hispanic 0 10 3 6 -4 4 1 6 -13 15 -3 13 -9 11 12 9 5 5 7 8 Disabled 0 21 -12 14 0 10 12 13 5 32 -12 28 17 23 37 20 16 11 21 17 Work day -48 7 -21 5 -9 3 -19 5 -115 11 -71 10 -43 8 -33 7 -8 4 -25 6 Sunday -10 8 -7 6 -4 4 1 5 50 13 43 11 7 9 3 8 5 5 -2 7 Friday 0 10 -9 7 12 5 -3 6 13 15 3 13 10 11 13 9 6 5 7 8 Saturday -3 8 -4 6 -1 4 2 5 15 13 -2 11 17 9 55 8 16 4 39 7 Winter -17 8 -8 5 4 4 -13 5 32 12 34 11 -2 9 -18 8 -10 4 -8 6 Spring 2 8 -5 5 2 4 5 5 2 12 -1 10 3 8 -6 7 0 4 -6 6 Autumn -6 8 0 5 4 4 -10 5 1 12 9 11 -8 9 -4 8 -2 4 -2 6 Midwest 3 9 2 6 0 4 1 5 -2 13 -12 12 10 9 6 8 0 5 6 7 South -2 9 1 6 0 4 -2 5 -9 13 -18 12 9 9 -1 8 0 5 -1 7 West 4 9 -3 6 5 4 2 6 -21 14 -17 13 -4 10 4 9 6 5 -2 7 Metropolitan area -9 7 -11 5 3 3 -2 5 8 12 8 10 -1 8 -13 7 -2 4 -11 6 ln household income 8 9 1 6 -2 4 9 6 -9 14 -5 12 -4 10 20 9 3 5 17 7 Notes: The number of observations is 1,127 in all columns. Unreported age: 23-30. Activity abbreviations are defined in Appendix A. 20 TABLE B2.b—TIME USE (MINUTES). CONDITIONAL MEAN ESTIMATES. DUAL EARNERS (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Independent variables ACT S.E. PHY S.E. MEN S.E. DOM S.E. PAS S.E. TV S.E. COM S.E. SOC S.E. Constant -26 76 17 49 23 32 -65 51 384 140 271 123 113 90 -200 85 ln wage 5 7 6 4 -2 3 1 5 -9 10 -6 9 -2 7 11 7 Partner’s ln wage 2 7 4 5 2 3 -3 4 -12 12 -15 11 3 8 8 7 Male 21 6 12 4 5 3 3 4 30 9 31 8 -1 6 -11 6 Age 31-40 -17 11 -12 9 -10 5 5 4 32 14 20 11 12 10 13 8 Age 41-50 -14 12 -14 9 -10 7 10 5 23 16 21 13 2 11 -23 9 Age 51-64 -4 13 -10 10 -9 7 15 7 42 18 35 15 7 13 -10 10 Exactly high school 20 11 1 8 9 4 10 6 32 29 19 29 13 16 1 11 Some college 19 12 1 8 7 5 11 7 -14 29 -28 29 14 17 14 12 College graduate 8 12 -1 9 7 4 3 7 -7 29 -32 29 26 17 9 12 Married -8 11 -3 7 -1 6 -4 7 -5 16 -6 13 1 11 -9 10 Pres. of children 0-5 -13 8 -4 5 -2 5 -8 3 -46 11 -28 9 -18 8 -12 7 Pres. of children 6-12 6 6 2 4 2 3 2 4 -24 10 -17 8 -7 7 2 6 Pres. of other adults -9 8 -8 4 2 3 -3 6 2 14 -2 13 4 8 5 8 Black -31 6 -11 4 -6 2 -14 4 33 21 14 20 19 16 1 10 Hispanic 0 10 3 6 -4 5 1 7 -13 15 -3 14 -9 10 11 10 Disabled 0 21 -12 6 0 8 12 20 5 41 -12 35 17 30 37 31 Work day -48 8 -21 5 -9 4 -19 5 -115 12 -71 11 -43 8 -33 6 Sunday -10 10 -7 6 -4 3 1 7 50 14 43 12 7 9 3 7 Friday 0 8 -9 4 12 6 -3 4 13 13 3 10 10 9 13 8 Saturday -3 10 -4 6 -1 4 2 6 15 14 -2 13 17 10 55 9 Winter -17 7 -8 4 4 3 -13 4 32 13 34 11 -2 9 -18 7 Spring 2 8 -5 5 2 3 5 6 2 11 -1 10 3 9 -6 8 Autumn -6 9 0 6 4 4 -10 5 1 12 9 11 -8 9 -4 8 Midwest 3 8 2 6 0 4 2 5 -2 14 -12 12 10 10 6 8 South -2 8 1 6 0 4 -2 5 -9 14 -18 12 9 9 -1 8 West 4 10 -3 7 5 6 2 6 -21 14 -17 12 -4 9 4 10 Metropolitan area -9 8 -11 6 3 2 -2 5 8 12 8 10 -1 9 -13 7 ln household income 8 8 1 5 -2 4 9 6 -9 15 -5 13 -4 10 19 9 R-squared .27 .14 .06 .16 .70 .57 .38 .30 Notes: See notes to Table B2.a. 21 (9) SPE -33 2 2 -7 1 -9 -7 6 9 12 4 -11 0 4 -4 5 16 -8 5 6 16 -10 0 -2 0 0 6 -2 3 .10 (10) S.E. 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Estimation of the allocation of time for work, leisure, and housework. Econometrica 45:115-132. Wooldridge, J. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press. 26 TABLE 1. SAMPLE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS (3,239 INDIVIDUALS) Mean S.D. Min Max Variable (minutes per day) Active leisure 45 93 0 1050 Requiring physical exertion 20 61 0 860 Requiring mental exertion 9 48 0 1050 Domestic crafts 16 52 0 580 Passive leisure 224 178 0 990 TV viewing 139 151 0 990 Other passive leisure 85 116 0 800 Social entertainment 41 94 0 1075 Spectator activities 11 56 0 1075 Participation-oriented activities 30 74 0 750 Mean S.D. Min Max Variable ($) Average hourly earnings 23.30 13.64 4.12 72.12 Spouse’s average hourly earnings* 23.55 13.01 4.50 72.12 %=0 60.2 82.2 92.7 78.3 7.3 23.9 35.1 71.6 95.0 74.5 Mean Variable (%) Variable (%) Male 48.6 Summer Age 23-30 15.6 Autumn Age 31-40 30.1 Sunday Age 41-50 27.5 Friday Age 51-64 26.8 Saturday Less than high school 4.9 Work day Exactly high school 24.4 Household income below $5,000 Some college 28.4 between $5,000 and $7,499 College graduate 42.3 between $7,500 and $9,999 Presence of spouse/partner 55.5 between $10,000 and $12,499 Presence of children 0-5 21.4 between $12,500 and $14,999 Presence of children 6-12 26.2 between $15,000 and $19,999 Presence of other adults 18.9 between $20,000 and $24,999 Black 12.4 between $25,000 and $29,999 Hispanic 12.8 between $30,000 and $34,999 Disabled 3.2 between $35,000 and $39,999 Northeast 16.9 between $40,000 and $49,999 Midwest 26.6 between $50,000 and $59,999 South 34.1 between $60,000 and $74,999 West 22.4 between $75,000 and $99,999 Metropolitan area 84.3 between $100,000 and $149,999 Winter 25.2 above $150,000 Spring 25.8 Notes: *: Persons living with a spouse/partner who is also working (1,332 individuals). 27 Mean 25.7 23.2 25.7 9.5 24.6 53.1 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.6 3.3 4.5 4.8 6.3 5.6 9.8 9.8 11.6 15.3 14.7 8.6 TABLE 2. COMPARISON OF FITTED AND ACTUAL DISTRIBUTIONS Model 1, original Model 2, removing the Logarithm of income income 5 lowest and the highest range Actual categorizationa income categoriesb ‒ x 8.5172 25 3 ‒ 8.5172 x 8.9227 21 13 ‒ 8.9227 x 9.2103 30 27 ‒ 9.2103 x 9.4335 51 43 ‒ 9.4335 x 9.6158 52 58 9.6158 x 9.9035 108 150 108 9.9035 x 10.1266 145 179 144 10.1266 x 10.3090 155 193 166 10.3090 x 10.4631 204 194 178 10.4631 x 10.5966 183 189 180 10.5966 x 10.8198 319 347 348 10.8198 x 11.0021 319 298 313 11.0021 x 11.2252 376 358 391 11.2252 x 11.5129 495 410 465 11.5129 x 11.9184 477 418 488 ‒ 11.9184 x 279 359 Total 3,239 2 statistic 2 (critical value) 3,239 2,781 243.53 9.87 2 13df 19.81 2 7df 12.02 10 10 Notes: a: x N 10.9564, .6203 . b: x N 11.0706, .5526 28 10 TABLE 3—INCOME ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND Single earners Dual earners (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) PIV CM Midpoint PIV CM Midpoint Leisure activity Estimate S.E. Estimate S.E. Estimate Estimate S.E. Estimate S.E. Estimate Active leisure .20 .15 .19 .16 -.01 .17 .19 .17 .17 .05 Physical exertion .47** .22 .46* .26 .14 .05 .30 .05 .26 -.01 Mental exertion .22 .36 .21 .39 -.11 -.19 .50 -.18 .42 -.14 Domestic crafts -.20 .25 -.19 .20 -.15 .45 .29 .44 .29 .18 Passive leisure -.09* .05 -.09* .05 -.01 -.04 .07 -.04 .07 -.02 TV viewing -.11 .07 -.11* .06 .01 -.04 .09 -.04 .10 -.10 Other passive -.05 .09 -.05 .10 -.06 -.06 .13 -.05 .13 .13 Social entertainment .30* .17 .29* .17 .21 .45** .20 .44** .20 .14 Spectator .61 .41 .60* .36 .64 .25 .46 .25 .44 .16 Participation .19 .18 .19 .19 .06 .51** .22 .50** .23 .13 Notes: Elasticities are calculated at the means of the data. Standard errors are computed using the delta method. *: Significant at 10%. **: Significant at 5%. 29 Figure 1. Household income distribution (wage earners aged 23-64) Notes: Author’s calculations with data from the 2011 ATUS. When the original interval width was greater than $10,000, households were assigned assuming that they were uniformly distributed within the original interval. 30
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