Th e Int 7th ern Per atio ma Co fro nal nfe st ren ce Ye llow Jun kni 199 e 23- fe 27 8 PERMAFROST - Seventh International Conference (Proceedings), Yellowknife (Canada), Collection Nordicana No 55, 1998 ? WETNESS VARIABILITY AND DYNAMICS OF THERMOKARST PROCESSES IN CENTRAL YAKUTIA N.P. Bosikov Melnikov Permafrost Institute, SB RAS, Yakutsk 677010, Russia e-mail: [email protected] Abstract This report reviews the relationship between the development of thermokarst processes and general wetness of an area. Alas lakes are mainly fed by precipitation. Ground ice feeds thermokarst lakes only during the initial stage of their formation. Therefore, lakes of closed alas depressions can indicate the degree of general wetness during different periods of time. A plot of a tentative wetness coefficient (total annual precipitation divided by mean summer temperature) shows several cycles (1891-1995) that largely coincide with the available information on fluctuations of lake levels. This means that fluctuations in the alas lake level or the rate of development of a thermokarst process can be deduced from a tentative wetness coefficient of an area. Development of thermokarst process has a cyclic character. There is a multi-secular cycle, due to variability of general wetness in a region, with secular and intrasecular fluctuations within it. Introduction A monitoring study of the development of thermokarst lakes was carried out in the Lena-Amga interfluve in the vicinity of the Yukechi alas (Central Yakutia, Siberia) in order to establish the causes of the initiation and growth of thermokarst under present-day climatic conditions. Some authors argue that thermokarst lakes barely develop at present due to the dry climate (moisture shortage) of Central Yakutia (e.g., Velmina, 1970; Grave and Sukhodrovsky, 1978). However, our study indicates that thermokarst lakes do develop at present in forest clearings and in depressed terrain between the alasses (Bosikov, 1977). Study area and methods Central Yakutia has a sharply continental climate: winters are long and cold (- 60¡C), with little snow; summers are short and hot (+32¡C). The mean annual precipitation is 250-300 mm (Anonymous, 1982). In the Yukechi area, the terrain between the alasses is a plain, dipping slightly northwest, with absolute elevations of 200-220 m. The study area lies in the zone of continuous permafrost, with thicknesses of 250-300 m. Mean depth to ground ice is 2.2 m; the active layer varies in thickness from 1.3 m in the forest to 2.2 m in clearings. The thickness of the ground ice is 23-24 m. In forest clearings, the depth of occurrence of ground ice often coincides with the base of the active layer. Systematic monitoring of the development of thermokarst topography in the Yukechi area has been carried out by us since 1975. Also, oral communications with local people and aerial photographs dating from 1952 were used in our work. In the study area, there are dozens of thermokarst depressions in both undisturbed and disturbed (ploughed) terrain, most of them developed up to the stage of a thermokarst lake (dyuedya). Water accumulation in depressions on the dry surface creates favourable conditions for thawing of the ground ice, i.e., for the development of thermokarst lakes. The growth of a thermokarst lake is possible only when its hydrologic balance is positive; with a negative balance its growth ceases. Thawing proceeds 1.5 to 2 times faster below shallow water basins compared to dry polygonal formations (Vassiliev, 1982). In the summer of 1993, measurements of water temperature at the bottoms of inter-polygonal depressions were made. Water depth changed from 1.0 m to 0.8 m during that time. Measurements were taken three times a day: at 9 a.m., 1 p.m. and 9 p.m. Also, the air temperature in grass was measured. N.P. Bosikov 71 Table 1. Rate of expansion of lakes as revealed by on-site observations (in m) It was found that the sum of the three measurements a day at the bottom of a shallow water depression was 5 degrees higher in sunny days and 10.2 degrees lower in cloudy days compared with the air temperature in the grass. Thus, the cumulative thermal effect of a shallow water basin on the underlying soils is much greater than that of the air. Results An effect of this phenomenon is well demonstrated by the maximum thaw depth. In the summer of 1993, the maximum thaw depth in a dry glade was 245 cm, whereas beneath a shallow basin it was 330 cm (below its bottom). This means that conditions for strong thawing of ground ice are created below the bottoms of shallow basins because the depth of thaw exceeds that to the ground ice. The results of monitoring the growth of thermokarst lakes are given in Table 1. Graphical representation of the growth of a thermokarst lake illustrates the rate of subsidence of frozen ground and talik growth under the effect of surface waters (Figure 1). Discussion The above-mentioned data indicate that water accumulation in depressions between the alasses starts a thermokarst process. Under conditions of dry soils, an increase in thaw depth to the ground ice forms a so- 72 called "protection layer" (Shur, 1988) that prevents further thawing of the ground ice. As is shown by our monitoring results, a "protection layer" ensures stable persistence of ground ice in dry, well-drained areas because no conditions exist for stagnant water appearance. Fluctuations in the water levels of the lakes depend on total atmospheric precipitation of the area, but summer precipitation is found to have a definite influence on such fluctuations. Gavrilova (1973) established that the amount of lake water evaporation is two to four times greater than that of precipitation (in their basins) in Central Yakutia. During some dry years, evaporation exceeds precipitation by six to seven times and in some summers, by even more than ten times. From this it is clear that air temperature during summer definitely affects the level of water in the lakes. An effort was made to find a relationship between lake level fluctuations and general wetness of the study area. This relationship is expressed as a tentative coefficient which presents a ratio of total mean annual precipitation to mean summer temperature (May-August) for the same period (total annual precipitation is determined based on the hydrological year) (Shnitnikov, 1957). It is assumed that temperatures for May-August are linked to mean conditions of annual evaporation (aridity) (Figure 2). Analysis of our collected data indicates that fluctuations of lake water levels have a cyclical character, with The 7th International Permafrost Conference Figure 1. Graph of growth of a thermokarst lake in the Yukechi study area (lake F). 1: water in inter-polygonal troughs; 2: change of lake water level with time; 3: depth of subsidence with time; 4: depth of talik beneath a lake. the period from 1891 to 1995 showing the following cycles: 1891-1901 - low level; 1902-1917 - high level; 1918-1930 - low level; 1931-1934 - high level; 1935-1950 - low level; 1951-1973 - high level; 1974-1979 - low level; 1980-1984 - high level; 1985-1995 - low level. The highest level of the lakes was observed at the beginning of the 20th century. Subsequent high level cycles had lower absolute values, leading to drying-out of the alas lakes. In the 1952-1957 period, a decrease in general wetness of the Lena-Amga interfluve occurred (see Figure 2), whereas earlier years were characterized by greater wetness. A close relationship between the initiation and growth of thermokarst lakes and general wetness of the area (Bosikov, 1977) suggests that the lakes which can be seen in aerial photographs originated and grew slowly during the earlier period of greater wetness. The subsequent period of decreased wetness (1952-1957) appears to have caused reduction in the size of lakes because thermokarst processes had not yet reached the stage of sustained development at the expense of intense thawing of the ground ice. In dry years, melt water evaporates quickly and initiation and growth of thermokarst lakes ceases. Many lakes become smaller. This period might have coincided with a reduction of those lakes which were situated in the forest. Our on-site observations of the development of thermokarst processes in the Yukechi location (Table 1 and Figure 1) show that initiation and growth of thermokarst lakes proceeds much faster in ploughed terrain compared with undisturbed terrain between the alasses: no new lakes appeared in undisturbed terrain and seven new lakes developed in ploughed terrain during the observation period. Our observations indicate that the degree of basin incision is almost the same in both forested and ploughed terrains. The greater depths of lakes A and X are explained by their longer existence. Average expansion, which characterizes growth of the lake area, is several times greater in ploughed terrain than in undisturbed areas. A relatively insignificant expansion of lakes K (9.6 m) is accounted for by the limited size of the ploughed area. Where the ploughed area is larger and drainage is lacking, the degree of expansion is very high (e.g., 48.0 m for lake B). There was a dramatic increase in general wetness of Central Yakutia in 1980 (see Figure 2). As a result, lake Figure 2. Fluctuation of general wetness in Central Yakutia, Yakutsk station. Compiled using A.V.Shnitnikov's method (1957). N.P. Bosikov 73 water levels increased and intense development of thermokarst processes took place in the Yukechi site (Table 1, Figure 1). Also, intense thawing of the ground ice beneath the lakes began. When it thaws completely, feeding of the lakes will be restricted to atmospheric precipitation, i.e., to the state of general wetness of the area. Conclusion 1. The probability of development of thermokarst is three to four times greater in forest clearings between the alasses. surface. Slight depressions sometimes develop to form a hillocky topography. Meltwater, accumulating in such depressions during periods of greater wetness, causes deeper thawing of the permafrost. As a result, with suitable cryolithological conditions, the surface is depressed further to form a thermokarst lake. 3. Development of thermokarst process in Central Yakutia has a cyclic character. There is a multi-secular cycle, due to variability of general wetness of the area, as well as secular and intrasecular cycles. 150- to 180year cycles are the most prominent. 2. Where inter-alas terrain is made up of ice-rich soils, the depth of thaw increases during some hot summers, but causes no significant subsidence of the dry ground References Anonymous (1982). The climate of Yakutsk. Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad (246 pp.) (In Russian). Bosikov, N.P. (1977). Level dynamics and development of alas lakes in central Yakutia (in Russian). Izv. VGO, 109, 357362. Shnitnikov, A.V. (1957). Wetness variability of the continents in the Northern Hemisphere. Zap. GO USSR, nov. ser., v. 16 (347 pp.) (In Russian). Shur, Yu.L. (1988). The upper horizon of frozen strata and thermokarsts. Nauka, Novosibirsk (212 pp.) (In Russian). Gavrilova, M.K. (1973). The climate of central Yakutia (in Russian). Yakutskoye Knizhnoye Izd-vo (120 pp.). Vassiliev, I.S. (1982). Rules governing seasonal thawing of soil in eastern Yakutia. Nauka, Novosibirsk (133 pp.) (In Russian). Grave, N.A., and Sukhodrovsky, V.L. (1978). Relief-forming processes in the permafrost zone and principles of their avoidance and limitation in man-developed areas. In Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Permafrost, Ottawa, v. 1, pp. 467-472. Velmina, N.A. (1970). Hydrogeological characteristics of the lithospheric frozen zone. In Cryohydrogeology. Nedra, Moscow (326 pp.) (In Russian). 74 The 7th International Permafrost Conference
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