r e sear ch r e p o r t Biggest M&A deals of 2006 Banks in Asia Pacific continue to avidly pursue consolidation following the high in M&A activity in 2005. Where is the action focused and who are the heavy hitters in the headlines? By Benny Zhang D eal frenzy continues to seize the Asia Pacific banking sector, with the total value of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) between depository institutions, credit institutions and bank holding companies topping $31.8 billion in 2006. Of the past five years, this has been the second busiest, surpassed only by 2005 – when the total value was $49.3 billion, having been bolstered by the $27-billion mega-deal to create Asia’s largest lender, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Holding. Excluding deals in Japan, the total banking M&A in Asia Pacific in 2006 has actually soared 96.1 percent from the previous year to $30 billion and tripled the volume of 2002, mainly driven by intensified domestic market consolidation and increasingly capitalrich banking institutions snapping up stakes in the region. Picking up of inter-and intra-regional investments Despite ongoing developments and liberalisation in Asia Pacific, the level of sophistication in each country’s banking sector remains varied. Banks 60 The Asian TheBanker Asian Banker JournalJournal ISSUE 70 in less-developed financial systems in the region will be seeking additional capital as well as international expertise and best practices to support business expansion and economic growth, creating opportunities for cross-border investments. Inter-regional deals led by nonAsia Pacific acquirers have increased 25 percent to $11.6 billion in 2006, featuring global incumbents such as Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Standard Chartered. Notably, intra-regional investments shot up to $4.2 billion in 2006 from merely $0.9 billion in 2005, outshining the growth of interregional investments. In intra-regional deals, wellcapitalised and high-performing banks from Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore have proven to be the most active in seeking investment M&A deals in Asia Pacific’s banking sector are on the rise Source: Bureau van Dijk - Zephyr opportunities beyond their home market boundaries, striking more than half of the total number of intra-regional deals in 2006. As these banks operate in relatively saturated markets, they have to look outward for growth. The most recent activities observed in intra-regional deals also entail a surge of investments from less-developed banking systems, such as China Construction Bank’s acquisition of Bank of America (Asia) in Hong Kong, and Industry and Commercial Bank of China’s acquisition of Bank Halim in Indonesia. After successful mega-IPOs, the once under-capitalised Chinese state-owned banks are now better prepared to pursue their overseas exposure. Cross-border vs. domestic deals Asia’s two biggest emerging economies, India and China, contributed 29 and 24 deals respectively to the total 142 deals announced in Asia Pacific in 2006, dominating the top two spots in terms of deal volume by country. While India’s M&A agenda was centred around merging small players into big ones, China was more engaged with the regional and global institutional investors that deployed $9.1 billion, or 57.2 percent, of the total cross-border deal value in Asia Pacific to participate in the fast transformation of the country’s banking landscape. In terms of deal value, China emerged as the most popular location for M&A, dominating over one-third of the aggregate with 2006-announced deal value amounting to $11.4 billon. South Korea was next-most popular with $9.2 billion while Taiwan and Malaysia followed somewhat behind with less than $3 billion each – al- Breakdown of bank M&A activities by deal type (based on deal value, ex-Japan) Source: Bureau van Dijk - Zephyr though the figures are considerably higher than those of the previous year as the long-delayed market consolidation is finally poised to take off. The largest deal in 2006 was Shinhan Financial Group’s $7-billion acquisition of LG Card in South Korea (Shinhan spent another $893 million on the remaining 14.3 percent stake in LG Card in May 2007), which also marked the largest takeover in Korean history. With equally to total Asia Pacific M&A activities in 2006, despite much higher cross-border contribution in the previous two years if we exclude the ups-and-downs in Japan. M&A Outlook As corporate governance, risk management processes, profitability and asset quality steadily improve across Asia Pacific’s banking sector and more investments are pumped in, the M&A market is trending toward being more seller-driven with the price-to-book ratios (P/B) of the banking sector inching up across all major regional economies except Japan. Take the recent crossborder deals in China as examples: Bank of America paid 1.2 P/B to purchase a nine percent stake in China Construction Bank in June 2005; just one year later, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria had to pay 3.3 P/B to acquire a minority stake in health lender China CITIC Bank. The largest deal in 2006 was Shinhan Financial Group’s $7-billion acquisition of LG Card in South Korea the LG Card purchase, Shinhan has replaced Kookmin Bank as the No.1 credit card issuer in the country amid the strong rebounding of the card business. In total, domestic deals and crossborder deals contributed almost (Continued on page 64) ISSUE 70 The Asian JournalJournal The Banker Asian Banker 61 r e sear ch r e p o r t Bank M&As in the Asia Pacific Top Deals Announced in 2006 62 The Asian TheBanker Asian Banker JournalJournal ISSUE 70 ISSUE 70 The Asian JournalJournal The Banker Asian Banker 63 r e sear ch r e p o r t P/B ratio is on the rise for many Asian banking sectors, except Japan Source: Asian Banker Research (Continued from page 61) Acquisitions or the taking of minority stakes are no longer bargains in many cases; however, we believe there is still strong potential in the region’s M&A market, despite idiosyncrasies in various key economies. China will remain the most powerful draw of cross-border investments in the next two years, but this will abate slowly due to the accomplishment of the large banks’ IPO processes. More investments will flow into the better performers of the second-tier joint-stock banks and third-tier city commercial banks. In China’s domestic market, we also foresee a more visible trend of consolidation between local lenders, especially between the city commercial banks, which have now been given the go-ahead to expand into other cities. It is very likely a handful of more provincial-level players will emerge through the government-led mergers of local lenders. Foreign institutional investors are also eyeing Indian banks, but it is a 64 The Asian Banker Journal ISSUE 70 matter of whether the regulator will be more accommodative after 2009 – it has already issued guidelines prohibiting foreigners from acquiring healthy banks until 2009. Thus, future M&A activities in India’s crowded banking market will still be very much a local play. The government has directed a number of mergers among state-owned lenders in the past – but it remains to be seen whether these are real consolidations or just combinations of two messy balance sheets. So far, ICICI has been the most successful local bank in driving the M&A agenda to grow inorganically, but this is against a background where most other private sector banks in India have yet to demonstrate leadership due to lack of scale and access to capital. In South Korea, fierce competition and further liberalisation will continue fuelling the consolidation process in the banking market. Like their peers in the highly saturated Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore markets, Korean banks will find increasingly more appeal in the deals that target players with strong retail focuses, wealth management focuses or overseas operations. In Taiwan, foreign banks have grown more aggressive in the aftermath of the card crisis, as many small lenders are desperate for capital to sustain operations. Standard Chartered Bank took over Hsinchu International Bank in September last year while Citigroup and ABN AMRO recently acquired Bank of Overseas Chinese and Taitung Business Bank respectively. However, foreign investments do not really help to reduce the number of players in the domestic market, and policy markers have yet to come up with effective measures to accelerate the consolidation process. Strong M&A activities among banking institutions will most likely continue to be sustained in the coming years. However, the rationales driving the deals – better operating efficiency, higher capital and diversified businesses – have yet to be realised amid integration pains. We will just have to wait to see a more consolidated, healthier and more interrelated banking system forming up step by step in each major economy of the region. China will remain the most powerful draw of cross-border investments in the next two years
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