DPI-454 Sprig 2017 DPI 454: The Asia-Pacific in Transition (DRAFT, Subject to Change) Spring 2017 Tuesdays & Thursdays, 10:15-11:30am (Littauer 332) Instructor: Jeeyang Rhee Baum Littauer Rm. 203 Email: [email protected] Office Hours: To be announced on Canvas Faculty Assistant: Kathleen Schnaidt Littauer Rm. 207 [email protected] Course Description: This course provides a comparative analysis of the politics, political economy, and policy challenges of East Asia. While the focus is on the dynamics of democracy and the policy challenges associated with democratic transition in South Korea and Taiwan, we will also consider the corresponding transitions in Thailand and the Philippines. Additional sessions will focus on North Korea, as well as the role of the state in economic development and stability and the political and policy vulnerabilities of a dominant party state. The course is divided into three parts. Part I examines the political-economic miracles in East Asia and the democratization processes in these rapid-growth regions. Part II focuses on the institutions and groups that shape politics and policy-making in these countries. We will analyze how mechanisms of delegation, representation, and accountability operate in real-world policymaking, and the authorities and constraints facing decision makers. Part III looks at current key policy challenges and debates, including economic reform, financial regionalism, welfare policy, environmental policy and international security. Course Requirements: In addition to regular attendance and active classroom participations (10% of the final grade), students will complete the following written and oral assignments: 1. A group exercise on a policy problem (40% of the final grade): We will form small groups during the first week of class. Each group will present for 15-20 minutes and write a two-page memo. Details will be discussed in class. Due during the week of March 9 or March 21. 2. A six-page policy memo (50% of the final grade) that addresses a specific policy issue and makes recommendations to the relevant official. Additional details will be discussed in class. Due on April 27. The Kennedy School has established a recommended distribution for grading and this DPI-454 Spring 2017 course will follow this decision. The recommended range for A is 10-15%; A- 20-25%; B+ 30-40%; B 20-25%; B- or lower 5-10%. Academic Integrity: You are expected to adhere to the University policies on academic honesty and integrity as given in the Student handbook. Any violation of these policies will not be tolerated and are subject to severe sanctions up to and including expulsion from the university. Students are encouraged to work together but unless otherwise stated above, any work handed in must be that of the individual student alone. Students must observe HKS rules regarding the citation of sources. Any sentences or paragraphs taken verbatim from the writing (or interviews with) any other person or persons, or from your own writing that has been published elsewhere, must be placed in quotation marks and their source must be clearly identified. Whenever you are drawing an important argument or insight from someone else, even if you reword it into your own words, a reference to the source is required. Students who would like to request accommodations for a disability should get in touch right away with the HKS Services contact: Melissa Wojciechowski. Course Materials: All required reading materials are online and available from the HKS Canvas site. Course Schedule and Readings Part I: Introduction, Economic Miracles and Democratization Session 1 (January 24): Introduction: Transitions and Leadership Challenges Baum, Jeeyang Rhee. Responsive Democracy: Increasing State Accountability in East Asia. Michigan University Press. 2011. Ch. 1. Session 2 (January 26): The Asian Economic Miracle in Comparative Perspective Stephan M. Haggard. “Business, Politics and Policy in East and Southeast Asia.” In Behind East Asian Growth: The Political and Social Foundations of Prosperity. Henry S. Rowen, ed. Routledge. 1998. Pp. 78-104. Hall Hill, “Towards a Political Economy Explanation of Rapid Growth in ASEAN: A Survey and Analysis,” ASEAN Economic Bulletin 14, no. 2 (November 1997): 131-149. Paul Krugman, “The Myth of Asia’s Miracle,” Foreign Affairs. 73(6) 1994: 6278. Questions to consider: 1. Is there a link between political authoritarianism and rapid economic growth? 2 DPI-454 Spring 2017 2. What were the political and economic causes of the Asian economic miracle? 3. Why was government intervention in Korea effective unlike in many Latin American countries? Session 3 (January 31): Where Does Democracy Come From? Yun Fan, “Taiwan: No Civil Society, No Democracy,” in Muthiah Alagappa, ed., Civil Society and Political Change in Asia (Stanford, 2004), pp. 164190. Hahm Chaibong. 2008. “South Korea’s Miraculous Democracy.” Journal of Democracy 19(3): 128-142. Questions to consider: 1. What factors account for the political transition to democratic rule, when other efforts had failed? 2. What role did the U.S. play in Korea and Taiwan’s democratic transition? Session 4 (February 2): Democratic Consolidation and Social Change Kim, Sunhyuk. 2012. “Contentious Democracy in South Korea: An Active Civil Society and Ineffectual Political Parties.” Taiwan Journal of Democracy, 8(2): 51-61. Chu, Yun-han and Hyung Baeg Im. 2013. “The Two Turnovers in South Korea and Taiwan.” In Larry Diamond, Marc F. Plattner, and Yun-han Chu eds., Democracy in East Asia: A New Century. Pp. 105-129. Haggard, Stephan and Jong-sung You. 2014. “Freedom of Expression in South Korea.” Journal of Contemporary Asia. Questions to consider: 1. Has Korea’s democracy been fully (or sufficiently) consolidated? 2. What are the main political cleavages in Korea and Taiwan? How have they evolved over time? 3. Why has freedom of expression declined in South Korea? Part II. Political Institutions and Policymaking For a detailed analysis of each country’s constitutional structures, see Hicken, Allen and Yuko Kasuya. 2003. “A Guide to the Constitutional Structures and Electoral Systems of East, South and Southeast Asia.” Electoral Studies 22:121-151. Session 5 (February 7): Presidential-Legislative Relations Asaba, Yuki. 2013. “Presidentialism in Korea: A Strong President and a Weak Government, “ in Presidents, Assemblies and Policy-making in Asia, pp. 40-58. 3 DPI-454 Spring 2017 Matsumoto, Mitsutoyo. 2013. “Presidential Strength and Party Leadership in Taiwan,” in Presidents, Assemblies and Policy-making in Asia, pp. 107-133. Kawanaka, Takeshi. 2013. “Trading Compromises: Interaction of Powers in the Philippine Presidential System,” in Presidents, Assemblies and Policy-making in Asia, pp. 89-106. Questions to consider: 1. What are the sources and limitations of presidential power in Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines? 2. What are the greatest challenges with regard to governability in Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines? Session 6 (February 9): Legislatures and Policymaking Simon Hix and Hae-Won Jun. 2009. “Party Behaviour in the Parliamentary Arena: The Case of the Korean National Assembly.” Party Politics. 15(6): 667694. Park, Chan Wook. 2000. “Legislative-Executive Relations and Legislative Reform.” In Diamond and Shin eds., Institutional Reform and Democratic Consolidation in Korea, Ch. 3. Questions to consider: 1. How well has Korea’s legislature been functioning in recent years? Why? 2. Has Korea’s legislature increased its legislative power? If so, why? 3. Will floor violence in Korea disappear? Session 7 (February 14): Political Parties and Elections Donald K. Emmerson. “Minding the Gap Between Democracy and Governance.” Journal of Democracy 23:2 2012, pp. 62-93. Byung-Kook Kim. 2000. “Party Politics in South Korea’s Democracy: The Crisis of Success.” In Larry Diamond and Byung-Kook Kim eds., Consolidating Democracy in South Korea, pp. 53-85. Questions to consider: 1. What explains party system stability? Is party stability good, bad, or ambiguous for democratic representation? Session 8 (February 16): State Capacity and Administrative Reform Richard Doner, Bryan Ritchie, and Dan Slater, “Systemic Vulnerability and the Origins of Developmental States: Northeast and Southeast Asia in Comparative Perspective,” International Organization 59 (Spring 2005): 327-361. 4 DPI-454 Spring 2017 Baum, Jeeyang Rhee. 2007. “Presidents Have Problems Too: The Logic of Intrabranch Delegation in East Asian Democracies” British Journal of Political Science. Questions to consider: 1. In what ways have the ‘developmental states’ of Asia been vulnerable to economic changes in the global environment? 2. Under what conditions have governments adopted administrative procedural reforms? 3. What, if any, implications do these reforms have for democratic responsiveness? Session 9 (February 21): Judicial Politics: The Case of South Korea Hahm, Chaihark and Sung Ho Kim. 2005. “Constitutionalism on Trial in South Korea.” Journal of Democracy 16(2): 28-42. Ginsburg, Tom. 2014. “Constitutional Courts in Asia,” Comparative Constitutional Law in Asia. Pp. 47-79. Questions to consider: 1. How has Korea’s Constitutional Court been able to maintain a high level of compliance as well as popular support? 2. Has judicial review contributed to consolidating democracy in Korea? 3. Has judicial review affected public service provision in Asia? If so, how? Session 10 (February 23): Designing Democracy: The Case of Thailand Hicken, Allen. “Party Fabrication: Constitutional Reform and the Rise of Thai Rak Thai”. Journal of East Asian Studies. 6(3) (2006): 381-408. Ginsburg, Tom.“Constitutional Afterlife: The Continuing Impact of Thailand’s Post-Political Constitution,” 7(1) International Journal Of Constitutional Law 83-105 (2009) Questions to consider: 1. What were the main obstacles to constitutional reform in Thailand? 2. What does the Thai case tell us about the challenges of constitutional reform? Sessions 11 and 12 (February 28 and March 2): The Asian Economic Crisis and Recovery For those unfamiliar with the basics of exchange rates, a simple review can be found at http://www.ny.frb.org/education/fxforeign.html#fxrates. MacIntyre, Andrew. “Institutions and Investors: The Politics of the Asian Economic Crisis”, International Organization, 55(1) (2000): 81-122. Wade, Robert. 2000. “Wheels within Wheels: Rethinking the Asian Crisis and the Asian Model.” Annual Review of Political Science 3. Lim, Linda. “Whose ‘Model’ Failed?” Implications of the Asian Economic Crisis,” 5 DPI-454 Spring 2017 The Washington Quarterly 21, no. 3 (1998): 25-36. Dick K. Nanto. February 6, 1998. “The 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis.” Congressional Research Service (CRS) report. http://www.fas.org/man/crs/crsasia2.html K.S. Jomo. After the Storm: Crisis Recovery and Sustaining Development in Four Asian Economies. Singapore University Press. 2004. Ch. 1. Questions to consider: 1. Were the underlying causes of the Asian economic crisis political or economic in nature? 2. How can we explain the variation in individual country responses to the crisis? 3. What were the key policy responses undertaken by governments? Which were most and least effective? Why? Session 13 (March 7): Chaebol Reform: Case Study Lee, S.J. 2008. “The Politics of Chaebol Reform in Korea: Social Cleavage and New Financial Rules.” Journal of Contemporary Asia 38(3): 439-452. Ha, Yong-Chool and Wang Hwi lee. 2007. “The Politics of Economic Reform in South Korea: Crony Capitalism after Ten Years.” Asian Survey 47(6): 894-914. Questions to consider: 1. What are the problems with chaebol? 2. What reforms took place? Why? 3. What further reforms are being debated? 4. Are the chaebol good, bad, or inconsequential for economic growth, democratic representation, and public service provision? Sessions 14 and 15 (March 9 and March 21): Group Presentations **Spring Break: March 11-19 Part III. Policy Challenges and Debates Session 16 (March 23): Developmentalism under Pressure Joseph Wong, “The Adaptive Developmental State in East Asia,” Journal of East Asian Studies 4 (2004): 345-62. Yu-Shan Wu, “Taiwan's Developmental State: After the Economic and Political Turmoil,” Asian Survey 47(6) (November/December 2007): 977–1001. Questions to consider: How have patterns of political inclusion or exclusion affected the types of economic policies and outcomes actually observed? 6 DPI-454 Spring 2017 Session 17 (March 28): Corruption and Public Trust You, Jong-sung. 2015. Democracy, Inequality and Corruption: Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines Compared. Ch. 5. Baum, Jeeyang. 2009. “The Impact of Bureaucratic Openness on Public Trust in South Korea.” Democratization 16(5):969-997. Questions to consider: 1. What role does corruption play in policymaking and implementation in developing democracies? 2. Are there any benefits to citizens from corruption among policymakers and administrators? Session 18 (March 30): Democratization and Welfare Policy Joseph Wong, Healthy Democracies: Welfare Politics in Taiwan and South Korea (Cornell, 2004). Chs. 1 and 6: https://storage.googleapis.com/tzncneswlyafpl.appspot.com/Healthy-DemocraciesWelfare-Politics-Taiwan-PDF-281b235a0.pdf Yang, Jae-jin. 2013. “Politics of Small Welfare State in South Korea.” Comparative Politics. Questions to consider: 1. What effects did democratization and the economic crisis have on social policy? With what consequences for citizens? 2. How has the politics of social policy changed over time in Korea? Session 19 (April 4): The Political Economy of North Korea Haggard, Stephan, Marcus Noland and Erik Weeks. May 2008. North Korea on the Precipice of Famine (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute For International Economics). https://piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/north-korea-precipicefamine Haggard, Stephan and Marcus Noland. 2011. Witness to Transformation: Refugee Insights into North Korea (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute For International Economics), Chs. 1, 2 and 6. http://bookstore.piie.com/book-store/4389.html Questions to consider: 1. What, if anything, can foreign governments and NGOs do about famine in North Korea? 2. What are the bases of the military-first politics and nuclear armament? 3. What, if any, are the prospects for reform in North Korea? Session 20 (April 6): Politics of North Korea Policy: Reunification 7 DPI-454 Spring 2017 Heo, Uk and Terence Roehrig. 2014, South Korea’s Rise: Economic Development, Power and Foreign Relations. Ch. 6 (pp. 141-156) Park, Geun-hye. 2011. “A New Kind of Korea: Building Trust between Seoul and Pyongyang.” Foreign Affairs. 90(5) Questions to consider: 1. How have South Korea and North Korea’s unification policies changed over time? Why? 2. Did the “Sunshine policy” help North Korea to reform? 3. Was Lee Myung-bak’s hard-line policy effective? If so, in what way(s)? 4. What are the prospects of Park Keun-hye’s North Korea policy? 5. Is peaceful reunification of the peninsula possible? Is it likely? Session 21 (April 11): Environmental Policy Christopher, Dent. 2014. Chs. 2-3. Renewable Energy in East Asia: Toward a New Developmentalism. Sunhyuk Kim. 2000. “Democratization and Environmentalism: South Korea and Taiwan in Comparative Perspective.” Journal of Asian and African Studies. 35(3): pp. 287-302. Joon Hyoung Lim and Shui-Yan Tang. “Democratization and Environmental Policy-Making in Korea.” October 2002. Governance. 15(4): pp. 561-582. Questions to consider: 1. Do environmental problems pose significant risks to democratization and/or democratic consolidation? If so, how? 2. How feasible are reforms in the energy sector across the countries under study? Sessions 22 and 23 (April 13 and April 18): Financial Regionalism (Guest Speaker on April 13: Professor William Grimes, Boston University) William W. Grimes. 2015. “East Asian Financial Regionalism: Why Economic Enhancements Undermine Political Sustainability,” Contemporary Politics, 21(2), April, 145-160. William W. Grimes. 2014. “The Rise of Financial Cooperation Since the Asian Financial Crisis,” for Saadia Pekkanen, John Ravenhill, and Rosemary Foot, Oxford Handbook of the International Relations of Asia. Rodolfo Severino, 2011. “Politics of Association of Southeast Asian Nations Economic Cooperation,” Asian Economic Policy Review, (6)1. Questions to consider: 1. How have economic crises affected the demands for political change? 2. What has been the impact of financial regional cooperation and the creation of organizations to address economic crises been on individual countries involved? 8 DPI-454 Spring 2017 Session 24 (April 23): International Cooperation and Security Donald Emmerson, 2008. “ASEAN’s ‘Black Swans,’” Journal of Democracy, 19(3), July, 70-84. Robert Kaplan, 2011. “The South China Sea is the Future of Conflict,” Foreign Policy, September/October. Wei, C.X. George. 2012. China-Taiwan Relations in a Global Context: Taiwan’s Foreign Policy and Relations. New York: Routledge. Introduction and Ch. 12. Council on Foreign Relations, China-Taiwan Relations (http://www.cfr.org/china/china-taiwan-relations/p9223#p1) Questions to consider: 1. How have cross-strait relations affected domestic party politics, especially during elections? What are the policy implications? Sessions 25 (April 25): Political Culture Jang Jip, Choi. 2009. “The Fragility of Liberalism and its Political Consequences in Democratized Korea.” Asia Studies 52(3): 252-284. Kim Dae Jung. 1994. “Is Culture Destiny? The Myth of Asia’s Anti-Democratic Values.” Foreign Affairs 73 (Nov/Dec): 189-194. Mark R. Thompson. 2004. “Pacific Asia After ‘Asian Values’: Authoritarianism, Democracy, and ‘Good Governance.” Third World Quarterly 25(6): 1079-1095. Questions to consider: 1. Are Asian values unfavorable for democracy? 2. What are the causes and consequences of fragility of liberalism in South Korea? 3. What is the future for democracy in the region? Session 26 (April 27): Course Wrap-up 9
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