Chapter 3 Applying the Supply-andDemand Model Topic • How the shapes of demand and supply curves matter? • Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price. • Sensitivity of quantity supplied to price. • Long run versus short run. • Effects of a sales tax. 3-2 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. How Shapes of Demand and Supply Matter? • The shapes of the demand and supply curves determine by how much a shock affects the equilibrium price and quantity. • Example: processed pork (same as Chapter 2) w Supply depends on the price of pork and the price of hogs. 3-3 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.1 How the Effect of a Supply Shock Depends on the Shape of the Demand Curve 3.55 3.30 0 D1 A $0.25 increase in the price of pork causes the supply of pork to shift to the left A $0.25 increase in the price of pork causes the supply of pork to shift to the left. e2 176 3.675 3.30 e1 S2 S1 215 220 0 Q, Million kg of pork per year and a reduction in quantity. 3-4 (b) p, $ per kg (a) p, $ per kg This shift of the supply curve causes a movement along the demand curve… D2 e2 S2 S1 176 e1 220 Q, Million kg of pork per year But equilibrium quantity does not change since consumption is not sensitive to price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.1 How the Effect of a Supply Shock Depends on the Shape of the Demand Curve (cont.) w a shift in the supply curve to S2… w has no effect on the equilibrium price w and a substantial effect on the quantity p, $ per kg § When demand is very sensitive to price… (c) 3.30 D3 e2 e1 S2 S1 0 176 205 220 Q, Million kg of pork per year 3-5 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Price • Elasticity – the percentage change in a variable in response to a given percentage change in another variable. • Price elasticity of demand (e) – the percentage change in the quantity demanded in response to a given percentage change in the price. 3-6 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Price (cont.) • Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ ΔQ p Q ε= = = Δp %Δp Δp Q p w where D indicates change. • Example w If a 1% increase in price results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the elasticity of demand is e = -3%/1% = -3. 3-7 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Price (cont.) • Along linear demand curve with a function of: Q = a − bp w Where -b is the slope or ΔQ −b = Δp w the elasticity of demand is ΔQ p p ε= = −b Δp Q Q 3-8 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. (3.3) Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Price: Example • The estimated linear demand function for pork is: Q = 286 -20p w where Q is the quantity of pork demanded in million kg per year and p is the price of pork in $ per year. w At the equilibrium point of p = $3.30 and Q = 220 the elasticity of demand for pork is p 3.30 ε = −b = −20 × = −0.3 Q 220 3-9 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Elasticity: An Application and a Practice Problem • Varian (2002) found that the price elasticity of demand for internet use was w -2.0 for those who used a 128 Kbps service w -2.9 for those who used a 64 Kbps service. • Practice problem: w A 1% increase in the price per minute reduced the connection time by ________ for those with high speed access, and by _______ for those with slow phone line access. 3 - 10 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.1 • Calculate the elasticity of demand for the linear pork demand curve D in panel a of Figure 3.1 at the equilibrium e1 where p=$3.30 and Q=220. The estimated linear demand function for pork, which holds constant other factors that influence demand besides price (Equation 2.3), is Q=286 – 20p, where Q is the quantity of pork demanded in million kg per year and p is the price of pork in dollars per kg. 3 - 11 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.1: Answer • Substitute the slope coefficient, the price, and the quantity values into Equation 3.3. • By inspection, the slope coefficient for this demand equation is b = 20 (and a = 286). Substituting b = 20, p = $3.30, and Q = 220 into Equation 3.3, we find that the elasticity of demand at the equilibrium e1 in panel a of Figure 3.1 is • Comment: Thus, at the equilibrium, a 1% increase in the price of pork leads to a –0.3% fall in the quantity of pork demanded: A price increase causes a less than proportionate fall in the quantity of pork demanded. 3 - 12 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Elasticity Along a Demand Curve • The elasticity of demand varies along most demand curves. w Along a downward-sloping linear demand curve the elasticity of demand is a more negative number the higher the price is. 3 - 13 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. p, $ per kg Figure 3.2 Elasticity Along the Pork Demand Curve Q = 286 -20p Perfectly elastic p a/ b = 14.30 e = -b = -20 x 3.30 11.44= -0.3 220 Q = -4 57.2 Elastic e < –1 11.44 e = –4 D a/(2b) = 7.15 Unitary: e = -1" 3.30 Inelastic 0 > e > –1 e = –0.3 Perfectly" inelastic 0 3 - 14 a/5 = 57.2 a/2 = 143 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 220 a = 286 Q, Million kg of pork per year Elasticity Along The Demand Curve: Practice Problem • According to Agcaoli-Sombilla (1991), the elasticity of demand for rice is -0.47 in Austria; -0.8 in Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, and Thailand; -0.25 in Japan; -0.55 in the EU and the US; and -0.15 in Vietnam. w In which countries is the demand for rice inelastic? • In all the countries, since in all cases e > -1. w In which country is the least elastic? • In Vietnam, where e = -0.15 3 - 15 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Elasticity Along the Demand Curve (cont.) • Along a horizontal demand curve, elasticity is infinite – perfectly elastic demand w a increase in price causes an infinite change in quantity demanded • Along a vertical demand curve, elasticity is zero – perfectly inelastic demand w A change in the price does not cause a change in the quantity demanded 3 - 16 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. (a) Perfectly Elastic Demand (b) Perfectly Inelastic Demand (c) Individual‘s Demand for Insulin p, Price per unit p, Price per unit p, Price of insulin dose Figure 3.3 Vertical and Horizontal Demand Curves p* Q , Units per time period 3 - 17 Q* Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Q , Units per time period p* Q* Q , Insulin doses per day Demand Elasticity and Revenue • Any shock that changes the equilibrium price will affect an industry’s revenue • Whether revenue increases or decreases when the equilibrium price changes depends on elasticity w With elastic demand, a higher price reduces revenue w With inelastic demand, a higher price increases revenue 3 - 18 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.4 Effect of a Price Change on Revenue Revenue decreases by B, but increases by C, resulting in revenue of A+C An increase in price to p2 reduces quantity Revenue = A + B 3 - 19 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.2 • Does revenue increase or decrease if the demand curve is inelastic at the initial price? How does it change if the demand curve is elastic? • Answer w Consider the extreme case where the demand curve is perfectly inelastic and then generalize to the inelastic case. w Show that if the demand curve is elastic at the initial price, then area C is relatively small. 3 - 20 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.2: Answer 3 - 21 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.2 • Does revenue increase or decrease if the demand curve is inelastic at the initial price? How does it change if the demand curve is elastic? 3 - 22 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Demand Elasticities Over Time • Demand elasticities may be different in the short-run and the long-run • The difference depends on substitution and storage opportunities • For most goods elasticities tend to be larger in the long-run • For easily storable or durable goods, the reverse is true 3 - 23 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Income • Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ ΔQ Y Q ξ= = = %ΔY ΔY ΔY Q Y w where Y stands for income. • Example w If a 1% increase in income results in a 3% increase in quantity demanded, the income elasticity of demand is x = 3%/1% = 3. 3 - 24 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to Income: Example • The estimated demand function for pork is: Q = 171 – 20p + 20pb + 3pc + 2Y w where p is the price of pork, pb is the price of beef, pc is the price of chicken and Y is the income (in thousands of dollars). w Question: what would be the income elasticity of demand for Pork if Q = 220 and Y = 12.5 w Answer: ΔQ • Since 3 - 25 = 2, then ΔY ΔQ Y Y ⎛ 12.5 ⎞ ξ= = 2 = 2⎜ ⎟ ≈ 0.114 ΔY Q Q ⎝ 220 ⎠ Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to the Price of a Related Good • Formally, ΔQ % ΔQ ΔQ p o Q = = % Δ p o Δp o Δp o Q po w where Po stands for price of another good. • Example w If a 1% increase in the price of a related good results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the cross-price elasticity of demand is = -3%/1% = -3. 3 - 26 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to the Price of a Related Good • If the cross-price elasticity is positive, the goods are substitutes w Question: can you think of any examples of two goods that are substitutes? • Roses and carnations • If the cross-price elasticity is negative, the goods are complements w Question: can you think of any examples of two goods that are complements? • Peanut butter and jelly 3 - 27 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Demanded to the Price of a Related Good: Example • Again, the estimated demand function for pork is: Q = 171 – 20p + 20pb + 3pc + 2Y w Question: what would be the cross-price elasticity between the price of beef and the quantity of pork if Q = 220 and pb = $4? w Answer: ΔQ • Since Δpb = 20, then pb ΔQ pb ⎛ 4 ⎞ = 20 = 20⎜ ⎟ ≈ 0.364 Δpb Q Q ⎝ 220 ⎠ 3 - 28 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Supplied to Price • Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ ΔQ p Q η= = = Δp %Δp Δp Q p w where Q indicates quantity supplied. • Example w If a 1% increase in price results in a 3% increase in quantity supplied, the elasticity of supply is h = 3%/1% = 3. 3 - 29 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Supplied to Price: Example • The estimated linear supply function for pork is: Q = 88 - 40p w where Q is the quantity of pork supplied in million kg per year and p is the price of pork in $ per year. w At the equilibrium, where p = $3.30 and Q = 220, the elasticity of supply is: ΔQ P 3.30 η= = 40 × = 0.6 Δp Q 220 3 - 30 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of Quantity Supplied to Price (cont.) • Along linear supply curve with a function of: Q = g + hp w Where h is the slope or ΔQ h= Δp w the elasticity of supply is ΔQ p p η= =h Δp Q Q 3 - 31 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.5 Elasticity Along the Pork Supply Curve 3 - 32 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Supply Elasticities Over Time • Supply elasticities may differ in the shortrun and the long-run • The difference depends on the ability to convert fixed inputs into variable inputs 3 - 33 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.3 • What would be the effect of ANWR production on the world price of oil given that ε = –0.4,η = 0.3, the pre-ANWR daily world production of oil is Q1 = 84 million barrels per day, the preANWR world price is p1 = $70 per barrel, and daily ANWR production would be 0.8 million barrels per day? For simplicity, assume that the supply and demand curves are linear and that the introduction of ANWR oil would cause a parallel shift in the world supply curve to the right by 0.8 million barrels per day. 3 - 34 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.3 3 - 35 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Effects of a Sales Tax 1. What effect does a sales tax have on equilibrium prices and quantity? 2. Is it true, as many people claim, that taxes assessed on producers are passed along to consumers? 3. Do the equilibrium price and quantity depend on whether the tax is assessed on consumers or on producers? 3 - 36 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Two Types of Sales Taxes • Ad valorem tax - for every dollar the consumer spends, the government keeps a fraction, α, which is the ad valorem tax rate • Specific tax - where a specified dollar amount, t, is collected per unit of output 3 - 37 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.6 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on the Pork Market Collected from Producers p, $ per kg S2 e2 p3 = 3.30 p2 – t = 2.95 t = $1.05 S1 p2 = 4.00 e1 • After the tax, T = $216.3 million 0 176 • A tax on producers shifts the supply curve downward by the amount of the tax (t = $1.05)…. • which causes the market price to increase… Q2 = 206 Q1 = 220 D Q, Million kg of pork per year 3 - 38 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. w buyers pay an additional $.70 per unit ($4.00 $3.30) w sellers receive $0.35 less per unit ($3.30 $2.95) w and the government collects $216.3 in revenue. How Specific Tax Effects Depend on Elasticities • The government raises the tax from zero to t, so the change in the tax is Dt =t – 0 = t. w The price buyers pay increases by: ⎛ η Δp = ⎜⎜ ⎝η − ε ⎞ ⎟⎟Δτ ⎠ • If e = -0.3 and h = 0.6, a change of a tax of Dt = $1.05 causes the price buyers pay to rise by ⎛ η Δp = ⎜⎜ ⎝η − ε 3 - 39 ⎞ 0.6 ⎟⎟Δτ = × $1.05 = $0.70 0.6 − [−0.3] ⎠ Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.4 • If the supply curve is perfectly elastic and demand is linear and downward sloping, what is the effect of a $1 specific tax collected from producers on equilibrium price and quantity, and what is the incidence on consumers? Why? 3 - 40 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.4 3 - 41 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. p, $ per kg Figure 3.7 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on Pork Collected from Consumers but the new equilibrium is the same as when the tax is applied to suppliers e2 p = 3.30 T = $216.3 million – t = 2.95 p = 4.00 p2 Wedge, t = $1.05 S e2 t = $1.05 The tax shifts the demand curve down by τ = $1.05… 0 3 - 42 176 Q2 = 206 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Q1 = 220 D1 D2 Q, Million kg of pork per year Figure 3.8 Comparison of an Ad Valorem and a Specific Tax on Pork 3 - 43 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.5 • If the short-run supply curve for fresh fruit is perfectly inelastic and the demand curve is a downward-sloping straight line, what is the effect of an ad valorem tax on equilibrium price and quantity, and what is the incidence on consumers? Why? 3 - 44 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.5 3 - 45 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.9 Effect of a Specific Gasoline (Carbon) Tax in the Long Run and in the Short Run 3 - 46 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
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