9th International Statistics Day Symposium (ISDS2014, İGS2014) 10‐14 May, 2014 Antalya, TURKEY Symposium Programme 10 May 2014, Saturday 09:00‐13:30 13:30‐15:00 15:00‐15:15 15:15‐16:45 16:45‐17:00 17:00‐18:30 REGISTRATION OPENING CEREMONY TEA‐COFFEE BREAK INVITED TALKS 1 Place: Hall‐2 Talk 1.1: Hıfsı Soydemir Risk Factors and Demand Analysis in Real Sector Talk 1.2:İsmihan Bayramoğlu Bivariate Order Statistics and Their Applications in Reliability TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 1 Session 1.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In memory of Alaattin Kutsal) Chair: Roberto Rossi • Bayesian estimation for Discrete Chen distribution Kadir Karakaya, Yunus Akdoğan, İsmail Kınacı, Coşkun Kuş • An Automated Teller Machine Location Selection Using Analytic Hierarchy Process Şenol Erdoğmuş, Sevgi Ayhan, Seçil Yılmaz • Reducing Model Uncertainties in Developmental Toxicity Risk Assessment Mehdi Razzaghi • Ridit Analysis of Tumor Size of Breast Cancer Data in 2000‐2011 Years Adnan Karaibrahimoğlu, Sema Soysal • Robust Estimation for Parameters of the Weibull Distribution İbrahim Arık, Y. M. Kantar, İ. Usta WORKSHOPS 1 Workshop 1.1: Hamparsum Bozdoğan New Advances in Regression Model Selection Using Information Complexity and the Genetic Algorithm (Part‐I) Place: Hall‐3 Workshop 1.2:Ahmet Sinan Türkyılmaz An Example for Sample Design of Survey: 2013 TDHSTurkey Demographic and Health Survey Place: Hall‐4 COURSES 1 Course 1.1: Hamza Erol Compound Probability Models of Mixing Parameters Acting as Random Variables and Mixtures Place: Hall‐5 POSTER PRESENTATIONS • Fuzzy Programming Approach to Portfolio Selection Türkan Erbay Dalkılıç, Tuğba Gül • A New Approach For Variable Selection in Linear Regression Models Using Bayesian Networks Emre Dünder, Mehmet Ali Cengiz, Haydar Koç, Erdinç Yücesoy • Determination Of Relationships Among Nonlinear Model Parameters In Wheat Plants Alper Sinan, Ufuk Karadavut, Aydın Karakoca • The Effectiveness of Sampling Adjustment Procedures for Web Survey Zerrin Aşan Greenacre • Classification Trees with R: Profiling Missing Children Levent Terlemez • Measuring Service Quality in Banking Sector: Balıkesir Example Alper Bekki • Jewell’s Hierarchical Credibility Model and an Implementation in R Program Övgücan G. Karadağ, Meral Sucu • Artificial Neural Networks and Non Linear Model Comparison at The Definition on The Growth of Japanese Quails Ufuk Karadavut, Atilla Taşkın, Aslı Akıllı, Serdar Genç, Ali Alper Genç 11 May 2014, Sunday 09:00‐10:30 10:30‐10:45 10:45‐12:15 INVITED TALKS 2 Place: Hall‐2 Talk 2.1:Debasis Kundu Geometric Skew Normal Distribution Talk 2.2:Hamparsum Bozdoğan Robust Unsupervised Learning and Flexible Mixture Model Cluster Analysis Using Information Theoretic Measure of Complexity and The Genetic Algorithm in High Dimensions TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 2 Session 2.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In memory of Nuri Ersoy) Chair: Necmi Gürsakal • Asymptotic Approach for the Boundary Functionals of a Random Walk with Generalized Reflecting Barrier Z. Hanalioglu, B. Gever, T. Khaniyev • On Wright‐Preinvex Stochastic Processes Nurgül O. Bekar, İmdat İşcan, Hande G. Akdemir • On Kuhn Type Results For Strongly GA‐Convex Stochastic Processes Nurgül O. Bekar, İmdat İşcan, Hande G. Akdemir • • On Preinvexity for Stochastic Processes Hande G. Akdemir, Nurgül O. Bekar, İmdat İşcan Modelling of Annual Maximum Storm Event Analysis (AMSEA) in Peninsular Malaysia Wan Zawiah Wan Zin, Rado Yendra, Abdul Aziz Jemain Session 2.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Halûk Cillov) Chair: Atıf Evren • A Bayesian Approach to Photon Counting with Dead Periods Burçin Şimşek, Satish Iyengar • On Concomitants of Order Statistics for Bivariate Pseudo‐Pareto Distribution SerapYörübulut, Ömer L. Gebizlioglu • A Stepwise Analysis for Improvement of B‐Glukan Production in Statistical Point of View S. Ertunç, Ö. Türkşen, B. Akay, H. Boyacıoğlu,N. Sabuncu • Statistical Analysis of Causes of Infant Mortality in Enugu State of Nigeria Chinelol Igwenagu • Applications of Some Entropy Measures on Multinomial Populations Gökhan Dinçer, Atıf Evren • Statistical Inferences Related to the Threshold Values of Uniform and Exponential Distributions İsmail Erdem Session 2.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In memory of Necati İşcil) Chair: Armağan Tarım • Evaluation of Employee’s Job Satisfaction LevelsUsing Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process Method: An Application Work forMinistery of National Education in Erzincan Turgut Karabulut, Ali Erbaşı • Bivariate Chen Distribution and Its Application Umut Öksüz, Coşkun Kuş, İsmail Kınacı • Accident Statistics with Data Envelopment Analysis Muhammet Oğuzhan Yalçın, Aşır Genç • Weighted Weibull Distribution: Properties and Estimation Sanku Dey, Tanujit Dey, M. Z. Anis Session 2.4: Place: Hall‐5 (In memory of Ali Fettah Shahbazov) Chair: Sadullah Sakallıoğlu • Investigation of Relationship Between Environmental Sensitivity, Environmental Protection Promise and Environmental Behavior by Using Correspondence Analysis Zeynep İlhan Dalbudak, Mehmet Sandal, Veysel Yılmaz • Investigation of Attitudes for Environmental Protection Promise With Explanatory and Confirmatory Factor Analysis Murat Doğan, Rana Şen, Veysel Yılmaz • On Fuzzy Bayesian Classification N. Kayaalp, Güvenç Arslan • • • 12:15‐13:30 13:30‐15:00 Modeling Claim Severity in Motor Insurance: Copula Approach Aslıhan Şentürk Acar, Uğur Karabey Improved Estimators of Two parameter Exponential Distribution Based on Type Two Censored Data Minoo Aminnejad, Özlem Gürünlü Alma, Reza Arabi Belaghi Truncated Inverted Generalized Exponential Distribution: Properties and Applications Ali İhsan Genç LUNCH PARALLEL SESSIONS 3 Session 3.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Orhan Güvenen) Chair: E. Petrauskas • Fonctional Nonparametric Regression for Mixing Process K. Belaide, A. Dahmani • Business Failure Prediction Modeling Approach As the Determinant of Auditor’s Opinion and Attitudes: The Case Study of Istanbul Stock Exchange Erkan Abdulgaffar Agaoglu, Ahmet Özcan • Stochastic Mixed‐Effects Parameters Bertalanffy Process, with Applications to Tree Growth Modeling P. Rupšys, E. Petrauskas • Diagnosis of Spinal Canal Region Diseases Using Soft Computing Methods Yavuz Ünal, Hasan Erdinç Koçer, Kerim Kürşat Çevik, Ali Sami Kıvrak • Bayes Risk For Selection The Median Category From Even Sample Size In K‐ Nomial Distribution Kawther Fawzi Hamza Session 3.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Ceyhan İnal) Chair: Cemil YAPAR • Lifting Problem on Fuzzy Covering Spaces Erdal Güner • Probability Distributions Related to the Bernstein Polynomials Yılmaz Şimşek • A Measure of Global Efficiency in Networks Aysun Aytaç, Betül Atay • A General View to Least Squares Theory in Statistics Cemil Yapar, F.B. Yalçın • A General View to Correlation Concept Cemil Yapar, E. Demür • The Impact of Economic Crisis on Patient Volumes Related to Unemployment Ahmet Duran, Farrukh T. Mohammed Session 3.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Gülsüm Oral Hocaoğlu) Chair: Ali İhsan Genç • Fuzzy Goal Programming Approach For Parallel Diassembly Line Balancing Seda Hezer, Yakup Kara • Zero Accident Facility: How Far We Are? Based on a Case Study in a Manufacturing Industry Mohammad Ali Asudegi, Mona Asudegi • Selection Archimedean Copula for Special Distribution Ayşe Metin Karakaş, Sinan Çalık, Ayşe Turan Buğatekin • Recurrence Relations for the Moments of Order Statistics from a Generalized Beta Distribution Ayşe Turan Bugatekin, M. Gürcan • Can The Control Charts be Used to Construct Early Warning Systems in Economics? A Pilot Study from Energy Sector Özlem Türker Bayrak, Burcu Aytaçoğlu, Ebru Yüksel • G/G/1 Queue Revisited: Approximation of the Performance Measures Using a Statistical Approach Aicha Bareche, D. Aïssani Session 3.4: Place: Hall‐5 (In honor of Öniz Toktamış) Chair: İsmihan Bayramoğlu • Bivariate Analysis of Precipitation and Runoff in the Hirfanlı Dam Basin, Turkey, Using Copulas E. Kızılok Kara, O. Yıldız • Ranking Documents According to their Relevance Engin Taş • Copulas and the Quest for the Hidden Dependence Romain Decet • On a New Sample Rank of Bivariate Order Statistics Gülder Kemalbay, İsmihan Bayramoğlu • The Paradox of Statistics Education in Turkey Necmi Gürsakal • How Can We Measure Entrepreneurship? Necmi Gürsakal, Sevda Gürsakal, Dilek Murat 15:00‐15:15 15:15‐16:45 TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 4 Session 4.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Öztaş Ayhan) Chair: Cem KADILAR • A Bayesian Time Series Model for Wind Direction M.B. Kılıç, Zeynep Kalaylıoğlu • Time‐Varying Coefficient Models for Joint Modeling Binary and Continuous Outcomes in Longitudinal Data Esra Kürüm, Runze Li, Saul Shiffman, Weixin Yao • An Optimal k of k‐th Moving Average ARIMA Models Under Simulated AR(p) Models Based on Forecasting Accuracy Issam A. Dawoud, Selahattin Kaçıranlar • Forecast of Individual Pension System Indicators Using the Grey Theory Miraç Eren, Abdulkerim Karaaslan • A Bayesian Approach to Hazard Change Detection with Incomplete Data Ülkü Gürler, Deniz Yenigün • Estimations for Proportional Reversed Hazard Rate Model Distributions Based on Upper Record Values and Inter‐record Times Fatih Kızılaslan, Mustafa Nadar WORKSHOPS 2 Workshop 2.1: Fikri Akdeniz Linear Models (Part‐I) Place: Hall‐3 • Kısmi Lineer Modeller Fikri Akdeniz • Efficient Estimators of Two Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations Funda Erdugan • Robust Inferences for Regression Parameters in Difference‐Based Semiparametric Partially Linear Models Gülin Tabakan Workshop 2.2: Erkan Işığıçok Six Sigma Place: Hall‐4 16:45‐17:00 17:00‐18:30 COURSES 2 Course 2.1:Yılmaz Akdi Unit Root Tests Place: Hall‐5 TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 5 Session 5.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Zehra Muluk) Chair: Serpil Aktaş Altunay • Optimal Claiming Behavior for Third‐Party Auto Insurance Market in Turkey Derya Gülel, N. Onur Bakır, Salih Tekin • Application of Value at Risk (VaR) Models on Insurance Claim Data Neslihan Fidan Keçeci, Latife Sinem Sarul • Risk Assessment of the Istanbul Stock Exchange National 100 Index by Hidden Markov Model Ceren Eda Can, Gül Ergün • Examining The Factors Affecting Car Brand Choice of Consumers By Logistic Regression Analysis Süleyman Dündar, Hamza Erdoğdu, Mehmet Fedai Kaya • Bayesian Estimation of Odds Ratios from Contingency Tables Haydar Demirhan Session 5.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of İsmail Erdem) Chair: Aylin Alkaya • Poststratification and Raking: Usages of Auxiliary Information In Survey Sampling Aylin Alkaya • • • Dimension Reduction and Detection of Outliers in High Dimensional Data with Information Complexity Esra Pamukçu, Hamparsum Bozdogan Employing Functional Analysis of Variance in Analysing Rainfall Patterns Between Stations Suhaila Jamaludin Determination of Standart Times In Die Manufacturing Stages Using Statistical Techniques İmren Öztürk Yılmaz, Necip Ceylan, Seda Özmutlu, H. Cenk Özmutlu, Gizem Göklü Session 5.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Ömer L. Gebizlioğlu) Chair: Birol Topçu • Examining the Workers’ Productivity at Textile Enterprises in Afyonkarahisar City via Structural Equation Modeling Birol Topçu, Sinan Saraçlı, Cengiz Gazeloğlu, Huriye Telli, Rabia Özteke • Analysis of Strength of Dental Prosthesis Materials Using Weibull Distribution Bülent Çelik, Nehir Canıgür Bavbek • Investigations on Pleiotropy for Growth Related Traits based on Bayesian Residuals and Breeding Values by Principal Component Analyses using F2 Mice Dataset Burak Karacaören • Asymptotic Results for a Renewal‐Reward Process with a General Interference of Chance T. Khaniyev, O. Ardic, R. Aliyev • VaR Models of Climate Time Series Analysis of The Bootstrap Method Diğdem Çayır • An Application of Generalized Maximum Entropy Estimation of Linear Regression: Unemployment in Turkey Gözde Ergin, Gülhayat Gölbaşı Şimşek • On a Useful Transformation of a Two‐Sided Power Variate Mustafa Çağatay Korkmaz, Ali I. Genç WORKSHOPS 3 Workshop 3.1: Fikri Akdeniz Linear Models (Part‐II) Place: Hall‐5 • Lineer Modellerde Yanlı Tahmin Edicilerde Son Gelişmeler Selahattin Kaçıranlar, Sadullah Sakallıoğlu • Lineer Modellerde Geometrik Yorumlar Cemil Yapar POSTER PRESENTATIONS • Type‐II Fuzzy Logic and Parameter Estimation Where Data Set Have Outliers Kamile Şanlı Kula, Türkan Erbay Dalkılıç • Mixture of Marshall‐Olkin Bivariate Weibull and Block‐Basu Bivariate Weibull Distributions Nazif Çalış, Ayça Hatice Türkan, Özlem Türkşen • Determination of Relative Efficiency Hotels in Eskişehir by Data Envelopment Analysis Kadir Özgür Peker, Cenk İçöz • • • • • A Conjoint Analysis Implementation in R Program: Tablet PC Case Cenk İçöz, Harun Sönmez Single Server Retrial Queue with Breakdowns: Monotonicity and Comparability Mohamed Boualem, M. Cherfaoui A Study of Traveling Salesman Problem Using Fuzzy Theory and Computer Programming Serpil Gümüştekin, Tuba Koç, Tuğba Gül, Burcu Hasançebi Brown‐Forsythe and Modified Brown‐Forsythe Test Statistics Under Weibull Distribution D. Karagöz An Application of Fuzzy Linear Regression for Wind Energy Gültekin Atalık, Sevil Şentürk 12 May 2014, Monday 09:00‐10:30 10:30‐10:45 10:45‐12:15 INVITED TALKS3 Place: Hall‐2 Talk 3.1:László Márkus Nonlinear Time Series in Hydrogeological Modelling Talk 3.2:Steve Prestwich Statistics and Artificial Intelligence TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS6 Session 6.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Alptekin Esin) Chair: Yılmaz Akdi • Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Relationship: Evidence From Panel Data for Selected European Union Countries Mehmet Mert, Hakan Bozdağ • Forecasting Airport Passenger Demand By Box‐Jenkins and Artificialneural Networks Methods: A Case Study of Antalya Airport M. Fatih Çağlar, Hakan Bozdağ, Hakan Demirgil • Is Real Gdp Stationary in The Major Advanced Economies? Evidence From an Unbalanced Panel Unit Root Test Emrah Hanifi Fırat, Nurhan Halisdemir, Mehmet Gürcan • Random Time Aggregation and its Potential Benefits for Forecasting Annual Data Philip H. Franses, Robert M. Kunst • The efficiency of modified sieve sampling techniques in auditing Sabina Augustyn • Markov Chain‐mixed Exponential (MCME) Modeling of Daily Rainfall Data Fadhilah Yusof, Lee Mee Yung, Zulkifli Yusop Session 6.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Müslim Ekni) Chair: Türkan Erbay Dalkılıç • Modeling, Optimizing, and Decision Making Stages for Multi‐Response Problems in Case of Correlated Responses Özlem Türkşen • Average Air Temperature Forecasting of Trabzon Using Artificial Neural Networks Özge Tezel, Orhan Kesemen, Eda Özkul • Analysis and Comparison of Six Robust Regression Techniques Gözde Navruz, A. Fırat Özdemir • Outpatient Satisfaction Analysis Using Ordered Logit Model: The Case of Three State Hospitals in Erzurum Ömer Alkan, Erkan Oktay, Ali Kemal Çelik • Parameter Estimation Methods for Two‐Component Mixed Exponential Distributions M. Yılmaz, Buse Büyüm Session 6.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Erkan Abdülgaffar Ağaoğlu) Chair: Dauren T. Aidarkhanov • Macroeconomic Analysis and Parametric Control of a Small National Economy in the framework of Regional Economic Union Abdykappar A. Ashimov, Bakhyt T. Sultanov, Yuriy V. Borovskiy, Rakhman A. Alshanov, Dauren T. Aidarkhanov • Statistical inference for several discrete distribution based on type‐I censored sample Yunus Akdoğan, Coşkun Kuş, İsmail Kınacı • Modeling the Occurence and Amount of Malaysia Rainfall Rossita M. Yunus, Masud Hasan, Nuradhiathy A. Razak, Yong Zulina Zubairi • Pattern Extraction of Breast Cancer Data Using Association Rule Mining Adnan Karaibrahimoğlu, Yasin Asar, Hakan Başbozkurt, Aşır Genç • Expectation Maximization Algorithm Based Classifiers Emre Çimen, Gürkan Öztürk 12:15‐13:30 13:30‐15:00 Session 6.4: Place: Hall‐5 (In honor of Fikri Akdeniz) Chair: Veysel Yılmaz • Fitting PH‐Distributions with EM‐Algorithm Şerife Özkar, Umay Uzunoğlu Koçer • Determining Inventory Policy by Markov Decison Process Bahar Yalçın, Umay Uzunoğlu Koçer • Matrix Geometric Solution to the Multi‐Server and Finite Buffer Queues Umay Uzunoğlu Koçer, Şerife Özkar • Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Applied to Test Day Milk Yield Data E. Karaman, E. Kaya Başar, M.Z. Firat • Multiple‐Looped Maximum Likelihood Estimation Hakan Savaş Sazak • On The Comparison of The Interval Estimation Of The Pareto Parameters Under Simple Random Sampling and Ranked Set Sampling Techniques Aissa Omar, Kamarulzaman Ibrahim, Walid Abu Dayyeh, Wan Zawiah Wan Zin LUNCH PARALLEL SESSIONS7 Session 7.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Nihat Bozdağ) Chair: László Márkus • Guaranteed Products: A study on Turkish Private Retirement Insurance Plans Ayşegül İşcanoğlu Çekiç • Bootstrap Version For Ordered Alternatives In Randomized Complete Block Design And A Comparation Hasan Hüseyin Gül, Hülya Bayrak, Esra Yiğit Gökpınar, Fikri Gökpınar • A Comparative Study of Bankruptcy Prediction Models – Example of Polish Manufacturing Jozef Pociecha, Barbara Pawelek, Mateusz Baryla • Parameter Estimation of Weibull Distribution with Graphical Methods Büşra Altınkaynak, Buse Büyüm, Fahrettin Arslan • Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting with Bayesian Neural Networks Ozan Kocadağlı, Barış Aşıkgil • Forecasting the Temperature in Melbourne, Australia Efehan Ulaş, Burak Keskin Session 7.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Necla Çömlekçi) Chair: Steve Prestwich • Comparative Analysis of Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) Methods Nimet Y. Pehlivan, Ahmet Çalık, Ahmet Pekgör • Decision Support System for Some MCDM Methods in Matlab Ahmet Pekgör, Nimet Y. Pehlivan, Ahmet Çalık • The Web Based Program for Weighted Compromise Decision in Group Decision Making in AMulti‐Objective Or Multi‐Criteria Problem Via AHP Mustafa Semiz, Neslihan İyit • An Application on Prediction of Exchange Rate with Artificial Neural Networks Mehmet Nuri Salur, Mehmet Yavuz • Applied Statistical Analysis of the Linear Regression Models Ioan Milosan • On Liu‐Type Logistic Estimators Yasin Asar, Adnan Karaibrahimoğlu, Hakan Başbozkurt, Aşır Genç Session 7.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Ersoy Canküyer) Chair: İsmail Erdem • Prediction of Istanbul Stock Exchange Corporate Governance Index with Markov Chain Mehmet Yavuz, Mehmet Nuri Salur, Şakir Sakarya, Necati Özdemir • Comparison of The Models Used in Stochastic Frontier Analysis Harun Kınacı, İhsan Alp • Stock Returns, Inflation, and Real Activity in Developing Countries: A Markov‐ switching Approach Atilla Cifter • Demand Forecasting for Main Course Books in Oxford Ankara Bölge Bayii A.Ş. Nihan Atak, Pelin Toktaş • Polygonal Approach in Determining 2D Confidence Region of Multimodal Distribution Function Using Monte Carlo Method Yeşim Yeginoğlu, Orhan Kesemen, Ülkü Ünsal • Parameter Estimation in α‐Series Process with Inverse Gaussian Distribution Mahmut Kara, Özlem Türkşen, Halil Aydoğdu Session 7.4: Place: Hall‐5 (In memory of Ali Sinan) Chair: Alper SİNAN • Semantic Analysis of Turkish Texts Using Latent Dirichlet Allocation Engin Yıldıztepe, Volkan Uzun • Genetic Algorithm Approach to the Parameter Estimation in Categorical Dependent Variable Models Emre Demir, Özge Akkuş • A Psychometric Scale For Determining University Students’ Attitudes Towards The Statistics Courses They Take: Statistical Attitude Scale (SAS) Taner Tunç, Fatih Komitoğlu, Yüksel Öner, Hasan Bulut • Pedigree Analysis with Bayesian Logical Inference Mehmet Cevri, Dursun Üstündağ, Y. Gökdemir, B.T.Karadağ • Monte Carlo Simulation for Vasicek Interest Rate Model Parameters Gönül Ayranci, Banu Özgürel • Lasso and Adaptive Lasso Selection in Animal Breeding Suna Akkol, Ferda Karakuş, Fırat Cengiz • A Method for Estimation of Parameters in Competing Hazard Model Murat Genç, Deniz Ünal Session 7.5: Place: Hall‐6 (In honor of İhsan Ünver) Chair: Serpil Kılıç • GIS‐Based Analytical Hierarchy Process for Spatial Decision Problems Derya Özturk, F. Kılıç • Geo‐statistical Interpolation of Meteorological Data in Aegean Region, Turkey Derya Öztürk, F. Kılıç • An Evaluation of Scientific Publications by Using Social Network Analysis Serpil Kılıç, Özer Depren • Determining Parameter Support Vector Bounds in Generalized Maximum Entropy Approach Özer Depren, İ. E. Yıldırım • Comparison of Ordinal Logistic Regression Models: An Application of Customer Loyalty Serpil Kılıç • On The Distribution of The Product of Two Two‐Sided Power Random Variables Selim Gündüz, A.İ.Genç • New Methods for the Parameter k of Robust Ridge Regression Based on an M‐ Estimator Hasan Ertaş, Selahattin Kaçıranlar 15:00‐15:15 15:15‐16:45 TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS8 Session 8.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Nilgün Moralı) Chair: Fethi AMRI • Some Productivity Drivers in Tunisian Manufacturing Firms Fethi Amri, Rim Mouelhi • Statistical Analysis of University Students Habits in Turkey Pınar Mızrak Özfırat • Estimation in Interval Censored Data Könül Bayramoğlu, Barış Sürücü • A Comparison of Discriminant Analysis and ROC Curves in Diagnostic Tests M.Sinan İyisoy, Mustafa Semiz • Parallel Analysis with Bootstrap Modification in Factor Analysis Gülhayat Gölbaşı Şimşek, Selahattin Aydoğdu Session 8.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Mehmet Genceli) Chair: Gülin Tabakan • Individuals’ Clustering According To The Environmental Protection Promises: The Concomitant Use Of Factor, Cluster And Discriminant Analysis Mehmet Sandal, Z. Yıldız, Zeynep İlhan Dalbudak, Veysel Yılmaz • Examination of Effects of Using Estimates Obtained by Expectation Maximization Imputation and Multiple Imputation Instead of Outliers on PCA Results B.Barış Alkan, Cemal Atakan • Application of Multi‐Objective Optimization on The Basis of Ratio Analysis (MOORA) Method for Tablet PC Selection Ahmet Çalık, Nimet Y. Pehlivan, Ahmet Pekgör • Subset Selection of Variables in Quantile Regression Using the Genetic Algorithm and Information Complexity as the Fitness Function Elçin Kartal Koç, Hamparsum Bozdoğan • Regression Modelling of Work Accidents in Underground Mines Turkey M. Kemal Özfırat • The Efficiency of Ridge Type Regression Estimators in Difference Based Semiparametric Partially Linear Models with Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Errors Gülin Tabakan WORKSHOPS 4 Workshop 4.1:Hamparsum Bozdoğan New Advances in Regression Model Selection Using Information Complexity and the Genetic Algorithm (Part‐II) Place: Hall‐4 COURSES 3 Course 3.1: Öztaş Ayhan Methodology of Survey Errors Place: Hall‐5 16:45‐17:00 17:00‐18:30 TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS9 Session 9.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Melih İpek) Chair: Mustafa Yavuz Ata • Investigation Significant Differences between Standard (Linear) Method and Proposed Method in the Estimation of the Air Void Analysis of Hardened Concrete Eda Özkul, Orhan Kesemen • Bivariate Kolmogorov‐Smirnov Goodness of Fit Test on Polygonal Areas Tuncay Uluyurt, Orhan Kesemen, Buğra Kaan Tiryaki • A Novel Method For Random Numbers Generating In The Polygonal Area Buğra Kaan Tiryaki, Orhan Kesemen, Ülkü Ünsal • Different Approaches for Decrease of Type I Error at Chi‐Square Goodness of Fit Test Orhan Kesemen, Merve Kesim, Özge Tezel • Comparison of Soil’s Physical Properties with Spatial Regression Methods Hakan Başbozkurt, Ayşe Başbozkurt, Adnan Karaibrahimoğlu, Yasin Asar, Aşır Genç • Risk Factors of the Smoking Behaviour Among Turkish Siblings by Conditional Logistic Regression Sevgi Yurt Öncel, Fazil Aliev WORKSHOPS 5 Workshop 5.1:Hossein Hassani, Mansi Ghodsi Singular Spectrum Analysis: A relatively new and powerful method in time series analysis and forecasting (Part‐I) Place: Hall‐3 COURSES 4 Course 4.1:Öztaş Ayhan Internet Survey Methodology Place: Hall‐4 Course 4.2:Veysel Yılmaz and H. Eray Çelik Structure Equation Modelling Place: Hall‐5 POSTER PRESENTATIONS • Analysis of Turkish Cancer Incidence Rates by Gender Serpil Aktaş Altunay • Value Measure and Analysis of Covariance İlkay Altındağ, B. Özgören, Harun Yonar, Aşır Genç, M.Kazım Körez • Solving Fuzzy Multi‐Objective Linear Programming Problem Based Fuzzy AHP Türkan Erbay Dalkılıç, Serkan Akbaş • Open and Closed Jackson Networks Erdinç Yücesoy, Vedat Sağlam, Tolga Zaman, Murat Sağır • Some Ratio & Regression Estimators in Stratified Random Sampling and Investigation of These Estimators’ Mean Square Error by Taylor Series Approach and An Application Tolga Zaman, Vedat Sağlam, Erdinç Yücesoy, Murat Sağır • 20:00‐ Gelatinases B Gene C1562T Polymorphism Genotypes and Levels in Serum of Patients with Hypertension Ayşegül Bayramoğlu, Meral U.Küçük, Halil İ.Güler, Okay Abacı, Yunus Küçükkaya, Gökhan Bayramoğlu, M. Cağatay Korkmaz • An Application of Exchange Rates by Particle Swarm Optimization and Fuzzy Time Series Özer Özdemir, Memmedaga Memmedli • Modeling of Growth Curves At Autocorrelation Cases Ufuk Karadavut, Aslı Akıllı, Serdar Genç, Atilla Taşkın GALA DINNER 13 May 2014, Tuesday 09:00‐10:30 10:30‐10:45 10:45‐12:15 INVITED TALKS 4 Place: Hall‐2 Talk 4.1:Roberto Rossi Confidence‐Based Optimization for the Newsvendor Problem Talk 4.2: Yadolah Dodge Direction of Dependency TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 10 Session 10.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Adnan Mazmanoğlu) Chair: Krzysztof Jakobik • Delineation of Local Labour Markets in Poland Hanna Gruchociak • Measurement of Changes in Entrepreneurs’ Capability Krzysztof Jakobik • Innovativeness Dynamics of Turkish Regions Compared to European Union Malgorzata Markowska, Andrzej Sokolowski, Danuta Strahl • Statistical Analysis of Strategic Changes at Local Enterprises Krzysztof Markowski • Bayesian Analysis of Positron Annihilation Lifetime Spectra Dursun Üstündağ, Mehmet Cevri, U. Yahsi • Quantile Regression in Nonlinear Varying Coefficient Models Esra Akdeniz Duran, Esra Kürüm Session 10.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In memory of Moti L. Tiku) Chair: Cemil Yapar • How is the Industrial Production Index Related to GDP: An Empirical Study for Turkey Ebru Yüksel, Güldal Güleryüz • Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) for Ordinal Data Neslihan İyit, Kumru Urgancı, Süleyman Dündar, Aşır Genç • Landslide Monitoring with GNSS Measurements and Prediction with Linear Regression Model: a Case Study Taşkent(Konya/TURKEY) Landslide M. Zeybek, İ. Şanlıoğlu, Aşır Genç • • Examination of Woman Labor Force Participation Rate in Turkey with the Different Estimators of Variance Componets Gökhan Uyar, R.E. Omay, M. Memmedli Income of Household Members in Poland Paweł Ulman Session 10.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In memory of Ömer Esensoy) Chair: Chanaka Edirisinghe • Non‐convex Portfolio Optimization and Regression for Genome‐wide Association Study Yuji Nakagawa • Estimation of competing risk data under type‐II censoring Esra Aydın Ünal, Muhammet Bekçi, Coşkun Kuş • Bond Portfolio Optimization for Impact of Credit Contagion Aparna Gupta • Extending Mean‐Variance Optimal Portfolios to Benchmark‐tracking Funds Chanaka Edirisinghe • An Application of Item Response Theory to General Ability Test Gülhayat Gölbaşı Şimşek, Fatma Noyan Tekeli • Systematic Sampling on R and R2: A Simulation Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya, Abdullah Yalçınkaya, Ömer Altındağ 12:15‐12:30 12:30‐13:30 13:30‐15:00 PANEL 1 Place: Hall‐5 Chair: Ayşen APAYDIN • Bölgesel Kalkınma Uygulamalarında Veri Derleme ve Değerlendirme: “Social Network Analysis of Institutional Collaboration Network in TRC2 Region” Selman Delil, İlhan Karakoyun, Rahmi Nurhan Çelik, Burak Beyhan FAMILY PHOTO SHOOT LUNCH PARALLEL SESSIONS 11 Session 11.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In honor of Onur Baskan) Chair: Eray Çelik • Multivariate Scan Statistics Based on Multivariate Spacings Elmas Burcu Mamak Ekinci, İhsan Karabulut • Six Sigma Methodology and Implementation Hasan Bahadır Kabasakal, Aşır Genç • Effect On The Ecological Purchasing Behavior Of Environmentel Sensitivity And Protection Promise: A Proposal For Structural Equation Modeling Rana Şen, Murat Doğan, Veysel Yılmaz • A Parallel K‐means Algorithm on GPUs Erdener Özçetin, Gürkan Öztürk • Estimation of Gold Prices via Wavelet Regression Based Monte Carlo Simulation Tarık Yılmaz, Aşır Genç Session 11.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Yadolah Dodge) Chair: Memmedaga Memmedli • Converting Some Sigmoidal Models in Emprical Form to Mechanistic Models for Flathead Trout (Salmo Platycephalus, 1968) Population from Zamanti Stream, Seyhan River, Turkey Mehmet Korkmaz, C. Kara, E. Efe • Statistical Inference For The Generalized Gompertz Distribution Buğra Saraçoğlu, A. Ashgarzadeh, M. Kazemi, İsmail Kınacı, Neriman Akdam • The Determinants of the Higher Education in Mathematical Sciences: A Comparative Case Study of Statistics and Econometrics Education in the Turkish Higher Education System Erkan Abdülgaffar Ağaoğlu • A Comparison Study of Particle Swarm Optimization and Artificial Neural Network Model Memmedaga Memmedli, Özer Özdemir • Information Enriching Through Statistical Data Integration Wojciech Roszka 15:00‐15:15 15:15‐16:45 Session 11.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Baki Işıkara) Chair: Cemal Balıkçı • Reframing the Cooperation Between Manufacturers and Suppliers Caner Cebeci, Tuğrulhan Dinçaslan, Kübra Kara • Statistics and The Others Necmi Gürsakal, Sevda Gürsakal, Dilek Murat • Performance Analysis of Turkish Airports with Data Envelopment Analysis Cemal Balıkçı, Aşır Genç • On the Fuzzy and Kernel Approaches to Classify Protein Structures S. Yıldırım, Ç. Kandemir‐Çavaş • Some Further Remarks on the Equality of BLUEs and BLUPs in Two Mixed Models with Different Covariance Matrices Nesrin Güler, Melike Yiğit • Seismicity of Tectonic Plate to Mapping Using Statistical Methods Âdem Doğaner, Sinan Çalık PANEL 2 Place: Hall‐5 Chair: Hülya Çıngı • Yükseköğretimde Görme Engelli Öğrencilere İstatistik Anlatımında Modern Teknoloji Kullanımı Fikret Er, Harun Sönmez, Sinan Aydın, Bülent Batmaz TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS12 Session 12.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In memory of Yalçın Tuncer) Chair: Olcay Arslan • Marshall‐Olkin Distribution: Parameter Estimation and Applications Yeşim Güney, Yetkin Tuaç, Olcay Arslan • • • • • A Bimodal Extension of Generalized Gamma Distribution Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya, Y. Murat Bulut, Fatma Zehra Doğru, Olcay Arslan Generalized Half‐t Distribution: Properties and Estimation Y. Murat Bulut, Ahad Jamalizadeh, Fatma Zehra Doğru, Olcay Arslan Robust Linear Mixed Models with Kotz‐type Distributions Fulya Gökalp, Olcay Arslan B‐Robust Estimators for the Parameters of Generalized Half‐Normal Distribution Fatma Zehra Doğru, Y. Murat Bulut, Olcay Arslan Detection of Abnormality in Brain Structure Using Dicom MR Images Eti Mizrahi, Gizem İntepe WORKSHOPS 6 Workshop 6.1:Hossein Hassani, Mansi Ghodsi Singular Spectrum Analysis: A relatively new and powerful method in time series analysis and forecasting (Part‐II) Place: Hall‐3 Workshop 6.2:Hülya Çıngı Sampling Methods (Part‐I) Place: Hall‐4 • A New Mean Estimator for Quantitative Randomized Response Models Nilgün Özgül, Hülya Çıngı • Efficient Estimators of Population Mean Under New Forms of Transformation of Auxiliary Variable Hatice Öncel Çekim, Hülya Çıngı COURSES 5 Course 5.1:Erkan Işığıçok Six Sigma Place: Hall‐5 16:45‐17:00 17:00‐18:30 TEA‐COFFEE BREAK PARALLEL SESSIONS 13 Session 13.1: Place: Hall‐2 (In memory of Ömer Gücelioğlu) Chair: Rania Ahmed Hamed Mohamed • Enhancing The Effectiveness of Forecasting the Foreign Exchange Reserves in Egypt, Using an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System Rania Ahmed Hamed Mohamed • Bayesian estimation based on type‐I grouped censored sample with part time operator Yener Ünal, Muhammet Bekçi, İsmail Kınacı, Coşkun Kuş • Graphical Methods for Trend in Counting Processes Mustafa Hilmi Pekalp, Halil Aydoğdu, İhsan Karabulut • Bayes and ML Estimations of P(Y<X) for a Series System Based on Masked Data Demet Sezer, İsmail Kınacı • Determination of Structural Breaks in Linear Regression Models and Comparing Methods of Structural Breaks Zümre Özdemir Güler, Mehmet Akif Bakır • Unemployment By Education Status, Prices and Crime Relationship: Evidence From Turkey Yılmaz Akdi, Yunus Emre Karamanoğlu, Afşin Şahin Session 13.2: Place: Hall‐3 (In memory of İlknur Özmen) Chair: Manfred Borovcnik • Developing Soft Skills and Becoming a Statistical Consultant Ayşe Bilgin, Petocz P. • Applications of Some Probability Inequalities in Estimating p Values Atıf Evren • Case Studies in Applied Statistics‐the Role of System Analysis, Collaborative Work and Computers Manfred Borovcnik • Some Measures of Entropy and Hypothesis Tests Atıf Evren Session 13.3: Place: Hall‐4 (In memory of Orhan Düzgüneş) Chair: Süleyman Dündar • Examining Violence Towards Healthcare Workers: The Case of State Hospıtals in Erzurum Province Erkan Oktay, Ali Kemal Çelik, Kübranur Çebi • Investigation by Analysis of Covariance The Factors That Impact on Lactation on Milk Yield of Jersey Cows Hasan Bulut, Yüksel Öner, Ceren Akıcı, Taner Tunç • Comparing Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Parallel Queueing Systems Murat Sağır, Vedat Sağlam, Erdinç Yücesoy, Tolga Zaman, Müjgan Zobu • An Experimental Study for Differencing effect in Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting Methods Elif Karaahmetoğlu, B. S. Corba, K. Alakuş, E. Eğrioğlu • An Investigation of Differencing effect in Multiplicative Neuron Model Artificial Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting D. İlter, Ali Zafer Dalar, O. Gündoğdu, E. Eğrioğlu, U. Yolcu • Fuzzy Correlation Coefficient and A Sample Matlab Application Derviş Topuz, Yasin Altay, İsmail Keskin, Suat Şahinler WORKSHOPS 7 Workshop 7.1:Hülya Çıngı Sampling Methods (Part‐II) Place: Hall‐5 • Calibration Estimator Using Different Distance Measures in Stratified Double Sampling Nursel Koyuncu • Improvement of Exponential Type Estimator For The Population Mean in Simple Random Sampling Gamze Özel Kadılar • Meta Analysis of Survival Data: A Study on Breast Cancer Hatice Yeniay, Durdu Karasoy 14 May 2014, Wednesday 09:00‐10:30 PARALLEL SESSIONS 14 Session 14.1: Place: Hall‐3 (In honor of Aydın Erar) Chair: Suzan Gazioğlu • Applicability of Sensitivity Analysis Methods to Compartmental Models With Steady‐State Constrain Suzan Gazioğlu • On the Kolmogorov‐Smirnov test for normality Fatih Şahin, Yunus Akdoğan, Coşkun Kuş, İsmail Kınacı • Normal/Independent Linear Mixed Effects Model for Robust Analysis of Multivariate Data Burcu Mestav, Kadir Kızılkaya Session 14.2: Place: Hall‐4 (In honor of Faruk Alpaslan) Chair: Mehmet Fedai Kaya • Statistical Distributions Identification with Neural Networks Approach Buğra Saraçoğlu, Mustafa Koç, Ahmet Pekgör, Aynur Şahin • The Statistical Analysis of Patient Satisfaction Mehmet Fedai Kaya, Ayşe Öztürk, Süleyman Dündar • Testing for Linear Relationship in Structural Equation Modeling İlkay Altındağ, Aşır Genç • Some of Methods Which are Used to Examine Agreement of Two Measurement Techniques: Bland‐Altman Method, Type II Regression Techniques, Linear Regression M.Kazım Körez, Harun Yonar, Aşır Genç, İlkay Altındağ • Investigating gold prices in turkey by time series analysis Harun Yonar, M.Kazım Körez, İlkay Altındağ, Aşır Genç 10:30‐12:00 12:15‐13:30 12:00 EVALUATING MEETING EVALUATING OF THE FUTURE OF STATISTICS DEPARTMENTS LUNCH(Optional, Not Included in the Conference Fee) DEPARTURE FROM THE HOTEL