Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy Sustainable Nuclear Growth The original Atomic Industrial Forum members envisioned an Industry prospering through: • Advanced Engineering • Business Acumen • Enlightened Public Policy Suppliers, Owners & Policy Makers … All Have Key Roles Nuclear Industry Success The measures of success are the same today as they were 50 years ago: • Safety • Plant Performance • Economics and owner value • Environmental impact Has The Vision of Atoms for Peace Been Achieved? Nuclear Performance Gains Unparalleled Record Performance 778 Billion kWhrs Capacity Factor 100% 71 71 74 77 76 74 80 85 87 89 90 50% 1000 500 0% 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Year Safety & Performance Gains Are Linked Generation (Billion Kwhr) Generation Capacity Factor CDF Nuclear Generation Costs Down 40% Generation Costs ($/Mwhr) 2002 Dollars Fuel Capital Improve O&M 35 30 25 20 30.3 29.9 27.3 25.5 25.2 27.2 23.5 21.2 20.5 19.4 18.8 15 10 5 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Driven by Performance Improvements The Environment Over the past 50 years, US Nuclear Plants Have: • Generated 13.7 Trillion Kilowatt-Hours of Electricity • Zero Carbon Depletion & Emission Free! Avoiding: • 3.1 Billion Metric Tons of Carbon • 73.6 Million Tons Sulfur Dioxide • 35.6 Million Tons of Nitrogen Oxides Provides Emission Free & Sustainable Energy Resource The US Nuclear Fleet BWR PWR Anchors the Grid and Stabilizes Generation Costs Where Are We Today? Installed Capacity Hydro Nuclear 11% 10% Energy Other Hydro Nuclear 8% 19% 4% 14% Other 18% 31% Coal Gas 34% Gas 51% Coal A Key Part of the US Energy Generation Portfolio Global Power Generation 2003 – 2006 Orders Forecast (GW) 187 Rest of Asia 62 China 125 57 50 28 15 Asia AIM Europe Ltn. Amer. N. Amer. Source: EPM S1 Forecast 335 GW Market Potential over Next 4 Years 35% of Orders Come from China Improving Performance Setting the Stage for New Nuclear Plants 40 $34.4 35 $29.4 $/MWhr 30 25 $37.3 $22.5 20 15 10 5 0 Existing Nuclear Plant New Advanced Nuclear (ESBWR) New Coal New CCGT Gas Nuclear Economics Good for New Unit Fuel O&M Capital Latest Design for U.S. Markets Next Generation Reactors • Design Highlights – 1,400 MWe Plant With Simplified Systems – Passive Safety Features • Overall Schedule – Licensing Process Started 2002 – Regulatory Approval Expected 2006 • Key Benefits – Faster Construction, Lower Costs – Improved Safety and Security – Improved O&M Costs ESBWR ESBWR Can Meet U.S. Owner’s New Needs Hydrogen Energy … Advantages • Most Abundant Element • Catalytic Process Creates Water (Fuel Cells) • Energy/kg = 3x Natural Gas or Gasoline The Challenge • Infrastructure Not in Place • Cost of Energy Drives Market - No Cost of Carbon Dioxide (Greenhouse) Today Nuclear Role • HTGR - Zero Carbon Depletion & Emissions H2 Energy … A Slow Transition Final Thoughts • Nuclear Energy Is Key To a Balanced Energy Portfolio • Credits for Emission Free, Zero Carbon depletion Nuclear Energy • Next Generation Reactors Address Safety & Economics • Need New Unit Incentives For Customers A Key Role In A Sustainable & Balanced Portfolio
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