Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 Reggio Calabria UNIVERSITY MEDITERRANEA OF REGGIO CALABRIA - UNIVERSITY CAMPUS PROGRAMME XXXVIII Meeting of the Italian Association for Mathematics Applied to Economic and Social Sciences (AMASES) in Reggio Calabria Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali Keys: Actuarial Mathematics Acturial Mathematics AMASES Activities AMASES Award Decision Theory Economics Session* Game Theory Mathematical Economics Mathematical Finance Optimization Plenary Lectures *in cooperation with italian Economic Economic Association Association (SIE) (SIE) Lecture rooms are equipped with notebook, projector and flipchart. Each speaker will have 20 minutes for presentation (introduction and questions). supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle September 4thScienze Economiche e Sociali th September 4th 08.30 09.00 08.30 08.30 08.30 09.00 09.00 09.30 08.30 08.30 09.30 09.30 10.00 09.30 10.00 09.30 09.30 10.00 10.00 10.00 11.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.30 11.00 11.00 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.50 11.30 11.30 11.50 11.50 11.55 12.15 11.55 11.55 12.20 12.15 12.15 12.40 12.20 12.20 12.55 12.40 12.40 13.15 12.55 12.55 13.20 13.15 13.15 15.00 13.20 13.20 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.20 15.00 15.00 15.20 15.20 Transfer (from Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) Transfer Square/ Transfer (from (from Colombo Colombo Square/ Largo Largo Colombo) Colombo) Registration Hall Lotto D Registration Welcome – Opening Registration Welcome – Opening Hall Lotto D AulaHall Magna Quistelli Lotto D Aula Magna Coordinator: Massimiliano Ferrara – Quistelli President of Organizing Committee of Reggio Calabria Greetings: Paquale Catanoso – Rector University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria Welcome – Opening Welcome Opening Plenary–Lecture of Reggio Calabria Attilio Gorassini – Director DiGiEcQuistelli - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria Aula Magna Aula Magna Magna Quistelli Aula Quistelli Achille Basile – President Scientific Committee AMASES Chair: Achille Basile - University of Naples Federico II. Plenary Lecture Plenary Plenary Lecture Lecture Speaker: Frank Bielefeld University. AulaRiedel Magna-Quistelli Quistelli Aula Aula Magna Magna Quistelli and Game Theory. Title: Knightian Uncertainty in Finance Chair: Achille Basile Basile - University of of Naples Federico Federico II. Chair: Chair: Achille Achille Basile -- University University of Naples Naples Federico II. II. Speaker: Frank Riedel - Bielefeld University. Speaker: Frank Coffee RiedelBreak Bielefeld University. University. Speaker: Frank Riedel -- Bielefeld Title: Knightian Uncertainty in Finance and Game Theory. Title: in and Hall Lotto D Title: Knightian Knightian Uncertainty Uncertainty in Finance Finance and Game Game Theory. Theory. Coffee Break Break Coffee AMASES Award Hall Lotto Lotto D D AulaHall Magna Quistelli Chair: Antonella Basso Ca' Foscari AMASES Award Award University of Venice. AMASES Speaker: Katia ColaneriAula - G. Magna D'Annunzio University of Chieti-Pescara. Quistelli Aula Magna Quistelli Co-authors: Claudia CeciChair: - G. D'Annunzio University ofFoscari Chieti-Pescara; Alessandra Antonella -- Ca' University of Chair: Antonella Basso Basso Ca' Foscari University of Venice. Venice.Cretarola - University of Perugia. Speaker: G. D'Annunzio D'Annunzio University of of Chieti-Pescara. Chieti-Pescara. Speaker: Katia Katia Colaneri Colaneri -- G. University Title: Hedging of unit-linked life insurance contracts with unobservable mortality hazard rate via Co-authors: University of Co-authors: Claudia Claudia Ceci Ceci -- G. G. D'Annunzio D'Annunzio University University of of Chieti-Pescara; Chieti-Pescara; Alessandra Alessandra Cretarola Cretarola -- University of local risk-minimization. Perugia. Perugia. Speaker: Giorgiocontracts Ferrari - Bielefeld University. mortality Title: Hedging life insurance insurance contracts with unobservable unobservable mortality hazard hazard rate rate via via Title: Hedging of of unit-linked unit-linked life with Co-authors: Frank Riedel - Bielefeld University; Jan-Henrik Steg - Bielefeld University. local local risk-minimization. risk-minimization. Title: Continuous-Time PublicFerrari Good Contibution under Uncertainty. Speaker: Giorgio Bielefeld University. Speaker: Giorgio Ferrari - Bielefeld University. Co-authors: Frank Riedel Riedel -- Bielefeld University; Jan-Henrik Steg Bielefeld University. University. Co-authors: Frank Bielefeld University; Jan-Henrik Steg -- Bielefeld Speaker: Daniele Pennesi - University of Cergy-Pontoise. Title: Continuous-Time Continuous-Time Public Public Good Good Contibution Contibution under under Uncertainty. Uncertainty. Title: Title: Asset prices in an ambiguous economy. Speaker: Daniele Pennesi -- University of Speaker: Pennesi University of Cergy-Pontoise. Cergy-Pontoise. Speaker: Daniele Davide Radi - Polytechnic University of Marche. Title: Asset prices in ambiguous economy. Title: Asset in an an economy. Co-authors: Laura Gardini - Carlo Boprices University of ambiguous Urbino; Viktor Avrutin - University of Stuttgart. Title: The Role of Constraints in a- Segregation Model: The Symmetric Case. Speaker: Davide Radi Polytechnic University of Marche. Marche. Speaker: Davide Radi - Polytechnic University of Co-authors: Co-authors: Laura Laura Gardini Gardini -- Carlo Carlo Bo Bo University University of of Urbino; Urbino; Viktor Viktor Avrutin Avrutin -- University University of of Stuttgart. Stuttgart. Lunch in Terrace Model: Title: The The Role Role of of Constraints Constraints in in a Segregation Segregation Model: The The Symmetric Symmetric Case. Case. Title: a Mathematical Finance Aula D1 Chair: Paolo Pellizzari - Ca' Mathematical Finance Mathematical Finance Foscari University of Venice Aula Aula D1 D1 Chair: Paolo Paolo Pellizzari Pellizzari -- Ca' Chair: Ca' Foscari University University of of Venice Venice. Foscari Speaker: Matteo Burzoni University of Milan. Co-authors: Marco Frittelli Speaker: Matteo Speaker: Matteo Burzoni Burzoni -University of Milan; Marco Maggis University University of of Milan. Milan. - University of Milan. Co-authors: Marco Co-authors: Marco Frittelli Frittelli Title: Robust Arbitrage University of Milan; Milan; Marco under Maggis University of Marco Maggis Uncertainty in Discrete Time. -- University University of Milan. of Milan. Title: Robust Arbitrage under Title: Robust Arbitrage under Uncertainty in in Discrete Discrete Time. Time. Uncertainty Mathematical Economics Lunch in in Terrace Terrace Lunch Aula D2 Chair: Franco Nardini Mathematical Economics Economics Mathematical University of Bologna. Aula Aula D2 D2 Speaker: Achille Basile--Chair: Franco Franco Nardini Chair: Nardini University of Naples Federico II. University of Bologna. Bologna. University of Co-authors: Maria Gabriella Speaker: Achille Achille Basile Basile -Speaker: Graziano -ofUniversity of Naples University Naples Federico Federico II. University of Naples II. Federico II; Ciro Tarantino Co-authors: Maria Gabriella Co-authors: Maria Gabriella University ofUniversity Naples Federico II. Graziano of Naples Graziano - University of Naples Title: Remarks onTarantino Coalitional Federico II; Ciro Ciro Federico II; Tarantino -Fairness of ofNaples Allocations in II. a University Federico University of Naples Federico II. Differential Information Title: Title: Remarks Remarks on on Coalitional Coalitional Economy. Fairness Fairness of of Allocations Allocations in in a a Differential Information Information Differential Economy. Economy. supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Decision Theory Aula D4 Chair: MicheleTheory Fedrizzi Decision Decision Theory University of Trento. Aula Aula D4 D4 Chair: Michele Michele Fedrizzi Fedrizzi -Chair: University of of Trento. Trento. University Speaker: Luca Anzilli - University of Salento. Co-author: Gisella Facchinetti Speaker: Luca Speaker: Luca Anzilli Anzilli -- University University University of Salento. of of Salento. Salento. Title: A new Gisella general method to Co-author: Co-author: Gisella Facchinetti Facchinetti -approximate and evaluate University of of Salento. University Salento. fuzzy quantities. Title: A new general Title: A new general method method to to approximate approximate and and evaluate evaluate fuzzy quantities. quantities. fuzzy Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali Mathematical Finance Aula D1 Chair: Paolo Pellizzari - Ca' Foscari University of Venice. 15.25 15.45 15.50 16.10 16.15 16.35 16.40 17.05 17.10 18.10 Speaker: Roy Cerqueti University of Macerata. Co-author: Fabio L. Spizzichino Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Signature Signaturesofofcoherent coherent systems system and and financial financial applications. applications. Speaker: Pierluigi Novi Inverardi - University of Trento. Co-authors: Aldo Tagliani University of Trento; Henryk Gzyl - Centro de Finanzas IESA Caracas; Marian Milev University of Food Technologies, Plovdiv. Title: Hamburger moment problem and maximum entropy: a simplified procedure. Speaker: Tiziano Vargiolu University of Padua. Co-authors: Luciano Campi - The London School of Economics and Political Science; Giorgia Callegaro - University of Padua. Title: Utility indifference pricing and hedging for structured contracts in energy markets. Mathematical Economics Aula D2 Chair: Franco Nardini - University of Bologna. Speaker: Gian Italo Bischi - Carlo Bo University of Urbino. Co-authors: Fabio Lamantia University of Calabria; Davide Radi - Polytechnic University of Marche. Title: An evolutionary Cournot model with limited market knowledge. Decision Theory Aula D4 Chair: Michele Fedrizzi University of Trento. Speaker: Michele Fedrizzi University of Trento. Co-authors: Brunelli Matteo Aalto University. Title: Boundary properties for the inconsistency of group preferences. Speaker: Roberto Dieci University of Bologna. Title: Speculation and real estate cycles: the role of behavioral heterogeneity. Speaker: Roberto Ghiselli Ricci - University of Ferrara. Title: Operatori di aggregazione tra teoria ed applicazioni: un caso esemplare. Speaker: Mauro Sodini University of Pisa. Co-authors: Luciano Fanti University of Pisa; Luca Gori University of Genoa. Title: A nonlinear Cournot duopoly with advertising. Speaker: Davide Petturiti University of Perugia. Co-authors: Giulianella Coletti University of Perugia; Barbara Vantaggi - Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Rationality principles for preferences on belief functions. Speaker: Franco Nardini University of Bologna. Speaker: Fabrizio Durante Co-author: Rainer Andergassen Free University of BozenUniversity of Bologna; Massimo Bolzano. Ricottilli - University of Bologna. Title: Tail dependence models Title: Emergence and Resilience for risk management. in a Model of Innovation and Network Formation. Plenary Lecture Aula Magna Quistelli Chair: Fabrizio Cacciafesta - University Tor Vergata, Rome. Chair: Universityofof Tor Vergata, Rome. Speaker: Bruno Viscolani - University University ofofPadua. Speaker: Padua. Title: Games and marketing models. Title: Speaker: Donato Scolozzi University of Salento. Co-author: Luigi Romano University of Salento. Title: A generalized model of asymmetric information in Fads models. 18.10 18.40 Sweet Happy Hour Hall Lotto D 18.40 19.00 Transfer ( to Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) 21.00 Welcome Dinner at Dinner Grand Hotel Excelsior, “Gala” Restaurant Welcome in “Gala” Restaurant supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 5th 08.30 09.00 09.30 09.50 Transfer (from Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) Economics* Aula D1 Chair: Marcello Galeotti University of Florence. Speaker: Alessandro Fiori Maccioni - University of Sassari. Co-authors: Angelo Antoci University of Sassari; Paolo Russu University of Sassari. Title: The Ecology of Defensive Medicine and Malpractise Litigation. 09.55 10.15 Speaker: Federica Roccisano Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan. Title: Intergenerational equity and intergenerational mobility in Italy: an analysis from SHIW. 10.20 10.40 Speaker: Enrico Bellino - Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan. Co-author: Franklin Serrano Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. Title: Gravitation analysis: beyond cross-dual models and back to Adam Smith. 10.45 11.05 Speaker: Marcello Galeotti University of Florence. Co-author: Angelo Antoci University of Sassari. Title: Environmental externalities and Möbius strips in a two-sector economy with heterogeneous agents. Mathematical Finance Aula D2 Chair: Lucia Maddalena University of Foggia. Actuarial Mathematics Aula D4 Chair: Annarita Bacinello University of Trieste. Speaker: Antonella Basso - Ca' Foscari University of Venice. Co-author: Stefania Furnari - Ca' Foscari University of Venice. Title: The role of fund size and returns to scale in the performance of mutual funds. Speaker: Emanuele Vannucci - University of Pisa. Co-author: Marcello Galeotti University of Florence. Title: Convergence speed in the estimation of the sum of dependent risks. Speaker: Maria Cristina Recchioni - Marche Polytechnic University. Co-author: Lorella Fatone University of Camerino; Francesca Mariani - University of Verona; Francesco Zirilli - Sapienza University of Rome. Title: A hybrid method to price American options in the BlackScholes framework. Speaker: Tommaso Paletta University of Kent. Co-authors: Silvia Stanescu University of Kent; Radu Tunaru University of Kent. Title: Performance improvement on existing quasi-analytic pricing and hedging methods for American options. Speaker: Viviana Fanelli University of Bari. Co-authors: Lucia Maddalena University of Foggia; Silvana Mustiz - University of Foggia. Title: Electricity Price Modelling with a Regime Switching Volatility. Speaker: Federica Mauceri Sapienza University of Rome. Co-authors: Marco Caputi Sapienza University of Rome. Title: A Least Squares Monte Carlo approach for Forward Looking assessment of own risks for an Italian guaranteed participating life insurance portfolio. Speaker: Giuseppe Melisi University of Sannio. Co-authors: Paola Fersini LUISS Guido Carli University, Rome. Title: RCA Insurance Pricing Models in the presence of Black box. Speaker: Mauro Piccinini Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Setting the dividends strategy using Economic Capital: An application to Non-life insurance. 11.10 11:40 Coffee Break - Hall Lotto D 11.40 12.40 Plenary Lecture Aula Magna Quistelli Chair: Gerd Weinrich - Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan. Speaker: Aldo Montesano - Bocconi University, Milan. Title: A Dual Characterization of Pareto Optimality. supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali 12.40 14.30 Lunch in Atelier Mathematical Economics Aula D1 Chair: Laura Martein - University of Pisa. Optimization Aula D2 Chair: Elisabetta Allevi University of Brescia . 14.30 14.50 Speaker: Gioia Failla - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria. Title: On the algebraic and geometric (1,2)- Segre model for business. Speaker: Francesca Bonenti University of Brescia. Co-authors: J.E. Martinez-Legaz Autonomous University of Barcelona. Title: On the existence of a saddle value. 14.55 15.15 Speaker: Anna Martellotti University of Perugia. Co-authors: F. Centrone University of Eastern Piedmont. Title: Coalitional properness in finitely additive economies. 15.20 15.40 Speaker: Beatrice Venturi University of Cagliari. Co-author: Alessandro Pirisino University of Cagliari. Title: Sunspots and hops bifurcations in economic financial models. 15.45 16.05 Speaker: Laura Carosi University of Pisa. Co-authors: Giovanna D'Inverno University of Pisa; Letizia Ravagli IRPET. Title: Global public spending efficiency in Tuscan municipalities. 16.10 16.30 Speaker: Paolo Falbo - University of Brescia. Co-authors: Cristian Pelizzari University of Brescia; Luca Taschini - The London School of Economics and Political Science. Title: Cap-and-Trade Design and Intrinsic Boundaries to RES Conversion of Energy Systems . Speaker: Alfio Puglisi University of Messina. Co-authors: David Barilla University of Messina; Giuseppe Caristi - University of Messina. Title: About Pareto minimum points of a system of equations. Speaker: Giorgia Oggionii University of Brescia. Co-authors: Elisabetta Allevi University of Brescia; Adriana Gnudi - University of Bergamo; Igor V. Konnov - Kazan Federal University. Title: Dynamic Spatial Auction Market Models with General Cost Mappings. Speaker: Stefano Patrì Sapienza University of Rome. Co-authors: Luca Correani Tuscia University of Viterbo; Fabio Di Dio - Sogei S.p.A. Title: Optimal Choice of Fiscal policy Instruments in a Stochastic IS-LM Model. supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Actuarial Mathematics Aula D4 Chair: Luciano Sigalotti University of Udine. Speaker: Donatella Rossi Sapienza University of Rome. Co-authors: Giorgio Alfredo Spedicato - Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Using multidimensional credibility to estimate drop out probability vectors in life insurance. Speaker: Alessio Trombetta Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Constructing mortality models using a general procedure. Speaker: Guglielmo D'Amico - G.d'Annunzio University of Chieti-Pescara. Co-authors: Filippo Petroni University of Cagliari; Flavio Prattico - University of L’Aquila. Title: Insuring wind energy production. Speaker: Luciano Sigalotti University of Udine. Co-authors: Patrizia Gigante University of Trieste; Liviana Picech Visintini - University of Trieste. Title: Loss Reserving Mixture Models with Row and Column Random Effects. Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali 16.30 17.00 Coffee Break Hall Lotto D 17.00 19:00 AMASES Meeting Aula Magna Quistelli 19.00 19.30 Transfer (to Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) 21.00 Social SocialDinner Dinneratin“Luna “LunaRibelle” Ribelle”Restaurant Restaurant supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 6th 08.30 09.00 Transfer (from Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) 09.30 10.30 Plenary Lecture Aula Magna Quistelli Chair: Salvatore Greco - University of Catania. Speaker: Radko Mesiar - Slovak University of Technology. Title: Monotone measures-based integrals: special functionals and an optimization tool. 10.30 11.00 11.00 11.20 11.25 11.45 11.50 12.10 12.15 12.35 Coffee Break - Hall Lotto D Mathematical Finance Aula D1 Chair: Donato Scolozzi - University of Salento . Speaker: Francesca Mariani University of Verona. Co-authors: Lorella Fatone University of Camerino; Maria Cristina Recchioni - Polytechnic University of Marche; Francesco Zirilli - Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Stochastic optimal trading execution strategies for the liquidation problem. Speaker: Gabriele Stabile Sapienza University of Rome. Co-authors: Maria B. Chiarolla Chiarollay- Sapienza University of Rome; Giorgio Ferrari - Bielefeld University. Title: Optimal dynamic procurement policies for a storable commodity with Lévy prices and convex holding costs. Speaker: Emilio Russo - University of Calabria. Co-author: Arturo Leccadito University of Calabria. Title: Compound option pricing under stochastic volatility. Speaker: Lorella Fatone University of Camerino. Co-authors: Francesca Mariani University of Verona; Maria Cristina Recchioni - Polytechnic University of Marche; Francesco Zirilli - Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Systemic risk management in a mathematical model of the banking sector. Game Theory Aula D2 Chair: Flavio Pressacco University of Udine . Actuarial Mathematics Aula D4 Chair: Paola Verico Sapienza University of Rome . Speaker: Alessandra Buratto University of Padua. Co-author: Sihem Taboubi - HEC Montréal. Title: Optimal advertising strategies for contingent products in a dynamical context. Speaker: Federica Roccisano - Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan. Title: Generational mainstreaming and participation: Innovative tools against youth poverty. Speaker: Paolo Pellizzari - Ca' Foscari University of Venice. Co-author: Daniel Ladley University of Leicester. Title: The Simplicity of Optimal Trading in Order Book Markets. Speaker: Valerio Amante Sapienza University of Rome. Title: Approaching risks using the Extreme Value Theory. Speaker: Vincenzo Scalzo University of Naples Federico II. Title: Quasi-solutions to the Ky Fan minimax inequality and quasi-Nash equilibria. Speaker: Andrea Tronconi Sapienza University of Rome. Title: A pricing techniqueto calculate the Solvency Capital Requirement for non-life Premium Risk. Speaker: Daniele Pennesi University of Cergy-Pontoise. Title: Sources of uncertaitny in intertemporal choice . supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali September 4-6, 2014 - University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria - University Campus Associazione per la Matematica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali Mathematical Finance Aula D1 Chair: Donato Scolozzi University of Salento. 12.40 13.00 Speaker: Donato Scolozzi University of Salento. Co-author: Tolomeo Antonella University of Salento. Title: The value of monitoring trading signals. Game Theory Aula D2 Chair: Flavio Pressacco University of Udine. Speaker: Flavio Pressacco University of Udine. Co-author: Laura Ziani University of Udine. Title: The Matrioska of homogeneous weighted majority games. Actuarial Mathematics Aula D4 Chair: Paola Verico - Sapienza University of Rome . 13.00 13.30 Closing Ceremony Aula Magna Quistelli 13.30 14.00 Transfer (to Colombo Square/ Largo Colombo) supported by WWW.AMASES2014.UNIRC.IT - [email protected] www.amases2014.unirc.it organized by Dipartimento di Giurisprudenza ed economia supported by Consiglio Regionale della Calabria PROVINCIA DI REGGIO CALABRIA
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