A quantile approach to assess gender differences in financial literacy among Italian students Un approccio quantile per valutare le differenze di genere nell’alfabetizzazione finanziaria degli studenti Italiani Sergio Longobardi and Margherita Maria Pagliuca Abstract Recent data from the OECD PISA (2012) highlight that there are no differences in financial literacy between boys and girls in all participating countries with the exception of Italy where boys perform significantly higher. In this light, we analyze the determinants and “dynamics” of this gap among Italian 15-year-olds students applying some counterfactual decomposition methods. Main findings reveal that although the majority of the gender gap is explained by differences in the coefficients, an important role in this differential is played by the attitudes to problem solving and the scholastic behavior. Abstract I recenti dati dell’indagine OECD PISA 2012 mettono in evidenza che l’Italia è l’unico Paese in cui sussistono differenze significative tra maschi e femmine per quanto riguarda l’alfabetizzazione finanziaria. In questa ottica vengono analizzate le determinanti e le “dinamiche” di questo gap ricorrendo alla decomposizione di Oaxaca ed a quella di Machado-Mata. I principali risultati rivelano che sebbene la maggior parte del gap è dovuto a differenze nel processo di produzione delle competenze, un ruolo importante è svolto dalle attitudini al problem solving e dal comportamento scolastico. Key words: Financial literacy, Gender gap, Decomposition techniques, Quantile regression 1 Sergio Longobardi, University of Naples "Parthenope"; email: [email protected] Margherita Pagliuca, University of Naples "Parthenope"; email: [email protected] 2 Sergio Longobardi and Margherita Maria Pagliuca 1 Financial literacy and gender gap A large body of research focuses on gender as an important determinant of financial literacy and has documented a persistent gender gap (Hanna, Hill, and Perdue, 2010). Lusardi and Mitchell (2008) argued that financial illiteracy is even more prevalent among women than men while Chen and Volpe (2002) find similar gender differences at younger ages. Understanding how and why men and women have different levels of financial literacy is crucial to developing policies aimed at reducing the gender gap and improving the saving and investing decisions of women. In this light we employ the recent data on financial literacy carried out by OECD Programme for International Students Assessment (PISA). The analysis focuses on Italian students because this is the only country where the boys significantly outperform the girls. 2 Data and methods PISA 2012 is the first large-scale international study to assess the financial literacy, learned in and outside of school, of 15-year-olds nearing the end of compulsory education. It assesses the extent to which students in 18 participating countries have the knowledge and skills that are essential to make financial decisions and plans for their future. It is thus able to provide a rich set of comparative data that policy makers and other stakeholders can use to make evidence-based decisions. On the basis of PISA data, we investigate the gender gap in Italy by comparing the male and female financial literacy scores. Firstly, a raw estimate of this differential is obtained by a simple Educational Production Function (EPF): 𝑦𝑖𝑗 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝐹 + 𝜖(𝑖)𝑗 where yij is the performance in financial literacy, F is a dummy variable for gender (male=0, female=1) and e is the error component. The coefficient 𝛽1 provides a first estimate of the size of gender gap but it does not allow to control for other factors which influence the students’ performance. In this light, we adopt a “full” EPF in order to obtain an adjusted estimate of gender gap, controlling for a set of (m) student and (s) school characteristics: 𝑚 𝑠 𝑦𝑖𝑗 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝐹𝑖𝑗 + ∑ 𝛽𝑘 𝑥𝑘𝑖𝑗 + ∑ 𝛽𝑡 𝑧𝑡𝑗 + 𝜖(𝑖)𝑗 𝑘=1 𝑡=1 Subsequently, in order to investigate the gap along the entire financial literacy distribution, a quantile regression model is employed: 𝑞 𝑄𝑞 (𝑌𝑖 |𝑋𝑖 ) = 𝛼0 + 𝛼 𝑞 𝑀𝑖 + 𝛾 𝑠 𝑋𝑖 + 𝛾 𝑠 𝑍𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 A quantile approach to assess gender differences in financial literacy among Italian students 3 Once the educational production functions are estimated, we proceed to disentangle the score gap between male and female into more components trough the three-fold Oaxaca decomposition method (Oaxaca and Ransom, 1998): ′ ′ ′ 𝐸(𝑌𝑚) − 𝐸(𝑌𝑓) = [𝐸(𝑌𝑚) − 𝐸(𝑌𝑓) ] 𝛽𝑓 + 𝐸(𝑋𝑓 ) (𝛽𝑚 − 𝛽𝑓 ) + [𝐸(𝑌𝑚) − 𝐸(𝑌𝑓) ] (𝛽𝑚 − 𝛽𝑓 ) The first component, called endowments effect, represents the share of score gap due to different average characteristics between the two groups. The second component, coefficients effect, is obtained as difference in the slopes and it amounts to the proportion of score gap related to different production processes. The third summand, called interaction or characteristics-return effect, is the residual part of the decomposition and captures the leverage produced by both effects happening simultaneously. Finally, we extend this approach beyond the mean level by applying the quantile decomposition proposed by Machado and Mata (2005). This decomposition is based on the assumption that score differentials are explained by a non-discriminatory coefficients vector, denoted by “*”, which is estimated in a regression that pools together samples of both male and female. Let f((i)) be an estimator of the marginal density of (the financial literacy score) for the group i on the observed sample (j(i) and f*((i)) be an estimator of the density of on a generated sample (j*(i), i.e. a marginal distribution implied by the model. The counterfactual densities will be denoted by f*((1);X(0)) for the density of male score distribution if all covariates had i=m distributions and f*((1);y(0)) for the score density for males in only one factor y were distributed as in i=f. The analysis of changes occurred from f((1)) to f ((0)) can be analyzed comparing: f*((1);Z(0)) with f*((0)), that is the contribution of the quantile regression coefficients for the overall change, and f*((1)) with f*((1);Z(0)): the contribution of covariates to the changes in the score density: 𝛼(𝑓(𝜔(1)) − 𝛼(𝑓(𝜔(0)) = [𝑎(𝑓 ∗ (𝜔(1); 𝑍(0)) − 𝛼(𝑓 ∗ (𝜔(0))] + +[𝑎(𝑓 ∗ (𝜔(1); ) − 𝛼(𝑓 ∗ (𝜔(1); 𝑍(0))] + 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑢𝑎𝑙 where the first term on the right side hand is the effect due to coefficients and the second term the effect due to covariates. 3 Main results In the empirical analysis, we opted for a stepwise (or “incremental”) regression approach, which is quite common in this kind of academic research. More specifically, we started by estimating a model with only a gender dummy as explanatory variable, then we included student-level characteristics (immigration status and the index of socio economic status) in the Model 2. Some covariates related to attitude and behavior are added in the Model 3. This set of variables plays an important role both on the financial literacy performance and on gender gap. It includes: an index of ICT 4 Sergio Longobardi and Margherita Maria Pagliuca use, a variable related to openness to problem solving1, a dummy related to perseverance2 and a variable which describes the scholastic behaviour: how many time in the last two week the student skip a whole school day. Finally, we also control for the schools characteristics in the Model 4. The results of OLS regression (table 1) show that the raw gap (model 1) between male and female students is significantly in favor of males, although it is not very high. In the model 2, the gap rises after controlling for family background (ESCS index) and immigrate status (from -7.905 to -8.772). This increase is probably due to better family background of the female students and to a higher proportion of immigrants in the male sample. By contrast, the gender coefficient declined in magnitude and significance when the four variables related to students’ attitudes and behavior are included (model 3). This result confirms that factors like positive perseverance or openness to problem solving play an important role in explaining the financial literacy (OECD 2014) and a different endowment of these characteristics between male and female students (as demonstrated in the subsequent decomposition analysis) could account for a large share of the gap. Surprisingly, although many schools’ features have a significant impact on the performance in financial literacy, they do not help to change neither the significance nor the magnitude of gender gap. Table 1: Results of OLS regression Category Student characteristics Students attitudes and behaviour School characteristics Variable Gender (1=female) Index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS) Immigrate (1=yes) ICT Entertainment Use (index) Student likes to solve complex problem Low perseverance Skip a whole school day in the last two weeks. (ref="0-2 times") >2 times Student-Teacher ratio Quality of school physical infrastructure Ratio of computers and students School location (ref:"Town") Village or small town City or large city Private school (1=yes) Mathematics Extracurr. activities at school (ref:3 activites) 1 or 2 activites >3 activites Constant Mod.1 -7.905*** Mod.2 -8.772*** 24.087*** Mod.3 -7.177* 19.468*** Mod.4 -7.08* 16.001*** -22.238*** -19.486** 4.472** -17.316* 4.752** 18.65*** 15.592*** -25.389*** -23.357*** -17.165*** -17.92** 5.258*** 5.495** 0.212 -3.368 0.077 -33.902*** 7.796 462.304*** 465.991*** 473.604*** 17.423*** 414.88*** In addition to the OLS estimates, we employ a quantile approach to analyze the “dynamics” of gender gaps at different percentiles of financial literacy distribution. The quantile regression results also confirm the stronger effect of students attitudes Students’ response to how well the statement “I like to solve complex problems” describes them. Students’ response to how well the statement “When confronted with a problem, I give up easily” describes them. 1 2 A quantile approach to assess gender differences in financial literacy among Italian students 5 and behavior on gender gap, furthermore it is highlighted the lower impact of school characteristics which inclusion remains almost unchanged the difference between males and females. Figure 1: Analysis of gender gap (Female- Male) through quantile regression approach. Although the Oaxaca decomposition (tab.2) suggests that the majority of the gender gap is due to differences in coefficients rather than in characteristics, an important share of the financial literacy gap can be attributed to differences in students’ attitudes and behavior. Table 2: Oaxaca threefold decomposition by group of variables. Coef. Std.err. OVERALL group_1=Male 487.469 2.130 group_2=Female 474.357 1.800 difference 13.113 2.788 endowments 3.099 1.316 coefficients 9.192 2.671 interaction Students characteristics Attitudes and behaviour School characteristics Students characteristics Attitudes and behaviour School characteristics constant Students characteristics Attitudes and behaviour School characteristics 0.822 ENDOWMENTS 0.092 3.096 -0.089 COEFFICIENTS -1.181 -15.249 14.314 11.307 INTERACTION -0.419 2.081 -0.840 z P>z 228.850 263.590 4.700 2.350 3.440 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.019 0.001 1.268 0.650 0.517 0.546 0.859 0.691 0.170 3.600 -0.130 0.867 0.000 0.898 0.587 3.820 10.103 11.192 -2.010 -3.990 1.420 1.010 0.044 0.000 0.157 0.312 0.268 1.052 0.655 -1.560 1.980 -1.280 0.118 0.048 0.200 Some results of Oaxaca approach are confirmed by the Machado-Mata decomposition (fig.2) but the analysis of the entire scores distribution consents to observe the considerable heterogeneity of the endowments and returns effect at different percentiles of distribution. Generally, we find that the gap is almost null at the low 6 Sergio Longobardi and Margherita Maria Pagliuca percentiles (see also fig.1) and it is mostly determined by higher returns of endowments. In particular, the characteristics effect is low, and almost constant, along the entire distribution, it explains the 25-30% of gap until the 50th percentile but it becomes not significant in the upper tail of distribution (over 60 th percentile) where the gap and the magnitude of the return effects increased dramatically. Figure 2: Machado-Mata decomposition of gender gap at various percentiles of score distribution In summary, a relevant part of gender gap is due to difference in the coefficient, i.e. how the students “transform” their personal, familiar and school characteristics into competences, but an important role is also played by some “attitudinal factors”. Reinforcing these attitudes at school may thus have a positive impact on acquiring not only core skills but also skills in financial decision making. References Chen, H.; Volpe, R. P.: Gender Differences in Personal Financial Literacy Among College Students. Financ. Serv. Rev. (2002), 11:289–307. Hanna, M. E., Hill, R. R., Perdue,G.: School of study and financial literacy. J. Econ. Econ. Educ. Res. (2010), 11(3): 29-37. Lusardi, A, Mitchell, O., S.: Planning and Financial Literacy: How Do Women Fare? Am. Econ. Rev. :(2008), 98(2):413–417. Machado, J.A.F., Mata, J.: Counterfactual Decomposition of Changes in Wage Distributions Using Quantile Regression. J. App. Econ. (2005), 200: 445-465. Oaxaca, R.L., Ransom, M.: Calculation of approximate variances for wage decomposition. J. Econ. Soc. Meas. (1998), 24: 55-61.
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