The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Estimating the impact of reformulation by 14 FDII members on the Irish population Contents Glossary of Terms 2 Foreword 7 Participating Companies 8 1. Executive Summary 9 2.Methodology 13 2.1. Food Consumption Surveys 15 2.2. Development of Food Categories 16 2.3. Product Reformulation Data 17 2.4. Market Share Data 18 2.5. Levels of Nutrients Sold (in Tonnes and Kilocalories) 18 2.6. Average Daily Intakes of Five Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 19 2.6.1.Calculating Daily Nutrient Intakes 19 2.6.2.Calculating Levels of Significance for Nutrient Mean Intakes, Baseline and Post-Reformulation 22 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold 23 3.1. Summary Results 24 3.2. Results: Levels of Nutrients Sold (in Tonnes and Kilocalories) 24 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 31 4.1. Scenario A (Optimistic): Summary of Results - Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 35 4.1.1. Scenario A: Adult Results (18 – 90 Years) 36 4.1.2.Scenario A: Teenager Results (13 – 17 years) 43 4.1.3.Scenario A: Children Results (5 – 12 years) 50 4.1.4.Scenario A: Pre-Schoolers Results (1 – 4 years) 57 4.2. Scenario B (Conservative): Summary of Results: Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 64 4.2.1.Scenario B: Adult Results (18 – 90 years) 65 4.2.2.Scenario B: Teenager Results (13 – 17 years) 72 4.2.3.Scenario B: Children Results (5 – 12 years) 79 4.2.4.Scenario B: Pre-Schoolers Results (1 – 4 years) 86 References The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 93 1 Glossary of Terms 2 Mean The average of all intake values calculated for individuals within the target population Mean Error Standard deviation of the distribution of mean intake values. The distributions of mean intake values are calculated using bootstrapping P97.5 The value of intake below which 97.5% of the analysed population falls. In this analysis, P97.5 represents high consumers of products P97.5 Error Standard deviation of the distribution of P97.5 intake values. The distributions of P97.5 intake values are calculated using bootstrapping Reformulation In this analysis, reformulation refers to foods that have altered nutrition composition between two time points to reduce levels of energy, total fat, saturated fat, sodium and/or sugar Statistical Significance Statistical significance refers to the probability (p-value) that the observed result is due to natural variability. The low p-value for this analysis (<0.001) corresponds to a high probability (99.9%) that the result is not due to chance (i.e. it is “statistically significant”) Discrete Distribution A statistical input into the dietary model. It allows for multiple nutrient concentrations to be applied according to multiple market share values (i.e. it recognises that certain branded products have a greater market share over other similar products and applies the nutrient values accordingly) Scenario A Impact of reformulation if all companies matched the 14 Food and Drink Industry Ireland member companies (optimistic) Scenario B Impact of reformulation if reformulation was conducted by only the 14 Food and Drink Industry Ireland member companies (conservative) The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project List of Figures Figure 1: Calculation utilised to calculate the difference in tonnes/kilocalories sold of the five nutrients between baseline and post-reformulation time points 18 Figure 2: Application of FDII reformulating data to IUNA food codes (Scenario A) 20 Figure 3: Application of FDII reformulating data to IUNA food codes (Scenario B) 20 Figure 4: Differences between Nutrient Intakes of Consumers of FDII Reformulated Products (and equivalent foods) and Nutrient Intakes from Total Diet 32 Figure 5: The positioning of daily nutrient intakes for consumers of the five nutrients (all categories combined) within the results sections 33 Figure 6: Example of individual nutrient intakes per category 33 Figure 7: The positioning of daily nutrient intakes for total diet for the five nutrients (all categories combined) within the results sections 34 List of Tables Table 1: Irish national food consumption surveys utilised to investigate dietary intakes with the four Irish sub-populations 15 Table 2: List of food categories developed and utilised for ‘The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project’ 16 Table 3: Data required for reformulated products from the 14 FDII members 17 Table 4: Description of intake statistics used in the present investigation 21 Table 5: Total nutrients sold from all FDII reformulated products at baseline (2005) and postreformulation (2012), with absolute and relative changes 24 Table 6: Total fat sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation time points, with absolute and % changes 25 Table 7: Saturated fat sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes 26 Table 8: Energy sold (106 kilocalories) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes 27 Table 9: Sodium sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes 28 Table 10: Sugar sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes 29 Table 11: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adult consumers of reformulated products (n = 1495) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 37 Table 12: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adults from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 37 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 3 4 Table 13: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 38 Table 14: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 39 Table 15: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 40 Table 16: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 41 Table 17: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 42 Table 18: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenage consumers of reformulated products (n = 440) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 44 Table 19: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenagers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 44 Table 20: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 45 Table 21: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 46 Table 22: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 47 Table 23: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 48 Table 24: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 49 Table 25: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish child consumers of reformulated products (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 51 Table 26: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish children from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 52 Table 27: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 52 Table 28: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 53 Table 29: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 54 Table 30: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 55 Table 31: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 56 Table 32: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-school consumers of reformulated products (n = 498) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 58 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Table 33: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-schoolers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 58 Table 34: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 59 Table 35: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 60 Table 36: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 61 Table 37: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 62 Table 38: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) 63 Table 39: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adult consumers of reformulated products (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 66 Table 40: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adults from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 66 Table 41: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 67 Table 42: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 68 Table 43: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 69 Table 44: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 70 Table 45: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 71 Table 46: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenage consumers of reformulated products (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 73 Table 47: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenagers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 73 Table 48: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 74 Table 49: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 75 Table 50: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 76 Table 51: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 77 Table 52: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 78 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 5 6 Table 53: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish child consumers of reformulated products (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 80 Table 54: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish children from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 80 Table 55: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 81 Table 56: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 82 Table 57: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 83 Table 58: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 84 Table 59: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 85 Table 60: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-school consumers of reformulated products (n = 500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 87 Table 61: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-schoolers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 87 Table 62: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 88 Table 63: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 89 Table 64: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 90 Table 65: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 91 Table 66: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) 92 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Foreword Food and Drink companies have always modified the nutrients in their products in response to changing consumer lifestyles, tastes and demands. This ongoing process to reduce nutrients without compromising food product safety, integrity and taste is known as reformulation. Health authorities have agreed that reformulation is an important area for the food and drink industry to deliver progress in our societal effort to tackle obesity. This report shows that food companies have made significant progress and that it has an impact on people’s everyday diets. Food and Drink Industry Ireland (FDII) companies have been at the forefront of reformulation efforts and will continue to be so in the coming decade where it is technically possible, safe and in line with consumer trends. Independent predictive consumption modelling experts, Creme Global using the Irish Universities Nutrition Alliance (IUNA) food categories have projected the impact of the product reformulations of 14 FDII member companies on the daily nutrition intake of Irish pre-schoolers, children, teenagers and adults in Ireland at two time points in time. For the first time in any market across the globe, the impact of reformulation initiatives undertaken by a segment of the food industry on dietary consumption has been documented. This has been possible through the co-operation and support of the 14 participating member companies at national and international level. FDII also acknowledges the support and advice that it has received from the Food Safety Authority of Ireland (FSAI) throughout this process. This report is just the beginning. It provides, for the first time, a scientifically robust platform to measure the impact of reformulation efforts of the wider food industry in the future. A separate supplementary report has also been published on the beverage category which estimates the impact of reformulation and the introduction of low and no cal products by FDII members on the Irish population. Creme Global carried out two dietary analyses. Scenario A estimates the impact on the population if all companies across the food sector with similar products matched the reformulations of the 14 FDII member companies. Scenario B provides a robust estimate of the impact of the 14 FDII companies’ product reformulations on these sub-populations. Combining the two sets of results provides a range of the impact of the total reformulation by food companies on these important population sub groups. FDII is now launching a ‘National Reformulation Programme’, with the Food Safety Authority of Ireland providing oversight, to continue their reformulation efforts in meeting consumers’ changing requirements. FDII aims to expand the initiative and recruit more companies across the food industry to document the impact of their reformulation efforts on the population. The FSAI will continue to monitor reformulation efforts over the coming years and we thank them for their support in this programme. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 7 Participating Companies Britvic Ireland Coca Cola Ireland Glanbia Consumer Foods Kelloggs Company Ireland Kepak Convenience Foods Kerry Foods Largo Foods Lucozade Ribena Suntory Ireland Mars Ireland Mondelez International Nestlé PepsiCo Unilever Valeo Foods 8 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 1 Executive Summary 1. Executive Summary 1. Executive Summary The food & beverage industries in Ireland have made concerted efforts to reduce levels of energy, total fat, saturated fat, sugar and/or sodium in their products. This report investigates the impact of the reformulation efforts by 14 key Food and Drink Industry Ireland members. The reformulation efforts by these members are a response to growing concerns over the health implications associated with the overconsumption of calories and other specific nutrients. Methodology The current project is divided into two parts: (1) calculating the levels of nutrients sold via reformulated products, at baseline and post-reformulation, and (2) calculating daily nutrient intakes of Irish subpopulations, at baseline and post-reformulation. Part 1: Levels of Nutrients Sold Levels of nutrients sold on the Irish market via the 14 FDII members’ reformulated products were investigated to quantify the impact of reformulation. The 14 FDII members provided sales data for reformulated products from across the grocery market at two time points (2005 and 2012). The nutrient content of these products at the two time points were also provided. This allowed for a comparison between levels of nutrients sold on the market in 2005 (pre-reformulation) and then again in 2012 (postreformulation). Part 2: Daily Dietary Intakes The impact of the 14 FDII members’ companies reformulation on daily nutrient intakes of four specific population groups was investigated. These population groups were: • Adults (18-90 years) • Teenagers (13-17 years) • Children (5-12 years) • Pre-Schoolers (1-4 years) The nutrient composition levels for energy, total fat, saturated fat, sugar and/or sodium were submitted for nearly 600 products from the 14 FDII members. These products were assigned to the food categories established in the Irish national consumption surveys by Irish Universities Nutritional Alliance (IUNA). These surveys provide robust consumption patterns for Irish adults, teenagers, children and pre-schoolers. By inserting the nutrient information for reformulated products into these consumption trends, the nutrient intakes for the four sub-populations for the two time points were calculated. 10 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 1. Executive Summary The Reformulation Range This analysis generated two scenarios estimating the impact of reformulation on the four sub- populations. Scenario A assumes all companies across the food and beverage sector with similar products reformulated in a similar way to the 14 FDII member companies involved (optimistic). Scenario B assumes only the 14 FDII members conducted their reported reformulation thereby estimating the minimum impact of reformulation in Ireland (conservative). The two sets of results from scenarios A and B provide a range of the potential impact of reformulation on these Irish sub-populations (optimistic to conservative). Results A summary of the primary findings is outlined below: (1) % Reduction in Levels of Nutrients Sold: Nutrient % Reduction 11.58 Energy 9.86 Total Fat Saturated Fat 12.01 Sodium 36.66 Sugar 13.83 (2) % Reduction in Mean Daily Nutrient Intakes for Consumers of Reformulated Products (ranging from conservative – optimistic): Nutrient Adults Teenagers Children Pre-Schoolers Energy 1.32 - 3.74 0.33 - 3.76 0.46 - 4.97 0.55 - 4.24 Total Fat 2.95 - 7.09 1.98 - 7.77 1.87 - 6.47 2.03 - 6.37 Saturated Fat 5.38 - 18.22 6.36 - 23.94 6.06 - 22.77 4.81 - 19.27 Sodium 8.31 - 45.10 10.27 - 38.69 9.37 - 29.90 8.07 - 38.68 2.06 - 7.70 1.36 - 7.44 1.21 - 13.56 1.07 - 9.84 Sugar The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 11 12 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2 Methodology 2. Methodology This project is divided into two distinct parts: Part 1 measures the impact of the 14 FDII members’ reformulated products on quantities of nutrients sold between 2005 and 2012, and Part 2 measures the impact of the 14 members’ reformulation efforts on the population. The 14 FDII members provided nutrition composition and sales data for their reformulated products for two time points: Baseline and Post Reformulation. Data from the 14 member companies (composition and sales) was not confined to specific years, as reformulation did not occur for every member during the same period. The time points loosely relate to 2005 and 2012, respectively. A product was only considered reformulated and included in the present analysis if a reduction was made in at least one of the five nutrients. For these foods, nutrient information for all five nutrients was included in the analysis, not only those nutrients that had been reduced. 2. Methodology Part 1: Levels of Nutrients Sold Creme Global calculated the quantities sold of energy, sugar, sodium, saturated fat and total fat in the baseline year and post reformulation. The difference between the two time points accounted for the change in levels of the five nutrients sold via the 14 members’ reformulated products. The absolute and percentage change between the two times periods are presented. Part 2: Daily Nutrient Intakes This was an analysis of the estimated impact of the 14 FDII members’ reformulation efforts on amounts of nutrients consumed on a daily basis by specific groups in the population. The analysis focused on the nutrient intakes of energy, sugar, sodium, saturated fat and total fat and the changes in daily intakes in response to the reformulation efforts of the 14 FDII members. Creme Global used dietary surveys to identify robust consumption patterns of four population groups – pre-schoolers, children, teenagers and adults. By inserting the nutritional information for reformulated products into these consumption trends, the reductions in nutrient intakes were quantified. Example: Breakfast Cereal A has reduced sodium levels by 20% between 2005 and 2012. Irish national dietary surveys provide a consumption pattern representing how children consume this product and the resulting levels of sodium consumed. By applying the new reformulated nutrient profile (i.e. 20% sodium reduction) to the consumption patterns for children, the reduced amount of sodium consumed by Irish children as a result of the reformulated breakfast cereal is estimated. 14 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2.1 Food Consumption Surveys The Irish Universities Nutrition Alliance (IUNA) conducts the national dietary surveys in Ireland. This organisation comprises four academic nutrition units (University College Dublin (UCD), University College Cork (UCC), Trinity College Dublin (TCD) and University of Ulster (UU)). Over the past decade, IUNA have recorded the habitual consumption patterns of various Irish populations, including pre-schoolers, children, teenagers and adults. Four such surveys were included in the present analyses to investigate the effects of reformulated food products on the dietary intakes of total fat, saturated fat, energy, sodium and sugar. Details of the four surveys included in the present analyses are highlighted in Table 1. Table 1: Irish national food consumption surveys utilised to investigate dietary intakes with the four Irish sub-populations Year of Survey Age Group Number of Participants Methodology National PreSchool Nutrition Survey (NPNS) 2010 - 2011 1 – 4 Years N = 500 4-day weighed food record National Children’s Food Survey (NCFS) 2003 - 2004 5 – 12 Years N = 594 7-day weighed food diary National Teens’ Food Survey (NTFS) 2005 - 2006 13 – 17 Years N = 441 7-day semiweighed food diary National Adult Nutrition Survey (NANS) 2008 - 2010 18 – 90 Years N = 1500 4-day weighed food diary 2. Methodology Survey All four surveys recorded amounts and types of all foods and beverages consumed during the survey period, with nutrient composition data obtained from the 5th and 6th editions of McCance & Widdowson’s The Composition of Foods (Food Standards Agency, UK)4,5. Detailed descriptions of all four surveys can be found at www.iuna.net6. IUNA data is very appropriate when analysing Irish consumption patterns - the surveys are nationally representative and use 4- and 7-day, weighed and semi-weighed food diaries, that record all consumption events in great detail. The representative nature of the surveys with the detailed level of data recorded for each consumption event is ideal for an analysis of this kind. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 15 2.2 Development of Food Categories All national food surveys conducted by IUNA allocated each food consumed by survey participants to a specific food category. 77 food categories were developed for the NPNS, 68 were developed for NANS and 62 were developed for the NCFS and the NTFS. A list of these food categories is available on the IUNA website6. Based on these IUNA food categories, 10 unique food categories were developed for ‘The FDII/ Creme Global Reformulation Project’. These 10 food categories were an amalgamation of a number of the original IUNA categories. Table 2 outlines the food categories utilised in this investigation and the subcategories included in each. It’s important to note that the composition of the IUNA categories do not mirror exactly categories within the domestic grocery sector. As such the designed categories in this report capture the impact of the products of participating FDII members within IUNA’s categories rather than reflective of the efforts of industry categories. Table 2: List of food categories developed and utilised for ‘The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project’ 2. Methodology 1. Milk & Dairy Products 5. Breakfast Cereals Whole milk Ready-To-Eat breakfast cereals Low fat, skimmed and fortified milks Other breakfast cereals (e.g. porridge) Other milks (e.g. processed milks) Creams 6. Rice, Pasta & Savouries Yoghurts Rice & pasta, flour, grains & starches Cheeses Savouries (e.g. pizza) Ice-Creams 7. Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 2. Spreading Fats Biscuits Butter Cakes, pastries & buns Low fat spreads Puddings & chilled desserts Other spreading fats Sugars, syrups, preserves & sweeteners Chocolate confectionery 3. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Eggs & egg dishes Fish dishes Non-chocolate confectionery 8. Savoury Snacks (including crisps) Offal & offal dishes Chipped, fried & roasted potatoes Beef & veal dishes Nuts & seeds, herbs & spices Lamb, pork & bacon dishes Savoury snacks Poultry & game dishes Burgers (beef & pork) 9. Beverages (excluding milk) Sausages Carbonated beverages Meat pies & pastries Diet carbonated beverages Meat products (e.g. processed meats) Squashes, cordials & fruit juice drinks Other beverages (e.g. latte) 4. Vegetables Vegetable & pulse dishes Peas, beans & lentils 10. Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods Soups, sauces & miscellaneous foods Green vegetables Carrots Salad vegetables (e.g. lettuce) Other vegetables (e.g. onions) Other All other IUNA food categories that did not fit in to the 10 above (e.g. infant meals, citrus fruits, lamb) Tinned or jarred vegetables) 16 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Furthermore, while the sub-categories indicate how the main food categories were populated, it must be noted that the 14 FDII members did not have reformulated products for each sub-category within a category. For example, they did not have reformulated data for the ‘Milk Puddings’ sub-category within ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ category. Therefore, their reformulated products are a proportion of the overall foods consumed in the IUNA surveys. Every food consumed in the IUNA food surveys was recorded with unique food codes. A number of these food codes were generic (e.g. ‘Ham’), but some describe considerable details about the foods, such as actual brand name, specific flavour of food, processing history of food (fresh, dried, frozen, etc.). For example, instead of a generic code for ‘Biscuits’, IUNA records foods such as ‘Sandwich Biscuits, Cream Filled’, ‘Chocolate Chip Cookie with Nuts’, ‘Wafer Biscuits, Filled’, ‘Brand X Chocolate Digestive’. Or instead of a generic code for ‘Soup’, IUNA records ‘Cream of Chicken Soup, Canned’, ‘Tomato Soup, Dried’ and ‘Brand X Fresh Vegetable Soup’. Such detail in the coding system allowed exact foods to be identified as those reformulated by the 14 FDII members’ companies and to which reformulation data was applied. These foods were then utilised in the present investigation. 2. Methodology 2.3 Product Reformulation Data In order to investigate the true effects of reformulated products being introduced to the Irish food market, accurate reformulation data was required. This data was forwarded by the Food and Drink Industry Ireland’s (FDII) members (n = 14). These companies include some of the largest food manufacturers currently in the Irish food market. Each FDII member involved in the current project was requested to complete a template which would provide the required data. Data was obtained on approximately 600 reformulated foods manufactured by Irish companies and available on the Irish market. Table 3 provides a list of the data provided by the 14 FDII members: Table 3: Data required for reformulated products from the 14 FDII members List of data supplied by the FDII members • Company and product name • Description of product (i.e. descriptive name) • Unit size • Sales data in units for 2005 and 2012 • Total fat content (g) per 100g/mls for 2005 and 2012 • Saturated fat content (g) per 100g/mls for 2005 and 2012 • Energy content (kcal) per 100g/mls for 2005 and 2012 • Sodium content (g) per 100g/mls for 2005 and 2012 • Sugar content (g) per 100g/mls for 2005 and 2012 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 17 2.4 Market Share Data Due to data gaps in relation to market shares held by the FDII members and the reformulated products within these markets, this data was obtained from Kantar Worldpanel (http://www.kantarworldpanel.com/ ie), an independent company that calculate market share data of individual companies and products within a larger, pre-defined food grouping system. Based on the reformulation data provided by the FDII members, a list of all reformulated brands was compiled. This resulted in 80 and 90 unique brands in 2005 and 2012 respectively, from the 14 companies involved in this project. Kantar provided total sales data for each unique brand and also a total sales figure for each of the 10 food categories. This allowed a market share for each brand (as part of the overall food category) to be calculated. For example, total sales for ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ category in 2005 was €7 M. The sales for brand ‘Y’ within this food category are €2 M. Therefore, the market share value calculated for brand ‘Y’ as part of the ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ category is ~29%. 2. Methodology This market share value was then applied to the appropriate food codes recorded in the IUNA dietary surveys. For example, if a reformulated ham is consumed, the probability of the ham being Brand X, Brand Y or Brand Z is applied based on market shares. This, in turn, allows the analyses to recognise the probability of consuming a specific nutrient level connected to a specific branded food. Therefore, foods with a higher market share will have a higher probability to be selected in the analyses than foods with a lower market share. The market share data is year specific thereby capturing the proportion of the market held by individual brands at baseline (2005) and post- reformulation (2012). 2.5 Levels of Nutrients Sold (in Tonnes and Kilocalories) The first stage of this project investigated the reduction of nutrients between baseline and postreformulation time points, based on tonnes/kilocalories reduced in all products within a specific food category, between the two time periods. Figure 1 depicts the formula utilised to calculate the difference in volume of nutrients sold once reformulation had occurred. Figure 1: Calculation utilised to calculate the difference in tonnes/kilocalories sold of the five nutrients between baseline and post- reformulation time points Nutrient level Baseline (per 100g) x Unit sales = Nutrient level in tonnes/kcal (1) Nutrient level Post-reformulation (per 100g) x Unit sales = Nutrient level in tonnes/kcal (2) Nutrient level in tonnes/kcal (1) – Nutrient level in tonnes/kcal (2) = Nutrient reduction in tonnes/kcal (% of original nutrient level) Firstly, the level of the nutrient (per 100g) in a specific branded food pre-reformulation was multiplied by the units sold in the baseline year for that particular food (in terms of 100g/100mls), resulting in the actual level of nutrient sold from that food at baseline. This formula was followed again for the nutrient levels and units sold post-reformulation and the two outcomes were compared to one another. This highlighted the difference in levels of nutrient sold in tonnes/kcals between the two time points (in absolute and percentage terms). This was repeated for each product within the category to calculate nutrient levels sold at a category level. 18 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2.6 Average Daily Intakes of Five Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers The second part of ‘The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project’ investigated the effect of reformulation on average daily nutrient intakes of energy, fat (total & saturated), sugar and sodium among Irish adults, teenagers, children and pre-schoolers. 2.6.1 Calculating Daily Nutrient Intakes 2. Methodology Total dietary intakes of the five nutrients were calculated using data from the four Irish national dietary surveys saved within the Creme Nutrition® model. The intake assessments calculate daily intakes based on distributions of intakes for each individual in the survey. The concentration levels of reformulated products supplied by the FDII members (at both baseline and post-reformulation) were applied to the correct food codes within the four dietary surveys. Applying Nutrient Values with Market Shares This data was applied by constructing discrete distributions, allowing the model to incorporate both the nutrient concentration level(s) of each food product with the corresponding market share value of the brand(s) attached to the food codes within that category. By applying the discrete distribution, the analyses recognise the likelihood of a person consuming one branded product over another. In other words, the model recognises that a product with a higher market share has a greater chance of being consumed. The project wanted to investigate a range of intake results due to the introduction of the 14 members’ reformulated products – this was possible by investigating two scenarios. Scenario A assumes all food and beverage companies reformulated in a similar way to the 14 members (optimistic), while Scenario B assumes reformulations were conducted by the 14 members only (conservative). Nutrient data from the 14 FDII members was applied to the appropriate IUNA food codes using different approaches. Firstly, if a food code described a food with a specific brand name (e.g. ‘Twix’) and this brand was a FDII reformulated product, the reformulated data was applied directly to that food code; there is no ambiguity around this procedure as it is 100% correct to say every time a person consumed this food code, it is always reformulated. However, if a food code was generic (e.g. ‘Ham’) and was not brand specific, reformulated data was applied in two different ways. This resulted in Scenario A and Scenario B. A number of food codes in IUNA do not specify brand names. Therefore, FDII reformulation data was applied to ‘generic’ codes (e.g. ‘Ham’). In Scenario A, the food code ‘Ham’ has FDII reformulated data only applied to it, thereby assuming that every time a person consumed ham in an IUNA survey, it was always reformulated ham from one of the 14 FDII members. This is the optimistic scenario, as it assumes all similar products on the market reformulate to the same extent as the 14 FDII members. The market share value applied was calculated accordingly. For example, if one FDII product was matched to the IUNA code, 100% market share was applied; if two products were matched to the one food code, the ratio of the individual market shares were applied, etc. This is illustrated in Figure 2. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 19 Figure 2: Application of FDII reformulating data to IUNA food codes (Scenario A) Product with reformulated data from FDII? Yes No 2. Methodology Is there an IUNA brand specific food code? Yes No Apply FDII directly (no ambiguity) Apply FDII data with market share data to ‘generic’ food code All IUNA original values retained In Scenario B, FDII reformulated data is still applied to the same generic IUNA food codes as in Scenario A. However, the original IUNA nutrient values are also applied with the reformulated data to these food codes that do not specify the brand, thereby accounting for the ‘unknown’ (i.e. non-reformulated foods, foods that may have been reformulated but for which we do not have reformulation data for). This is the conservative scenario, as it assumes that the 14 FDII members are the only companies reformulating on the Irish market. This is illustrated in Figure 3 below: Figure 3: Application of FDII reformulating data to IUNA food codes (Scenario B) Product with reformulated data from FDII? Yes No Is there an IUNA brand specific food code? 20 Yes No Apply FDII directly (no ambiguity) Apply FDII data with market share data to ‘generic’ food code + IUNA data All IUNA original values retained The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The original IUNA nutrient value is applied with the remainder of the market share after considering the FDII members market share(s) for that food. For example, if FDII Brand 1 = 10% market share for ‘ham’, Brand 2 = 17% market share for ‘ham’, then ‘hams’ in ‘rest of market’ with the original IUNA nutrient values will have a 73% market share value applied. Intake results generated from Scenario B may be viewed as a conservative estimate of reformulation’s impact, as nutrient levels from the original IUNA data were added back into the analysis. This means that only one mean value from the IUNA surveys is applied for all brands other than those of the 14 FDII members brands in the category (when nutrients levels are likely to vary across products). Model 2. Methodology Creme Nutrition® is a scientific, cloud based software service used to estimate dietary intakes of foods, chemicals and nutrients in populations of consumers. Creme Nutrition® achieves this by linking food consumption data to the appropriate food composition and chemical concentration data using a number of validated and published models. The system supports both deterministic and probabilistic input data. Probabilistic data can be represented by parametric or empirical data; these data sets are then combined in the Creme Nutrition® model using Monte Carlo simulation. Output calculation types include daily average intakes, acute exposures, as well any required population statistics, standard errors and confidence intervals7. For the present nutrient intake assessments, Creme Nutrition® considered all eating events in order to determine the daily intake levels in each individual survey. Results are presented for daily intakes baseline and post-reformulation and per food categories specifically designed for the purposes of this project. Model Intake Statistics Intake statistics analysed for this project are described in Table 4. Table 4: Description of intake statistics used in the present investigation Mean: The average of all intake values calculated for individuals within the target population Mean Error: Standard deviation of the distribution of mean intake values. The distributions of mean intake values are calculated using bootstrapping. The 97.5th Percentile (P97.5): The value of intake below which 97.5% of the analysed population falls P97.5 Error: Standard deviation of the distribution of P97.5 intake values. The distributions of P97.5 intake values are calculated using bootstrapping. In Creme Nutrition®, standard errors of statistics are calculated using a resampling technique called bootstrapping. For example, a mean value can be estimated from the collected sample data which is assumed to be representative of the total population. Using the bootstrap method allows a distribution of the mean values to be generated and used to assess the accuracy of the estimated statistic (in this case, the mean value). This is performed by sampling with replacement from the data set in question a number of times, generating a number of different estimates of each statistic. The standard error of the mean is then the standard deviation of the mean values obtained from the large number of bootstrap samples. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 21 Mathematically, the true standard error of a statistic can be estimated as: with with where N is the number of bootstrap samples (usually large, N=1000 by default in Creme Nutrition®) is the parameter estimate based on the bootstrap sample 2. Methodology is the mean of all parameters estimated on N bootstrap samples 2.6.2 Calculating Levels of Significance for Nutrient Mean Intakes, Baseline and Post-Reformulation Nutrient intakes generated for pre-reformulation and post-reformulation time periods were compared and the difference assessed by means of statistical tests. In the present investigation, the difference in intakes between the two time points was assessed with a paired Wilcoxon test, a non-parametric test used to assess if the difference in intakes between pairs of subjects is statistically significant. This test is used in place of a Student’s test when the condition of normality of the data is not met. The p-value returned by a statistical test is evaluated in relation to a specified significance level; the lower the significance level, the more stringent is the criteria to conclude that the observed difference between intake values is statistically significant. In this analysis the significance level that was chosen is 0.001, which corresponds to a 99.9% confidence level. A p-value that is less than the significance level of 0.001 was regarded as providing evidence against the null hypothesis, which states that there is no difference between the two sets of values. If a less stringent significance level of 0.05 was chosen, a p-value lower than 0.05 would indicate that the observed difference between paired values is significant with 95% confidence. The more stringent significance level of 0.001 used in this investigation requires p-values to be smaller than 0.001 to conclude that the observed difference is significant with 99.9% confidence. The tables included in the following sections report the p-values of the paired Wilcoxon tests performed over the observed intakes for pre-reformulation and post-reformulation nutrients. The p-values <0.001 indicate that the product reformulation led to a significant difference in the nutrient intake for the population under analysis with 99.9% confidence. 22 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 3 Levels of Nutrients Sold 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold 3.1 Summary Results • Reformulation efforts of the 14 members led to reductions in absolute and percentage terms for all nutrients. The largest decrease in percentage terms was for Sodium • The greatest reduction in absolute terms was for Sugar, with a decrease of 3,486 tonnes • 36,060 million fewer kilocalories of Energy have been sold between 2005 and 2012 • Reformulation by the 14 FDII members meant that all food categories achieved a reduction in Saturated Fat sold between the two time points % Reduction in Levels of Nutrients Sold between Baseline and Post-Reformulation: 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold Nutrient 24 % Reduction Energy 11.58 Total Fat 9.86 Saturated Fat 12.01 Sodium 36.66 Sugar 13.83 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 3.2 Results: Levels of Nutrients Sold (in Tonnes and Kilocalories) Table 5 shows the total reductions of nutrients placed on the market via FDII reformulated products (i.e. all food categories combined). Tables 6 – 10 show the changes in levels sold of the individual nutrients per food categories. Table 5: Total nutrients sold from all FDII reformulated products at baseline (2005) and postreformulation (2012), with absolute and relative changes Total Levels of Nutrients Sold For All Food Categories Combined, Baseline and Post-Reformulation Baseline Post-Reformulation (tonnes; 109 kcal) (tonnes; 109 kcal) Absolute Change (tonnes; 109 kcal) % Change 12196.58 10994.09 1202.49 9.86 % Reduction Saturated Fat 5167.84 4547.07 620.77 12.01 % Reduction Energy 311.30 275.24 36.06 11.58 % Reduction Sodium 785.41 497.47 287.95 36.66 % Reduction 25202.60 21716.81 3485.79 13.83 % Reduction Total Fat Sugar The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold All Food Categories Combined 25 Total Fat Changes in tonnes of Total Fat sold between Baseline and Post-reformulation via the 14 members’ reformulated products. Table 6: Total Fat sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation time points, with absolute and % changes 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold Total Fat Absolute Change (Tonnes) % Change Food Category Tonnes sold (Baseline) Tonnes sold (PostReformulation) Beverages (excl. Milk) 0.73 0.721 0.004 Reduction 0.55 % Reduction Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 4916.86 4796.58 120.28 Reduction 2.45 % Reduction Breakfast Cereals 917.99 654.07 263.92 Reduction 28.75 % Reduction Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes 1205.38 899.84 305.54 Reduction 25.35 % Reduction Milk & Dairy Products 1714.47 1728.83 14.36 Increase 0.84 % Increase Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.15 0.01 0.139 Reduction 93.29 % Reduction Savoury Snacks (incl. Crisps) 514.02 469.02 45 Reduction 8.75 % Reduction Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 158.73 119.58 39.15 Reduction 24.66 % Reduction Spreading Fats 2768.26 2325.44 442.82 Reduction 16.00 % Reduction 12,196.58 Tonnes 10,994.09 Tonnes Total: 1,202.49 Reduction 9.86% Reduction 26 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Saturated Fat Changes in tonnes of Saturated Fat sold between Baseline and Post-reformulation via the 14 members’ reformulated products. Table 7: Saturated Fat sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes Saturated Fat Tonnes sold (Baseline) Tonnes sold (PostReformulation) Beverages (excl. Milk) 0.55 0.53 0.02 Reduction 3.64 % Reduction Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 2373.22 2307.51 65.71 Reduction 2.77 % Reduction Breakfast Cereals 327.59 219.11 108.48 Reduction 33.11 % Reduction Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes 449.19 323.31 125.88 Reduction 28.02 % Reduction Milk & Dairy Products 1099.78 970.27 129.51 Reduction 11.78 % Increase Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.07 0.01 0.06 Reduction 85.71 % Reduction Savoury Snacks (incl. Crisps) 68.09 62.63 5.46 Reduction 8.02 % Reduction Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 72.86 58.71 14.15 Reduction 19.42 % Reduction Spreading Fats 776.49 604.99 171.5 Reduction 22.09 % Reduction 5167.84 Tonnes 4547.07 Tonnes Total: The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Absolute Change (Tonnes) 620.77 Reduction % Change 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold Food Category 12.01% Reduction 27 Energy Changes in kilocalories (kcal) of Energy sold between Baseline and Post-reformulation via the 14 members’ reformulated products Table 8: Energy sold (106 kilocalories) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold Energy Absolute Change (106 Kcal) 106 Kcal sold (PostReformulation) Food Category 106 Kcal sold (Baseline) Beverages (excl. Milk) 29,644 25,470 4,173 Reduction 14.08 % Reduction Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 95,588 91,747 3,841 Reduction 4.02 % Reduction Breakfast Cereals 85,189 67,549 17,640 Reduction 20.71 % Reduction Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes 17,239 13,554 3,685 Reduction 21.38 % Reduction Milk & Dairy Products 44,466 43,375 1,091 Reduction 2.45 % Reduction Rice, Pasta & Savouries 6.71 3.61 3.10 Reduction 46.13 % Reduction Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 3,372 2,615 757 Reduction 22.45 % Reduction Savoury Snacks (incl. Crisps) 10,484 9,640 844 Reduction 8.05 % Reduction Spreading Fats 25,313 21,288 4,025 Reduction 15.9 % Reduction 311,301 Kcal x 106 275,241x 106 36,060 x 106 Reduction 11.58% Reduction Total: % Change 28 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project Sodium Changes in tonnes of Sodium sold between Baseline and Post-reformulation via the 14 members’ reformulated products Table 9: Sodium sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes Sodium Absolute Change (Tonnes) % Change Tonnes sold (Baseline) Tonnes sold (PostReformulation) Beverages (excl. Milk) 0.03 0.02 0.01 Reduction 33.33 % Reduction Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 25.92 23.28 2.64 Reduction 10.19 % Reduction Breakfast Cereals 546.38 279.09 267.29 Reduction 48.92 % Reduction Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes 70.1 59.59 10.51 Reduction 14.99 % Reduction Milk & Dairy Products* 15.77 32.33 16.56 Increase 105.01 % Increase* Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.02 0.005 0.015 Reduction 75 % Reduction Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) 23.94 14.91 9.03 Reduction 37.72 % Reduction Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods 59.23 52.16 7.07 Reduction 11.94 % Reduction Spreading Fats 36.53 29.29 7.24 Reduction 19.82 % Reduction 7.49 6.79 0.70 Reduction 9.35 % Reduction 785.41 Tonnes 497.465 Tonnes Vegetables Total: 287.95 Reduction 36.66% Reduction *Increases in sodium reflects a significant shift in consumer spending towards lo-fat and reformulated (reduced salt) products which companies have reformulated and promoted heavily. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 29 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold Food Category Sugar Changes in tonnes of Sugar sold between Baseline and Post-reformulation via the 14 members’ reformulated products Table 10: Sugar sold (tonnes) per food category based on FDII reformulated products on the Irish market at baseline and post-reformulation, with absolute and % changes Sugar 3. Levels of Nutrients Sold % Change Tonnes sold (Baseline) Tonnes sold (PostReformulation) Beverages (excl. Milk) 7618.68 6117.43 1501.25 Reduction 19.7 % Reduction Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery 8093.57 7763.13 330.44 Reduction 4.08 % Reduction Breakfast Cereals 5299.68 4027.50 1272.18 Reduction 24 % Reduction 20.61 29.97 9.36 Increase 45.41 % Increase Milk & Dairy Products 4010.44 3641.12 369.32 Reduction 9.21 % Reduction Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.02 0.01 0.01 Reduction 43.48 % Reduction Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods 94.89 75.58 19.31 Reduction 20.35 % Reduction Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) 48.46 44.88 3.58 Reduction 7.39 % Reduction Spreading Fats 16.25 17.19 0.94 Increase 5.78 % Increase 25202.6 Tonnes 21716.81 Tonnes Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Total: 30 Absolute Change (Tonnes) Food Category 3485.79 Reduction 13.83% Reduction The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4 Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers This section investigates the impact of reformulation on dietary intakes of the four sub-populations. The results are divided into two sections: Scenario A (optimistic): where all companies match the 14 members’ reformulation efforts (Page 32-62) Scenario B (conservative): where only the 14 FDII members carried out reformulation efforts (Page 63-93) For both scenarios, two sets of results are provided for each sub-population: • Intakes for consumers of reformulated products only (and equivalent foods) • Intakes for the wider population for total diet Furthermore, these impacts are then broken down by the categories created for this project. Figure 4 below describes the difference between these two sets of results: Figure 4: Differences between Nutrient Intakes of Consumers of FDII Reformulated Products (and equivalent foods) and Nutrient Intakes from Total Diet Nutrient Intakes from FDII Reformulated Products (and equivalent foods) These mean and P97.5 intake values only relate to consumers of FDII reformulated products. Results are presented for: FDII reformulated foods (and equivalent foods) (across all categories combined) FDII reformulated foods (and equivalent foods) per food category Nutrient Intakes from the Total Diet 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers These mean and P97.5 nutrient intakes relate to all individuals’ total diets (including reformulated products) per sub-population. These intakes include FDII reformulated foods and foods not related to reformulation (e.g. fruit, fresh meat) for which IUNA nutrient levels were used. 32 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project These nutrient intake results described above (Figure 4) are presented in different parts of the report. The overall nutrient intake results for consumers of FDII Reformulated Products (and equivalent foods) are presented as the first set of results per population. An example of this is depicted in Figure 5 below: Figure 5: The positioning of daily nutrient intakes for consumers of the five nutrients (all categories combined) within the results sections These intake calculations were also used to present a breakdown of intakes per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation. An example of intakes per category is depicted in Figure 6 below: The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 33 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers Figure 6: Example of individual nutrient intakes per category Nutrient Intakes from the Total Diet are the second set of results presented for each population (as depicted in Figure 7 below): Figure 7: The positioning of daily nutrient intakes for total diet for the five nutrients (all categories combined) within the results sections Dietary intakes for the five nutrients were calculated for the following Irish sub-populations and will be presented as such: Adults (18 – 90 years) Teenagers (13 – 17 years) Children (5 – 12 years) 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers Pre-School Children (1 – 4 years) 34 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.1 Scenario A: Optimistic estimate of reformulation in the Irish market Summary of Results Scenario A - Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers Scenario A assumes that FDII companies’ reformulation efforts have been matched by other companies providing the same products and shows the impact on population groups. • Sodium reduced most frequently among all of the sub-populations and food categories • In ‘Beverages (excluding milk)’ Sugar and Energy mean intakes for all sub-populations reduced by up to ~54% and ~51% in pre-schoolers, respectively • ‘Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery’ made reductions in Total Fat, Saturated Fat, Energy and Sodium mean intakes for all sub-populations. The most notable reduction occurred for Sodium, which was reduced by up to ~16% for adults • ‘Meat Fish & Egg Dishes’ statistically significantly reduced intakes of Sodium for all subpopulations (mean intakes reduced by ~17% in teenagers and adults). Saturated Fat mean intakes were also reduced by ~5-6% for adults, teenagers and children • ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ category recorded statistically significant reductions in the mean intakes of most nutrients. There were reductions of 57% for Saturated Fat were recorded for teenagers • ‘Breakfast Cereals’ showed reduced mean intakes in Sugar and Sodium for all population groups. Additionally, statistically significant reductions in Saturated Fat mean intakes were achieved for children, pre-schoolers and teenagers (up to 10% for teenagers). Sodium reduced by ~35% for adults • ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recorded a statistically significant reduction in Total Fat, Saturated Fat and Sodium. Sodium intakes reduced by up ~69% (adults). Significant increases were observed in the mean intakes of Sugar for all sub-populations • ‘Savoury Snacks Incl. Crisps’ recorded statistically significant reductions in Sugar and Sodium mean intakes across all sub-populations (with the exception of Sugar intakes in pre-schoolers). Sodium reductions ranged from ~27% (adults) to ~34% (pre-schoolers). Saturated Fat mean intakes were also significantly reduced among adults, teenagers and pre-schoolers reducing by up to ~30% (adults). • ‘Spreading Fats’ significantly reduced Saturated Fat and Sodium mean intakes for all subpopulations, with Saturated Fat reduced by ~21% for all sub-populations. Statically significant reductions were also observed for mean intakes of Total Fat among adults and children, of Energy among adults, teenagers and children, and of Sugar intakes among children and teenagers The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 35 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • Reductions for all nutrients were observed among all of the sub-populations from Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods – Energy reduced by up to ~25% (adults), Saturated Fat reduced by up to ~60% (children), Sodium by up to (~29% (adults and teenagers), Sugar by up to ~44% (adults) and Total Fat by up to ~62% (children) 4.1.1. Scenario A: Adult Results (18 – 90 Years) An overall decrease was recorded for all 5 nutrients, with the most marked decrease for sodium, followed by saturated fat. • Energy mean intakes experienced the greatest % decrease in ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’, followed by ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ • Saturated Fat recorded the greatest decrease (in terms of a % and absolute decreases) in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ • ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recorded an almost 69% decrease in Sodium intakes • Sugar mean intakes decreased by over 44% in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ and 33% in ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’. A similar trend was noted for P97.5 intakes 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • Total Fat intakes decreased by over 56% in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ 36 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project (0.18) (5.41) (0.35) (0.23) 8.93 339.55 12.50 1.34 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.74 11.54 326.86 7.31 16.92 (0.02) (0.32) (5.25) (0.13) (0.31) PostReformulation 0.61 0.96 12.69 1.63 1.29 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 45.10 Decrease 7.70 Decrease 3.74 Decrease 18.22 Decrease 7.09 Decrease % Change <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 3.78 50.37 824.24 24.30 49.19 (0.19) (2.15) (23.88) (1.01) (1.91) Baseline (0.93) (2.47) 2.48 45.87 (0.15) (1.89) 805.43 (25.75) 19.83 47.23 PostReformulation 1.30 4.50 18.80 4.47 1.96 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 34.37 Decrease 8.94 Decrease 2.28 Decrease 18.39 Decrease 3.98 Decrease % Change (0.25) 3.21 Sodium (g) 2.64 (0.02) (1.08) (16.31) (0.32) (0.73) 0.57 1.02 11.81 1.67 1.34 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence (1.10) 90.67 Sugar (g) 89.65 2011.15 2022.96 (16.38) Energy (kcal) 28.68 (0.36) 30.35 Saturated Fat (g) 74.53 (0.74) Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) PostReformulation 75.87 Baseline Total Fat (g) 17.76 Decrease 1.12 Decrease 0.58 Decrease 5.50 Decrease 1.77 Decrease % Change <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 5.94 193.63 3494.59 62.68 142.89 (0.17) (4.21) (67.39) (1.61) (2.48) Baseline 4.98 190.25 3470.29 58.70 142.14 (0.13) (4.05) (71.04) (1.79) (2.58) PostReformulation 0.96 3.38 24.30 3.98 0.75 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 16.16 Decrease 1.75 Decrease 0.70 Decrease 6.35 Decrease 0.52 Decrease % Change Table 12: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adults from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) Saturated Fat (g) Total Fat (g) (0.33) Baseline 18.21 Table 11: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adult consumers of reformulated products (n = 1495) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 37 26.52 104.09 69.78 84.93 111.98 98.05 48.83 63.73 65.99 0 37.35 105.05 70.19 90.50 109.37 98.05 47.39 84.84 68.09 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0 2.10 21.11 1.44 0.00 2.61 5.57 0.41 0.96 10.82 Absolute Change Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase n/a No Change 3.08 24.88 3.03 0.00 No Change 2.39 6.16 0.58 0.91 28.98 % Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.017 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 263.56 273.89 180.24 260.48 320.85 297.84 274.40 349.47 151.05 Baseline Daily Intakes of Energy per food category 0 244.25 259.40 183.51 255.42 344.72 284.59 280.97 337.72 125.97 PostReformulation 0 19.31 14.49 3.27 5.06 23.87 13.25 6.57 11.75 25.08 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) n/a 7.33 5.29 1.81 1.94 7.44 4.45 2.39 3.36 16.61 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 13: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 38 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.05 3.01 1.67 3.70 0.200 0.12 0.25 1.02 1.96 0 0.06 3.21 1.77 4.29 0.199 0.14 0.36 2.26 2.50 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0 0.54 1.24 0.11 0.01 0.001 0.59 0.09 0.21 0.01 Absolute Change 5.32 6.42 17.34 0 21.51 54.87 30.00 10.87 0.61 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 13.85 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 10.29 8.11 2.17 1.82 1.10 15.35 7.23 11.60 0.60 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 7.93 4.08 1.01 1.65 1.13 12.55 6.98 10.67 0.45 PostReformulation n/a 2.36 4.03 1.16 0.17 0.03 2.80 0.25 0.93 0.15 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 22.94 49.73 53.29 9.34 2.66 18.23 3.41 8.05 25.00 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 14: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 39 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.0019 0.03 0.26 0.15 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.58 0.08 0.068 0.0015 0.04 0.31 0.18 0.19 0.42 0.13 0.82 0.09 0.074 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats Vegetables 0.01 0.003 0.24 0.03 0.29 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.0004 Absolute Change 7.41 3.13 29.49 27.30 69.03 35.06 15.48 17.25 15.87 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 24.87 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence PostReformulation Baseline Food Category <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.002 P-Value 0.19 0.333 3.24 0.42 1.12 0.61 0.63 1.08 0.15 0.017 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0.17 0.336 2.51 0.29 0.44 0.35 0.57 0.88 0.11 0.024 PostReformulation 0.02 0.01 0.73 0.13 0.68 0.26 0.06 0.19 0.03 0.01 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 10.99 2.10 22.43 30.86 60.73 42.93 10.14 18.00 22.28 42.94 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change Table 15: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 40 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 9.19 0.62 2.59 5.46 0.212 0.70 0.93 0.0866 0 9.13 0.23 2.68 5.60 0.207 0.83 1.66 0.0868 0 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods n/a 0.0002 0.73 0.13 0.005 0.14 0.09 0.39 0.07 3.35 Absolute Change 0 0.23 43.96 15.39 2.34 2.51 3.45 166.24 0.74 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change 33.07 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables Spreading Fats Rice, Pasta & Savouries 6.78 PostReformulation 10.13 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a 0.091 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 0.38 8.67 2.96 1.06 21.18 20.01 0.96 33.27 49.20 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 0 0.37 5.58 2.32 1.15 19.10 19.19 2.77 33.75 33.00 PostReformulation n/a 0.01 3.09 0.64 0.09 2.08 0.82 1.81 0.49 16.20 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 3.13 35.60 21.62 8.38 9.80 4.09 188.36 1.46 32.92 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change Table 16: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 41 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0 7.20 1.94 2.63 0.58 0.73 5.64 4.76 5.27 0.057 PostReformulation n/a 0.23 2.49 0.09 0.01 0.07 0.34 0.07 0.19 0.005 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) 1.45 3.47 8.03 0 3.05 56.15 3.37 1.92 11.22 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change 5.64 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence 0 7.42 Spreading Fats Vegetables 4.43 0.65 Breakfast Cereals Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 5.98 Milk & Dairy Products 2.54 4.70 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) 5.46 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. 0.59 0.062 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Rice, Pasta & Savouries Baseline Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.021 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.199 <0.001 0.001 P-Value 0 28.32 16.04 10.13 3.87 3.12 20.37 19.82 19.05 0.70 0 26.58 6.94 9.66 3.78 3.58 19.86 19.65 18.40 0.60 PostReformulation P97.5 Intakes (g/d) Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category n/a 1.74 9.11 0.47 0.09 0.46 0.52 0.17 0.66 0.10 Absolute Change 0 6.14 56.76 4.65 2.30 14.63 2.53 0.84 3.45 14.71 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 17: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Adults - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 42 4.1.2. Scenario A: Teenager Results (13 - 17 years) An overall decrease between the two time points was recorded for all 5 nutrients, with the greatest decrease in mean and P97.5 intakes recorded for sodium, followed by saturated fat. • The greatest decrease in Energy intakes was recorded in the ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ group for both mean & P97.5 intakes • All food categories recorded a decrease/no change for saturated fat in terms of mean intakes. ‘Milk & Dairy’ and ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ both experienced marked reductions (~57% and ~58%, respectively) • Sodium recorded a decrease for mean intakes in almost all food categories. ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recorded a ~56% decrease • Sugar recorded a ~36% decrease in mean intakes of ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 43 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • A ~61% decrease in Total Fat was recorded for ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, with a similar decrease noted for P97.5 intakes (~61%) (0.33) (9.74) (0.84) (0.11) 9.50 429.25 26.11 1.24 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.76 24.17 413.10 7.23 17.11 (0.03) (0.79) (9.57) (0.21) (0.46) PostReformulation 0.48 1.94 16.15 2.27 1.44 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 38.69 7.44 3.76 23.94 7.77 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 4.06 71.87 940.61 25.70 48.40 (0.63) (3.06) (56.48) (2.08) (4.77) Baseline 2.68 63.93 910.88 18.87 43.04 (0.32) (2.73) (48.95) (1.12) (2.79) PostReformulation P97.5 (P97.5 Error) % Change 3.16 Decrease 1.37 33.87 Decrease 7.94 11.05 Decrease 29.73 6.83 26.57 Decrease 5.35 11.06 Decrease Absolute Change (0.64) (27.88) (1.97) (0.15) 32.96 1992.39 108.20 3.05 Saturated Fat (g) 2.57 106.16 1977.87 30.69 76.03 (0.05) (1.94) (27.72) (0.58) (1.26) PostReformulation 0.48 2.04 14.52 2.27 1.34 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Sodium (g) Sugar (g) Energy (kcal) (1.29) 77.37 Baseline Total Fat (g) 15.74 1.89 0.73 6.89 1.73 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 63.37 141.39 <0.001 <0.001 6.07 208.64 (0.63) (10.65) (87.38) 2.43) (6.29) Baseline <0.001 3303.97 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value (1.75) (6.59) 4.91 (0.33) 200.76 (10.33) 3303.56 (86.36) 58.51 134.61 PostReformulation 1.16 7.88 0.41 4.86 6.78 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 19.11 3.78 0.01 7.67 4.80 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 19: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenagers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) Saturated Fat (g) Total Fat (g) (0.51) Baseline 18.55 Table 18: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenage consumers of reformulated products (n = 440) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 44 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 144.02 53.36 42.31 116.31 78.23 47.46 52.54 50.42 0 145.15 54.03 46.93 114.55 78.21 46.21 66.98 51.10 0 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.68 14.44 1.25 0.03 1.76 4.62 0.67 1.13 12.63 Absolute Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 25.65 PostReformulation 38.28 Baseline 0 1.34 21.56 2.70 0.04 1.54 9.84 1.25 0.78 32.99 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a 0.018 <0.001 0.013 0.617 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value Daily Intakes of Energy per food category 0 216.78 288.64 155.54 247.81 361.02 200.13 187.54 414.02 125.02 Baseline 0 207.55 309.15 158.36 250.15 362.31 180.63 187.64 409.51 92.86 PostReformulation n/a 9.24 20.51 2.81 2.34 1.30 19.50 0.10 4.51 32.16 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) 0 4.26 7.11 1.81 0.95 0.36 9.74 0.05 1.09 25.72 No Change Decrease Increase Increase Increase Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 20: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 45 0.03 4.12 1.27 1.21 0.22 0.41 0.23 0.77 1.55 0 0.04 4.32 1.35 2.82 0.24 0.46 0.32 1.85 1.95 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.40 1.08 0.09 0.05 0.02 1.61 0.08 0.20 0.001 Absolute Change 5.92 4.59 2.54 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease 0 No Change 20.59 58.43 28.39 11.23 9.85 Decrease % Change 57.13 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.197 P-Value 0 8.20 8.55 1.56 3.15 1.13 12.81 5.26 13.32 0.23 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 6.17 3.70 0.81 2.81 0.98 5.14 4.94 12.67 0.21 PostReformulation n/a 2.04 4.85 0.75 0.34 0.15 7.68 0.32 0.64 0.01 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 24.83 56.77 48.08 10.65 12.90 59.90 6.10 4.81 6.13 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 21: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 46 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.003 0.04 0.19 0.057 0.12 0.15 0.08 0.52 0.063 0.040 0.002 0.05 0.23 0.063 0.16 0.33 0.12 0.73 0.065 0.044 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats Vegetables 0.004 0.002 0.22 0.04 0.19 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.001 Absolute Change 8.48 2.33 29.50 31.31 56.38 29.35 9.52 16.78 11.55 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 23.90 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Milk & Dairy Products PostReformulation Mean Intakes (g/d) Baseline Food Category <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0.090 0.28 3.47 0.37 1.03 0.48 0.41 0.81 0.16 0.02 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0.087 0.28 2.70 0.26 0.65 0.35 0.41 0.65 0.14 0.03 PostReformulation 0.003 0.003 0.77 0.11 0.38 0.13 0 0.16 0.02 0.01 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 3.33 1.04 22.22 29.26 36.97 26.70 0 19.45 12.29 50.00 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Increase % Change Table 22: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 47 PostReformulation 8.60 13.59 0.48 2.08 6.89 0.34 0.62 0.55 0.065 0 Baseline 11.58 13.46 0.18 2.13 7.10 0.32 0.74 0.86 0.068 0 Food Category Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.003 0.31 0.12 0.02 0.21 0.05 0.30 0.13 2.98 Absolute Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase 0 No Change 3.96 35.99 16.52 5.02 3.03 2.30 168.27 0.94 Decrease % Change 25.72 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables Mean Intakes (g/d) n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 0.291 4.45 2.79 1.79 29.97 17.86 0.70 40.76 39.84 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 0 0.291 2.11 2.36 1.84 28.54 15.87 1.83 41.33 33.02 PostReformulation n/a 0 2.33 0.42 0.05 1.43 1.99 1.14 0.57 6.82 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0 52.49 15.18 2.56 4.76 11.12 163.23 1.40 17.12 No Change No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change Table 23: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers- Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 48 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.0280 7.15 3.65 1.41 0.78 1.05 2.46 1.40 5.48 0 0.0279 7.33 3.60 1.67 0.76 1.08 2.33 3.61 5.64 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.15 2.21 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.26 0.05 0.18 0.0001 Absolute Change 1.50 2.46 0.32 0 2.74 61.32 5.20 3.25 2.38 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change 15.63 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.033 <0.001 0.240 <0.001 0.020 <0.001 0.069 P-Value 0 22.95 16.91 8.08 6.24 3.47 9.00 13.73 22.17 0.21 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category 0 22.30 6.52 8.55 6.03 3.26 8.19 14.15 21.29 0.21 PostReformulation n/a 0.65 10.39 0.47 0.20 0.21 0.81 0.41 0.88 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 2.83 61.44 5.76 3.26 6.14 8.96 3.01 3.98 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease No Change % Change Table 24: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Teenagers - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 49 4.1.3. Scenario A: Children Results (5 - 12 years) An overall decrease in all nutrients was observed between the two time points, most evident being the decrease in sodium intakes, followed by saturated fat. • Energy recorded the greatest % and absolute decrease in ‘Beverages excl. Milk’, followed by ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ • Saturated Fat recorded the greatest % decrease in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, with the greatest absolute decrease in ‘Milk and Dairy Products’ • ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ had the greatest % decrease in Sodium, followed by ‘Savoury Snacks Incl. Crisps’, ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ and ‘Breakfast Cereals’. However, an increase in ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ was observed (this increase is extremely minor and could be due to variability) • Sugar intakes decreased notably in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ and ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ (by ~ 41% and ~36%) 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • The most notable decrease in Total Fat (in terms of both % and absolute decreases) was found in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (1.54 g/day and ~62%, respectively) 50 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project (0.20) (6.63) (0.73) (0.04) 8.01 379.32 25.73 0.88 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.61 22.24 360.47 6.18 14.27 (0.02) (0.60) (6.23) (0.14) (0.31) PostReformulation 0.26 3.49 18.85 1.82 0.99 Absolute Change 29.90 13.56 4.97 22.77 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 6.47 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 2.54 74.05 740.31 19.27 34.18 (0.29) (4.34) 13.86 31.80 1.81 60.11 (0.25) (3.45) (29.72) (0.55) (1.11) PostReformulation (29.55) 711.56 (1.46) (1.76) Baseline P97.5 (P97.5 error) 0.73 13.94 28.75 5.41 2.38 Absolute Change 28.84 18.83 3.88 28.07 6.95 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change (0.35) (14.83) (1.38) (0.03) 27.97 1672.5 104.69 2.30 Saturated Fat (g) Energy (kcal) Sugar (g) 2.06 101.19 1653.5 26.14 60.88 (0.03) (1.33) (14.67) (0.32) (0.66) 0.24 3.50 19.00 1.83 0.93 Absolute Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Sodium (g) (0.67) 61.81 Total Fat (g) PostReformulation Baseline Mean (Mean Error) 10.43 3.34 1.14 6.54 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 1.50 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 4.47 182.26 2444.32 48.59 98.10 (0.26) (6.91) (34.03) (1.47) (2.31) Baseline 3.71 177.66 2424.78 45.47 96.12 (0.21) (5.39) (35.97) (2.05) (2.09) PostReformulation P97.5 (P97.5 error) 2.52 0.80 6.42 2.02 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 0.76 17.00 4.60 19.54 3.12 1.98 Absolute Change Table 26: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish children from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) Saturated Fat (g) Total Fat (g) (0.34) Baseline Mean (Mean Error) 15.26 Table 25: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish child consumers of reformulated products (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 51 26.83 116.76 49.00 40.85 97.48 49.715 43.38 117.88 49.62 44.11 96.14 49.719 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals 36.23 38.30 0 45.73 38.47 0 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.16 9.50 1.44 0.004 1.33 3.26 0.62 1.12 16.55 Absolute Change 0 0.43 20.77 3.92 0.01 1.39 7.39 1.25 0.95 Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 38.14 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 38.20 36.76 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a 0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.124 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 119.93 198.84 117.92 166.59 305.81 154.10 185.55 348.30 149.50 Baseline Daily Intakes of Energy (kcal/d) per food category 0 118.43 169.61 121.46 166.59 304.55 150.84 184.95 344.86 102.43 PostReformulation n/a 1.50 29.23 3.54 0 1.26 3.26 0.60 3.44 47.07 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 1.25 14.70 3.00 0 0.41 2.12 0.32 0.99 31.48 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 27: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 52 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project PostReformulation 0.035 3.36 1.23 1.32 0.18 0.21 0.18 0.51 1.19 0 Baseline 0.036 3.56 1.29 2.90 0.19 0.24 0.24 1.27 1.51 0 Food Category Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.32 0.75 0.05 0.03 0.01 1.58 0.06 0.20 0.0004 Absolute Change 0 21.49 59.64 23.27 11.04 6.36 54.41 4.63 5.68 1.08 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables Mean Intakes (g/d) n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.303 P-Value 0 5.28 5.80 1.22 1.96 0.98 10.90 5.02 10.64 0.25 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat (g) per food category 0 3.90 2.26 0.67 1.76 0.96 3.88 4.94 10.18 0.23 PostReformulation n/a 1.37 3.54 0.56 0.20 0.02 7.02 0.08 0.46 0.02 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 25.99 61.08 45.57 10.24 1.78 64.41 1.63 4.32 8.57 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 28: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 53 0.004 0.03 0.17 0.056 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.37 0.047 0.028 0.003 0.04 0.20 0.062 0.13 0.21 0.10 0.52 0.048 0.030 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats Vegetables 0.003 0.001 0.14 0.04 0.13 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.004 0.001 Absolute Change 9.19 2.16 27.52 33.49 59.24 26.25 9.27 13.66 10.40 29.39 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Milk & Dairy Products PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0.130 0.140 2.35 0.32 0.72 0.45 0.30 0.67 0.14 0.02 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium (g) per food category 0.126 0.143 1.83 0.21 0.37 0.32 0.27 0.58 0.12 0.03 PostReformulation 0.004 0.003 0.52 0.11 0.35 0.13 0.03 0.09 0.01 0.009 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 3.33 2.47 22.22 34.80 48.94 28.98 10.48 13.98 8.35 37.50 Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change Table 29: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 54 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 7.78 10.82 0.49 1.278 5.96 0.19 0.51 0.23 0.053 0 12.17 10.76 0.14 1.276 6.16 0.18 0.60 0.38 0.054 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.001 0.16 0.09 0.01 0.20 0.002 0.35 0.05 4.40 Absolute Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease 0 No Change 1.97 40.51 15.48 5.27 3.25 0.14 245.22 0.50 36.11 % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables Milk & Dairy Products PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 0.19 2.68 2.03 1.01 24.46 14.15 0.53 32.84 43.27 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar (g) per food category 0 0.18 1.24 1.70 1.12 23.78 14.35 2.00 32.85 32.11 PostReformulation n/a 0.01 1.44 0.32 0.11 0.68 0.19 1.48 0.01 11.17 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 5.76 53.79 15.97 11.13 2.78 1.35 279.92 0.02 25.80 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease % Change Table 30: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 55 0.0339 5.75 3.50 1.49 0.617 0.58 1.93 0.94 4.16 0 0.0341 5.92 3.46 1.66 0.622 0.60 1.83 2.49 4.22 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.06 1.54 0.11 0.02 0.01 0.17 0.04 0.17 0.0002 Absolute Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease 0 No Change 1.34 62.06 5.88 3.07 0.92 10.34 1.16 2.84 Decrease % Change 0.65 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in /mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables Breakfast Cereals PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.002 <0.001 0.035 <0.001 0.571 P-Value 0 13.09 11.46 6.35 3.80 2.46 6.17 13.76 18.16 0.23 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat (g) per food category 0 13.02 4.05 6.49 3.68 2.43 5.63 14.41 17.63 0.23 PostReformulation P97.5 Intakes (g/d) n/a 0.07 7.41 0.14 0.12 0.04 0.54 0.65 0.52 0 Absolute Change 0 0.50 64.67 2.20 3.06 1.45 8.73 4.71 2.89 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease No Change % Change Table 31: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Children - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 56 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.1.4. Scenario A: Pre-Schoolers Results (1 - 4 years) An overall decrease in all 5 nutrients was experienced between the two points, with the greatest decrease evident in sodium intakes, followed by saturated fat. • Energy intakes decreased most evidently in ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ and ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (by ~51% and ~ 21%, respectively). However, an increase was recorded in ‘Meat Fish, Eggs Dishes’, ‘Breakfast Cereals’, ‘Rice, Pasta and Savouries’ • Saturated Fat recorded the greatest absolute decrease in ‘Milk & Dairy products’ (0.66 g/d), while ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ recorded the greatest relative decrease (~57%) • Sodium recorded the greatest absolute and % decrease in ‘Rice, Pasta and Savouries’ (reducing by ~60%), followed by ‘Savoury Snacks Incl. Crisps (~34%)’. However, ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ recorded an increase in Sodium intakes (these increases are minor and may be due to variability) • Sugar intakes decreased most notably in ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ (~54%), followed by ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (~42%). However, a marked increase was observed in ‘Meat Fish, Eggs Dishes’. A major contributory factor is due to certain burgers and hams, increasing levels of sugar between the two points and being consumed in high quantities The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 57 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • Total Fat intakes decreased most evidently in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (by ~59%). However, ‘Meat Fish, Eggs Dishes’ experienced increased intakes of approximately 10% (0.17) (5.54) (0.42) (0.08) 5.02 197.22 8.71 0.62 Saturated Fat (g) Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.38 7.86 188.85 4.05 8.69 (0.02) (0.33) (4.99) (0.12) (0.24) PostReformulation 0.24 0.86 8.37 0.97 0.59 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 38.68 9.84 4.24 19.27 6.37 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 1.69 29.40 484.05 13.77 23.52 (0.58) (0.88) (0.21) (2.85) (28.79) Baseline 1.13 25.33 469.88 10.23 21.78 (0.10) (1.74) (19.58) (0.40) (0.84) PostReformulation 2.93 25.74 7.37 0.56 33.01 (0.29) (11.43) (1.04) (0.08) 19.39 1138.08 75.43 1.56 Saturated Fat (g) Sugar (g) Sodium (g) The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project (0.28) (0.54) 1.31 74.43 0.02 (1.01) 1129.65 (11.26) 18.44 41.03 PostReformulation 0.25 1.00 8.43 0.95 0.62 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 16.03 1.33 0.74 4.90 1.49 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) (0.54) 41.65 Baseline Total Fat (g) <0.001 0.09 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 2.96 127.79 1737.37 35.44 71.15 (0.96) (2.11) (0.12) (5.99) (49.30) Baseline (1.02) (2.23) 2.44 124.47 (0.09) (5.88) 1716.65 (49.82) 34.14 69.90 PostReformulation 0.52 0.67 20.72 1.30 1.25 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 error 17.57 0.51 1.19 3.67 1.76 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 4.07 13.86 14.17 3.54 1.73 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 error Table 33: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-school consumers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 500) at baseline and postreformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) (0.27) 9.28 Baseline Total Fat (g) Table 32: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-school consumers of reformulated products (n = 498) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 58 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 12.53 60.74 44.07 55.53 56.75 46.31 25.14 29.02 22.50 0 25.75 61.96 40.60 59.97 56.16 46.11 25.22 36.82 22.54 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.04 7.79 0.08 0.20 0.60 4.44 3.47 1.22 13.23 Absolute Change 0 0.20 21.16 0.32 0.44 1.06 7.41 5.86 1.97 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change 51.36 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (kcal/d) Food Category n/a 0.028 <0.001 0.277 0.461 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value Daily Intakes of Energy (kcal/d) per food category 0 70.38 125.79 77.73 224.32 171.51 177.94 130.85 198.75 100.27 Baseline 0 69.85 88.08 70.08 215.23 172.63 159.91 137.59 184.71 51.63 PostReformulation n/a 0.54 37.71 7.65 9.09 1.11 18.03 6.74 14.04 48.64 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) 0 0.76 29.98 9.84 4.05 0.65 10.13 5.15 7.07 48.51 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 34: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 59 0 0 n/a 0.19 0.55 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.66 0.02 0.19 0.002 Absolute Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 0.69 0.88 Spreading Fats 0.18 0.21 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.42 0.12 0.13 Breakfast Cereals 0.96 2.17 2.83 Milk & Dairy Products Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 1.03 1.05 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes 0.11 1.74 1.93 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. 0.13 0.04 0.05 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) PostReformulation Mean Intakes (g/d) Baseline Food Category Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease 0 No Change 21.47 56.74 12.73 10.72 8.66 23.22 2.18 9.92 4.63 % Change n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.371 P-Value 0 2.95 3.44 0.64 1.62 0.59 10.13 3.67 6.37 0.200 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat (g) per food category 0 2.14 1.64 0.43 1.34 0.52 6.32 3.44 5.79 0.199 PostReformulation n/a 0.80 1.80 0.21 0.28 0.07 3.80 0.23 0.58 0.001 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease 0 No Change 27.28 52.43 33.23 17.06 11.74 37.56 6.23 9.08 0.28 % Change Table 35: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 60 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.005 0.02 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.26 0.027 0.030 0.004 0.03 0.17 0.10 0.07 0.20 0.07 0.37 0.028 0.032 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats Vegetables 0.002 0.001 0.10 0.02 0.12 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.002 0.001 Absolute Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence PostReformulation Mean Intakes (g/d) Baseline Food Category 6.19 2.05 28.55 34.40 59.69 24.50 15.03 9.59 8.94 19.91 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0.10 0.082 1.21 0.20 0.92 0.24 0.31 0.50 0.11 0.035 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium (g) per food category 0.08 0.081 0.86 0.12 0.38 0.18 0.27 0.71 0.10 0.036 PostReformulation 0.02 0.001 0.35 0.08 0.54 0.07 0.04 0.22 0.01 0.001 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 18.75 1.46 28.62 37.94 58.90 28.39 11.81 43.60 9.94 3.59 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change Table 36: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 61 2.81 4.96 0.53 2.00 3.16 0.21 0.33 0.31 0.031 0 6.12 5.00 0.12 1.86 3.24 0.17 0.36 0.53 0.032 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.0005 0.23 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.41 0.04 3.31 Absolute Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Increase Decrease 0 No Change 1.42 42.28 8.73 25.16 2.51 7.55 342.82 0.81 Decrease % Change 54.04 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a 0.004 <0.001 0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0 0.101 3.17 1.54 1.08 10.046 10.41 0.46 16.38 24.72 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar (g) per food category 0 0.100 1.91 1.04 2.12 10.050 11.44 2.01 16.18 13.25 PostReformulation n/a 0.0004 1.25 0.50 1.04 0.005 1.03 1.55 0.21 11.47 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0.36 39.58 32.32 96.85 0.04 9.88 338.34 1.26 46.39 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 37: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 62 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.04 2.96 3.08 3.25 0.46 0.51 1.15 0.79 2.43 0 0.05 3.11 2.80 3.64 0.46 0.53 1.22 1.92 2.45 0 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats n/a 0.02 1.13 0.07 0.02 0.0002 0.38 0.28 0.15 0.002 Absolute Change 9.98 4.77 4.16 0 0.96 58.66 5.90 3.07 0.04 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change 10.57 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables PostReformulation Baseline Mean Intakes (g/d) Food Category n/a 0.115 <0.001 0.008 <0.001 0.560 <0.001 0.067 <0.001 0.408 P-Value 0 7.75 6.45 4.21 3.06 1.75 10.09 9.81 10.47 0.200 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat (g) per food category 0 7.29 3.10 3.71 2.95 1.69 9.57 10.87 9.94 0.199 PostReformulation P97.5 Intakes (g/d) n/a 0.46 3.35 0.50 0.10 0.07 0.51 1.06 0.52 0.001 Absolute Change 0 5.89 51.97 11.81 3.35 3.73 5.08 10.82 5.00 0.28 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 38: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario A (optimistic) Scenario A: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if all companies matched efforts by 14 FDII members (optimistic) Pre Schoolers - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 63 4.2 Scenario B: Conservative estimate of reformulation in the Irish market Summary of Results: – Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers Scenario B analysis represents a conservative estimate of the impact of FDII reformulation efforts on the Irish population. • ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ recorded reductions in Energy and Sugar for all four sub-populations (all significant with 99.9% confidence), with Energy reducing by ~2-3% and Sugar by ~3-4% for all subpopulations • Sodium was statistically significantly reduced across the greatest number of food categories, reducing by up to ~10% for teenagers (for all food categories combined) • ‘Spreading Fats’ significantly decreased intakes for all five nutrients for all sub-populations. Adult’s intakes of Energy, Total Fat, Saturated Fat and Sodium were reduced by ~4%. This category recorded statistically significant nutrient reductions more often than any other food category • ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ also made statistically significant reductions in all nutrients for all sub-populations studied apart from the reduction of sodium intakes for pre-schoolers which was not significant. A ~34% reduction in Saturated Fat intakes for teenagers and a ~34% reduction in Total Fat for children were recorded • ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ and ‘Breakfast Cereals’ recorded the greatest % reduction for Sodium for all four sub-populations, with ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recording a ~47% decrease in mean intakes and a ~53% decrease in P97.5 intakes for adults. ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ also recorded marked Sodium reductions • ‘Biscuits, Cakes & Confectionery’ recorded statistically significant reductions in Total Fat and Saturated Fat mean intakes among all four sub-populations. Additionally, Sodium mean intakes from this subcategory were significantly reduced among children and teenagers and Energy mean intakes were significantly reduced among adults • ‘Meat Fish & Eggs Dishes’ reduced mean intakes of Sodium for all sub-populations. Additionally, Saturated Fat intakes were reduced from this food category among children and teenagers • ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ recorded statistically significant reductions for all nutrients for almost all sub-populations. The largest % reductions in mean intakes from this food category were a ~22% (0.52g/d) and a ~28% (0.68g/d) reduction in Saturated Fat among children and teenagers respectively • ‘Breakfast Cereals’ made statistically significant reductions to intakes of Sugar (~2-3%) and Sodium (up to ~35%) across all sub-populations. Significant decreases in Saturated Fat mean intakes were also observed for teenagers, children and pre-schoolers 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ producers made a statistically significant reduction in mean intakes of Sodium, in teenagers, children and a noteworthy ~47% reduction for adults • ‘Savoury Snacks Incl. Crisps’ recorded statistically significant reductions in Sugar and Sodium for varying sub-populations Sugar mean intakes for teenagers were reduced by >14% and Sodium mean intakes reduced by >5% for pre-schoolers • As mentioned above, products in the ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ succeeded in reducing all five nutrients. Energy intakes were reduced by >15% (children), Total Fat by up to 34% (children), Saturated Fat up to ~34% (children), Sodium up to ~23% (pre-schoolers) and Sugar by 21% (adults). The only reduction not deemed to be significant with 99.9% confidence was Sodium among preschoolers • The reformulation efforts of ‘Spreading Fats’ also resulted in statistically significant reductions for all five nutrients for all sub-populations. The most marked reductions were observed for adults (i.e. ~4% reductions for Energy, Total Fat and Saturated Fat) 64 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.2.1. Scenario B: Adult Results (18 – 90 years) Overall, both mean and P97.5 intakes decreased for all five nutrients, with the exception of P97.5 total fat intakes from total diet. • Energy intakes experienced the greatest absolute decrease in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, for mean intakes. ‘Breakfast Cereals’ substantially reduced P97.5 intakes • Saturated Fat recorded the greatest decrease (in terms of a % decrease) in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ for both mean and P97.5 intakes. ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ recorded the greatest absolute reduction for mean intakes (0.34 g/d). ‘Breakfast Cereals’ and ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ increases in mean intakes • All food categories recorded a decrease/no change for mean and P97.5 Sodium intakes, with the exception of mean intakes of ‘Beverages excl. Milk’. ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recorded the most marked decrease, with a ~53% decrease recorded for P97.5 intakes. ‘Breakfast Cereals’ reduced absolute intakes by 0.07g/d • ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ recorded a ~21% and ~29% reductions in mean and P97.5 Sugar intakes, respectively. However, a number of food categories recorded increases, with ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ recording a ~6% increase in mean intakes The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 65 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • Total Fat mean intakes decreased by over ~25% in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, with a similar decrease noted for P97.5 intakes (~28% decrease) (0.16) (5.30) (0.34) (0.01) 8.60 330.22 12.25 0.70 Saturated Fat (g) Energy (kcal) Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.64 12.00 325.87 8.14 17.80 (0.01) (0.34) (5.34) (0.16) (0.33) PostReformulation 0.06 0.25 4.35 0.46 0.54 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 8.31 2.06 1.32 5.38 2.95 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 2.04 47.20 821.18 24.62 50.16 (1.63) (1.77) (1.87) (2.47) (27.93) Baseline (1.45) (2.27) 1.87 45.48 (0.07) (2.29) 816.33 (29.83) 22.72 48.99 PostReformulation 0.17 1.72 4.85 1.90 1.17 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 8.16 3.64 0.59 7.72 2.34 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change (0.33) (16.32) (1.09) (0.02) 29.99 2014.63 90.41 2.60 Saturated Fat (g) Sugar (g) Sodium (g) The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2.54 90.14 2010.60 29.52 75.46 (0.02) (1.08) (16.33) (0.33) (0.74) PostReformulation 0.06 0.27 4.03 0.47 0.51 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 2.31 0.30 0.20 1.57 0.67 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Energy (kcal) (0.74) 75.97 Baseline Total Fat (g) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 4.91 191.72 3470.56 60.69 141.75 (0.10) (3.86) (69.37) (1.85) (2.26) Baseline (1.65) (2.04) 4.74 191.28 (0.09) (3.90) 3463.73 (72.28) 60.00 141.80 PostReformulation 0.17 0.44 6.83 0.69 0.05 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 3.46 0.23 0.20 1.14 0.04 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change Table 40: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adults from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence (0.34) 18.34 Baseline Total Fat (g/d) Table 39: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish adult consumers of reformulated products (n = 1500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) All Nutrients - Adults 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 66 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 73.58 90.29 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 36.83 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 24.08 24.08 73.55 31.96 65.32 83.05 111.97 87.28 73.62 101.56 35.34 PostReformulation 0 3.35 4.87 0.79 0.04 2.62 3.01 0.04 0.10 0.94 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) 0 4.36 13.21 1.22 0.05 2.39 3.34 0.06 0.09 2.58 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 0.002 0.835 <0.001 <0.001 0.017 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 76.90 64.53 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 83.00 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 109.35 101.46 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 36.27 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 72.25 292.80 155.08 204.41 247.10 320.85 294.38 279.07 340.10 183.35 Baseline Daily Intakes of Energy per food category 72.25 280.54 132.94 217.22 241.82 344.72 291.45 281.57 340.88 175.58 PostReformulation 0 12.26 22.14 12.81 5.29 23.87 2.92 2.49 0.79 7.77 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) 0 4.19 14.28 6.27 2.14 7.44 0.99 0.89 0.23 4.24 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change Table 41: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Adults – Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 67 0.03 0.03 3.09 0.73 0.40 0.354 0.199 4.05 1.536 2.92 0.0031 PostReformulation 0 0.14 0.24 0.02 0.0004 0.001 0.34 0.01 0.05 0.0004 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) 0 4.31 24.57 3.86 0.11 0.58 7.65 0.58 1.68 11.42 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 0.016 0.554 <0.001 <0.001 0.003 <0.001 0.807 P-Value Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 3.23 0.97 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.42 0.353 0.198 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries Breakfast Cereals 4.39 1.545 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 2.97 0.0035 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0 0.07 13.16 4.89 1.45 2.75 1.09 15.75 6.29 10.34 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 0.07 13.14 3.60 1.26 2.75 1.12 14.46 6.29 10.20 PostReformulation 0 0.01 1.29 0.19 0 0.02 1.29 0 0.14 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0.11 26.34 13.34 0 2.20 8.20 0 1.37 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Increase Decrease No Change Decrease No Change % Change Table 42: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Adults – Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 68 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.354 0.160 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.10 0.10 0.087 0.23 0.081 0.02 0.12 0.158 0.353 0.035 0.013 PostReformulation 0.0002 0.003 0.04 0.00004 0.02 0.07 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.00003 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) 0.17 3.29 14.87 0.06 47.30 35.12 1.38 0.49 3.45 0.23 Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 0.090 0.27 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.080 0.04 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.19 0.036 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 0.013 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0.789 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.182 P-Value 0.30 0.35 1.33 0.28 0.43 0.61 0.55 1.177 0.14 0.06 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0.30 0.34 1.05 0.26 0.21 0.35 0.54 1.175 0.13 0.06 PostReformulation 0 0.01 0.28 0.02 0.23 0.26 0.01 0.002 0.01 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) n/a 3.53 21.32 6.59 52.50 42.93 1.32 0.17 7.86 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 43: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Adults - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 69 0.30 2.77 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 1.28 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.49 0.49 0.105 1.02 0.26 0.08 5.46 2.70 0.31 9.72 8.64 PostReformulation 0 0.002 0.27 0.03 0.005 0.15 0.07 0.01 0.08 0.34 Absolute Change 6.36 2.62 2.44 3.94 0.86 3.76 0 1.62 20.79 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change 11.75 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99.9% confidence Vegetables 0.107 0.30 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 0.07 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 5.61 9.64 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 8.97 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 1.45 0.43 6.87 1.31 0.56 21.11 19.90 1.52 33.54 44.71 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 1.45 0.43 4.91 1.25 0.56 19.10 19.18 1.61 32.51 43.85 PostReformulation 0 0 1.96 0.06 0 2.01 0.72 0.09 1.03 0.86 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0 28.52 4.58 0 9.53 3.61 6.05 3.06 1.93 No Change No Change Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 44: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Adults - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 70 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.23 6.58 0.65 0.945 3.80 1.92 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals Rice, Pasta & Savouries Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.20 0.20 8.10 1.44 3.77 0.942 0.72 6.41 4.22 5.08 0.006 PostReformulation 0 0.34 0.48 0.03 0.002 0.07 0.17 0.01 0.04 0.0002 Absolute Change 0 4.01 25.02 0.89 0.25 10.42 2.66 0.17 0.85 2.86 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 8.44 5.12 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Spreading Fats 0.006 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category <0.001 <0.001 0.269 0.149 <0.001 <0.001 0.508 <0.001 0.638 P-Value No Change n/a Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 0.58 32.12 9.22 13.50 5.56 3.12 22.11 17.36 17.91 0 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category 0.58 30.93 6.64 12.97 5.56 3.48 22.11 17.53 17.80 0.006 PostReformulation 0 1.19 2.57 0.53 0 0.36 0 0.17 0.11 0.010 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 3.71 27.92 3.93 0 11.54 0 1.01 0.63 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Increase No Change Increase Decrease No Change % Change Table 45: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of adults per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Adults - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 71 4.2.2. Scenario B: Teenager Results (13 - 17 years) Overall, both mean and P97.5 intakes decreased for all five nutrients. • The greatest decrease in Energy intakes was recorded in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, in terms of % decreases and for both mean & P97.5 intakes (absolute decreases up to 10.46/d and ~11% decrease for high consumers). ‘Spreading Fats’ recorded the greatest absolute reduction (2.09 g/d) • All food categories recorded a decrease/no change for Saturated Fat, with the exception of mean intakes for ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ (however, this increase was negligible). ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ recorded ~34% and ~43% reduction for both mean and P97.5 intakes, respectively • Sodium recorded the greatest % decrease for mean and P97.5 intakes in ‘Breakfast Cereals’ (a ~30% and ~26% decrease, respectively). ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous’ also recorded a substantial % decrease in terms of mean intakes (~18%) and P97.5 intakes (~25%) • Sugar recorded a ~16% and ~34% decrease in both mean and P97.5 intakes of ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, respectively. ‘Savoury Snacks incl. Crisps’ also recorded notable decreases for both mean and P97.5 intakes (~14% decrease for both) 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • A ~31% decrease in mean intakes of Total Fat was recorded for ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, with a similar decrease noted for P97.5 intakes (~38%) 72 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project (0.84) (0.02) 26.33 0.67 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.60 25.98 419.83 7.97 18.36 (0.02) (0.83) (9.39) (0.24) (0.50) PostReformulation 0.07 0.36 1.40 0.54 0.37 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 10.27 1.36 0.33 6.36 <0.001 <0.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 1.76 70.08 877.08 22.84 47.98 (1.65) (3.12) (0.15) (3.00) (47.50) Baseline 1.60 69.47 861.42 21.01 47.28 (0.08) (3.41) (44.06) (1.31) (2.48) PostReformulation 0.16 0.61 15.67 1.83 0.70 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 9.17 0.88 1.79 8.02 1.47 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change (1.98) (0.04) 108.49 2.49 2.41 108.02 1983.64 1986.40 (27.36) (0.03) (1.89 (37.34) (0.59) (1.27) 0.08 0.47 2.76 0.49 0.43 3.21 0.43 0.14 1.54 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 0.55 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Sodium (g) Sugar (g) Energy (kcal) 77.24 31.42 31.91 Saturated Fat (g) (1.28) Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) PostReformulation (0.59) 77.67 Baseline Total Fat (g) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 4.32 206.48 3297.23 59.70 136.52 (1.28) (7.06) 59.10 132.83 (0.22) (9.79) 4.16 208.86 (0.16) (9.73) (105.73) (1.36) (7.40) PostReformulation (111.55) 3300.00 Baseline 0.16 2.38 2.77 0.60 3.69 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 3.70 1.15 0.08 1.01 2.70 Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 47: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenagers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 1.98 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence (9.32) (0.25) 421.23 8.51 Saturated Fat (g) (0.51) Energy (kcal) 18.74 Baseline Total Fat (g) Table 46: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish teenage consumers of reformulated products (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 73 48.65 Milk & Dairy Products 23.10 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 14.93 14.93 56.71 21.27 61.48 72.47 116.25 46.72 57.12 140.59 41.55 PostReformulation 0 2.09 1.84 0.47 0.02 1.66 1.94 0.30 0.20 0.96 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) 0 3.56 7.95 0.78 0.02 1.45 3.98 0.53 0.15 2.26 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.067 0.871 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 30.00 240.28 98.92 189.29 263.20 361.02 212.51 196.93 405.43 151.61 Baseline Daily Intakes of Energy per food category P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 58.80 61.00 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 72.46 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 114.58 56.82 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 140.38 42.51 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 30.00 231.24 88.46 200.18 263.20 362.31 194.07 200.97 404.17 160.84 PostReformulation 0 9.03 10.46 10.90 0 1.30 18.44 4.04 1.26 9.23 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) 0 3.76 10.58 5.76 0 0.36 8.68 2.05 0.31 6.09 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase No Change Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change Table 48: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 74 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2.46 Milk & Dairy Products 0.63 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.02 0.02 2.50 0.42 0.38 0.742 0.23 1.78 1.21 3.94 0.001 PostReformulation 0 0.08 0.22 0.01 0.001 0.02 0.68 0.01 0.05 0.0003 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) 1.87 0.12 7.35 27.53 0.80 1.27 33.74 0 3.19 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 34.35 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 2.59 0.39 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 0.741 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.25 1.22 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 3.99 0.001 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.571 0.813 <0.001 <0.001 0.001 <0.001 0.782 P-Value 0.03 11.42 2.94 1.36 4.55 1.25 11.06 4.75 12.62 0 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 0.03 11.42 1.67 1.27 4.55 1.04 6.22 4.63 12.55 PostReformulation 0 0 1.26 0.09 0 0.21 4.84 0.11 0.07 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0 43.02 6.96 0 16.79 43.74 2.42 0.56 0 No Change No Change Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 49: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 75 0.273 0.057 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.17 0.080 0.05 0.12 0.056 0.272 0.045 0.009 PostReformulation 0 0.002 0.04 0.004 0.01 0.05 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.00001 Absolute Change 1.29 0.52 2.41 0.09 0 2.49 18.43 4.85 16.42 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 29.86 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 0.07 0.20 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.084 0.06 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.16 0.046 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 0.009 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0.99 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.945 P-Value 0.13 0.282 0.91 0.27 0.33 0.47 0.43 0.89 0.165 0.03998 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0.13 0.277 0.68 0.25 0.32 0.35 0.43 0.90 0.160 0.03995 PostReformulation 0 0.005 0.22 0.02 0.01 0.12 0 0.01 0.005 0.00003 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 1.62 24.71 7.21 3.91 25.51 0 0.63 3.17 0.07 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 50: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 76 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.23 3.44 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.58 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.30 0.30 0.08 0.49 0.27 0.113 6.89 3.41 0.25 14.24 10.48 PostReformulation 0 0.003 0.09 0.04 0.002 0.20 0.03 0.01 0.14 0.44 Absolute Change 1.80 2.83 0.97 6.41 1.03 4.06 0 3.18 16.02 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change 14.29 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 0.09 0.31 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 0.115 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 7.09 14.10 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 10.93 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.22 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 0.60 0.47 2.95 1.30 0.64 29.97 19.71 0.95 41.38 42.67 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 0.60 0.47 1.93 1.12 0.64 28.54 19.24 1.08 41.92 40.39 PostReformulation 0 0 1.01 0.18 0.003 1.43 0.47 0.13 0.53 2.28 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 0 34.36 13.56 0.50 4.76 2.41 13.50 1.29 5.34 No Change No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change Table 51: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 77 2.76 Milk & Dairy Products 1.19 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.12 0.12 6.25 0.82 3.57 1.59 0.78 2.65 3.38 6.89 0.00102 PostReformulation 0 0.24 0.37 0.09 0.002 0.02 0.11 0.02 0.05 0.00001 Absolute Change 2.45 0.13 3.09 3.90 0.55 0.71 1.24 Decrease 0 No Change 3.70 Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change 31.13 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes Vegetables 6.49 3.49 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 1.60 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.75 3.36 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 6.94 0.00103 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.010 0.301 0.001 <0.001 0.356 <0.001 0.653 P-Value 0.24 26.80 4.92 11.74 8.74 3.45 10.86 12.59 21.01 0.00 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category 0.24 25.76 3.06 12.17 8.92 3.59 9.72 12.44 20.95 0.00 PostReformulation 0 1.04 1.86 0.42 0.18 0.14 1.14 0.15 0.05 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 3.89 37.77 3.62 2.02 3.92 10.47 1.21 0.26 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 52: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of teenagers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Teenagers - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 78 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.2.3. Scenario B: Children Results (5 - 12 years) Both mean and P97.5 intakes decreased for all 5 nutrients, based on intakes of consumers only of reformulated products and from total diet. • Energy recorded the greatest % and absolute decrease in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’, for both mean and P97.5 intakes, with decreases of up to 25% • The majority of food categories recorded decreases/no changes for Saturated Fat mean and P97.5 intakes, with the exception of ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ mean intakes and P97.5 intakes for ‘Spreading Fats’. ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ recorded the greatest % decrease (~34% for P97.5 intakes), while ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ recorded the greatest absolute reduction (0.5 g/d and 1.58 g/d for mean and P97.5 intakes, respectively) • ‘Breakfast Cereals’ recorded the most marked decrease in Sodium intakes, with a ~27-29% decrease recorded for both mean and P97.5 intakes. ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ also recorded marked reductions • Sugar mean and P97.5 intakes decreased most notably in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (by ~ 13% and 24%, respectively). However, ‘Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes’ recorded up to a ~6% increase (for P97.5 intakes) The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 79 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • A ~34% decrease in Total Fat intakes was recorded for the ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ category, with even greater decreases noted for P97.5 intakes (~42%). ‘Breakfast Cereals’ recorded an increase in mean intakes, but a decrease in P97.5 intakes 7.28 Saturated Fat (g) (0.74) (0.01) 26.51 0.56 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.51 26.18 373.85 6.84 15.31 (0.01) (0.73) (6.43) (0.16) (0.33) PostReformulation 0.05 0.32 1.73 0.44 0.29 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 9.37 1.21 0.46 6.06 1.87 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 1.35 77.36 718.68 16.45 33.580 (0.82) (1.46) (0.08) (5.68) (39.64) Baseline 1.29 76.26 716.90 15.61 33.575 (0.11) (5.72) (42.16) (0.91) (1.40) PostReformulation 0.06 1.11 1.78 0.85 0.005 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 4.69 1.43 0.25 5.14 0.01 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 26.79 61.89 (0.33) (0.67) (0.02) (1.41) 1.96 105.11 (0.02) (1.40) (14.73) 1666.97 (14.70) (0.33) (0.67) PostReformulation 0.06 0.45 2.45 0.44 0.31 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 2.97 0.43 0.15 1.62 0.50 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence 2.02 105.56 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 1669.42 27.23 Saturated Fat (g) Energy (kcal) 62.20 Baseline Total Fat (g) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 3.42 187.74 2443.51 46.31 98.29 (1.82) (1.61) 45.48 97.41 (0.12) (7.43) 3.31 186.16 (0.12) (7.98) (43.26) (1.96) (1.72) PostReformulation (39.60) 2443.23 Baseline 0.11 1.58 0.28 0.83 0.88 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 3.22 0.84 0.01 1.79 0.90 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 54: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish children from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 441) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence (6.47) (0.17) (0.33) 375.58 Energy (kcal) 15.60 Baseline Total Fat (g) Table 53: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish child consumers of reformulated products (n = 594) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 80 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 49.85 48.05 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 13.58 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 10.70 10.70 43.57 11.51 50.60 44.98 97.37 46.19 49.83 114.43 44.66 PostReformulation 0 0.99 2.07 0.79 0.04 2.62 1.86 0.04 0.10 0.92 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) 1.22 0.05 2.39 3.87 0.06 0.09 2.03 0 2.23 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 0.002 0.131 <0.001 <0.001 0.214 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease % Change 15.22 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 44.56 50.03 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 44.87 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 96.16 114.30 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 45.58 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 35.06 139.97 61.95 145.29 160.67 305.81 189.71 195.54 337.78 174.36 Baseline Daily Intakes of Energy per food category 35.06 135.47 46.57 150.51 160.67 304.55 175.05 195.45 337.62 174.79 PostReformulation 0 4.50 15.38 12.81 0 23.87 14.66 2.49 0.79 0.43 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) 0 3.21 24.83 6.27 0 7.44 7.73 0.89 0.23 0.25 No Change Decrease Decrease Increase No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change Table 55: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 81 2.38 Milk & Dairy Products 0.01 0.01 2.00 0.26 0.30 0.40113 0.19 1.86 1.06 3.32 0.000872 PostReformulation 0 0.06 0.12 0.01 0.0004 0.00 0.52 0.01 0.04 0.000001 Absolute Change 0.84 1.20 0.16 Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease 0 No Change 2.72 31.81 3.02 0.11 0.58 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 21.89 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 2.05 0.38 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.31 0.40107 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.20 1.07 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 3.36 0.000873 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.047 0.990 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.828 P-Value 0.04 6.92 2.09 1.02 2.78 1.05 8.17 4.33 10.28 0.02 Baseline Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 0.04 7.14 1.37 0.95 2.78 0.97 6.59 4.32 10.12 PostReformulation 0 0.21 0.71 0.07 0 0.02 1.58 0.01 0.16 0.02 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 3.07 34.21 6.80 0 2.20 19.32 0.34 1.53 0 No Change Increase Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 56: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 82 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.067 Milk & Dairy Products 0.13 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.0449 0.0447 0.048 0.11 0.07 0.03 0.10 0.066 0.232 0.036 0.01180 PostReformulation 0.0002 0.001 0.03 0.00004 0.01 0.04 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.00003 Absolute Change 1.16 0.40 1.96 0.23 0.55 2.36 20.79 0.06 22.30 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 26.84 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 0.049 0.08 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 0.04 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.13 0.233 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 0.037 0.01176 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.117 P-Value 0.15 0.151 0.65 0.24 0.24 0.45 0.32 0.77 0.118 0.0525 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0.15 0.153 0.52 0.22 0.20 0.32 0.31 0.76 0.117 0.0525 PostReformulation 0 0.002 0.13 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.0001 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 1.15 20.37 5.74 16.86 28.98 3.06 0.85 0.10 0 No Change Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 57: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 83 0.23 2.99 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.22 0.22 0.060 0.27 0.26 0.059 5.99 2.98 0.24 11.56 11.29 PostReformulation 0 0.001 0.04 0.02 0.0001 0.15 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.34 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes Vegetables 0.061 0.31 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.28 0.058 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 6.14 11.45 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 11.62 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0 1.73 13.49 8.66 6.36 2.42 0.18 3.94 0.86 2.92 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 <0.001 0.497 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease % Change 0.74 0.194 1.71 1.08 0.40 24.68 18.08 0.85 33.43 44.08 Baseline Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 0.74 0.191 1.30 0.97 0.40 24.19 17.62 0.87 34.94 44.36 PostReformulation 0 0.003 0.41 0.11 0 0.49 0.46 0.09 1.52 0.28 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 1.76 23.84 10.19 0 2.00 2.54 6.05 4.53 0.64 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Increase % Change Table 58: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 84 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 2.78 0.62 Milk & Dairy Products Breakfast Cereals 0.09 0.09 4.79 0.51 2.77 0.884 0.63 2.67 2.96 5.66 0.0008 PostReformulation 0 0.11 0.27 0.02 0.001 0.07 0.11 0.01 0.03 0.0002 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes Vegetables 4.90 0.78 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 2.75 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) 0.885 2.97 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Rice, Pasta & Savouries 5.69 0.0010 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0 2.25 34.13 0.82 0.06 10.42 4.08 0.18 0.57 2.86 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 0.12 0.15 0.67 <0.001 0.03 <0.001 0.75 P-Value Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change 0.30 15.42 4.16 8.53 5.44 2.64 8.42 12.42 17.29 0 Baseline Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category 0 0.30 14.72 2.39 8.64 5.44 2.43 8.42 12.41 17.20 PostReformulation 0 0.71 1.76 0.11 0 0.36 0 0.17 0.09 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) 0 4.58 42.38 1.32 0 11.54 0 1.01 0.55 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 59: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of children per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Children - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 85 4.2.4. Scenario B: Pre-schoolers Results (1 - 4 years) Both mean and P97.5 intakes decreased for all 5 nutrients, based on intakes of consumers only of reformulated products and from total diet. • ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ recorded the greatest absolute and % Energy reduction. Absolute decreases of 1.74g/d and 15.44 g/d and ~12% and a ~21% were recorded for mean and P97.5 intakes, respectively • Saturated Fat recorded a ~31% decrease in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ for both mean and P97.5 intakes. ‘Milk & Dairy Products’ recorded a 8.53% mean decrease at P97.5 intake level (0.62g/d decrease) • Sodium recorded the greatest % decrease in ‘Breakfast Cereals’ (reducing by ~24% for mean intakes). ‘Rice, Pasta & Savouries’ decreased P97.5 intakes by ~41%, followed by ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (~36%). ‘Beverages Excl. Milk’ recorded a small increase in mean sodium intakes (these increases are minor and may be due to variability) • Sugar intakes decreased most in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (~24% for mean intakes). ‘Savoury Snacks’ recorded a ~6% decrease in mean intakes 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers • Total Fat intakes decreased most evidently in ‘Soups, Sauces & Miscellaneous Foods’ (by ~28% and ~36% for mean and P97.5 intakes, respectively) 86 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 4.60 Saturated Fat (g) (0.43) (0.01) 9.62 0.37 Sugar (g) Sodium (g) 0.34 9.52 190.50 4.38 8.97 (0.01) (0.42) (5.16) (0.13) (0.26) PostReformulation 0.03 0.10 1.05 0.22 0.19 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 8.07 1.07 0.55 4.81 2.03 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 1.02 30.20 466.86 12.55 23.08 (0.85) (1.07) (0.08) (1.92) (27.84) Baseline 0.90 29.85 484.63 11.44 22.67 (0.07) (1.88) (30.72) (0.72) (1.18) PostReformulation 1.18 3.80 8.82 1.77 Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease % Change 0.11 10.99 0.36 17.76 1.11 0.41 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 1.30 Sodium (g) (0.02) (1.06) (11.27) (0.28) (0.54) (0.28) (0.54) 1.27 76.16 (0.02) (1.06) 1131.69 (11.25) 18.78 41.30 PostReformulation 0.03 0.14 1.49 0.22 0.20 Absolute Change Mean (Mean Error) 2.31 0.18 0.13 1.16 0.48 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence 76.30 Sugar (g) 1133.18 19.00 Saturated Fat (g) Energy (kcal) 41.50 Baseline Total Fat (g) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 P-Value 2.32 132.65 1732.65 35.26 70.41 (1.21) (2.05) (0.09) (6.42) (43.67) Baseline 2.26 130.97 1730.07 34.38 70.32 (0.08) (6.38) (44.37) (1.27) (2.33) PostReformulation 0.06 1.68 2.58 0.88 0.09 Absolute Change P97.5 (P97.5 Error) 2.59 1.27 0.15 2.50 0.13 Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change Table 61: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-schoolers from the total diet (including reformulated products) (n = 500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease % Change P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence (5.17) (0.15) (0.26) 191.54 Energy (kcal) 9.15 Baseline Total Fat (g) Table 60: Daily nutrient intakes of Irish pre-school consumers of reformulated products (n = 500) at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - All Nutrients 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 87 39.70 59.83 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 14.75 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 9.79 9.79 25.43 13.02 32.53 41.53 56.74 58.75 39.68 59.37 21.81 PostReformulation 0 0.56 1.74 0.20 0.12 0.56 1.09 0.02 0.08 0.55 Absolute Change Mean Intakes (kcal/d) 0.63 0.28 1.00 1.81 0.05 0.14 2.46 Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease 0 No Change 2.15 Decrease % Change 11.76 P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 25.99 32.32 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 41.65 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 56.18 59.45 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 22.36 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.75 0.25 <0.001 <0.001 0.77 0.56 <0.001 P-Value 27.74 79.44 73.09 98.69 197.08 171.54 175.48 122.06 195.11 90.76 Baseline 27.74 78.44 57.65 98.69 200.21 173.06 170.06 122.06 195.11 85.50 0 1.00 15.44 0 3.13 1.53 5.41 0 0 5.26 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (kcal/d) PostReformulation Daily Intakes of Energy per food category 0 1.26 21.13 0 1.59 0.89 3.08 0 0 5.79 No Change Decrease Decrease No Change Increase Increase Decrease No Change No Change Decrease % Change Table 62: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Energy (kcal/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - Energy 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 88 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 1.80 0.84 2.51 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.01 0.01 1.15 0.29 0.18 0.354 0.12 2.33 0.83 1.78 0.0013 PostReformulation 0 0.03 0.13 0.003 0.001 0.01 0.17 0.01 0.03 0.0002 Absolute Change Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease 0 No Change 2.45 30.75 1.57 0.19 4.65 6.84 1.39 1.54 Increase % Change 13.59 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 1.18 0.42 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.17 0.353 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.13 0.0011 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Breakfast Cereals Baseline Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.677 0.990 <0.001 <0.001 0.029 <0.001 0.541 P-Value 0.03 3.97 2.14 0.63 2.19 0.62 7.27 2.88 6.29 0.00 Baseline 0.03 3.96 1.47 0.61 2.19 0.59 6.65 2.76 6.09 0.00 0 0.01 0.67 0.02 0 0.03 0.62 0.13 0.20 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) PostReformulation Daily Intakes of Saturated Fat per food category 0 0.28 31.32 3.29 0 5.30 8.53 4.36 3.17 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change % Change Table 63: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Saturated Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - Saturated Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 89 0.0223 0.184 0.095 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.13 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods 0.04 0.04 0.028 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.06 0.093 0.183 0.0217 0.005 PostReformulation 0 0.001 0.03 0.003 0.01 0.02 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.0001 Absolute Change 1.33 0.62 2.64 1.73 0 2.63 22.71 5.13 23.36 Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase % Change 23.82 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 0.029 0.06 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Spreading Fats 0.03 Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.07 0.005 Beverages (Excl. Milk) Breakfast Cereals Baseline Food Category n/a <0.001 0.002 <0.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.002 0.312 P-Value 0.12 0.09 0.72 0.16 0.27 0.25 0.297 0.560 0.0847 0.0260 Baseline 0.12 0.08 0.46 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.297 0.565 0.0848 0.0260 0 0.001 0.26 0.01 0.11 0.06 0 0.004 0.0002 0 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) PostReformulation Daily Intakes of Sodium per food category 0 1.31 36.27 6.37 41.05 24.65 0 0.75 0.19 0 No Change Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease Decrease No Change Increase Increase No Change % Change Table 64: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sodium (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - Sodium 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 90 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 0.18 2.75 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Milk & Dairy Products 0.20 0.20 0.035 0.34 0.19 0.063 3.15 2.78 0.19 5.75 5.62 PostReformulation 0 0.001 0.11 0.01 0.003 0.08 0.02 0.005 0.02 0.16 Absolute Change 6.20 5.14 2.49 0.76 2.52 0.38 2.70 Decrease 0 No Change 1.66 Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase increase Increase Decrease % Change 23.91 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 0.036 0.45 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 0.20 0.060 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 3.23 5.73 Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Breakfast Cereals 5.77 Baseline Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category n/a <0.001 <0.001 0.444 0.111 <0.001 <0.001 0.003 0.023 <0.001 P-Value 0.58 0.10 2.74 0.92 0.35 10.43 14.95 0.60 18.14 22.44 Baseline 0.58 0.10 2.00 0.84 0.39 10.80 14.96 0.64 18.10 19.97 0 0 0.74 0.09 0.04 0.37 0.002 0.04 0.04 2.47 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) PostReformulation Daily Intakes of Sugar per food category 0 0 27.06 9.24 12.50 3.58 0.01 7.01 0.20 10.99 No Change No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Increase Increase Increase Decrease Decrease % Change Table 65: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Sugar (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - Sugar 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 91 3.77 Milk & Dairy Products 0.08 0.08 2.80 0.56 1.62 0.786 0.46 3.68 2.36 2.94 0.002 PostReformulation 0 0.06 0.22 0.02 0.004 0.002 0.09 0.01 0.02 0.0004 Absolute Change 0 2.21 27.98 1.52 0.48 0.49 2.32 0.25 0.83 <0.001 n/a No Change <0.001 0.564 0.220 0.419 <0.001 0.514 <0.001 0.490 P-Value Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change 25.61 Mean Intakes (g/d) P-Value <0.001 denotes significant difference in mean intakes with 99% confidence Vegetables 2.86 0.78 Soups, Sauces & Misc. Foods Spreading Fats 1.60 0.790 Savoury Snacks (Incl. Crisps) Rice, Pasta & Savouries 0.47 2.35 Meat, Fish & Egg Dishes Breakfast Cereals 2.97 0.001 Baseline Biscuits, Cakes & Conf. Beverages (Excl. Milk) Food Category 0.24 8.88 4.11 5.59 4.53 1.78 10.86 8.08 10.41 0.02 Baseline 0.24 8.76 2.63 5.59 4.53 1.77 10.51 8.40 10.10 0.05 0 0.12 1.48 0 0 0.002 0.35 0.32 0.31 0.03 Absolute Change P97.5 Intakes (g/d) PostReformulation Daily Intakes of Total Fat per food category 0 1.39 36.08 0 0 0.13 3.23 3.94 3.02 102.07 No Change Decrease Decrease No Change No Change Decrease Decrease Increase Decrease Increase % Change Table 66: Daily mean and P97.5 intakes of Total Fat (g/d) of pre-schoolers per food category, at baseline and post-reformulation for Scenario B (conservative) Scenario B: Impact on Consumers of Reformulated Products if reformulation was conducted by 14 FDII members only (conservative) Pre Schoolers - Total Fat 4. Average Daily Intakes of Nutrients for Irish Adults, Teenagers, Children & Pre-Schoolers 92 The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project References 1. World Health Organisation (WHO) (2014). Mapping salt reduction initiatives in the WHO European Region. Available at: http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/186462/Mapping-saltreduction-initiatives-in-the-WHO-European-Region.pdf 2. World Health Organisation (WHO) (2014). Draft Guideline: Sugars intake for adults and children. Available at: http://www.who.int/nutrition/sugars_public_consultation/en/ 3. The Food Safety Authority of Ireland (FSAI). Salt and Health. Available at: https://www.fsai.ie/science_and_health/salt_and_health.html 4. Food Standards Agency (2002). McCance and Widdowson’s The Composition of Foods, 6th Summary Edition. Cambridge: Royal Society of Chemistry. 5. Holland B, Welch AA, Unwin I, Buss DH, Paul AA and Southgate DAT (1995). McCance and Widdowson’s The Composition of Foods, 5th Summary Edition. Cambridge: Royal Society of Chemistry. 6. Irish Universities Nutrition Alliance (IUNA). Available at: www.iuna.net 7. McNamara, C; Naddy, B; Rohan D. and Sexton, J. (2003). Design, development and validation of software for modelling dietary exposure to food chemicals and nutrients. Food Additives and Contaminants: Part A, 20(1), S8 – S26. The FDII/Creme Global Reformulation Project 93 Food and Drink Industry Ireland, 2016 84/86 Lower Baggot Street, Dublin 2 www.ibec.ie Tel: (01) 605 1500 Fax: (01) 638 1500
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