Konular ve haftalar

Türkiye Ekonomisinin Güncel Sorunları(econ 404)
Sezgin Polat∗
March 28, 2014
1
Kamu Maliyesi
2 Nisan 2014
• Bütçe acıkları
• Gelirler Politikası
• Giderler
Makaleler
• Mohammadi, Hassan, Murat Cak, and Demet Cak. "Wagner’s hypothesis: new evidence from Turkey
using the bounds testing approach." Journal of Economic Studies 35.1 (2008): 94-106.
• .Tusiad Raprou: Tax Design in Turkey and Other Middle Income Countries: Lessons from the Mirrless
Review
• Zenginobuz, Ü., Adaman, F., Goksen, F., Savci, C., & Tokgoz, M. E. (2010). Vergi, temsiliyet ve
demokrasi ili¸skisi üzerine Türkiye’de vatanda¸sların algıları (No. 2010/03). Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
• Gordon, Roger, and Wei Li. "Tax structures in developing countries: Many puzzles and a possible
explanation." Journal of Public Economics 93.7 (2009): 855-866.
2
Finans ve Bankacılık
2 Nisan 2014
• Bilanço hesapları (tanımlar)
• Kredi Aktarım Mekanizmaları
• Bancacılık sektorununu borc yapısı ve cari acık
• Menkul Kıymet Kompozisyon
• BBDK ve kurumsal denetleme kalitesi
∗ Office
Hours: 14:00-17:00, Çar¸samba Sükrü Sari Binası. Kat 3, Tel: + 90 212 227 44 80/394 e-posta: [email protected]
1
- Ayd?n, Burcu, and Deniz Igan. "Bank lending in Turkey: Effects of monetary and fiscal policies." Emerging
Markets Finance and Trade 48.5 (2012): 78-104.
- Ongena, Steven, and Ilkay Sendeniz-Yüncü. "Which firms engage small, foreign, or state banks? And who
goes Islamic? Evidence from Turkey." Journal of Banking & Finance 35.12 (2011): 3213-3224.
- Evren Damar, H."Does post-crisis restructuring decrease the availability of banking services? The case of
Turkey." Journal of Banking & Finance 31.9 (2007): 2886-2905.
- Çatik, Abdurrahman Nazif, and Mehmet Karaçuka. "The bank lending channel in Turkey: has it changed
after the low-inflation regime?." Applied Economics Letters 19.13 (2012): 1237-1242.
3
2007-08 krizi ve Türkiye Ekonomisine Etkisi
9 Nisan 2014
• Büyüme ve Dı¸s ticaret etkisi
• Finansal akımlar üzerindeki etkileri
Referanslar:
- Rodrik, Dani."The Turkish Economy after the Global Financial Crisis." Ekonomi-tek-International Economics
Journal 1.1 (2012): 41-61.
- Öni¸s, Ziya, and Ali Burak Güven."Global crisis, national responses: The political economy of Turkish exceptionalism." New Political Economy 16.5 (2011): 585-608.
-Akat, Asaf Savas, and Ege Yazgan."Observations on Turkey?s recent economic performance." Atlantic Economic Journal 41.1 (2013): 1-27.
-Erdem Basci ve Hakan Kara, 2011. "Finansal Istikrar ve Para Politikasi," Working Papers 1108, Research
and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
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Yeni Para Politikası
9 Nisan 2014
• Merkez Banka Yetkisi (çıktı açı˘
gı ve enflasyon hedeflemesi)
• Kredi Geni¸slemesi ve makro ihtiyat politikası
• Döviz kuru politikası ve faiz oranı ayarlaması
• Cari Açık ve Sürdürülebilir Büyüme
Makaleler:
• Erdem Basci ve Hakan Kara, 2011.
"Finansal Istikrar ve Para Politikasi," Working Papers 1108,
Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Yasemin Barlas ve Neslihan Kaya, 2013. "Parasal Genisleme Politikalarinin Gelismekte Olan Ulke Portfoy Akimlari Kompozisyonuna Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1301, Research and Monetary
Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Aysan, Ahmet Faruk, Salih Fendo˘
glu, and Mustafa Kılınç. Managing Short-Term Capital Flows in New
Central Banking: Unconventional Monetary Policy Framework in Turkey. Working Paper, 2013
• Erdem Ba¸sçı Banka Ekonomistleri ile Yapılan Bilgilendirme Toplantıları Link 20 S
¸ubat 2013
• Hakan Kara "Para politikasını anlamak"BETAM Paneli. 26 Aralık 2012
2
5
Büyümenin Önündeki Kısıtlar
16 Nisan 2014
• ˙Insan Sermayesi
• Altyapı ve Kamu yatırımları
• Tasarruf ve Finansa Eri¸sim
• Vergilendirme
Makaleler
• ˙I. Atiyas ve O. Bakı¸s "Türkiye’de Büyümenin Önündeki Engeller" Tüsiad Raporu Kasım 2011 Türkiye’de
Sanayi Politikası ve Yapısal Degisimler
• Atiyas, ?zak, and Ozan Bak??. "Aggregate and sectoral TFP growth in Turkey: a growth accounting
exercise." (2013).
• Gönenç, Rauf, et al. Structural Reforms to Boost Turkey’s Long-Term Growth. No. 987. OECD Publishing, 2012.
• Betcherman, Gordon, N. Meltem Daysal, and Carmen Pagés. "Do employment subsidies work? Evidence from regionally targeted subsidies in Turkey." Labour Economics 17.4 (2010): 710-722.
• Atiyas, ˙Izak, and Ozan Bakı¸s. "Structural change and industrial policy in Turkey." (2013).
• Orta Vadeli Program 2014-2016
• Orta Vadeli Mali Program 2014-2016
6
2001 krizi ve etkileri
16 Nisan 2014
• Makroekonomik dengesizlikler
• Enflasyon ve yapisal sorunlar
• Kamu maliyesi
• Kur Krizleri
Makaleler:
• Öni¸s, Ziya. "Beyond the 2001 financial crisis: The political economy of the new phase of neo-liberal
restructuring in Turkey." Review of International Political Economy 16.3 (2009): 409-432.
• Ozkan, F. Gulcin. "Currency and financial crises in Turkey 2000?2001: bad fundamentals or bad luck?."
The World Economy 28.4 (2005): 541-572.
• Van Rijckeghem, Caroline. "TURKISH DEBT 1990-2002: HOW DID WE GET HERE?." TESEV, Downloadable from (www. tesev. org. tr) (2004).
• Alper, C. Emre, and Ziya Önis Alper. "Emerging Market Crises and the IMF: Rethinking the Role of the
IMF in Light of Turkey’s 2000?2001 Financial Crisis." Canadian Journal of Development Studies/Revue
canadienne d’études du développement 24.2 (2003): 267-284.
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• Kadri Ekinci, Nazim, and Korkut Alp Ertürk. "Turkish currency crisis of 2000?2001, revisited." International Review of Applied Economics 21.1 (2007): 29-41.
• Akyüz, Yilmaz, and Korkut Boratav. "The making of the Turkish financial crisis." World Development
31.9 (2003): 1549-1566.
7 ˙Ihracat Performansi ve Büyüme
23 Nisan 2014
• Ürün ve bölge çe¸sitlendirmesi
• Döviz kuru ve ihracat performansı
• ˙Ithalat ba˘
gımlılı˘
gı ve katma de˘
ger
Makaleler:
• Atiyas, Izak, and Ozan Bakis. "The Regional Dimension of Productivity and Exports in Turkey: Evidence
from Firm-Level Data." (2013).
• Asaf Sava¸s Akat ve Ege Yazgan “Döviz kuru ihracat fiyatlarına yansıyor mu?” ˙Iktisat ve Toplum, sayı
26, Aralık 2012
• Nazlioglu, Saban. "Exchange rate volatility and Turkish industry-level export: Panel cointegration
analysis." The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 22.7 (2013): 1088-1107.
• Eren, O. "Pazar Büyüklü˘
gü ve Pazar Payı Bile¸senleri Kullanılarak Türkiye?nin ˙Ihracat Büyümesi ve Dı¸s
Ticaret Açı˘
gı Projeksiyonları: 2013-2030." TCMB Ekonomi Notları 5 (2013).
• Öni¸s, Ziya, and ˙Ismail Emre Bayram. "Temporary star or emerging tiger? Turkey’s recent economic
performance in a global setting." TÜS˙IAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum working paper
series, 2008.
• Köksal, Mehmet Haluk, and Engin Özgül. "The export competitive advantages of Turkish manufacturing companies." Marketing Intelligence & Planning 28.2 (2010): 206-222.
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Büyümenin Finansmanı ve Tasarruf Acı˘
gı
23 Nisan 2014
• Dı¸s kaynak ihtiyacı
• Tasarruf-yatırım ili¸skisi
Makaleler:
- Van Rijckeghem, Caroline, and Murat Üçer. "The Evolution and Determinants of the Turkish Private Saving
Rate: What Lessons for Policy?." Economic Research Forum, TÜS?AD, Koç Univ., 2009.
- Aktas, A., Guner, D., Gursel, S., & Uysal, G. (2010).Structural determinants of household savings in Turkey:
2003-2008 (No. 007).
- Yenturk, Nurhan, Burc Ulengin, and Ahmet Cimenoglu. "An analysis of the interaction among savings,
investments and growth in Turkey." Applied Economics 41.6 (2009): 739-751.
- Özmen, Erdal, Saygın S
¸ahinöz, and C. Yalçın. "Profitability, Saving and Investment of Non-Financial Firms
in Turkey." Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (2012).
- Hevia, Constantino. "Saving in Turkey: An International Comparison." Background study for the CEM.
Ankara: World Bank (2010).
Metodolojik kaynak: Ödemeler Dengesi Metodolojisi ve Türkiye Uygulaması
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9 ˙I¸sgücü piyasası sorunları
30 Nisan 2014
• tarım istihdamı ve dönü¸sümü
• i¸ssizlik ve i¸sgücüne katılım
• bölgesel farklılıklar
• Kayıtdı¸sılık ve i¸sgücü maliyetleri
• i¸sgücü piyasası kurumları ve asgari ücret
Makaleler
• Ilkkaracan, Ipek. "Why so few women in the labor market in Turkey?." Feminist Economics 18.1 (2012):
1-37.
• Gündüz-Ho¸sgör, Ay¸se, and Jeroen Smits. "Variation in labor market participation of married women in
Turkey." Women’s Studies International Forum. Vol. 31. No. 2. Pergamon, 2008.
• Tansel, Aysit, and Elif Öznur Kan. Labor mobility across the formal/informal divide in Turkey: Evidence
from individual level data. No. 6271. Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der
Arbeit, 2012.
• Papps, Kerry L. "Effects of Social Security Taxes and Minimum Wages on Employment: Evidence from
Turkey, The." Indus. & Lab. Rel. Rev. 65 (2012): 686.
• Gürbüz, Ayça Akarcay, Sezgin Polat, and Mustafa Ulus. In Limbo: Exploring Transition to Discouragement. No. 13-4. Galatasaray University Economic Research Center, 2013.
• Ayhan, Sinem H. "Do non-wage cost rigidities slow down employment? Evidence from Turkey." IZA
Journal of Labor Policy 2.1 (2013): 20.
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Gelir ve Ücret E¸sitsizli˘
gi
7 Mayis 2014
• E¸sitsizlik ve tanımlar
• Bölgesel E¸sitsizlik
• E˘
gitimin Getirisi
• Ücret E¸sitsizli˘
gi ve Asgari Ücret
Makaleler:
• Ozan Bakı¸s and Sezgin Polat " Wage Inequality in Turkey", GIAM working paper series
• Tansel, Aysit, and Fatma Bircan Bodur. “"Wage inequality and returns to education in Turkey: A quantile
regression analysis." Review of Development Economics 16.1 (2012): 107-121”
• Altug, Sumru, Alpay Filiztekin, and Sevket Pamuk. "Sources of long-term economic growth for Turkey,
1880?2005." European Review of Economic History 12.3 (2008): 393-430.
• Filiztekin, Alpay. "Regional unemployment in Turkey." Papers in Regional Science 88.4 (2009): 863878.
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11
Sosyal Politika
7 Mayis 2014
• Genel bütçe ve harcama analizi
• Sosyal Harcamalar ve Sosyal Koruma
Makaleler:
• Nurhan Yenturk “STK’lar için Sosyal Koruma Harcamalarını ˙Izleme Kılavuzu” ˙Istanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi
Yayınları 389, Eylul 2012
• Ay¸se Bu˘
gra ve Sinem Adar “Türkiye’nin Kamu Sosyal Koruma Harcamalarının Kar¸sıla¸stırmalı Analizi
˙Izleme Kılavuzu” ˙Istanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi Yayınları 389, Eylul 2012
• Elveren, Adem Y. "Social security reform in turkey: A critical perspective." Review of Radical Political
Economics 40.2 (2008): 212-232.
• Seker, Sirma Demir, and Meltem Day?oglu. "Poverty Dynamics in Turkey." Review of Income and Wealth
(2014).
• Sayan, Serdar, and Ayça Tekin Koru. "Remittances, business cycles and poverty: the recent Turkish
experience." International Migration 50.s1 (2012): e151-e176.
• Gurses, Didem. "Well-Being of Children in Turkey." Children and the Good Life. Springer Netherlands,
2011. 177-187.
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Kurumlar ve Regulasyon
14 Mayis 2014
• Kurumsal Düzenlemeler
• Regulasyon ve Bagimsiz Kurllar
Makaleler
• Çetin, Tamer, and Fuat O˘
guz. The Political Economy of Regulation in Turkey. Springer, 2011.
• Ozel, Isik. "The politics of de?delegation: Regulatory (in) dependence in Turkey." Regulation & Governance 6.1 (2012): 119-129.
• Atiyas, Izak. "The incomplete transformation of institutions of economic policy: from clientelism to
competition?." (2013).
• Çetin, Tamer, M. Zahid Sobacı, and Mehmet Nargeleçekenler. "Independence and accountability of
independent regulatory agencies: the case of Turkey." European Journal of Law and Economics (2013):
1-20.
• Atiyas, ?zak. "Economic institutions and institutional change in Turkey during the neoliberal era." New
Perspectives on Turkey (Special Issue) 47 (2012): 45-69.
• Güran, Mehmet Cahit. "The Political Economy of Privatization in Turkey: An Evaluation." The Political
Economy of Regulation in Turkey. Springer New York, 2011. 23-50.
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Figure 1: Konu ve Grup Numaralari
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